development of emission inventories of planned burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · ar ia ks la mn mo ne...

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STI Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning Activities in the Central States Regional Air Planning Association (CENRAP) Presented by Presented by Dana Coe Sullivan Dana Coe Sullivan Sonoma Technology, Inc. Sonoma Technology, Inc. Petaluma, CA Petaluma, CA Presented at Presented at U.S. EPA 13 U.S. EPA 13 th th Annual Emission Inventory Conference Annual Emission Inventory Conference Clearwater, FL Clearwater, FL June 9, 2004 June 9, 2004 STI-2533

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Page 1: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

STI

Development of Emission Inventories of

Planned Burning Activities in the Central States Regional Air

Planning Association (CENRAP)Presented byPresented by

Dana Coe SullivanDana Coe SullivanSonoma Technology, Inc.Sonoma Technology, Inc.

Petaluma, CAPetaluma, CA

Presented atPresented atU.S. EPA 13U.S. EPA 13thth Annual Emission Inventory ConferenceAnnual Emission Inventory Conference

Clearwater, FLClearwater, FLJune 9, 2004June 9, 2004

STI-2533

Page 2: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

2STI

Why is Open Burning Important?April 12, 2002; 6 p.m. CDT• Releases fine PM

and precursors to secondary PM.

• Is thought to contribute to episodes of haze and PM2.5.

• However, emissions are poorly quantified.

Page 3: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

3STI

What are the Sources?• Prescribed burning• Agricultural burning• Managed burning

• Wildfires• Structure fires• Waste burning

These 3 sources are being researched by other RPOs and were not included in the CENRAP-STI project.

Page 4: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

4STI

Definitions• Prescribed Burning clears undergrowth in

timberlands and grasslands for wildfire prevention and land improvement. – Federal agencies (USFS, DOI, BIA, etc.)– State agencies (DNR, DFW, etc.)– Private entities (TNC, timber industry, etc.)

• Agricultural Burning and Managed Burningare used by farmers and ranchers to clear harvested lands and rangeland.

Page 5: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

5STI

Geographic Areas: MN ExampleType of Area sq. miles

Forestlands, etc. 19,217 Deciduous Forest 13,328Evergreen Forest 2,531Mixed Forest 2,896Shrubland 434Grasslands/Herbaceous 28

Agricultural Lands 42,241Row Crops 30,241 Pasture/Hay 10,062 Small Grains 1,938

Other 22,914

Page 6: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

6STI

Prior Statuses of Planned Burning Inventories

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX

PM2.

5 (1

000

tons

/yea

r)

Prescribed Agricultural

Planned Burning Emissions in the 1999 NEIPlanned Burning Emissions in the 1999 NEI

Total PMTotal PM2.52.5: : 110,000 tons110,000 tons

Prescribed:Prescribed:

72,000 tons72,000 tons

Agricultural:Agricultural:

38,000 tons38,000 tons

Page 7: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

7STI

Prior Statuses of Planned Burning InventoriesPlanned Burning Emissions in Texas*Planned Burning Emissions in Texas*

Total PMTotal PM2.52.5 --19971997

44,200 tons44,200 tons

Rangeland:Rangeland:

27,600 tons27,600 tons

Agricultural:Agricultural:

5,700 tons5,700 tons

WildlandWildland::

7,000 tons7,000 tons

Slash:Slash:

3,900 tons3,900 tons0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Prescribed Range Agricultural Prescribed Wildland Slash

PM2.

5 (1

000

tons

)

1996 1997

*Source: Dennis et al. (2002) Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 36,*Source: Dennis et al. (2002) Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 36, pp. 3779pp. 3779--3792.3792.

Page 8: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

8STI

Prior Statuses of Planned Burning Inventories

Sources of uncertainty:• The NEI is estimated on an annual average

basis.• Prescribed burning activities fluctuate

dramatically from year to year.• Burning activities depend on:

– Local agencies’ policies– Individuals’ or businesses’ (largely) unregulated

decisions– Climate conditions– Assessments of the density of undergrowth and fuel

Page 9: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

9STI

Current Status of the Inventories

Prescribed32%

Cropland18%

Rangeland50%

2002 Emissions by Pollutant2002 Emissions by Pollutant

PMPM2.52.5 Emissions by Emissions by Source CategorySource Category

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

PM2.5 VOC NOx NH3 SO2

Pollutant

Emis

sion

s (1

000

tons

/yea

r)

Total = 317,000 tons/yearTotal = 317,000 tons/year

Page 10: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

10STI

Current Status of the Inventories

2002 PM2002 PM2.52.5 Emissions by State and Source CategoryEmissions by State and Source Category

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX

Emis

sion

s (1

000

tons

/yea

r)

Prescribed Cropland Rangeland

Page 11: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

11STI

Current Status of the Inventories

PMPM2.52.5 Emission Emission Densities for the Densities for the CENRAP RegionCENRAP Region

April 10, 2002April 10, 2002

Page 12: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

12STI

Current Status of the Inventories

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Month

Perc

enta

ge o

f Pla

nned

Bur

ning

Monthly Variations in Planned Burning Emissions for 2002Monthly Variations in Planned Burning Emissions for 2002

Page 13: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

13STI

Development of the Inventories

Basic EquationBasic Equation

Emissions (lb) = Emissions (lb) =

Burn area (acres) * Fuel loading (ton/acre) * Emission factor (lBurn area (acres) * Fuel loading (ton/acre) * Emission factor (lb/ton)b/ton)

Page 14: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

14STI

Development of the InventoryPrescribed Burning Activity Data

Federal/Tribal Lands:• The National Fire Plan Operations and Reporting

System (NFPORS)*• The National Interagency Fire Management

Integrated Database (NIFMID)• Data from state smoke management programs

*Minnesota and Missouri only

Page 15: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

15STI

Development of the InventoryPrescribed Burning Activity Data

State/Private Lands:• State smoke management programs• Fire marshals• State forest services• Other state agencies (Bureau of Wildlife, etc.)

Page 16: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

16STI

Development of the InventoryPrescribed Burning Activity Data

2002 Acres Burned by State (Total ~ 1 million acres)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX

State

1000

Acr

es

Page 17: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

17STI

Development of the InventoryPrescribed Burning Emission Factors

First Order Fire Effects Model (FOFEM):• Cross-walk developed with EPA’s Biogenic Emissions

Landcover Database (BELD)• Default fuel loadings used*• Fuel moisture values set using day-specific Weather

Information Management System (WIMS) data• Produces vegetation-specific emission factors in lbs/acre

burned

*Fuel loadings provided by the USFS were used for some burns in MN.

Page 18: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

18STI

Development of the InventoryPrescribed Burning Results

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX

State

Emis

sion

s (1

000

tons

/yea

r)

2002 PM2.5 Emissions by State (Total ~ 100,000 tons)

Page 19: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

19STI

Development of the InventoryPrescribed Burning Results

Monthly Variations in Emissions by State

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Perc

enta

ge o

f Pre

scrib

ed B

urni

ng

MN Other States

Page 20: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

20STI

Development of the InventoryAgricultural Burning Activity Data

Acres harvested by county and crop type:• 2002 National Agricultural Statistical Service data

Fraction of harvested acres burned per year:• Telephone surveys of Agricultural Extension

Service (AES) personnel• 549 completed surveys out of 969 county AES

offices contacted (56%)

Page 21: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

21STI

Development of the InventoryAgricultural Burning Activity Data

2002 Acres Burned by State and Crop

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX

State

Are

a B

urne

d (m

illio

n ac

res)

OtherRiceSoybeansCornSugarcaneHay/AlfalfaWheatRangeland

Region Total:

13 million acres

Page 22: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

22STI

Development of the InventoryAgricultural Burning Emission Factors

Fuel loadings and emission factors vary by crop type. Data sources:• UC-Davis study* (emission factors for barley, wheat,

rice, corn)• AP-42 (emission factors for other crops; all fuel

loadings)

*Source: Jenkins et al. (1996) California Air Resources Board Project No. A932-126, April.

Page 23: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

23STI

Development of the InventoryAgricultural Burning Results

2002 PM2.5 Emissions by State and Crop

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX

State

PM2.

5 (1

000

tons

/yea

r)

OtherRiceSoybeansCornSugarcaneHay/AlfalfaWheatRangeland

Region Total ~

215,000 tons

Page 24: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

24STI

Development of the InventoryAgricultural Burning Results

Monthly Variations in Emissions by State

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Month

Perc

enta

ge o

f Agr

icul

tura

l Bur

ning

ARIAKSLAMNMONEOKTX

Page 25: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

25STI

Pilot Ambient Data Analysis

BackgroundBackgroundSTI used STI used ambient speciated PMambient speciated PM2.52.5 data from data from two IMPROVE stations in Arkansas to assess two IMPROVE stations in Arkansas to assess planned burning contributions to visibility planned burning contributions to visibility events in Class I areasevents in Class I areas..

Page 26: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

26STI

Pilot Ambient Data Analysis

Preliminary Findings• Smoke constituents were not a significant

fraction of the PM2.5 mass and light extinction (ammonium sulfate is the dominant constituent).

• On some days, influences from known prescribed burns were seen, though they were generally less than 10% of the PM2.5 mass and light extinction.

Page 27: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

27STI

Recommendations for Further Research

Activity Data:• Acquire NFPORS data to verify that USFS

burns are accounted for (especially in KS and NE).

• Acquire National Fire Initiative (NFI) data to account for burns by private organizations.

• Investigate local regulations that restrict open/agricultural burning and their enforcement.

Page 28: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

28STI

Recommendations for Further ResearchFuel loadings and emission factors:• Improve FOFEM’s default fuel loadings

where possible (as was done for selected fires in MN).

Ambient Data Analysis:• Analyze data from additional IMPROVE

sites, such as those in KS and MN.• Use source apportionment tools to better

quantify the influence of burning.

Page 29: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

29STI

Recommendations for Further Research

Other:• Alternative and newly emerging data

sources such as satellite data should be explored to help characterize fire locations and day-specific activity levels

Page 30: Development of Emission Inventories of Planned Burning … · 2015. 9. 10. · AR IA KS LA MN MO NE OK TX PM2.5 (1000 tons/year) Prescribed Agricultural Planned Burning Emissions

30STI

GlossaryBELD = EPA’s Biogenic Emissions Landcover DatabaseBIA = Bureau of Indian AffairsCENRAP = Central Regional Air Planning AssociationDFW = Department of Fish and Wildlife RPO = Regional Planning OrganizationDOI = Department of the InteriorDNR = Department of Natural ResourcesFOFEM = First Order Fire Effects ModelIMPROVE = Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual EnvironmentsNEI = National Emissions InventoryNFI = National Fire InitiativeNFPORS = National Fire Plan Operations and Reporting SystemNIFMID = National Interagency Fire Management Integrated DatabaseSTI = Sonoma Technology, Inc. TNC = The Nature ConservancyUSFS = United States Forest ServiceWIMS = Weather Information Management System