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development through partnership ci d b The Construction Industry Development Board The ci d b Quarterly Monitor: January 2009 THE ECONOMICS OF CONSTRUCTION IN SOUTH AFRICA

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Page 1: development through partnership January 2009 Monitor - January... · development through partnership cidb The Construction Industry Development Board The cidb Quarterly Monitor: January

development through partnershipcidb

T h e C o n s t r u c t i o n I n d u s t r y D e v e l o p m e n t B o a r d

The c idb Quar ter l y Moni tor :

January 2009

THE ECONOMICS

OF CONSTRUCTION

IN SOUTH AFRICA

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Acknowledgements: The support of Industry Insight in providing details of contracts awarded is gratefully acknowledged.

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CIDB QUARTERLY MONITOR ; JANUARY 2009

1. Introduction The cidb Quarterly Monitor provides an overview of the state of contractor development in South Africa as input to developing targeted development intervention strategies in support of the National Contractor Development Programme (NCDP). This Quarterly Monitor covering the 1st to 4th quarters of 2008 focuses on public sector supply and demand at a provincial level, and deals only with the General Building (GB) and Civil Engineering (CE) cidb Class of Works. The cidb Quarterly Monitor also includes an overview of contracts awarded on maintenance, refurbishment, renovations, etc., which provides an indication of public spending in line with the National Infrastructure Maintenance Strategy (NIMS) and the cidb Quarterly Monitor has included the cidb BER/Business Confidence Survey for Grade 4 to Grade 8 General Building and Civil Engineering contractors for all the provinces includes perceptions of the confidence in business conditions and insufficient demand for work obtained from the recently introduced cidb SME Business Condition Survey. The cidb Quarterly Monitor must only be seen as a guide to assist in developing targeted intervention strategies. Specifically, the cidb Quarterly Monitor should be seen as a tool for interrogating existing intervention strategies.

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2. Background and Assumptions The background and assumptions used in developing and in interpreting the cidb Quarterly Monitor are highlighted below:

i) Contracts Awarded: Details of contracts awarded is obtained from the cidb iTender Register

of Projects supported by the Industry Insight Project Database. The Industry Insight Project Database is considered to be about 60% or more accurate (and is constantly being improved). This data has then been scaled up to reflect total construction spend as reflected from Reserve Bank data. (The support of Industry Insight in providing this information is gratefully acknowledged.)

ii) Public vs. Private Sector Demand: The cidb Quarterly Monitor only presents information on public sector contracts for General Building (GB) and Civil Engineering (CE) cidb Class of Works. Most contractors would however target both public and private sector opportunities. Currently, public sector spend accounts for about 25% of total General Building activity and about 80% of Civil Engineering activity, although lower grade contractors, and in particular emerging contractors, would be more dependent of public sector contracts.

iii) Sub-contracting: Much of the work of contractors in Grades 2 to 6 is through obtained sub-contracting to higher level contractors, and not as main contractors. Typically, around 50% of work is sub-contracted to lower Grade or to speciality contractors.

The impact of sub-contracting is illustrated in the adjacent table and following figures, using an assumed distribution of work between the grades. Typically, direct public sector contracts to contractors in Grades 2 to 6 accounts for about 10% of total turnover in General Building and about 20% in Civil Engineering.

Building Civil

0 10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

Public; Main contractorPrivate; Main contractorPublic & private; Sub-contractor

0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

Public; Main contractorPrivate; Main contractorPublic & private; Sub-contractor

iv) Supply: Contractor information is obtained from the cidb Register of Contractors, and

considers only:

• contractors registered in Grades 2 to 8; and • General Building (GB) and Civil Engineering (CE) Class of Works. The data is then aggregated into the following categories:

Public25%

Private75%

Sub-contracting50%

Building

Public80%

Private20%

Sub-contracting50%

Civil

Class of Works Public Sector

Main Contracts as % of Total

General Building (GB) 10% Civil Engineering (CE) 20%

Class of Works % Public Sector

Spend General Building (GB) 25% Civil Engineering (CE) 80%

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• Grades 2 to 4; typically established and developing

contractors that operate at a local level; • Grades 5 and 6; typically contractors in transition

from operating at a local to a regional / provincial level; and

• Grades 7 and 8; typically contractors that operate a regional / provincial level.

Grade 9 contractors are excluded from the analysis as these typically operate at a national / international level.

v) Business Conditions: The cidb Quarterly Monitor includes perceptions of the confidence in business conditions and insufficient demand for work obtained from the recently introduced cidb SME Business Condition Survey. The cidb SME Business Condition Survey is undertaken by the Bureau for Economic Research (BER) for the cidb, and measures business conditions at a provincial level and in various contractor grades. The full results of the survey are available on the cidb web.

The Confidence Index represents the percentage of respondents rating the business conditions as satisfactory, while the index for demand for work is obtained by formula (0,67 * seriously + 0,33 * slightly) scaled up to 100 to give a % index.

vi) Contractor Development: This cidb Quarterly Monitor includes information on new

upgrades per contractor grade and new registrations during the preceding 12 months. The method of evaluating upgrades in the cidb Quarterly Monitor has been changed from previous editions of the cidb Quarterly Monitor. Previously, only upgrades were considered for “compliant” applications (i.e. where the full financial and track record information has been provided), and new business enterprises (i.e. who do not have a previous track record at time of registration) were also excludes. The present method excludes non-compliant applications, but includes new entrants.

Grade Characteristics 7 & 8 provincial / regional 5 & 6 local / regional 2 to 4 local

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3. South Africa Demand: The value and distribution of public sector contracts awarded in South Africa in Grades 2 to 8 is shown in the adjacent table and figures. The distribution in the public sector contracts awarded between the grades clearly reflects the infrastructure requirements of South Africa, but it is noticeable that from the available data for the four quarters under review that: • in General Building, the distribution of public sector contracts awarded in the Free State is

skewed towards Grades 7 and 8 as compared to other provinces; • in Civil Engineering, the distribution of public sector contracts awarded in Gauteng and the

Northern Cape is skewed towards Grades 7 and 8 as compared to other provinces.

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GradeValue pa (Rm;

Corrected) % Distribution

7 & 8 14 406 66%5 & 6 4 804 22%2 to 4 2 594 12%Total 21 804 100%

7 & 8 39 170 59%5 & 6 11 148 34%2 to 4 4 121 6%Total 54 438 100%

Civil

Building

Demand; Public Sector Awards (Corrected)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

Civil

Civil

Civil

Grades 7 & 8Building

Grades 5 & 6Building

Grades 2 to 4Building

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

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Maintenance: The value and distribution of public sector maintenance contracts (including refurbishment, renovations, etc.) awarded in South Africa in Grades 2 to 8 is shown in the adjacent table and figures. Overall, about 27% of public sector building contracts and around 25% of civil contracts are for maintenance – which is somewhat encouraging given the state of infrastructure in South Africa. However, the breakdown of maintenance contracts across the provinces is variable, with Free State, Limpopo, and Mpumalanga allocating much lower proportions to maintenance – in particular within Grades 2 to 6 in General Building.

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Grade Value pa (Rm; Corrected)

% of Total in Grade

7 & 8 3 249 15%5 & 6 1 561 7%2 to 4 1 137 5%Total 5 947 27%

7 & 8 11 110 20%5 & 6 1 933 4%2 to 4 646 1%Total 13 688 25%

Maintenance; Public Sector Awards (%)

Building

Civil

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4Building

Civil

Civil

Civil

CivilGrades 2 to 4

Building

Grades 5 & 6Building

Grades 7 & 8Building

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

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Supply; Black Ownership: For South Africa as a whole (and in fact for every province in South Africa other than the Northern Cape), more than 80% of cidb registered Grade 2 to 4 building and civil contractors are black owned (defined as more than 50% ownership control). Furthermore, more than 60% of all Grade 5 and 6 building and civil contractors are black owned, while around 60% of all Grade 7 and 8 building contractors are black owned. While the high proportion of black owned contractors is encouraging, the sustainability and growth of contractors should be the end goal – which is examined later in this cidb Quarterly Monitor.

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Grade Number of Contractors

Number Black Contractors

% Black Owned

7 & 8 242 167 40% to 80%5 & 6 779 655 >80%2 to 4 4 261 4 001 >80%Total 5 282 4 823 >80%

7 & 8 302 137 40% to 80%5 & 6 982 741 40% to 80%2 to 4 3 033 2 751 >80%Total 4 317 3 629 >80%

Building

Civil

Supply; Black Ownership

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

Civil

Civil

Civil

Grade 7 & 8Building

Grade 2 to 4Building

Grade 4 & 5Building

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

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Supply; Women Ownership: On average, around 40% of all Grade 2 to 4 contractors are women owned – with the highest ownership in Limpopo (which probably reflects tender preferencing in this province), followed by Mpumalanga. However, women ownership varies significantly from province to province, and across the Grades. From Grades 5 and 6 and above, women ownership is typically less than 30% in the civil sector, when in the building sector it is around 30 to 50%.

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Grade Number of Contractors

Number of Women

Contractors

% Women Owned

7 & 8 242 64 <30%5 & 6 779 336 30% to 50%2 to 4 4 261 2 122 30% to 50%Total 5 282 2 522 30% to 50%

7 & 8 302 47 <30%5 & 6 982 293 <30%2 to 4 3 033 570 <30%Total 4 317 910 <30%

Supply; Women Ownership

Building

Civil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

Civil

Civil

Civil

BuildingGrades 7 & 8

Grades 5 & 6Building

Grades 2 to 4Building

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

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Business Conditions: The cidb SME Business Confidence Index for the country as a whole and covering public and private sector work is given in the adjacent figures, together with the index of contractors indicating insufficient demand for work being a constraint. The Business Confidence Index represents the percentage of respondents rating the business conditions as satisfactory, while the index for demand for work is obtained by formula (0,67 * seriously + 0,33 * slightly) scaled up to 100 to give a % index. It can be seen that, overall, business confidence in the building sector has continued to drop over the last quarter – suggesting increasing competitiveness between contractors. (Note however that the public sector is not a major player in the residential sector.) Specifically, business confidence of Grades 4 and 7 building contractors has increase in the 4th quarter of 2008, while business confidence of Grades 5 and 6 building contractors has decreased. In the civil sector, busienss confidence has decreased across all grades. Overall, insufficient demand for work has increased in both the building and civil contractors over the past quarter.

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Civil

Civil

Business ConfidenceBuilding

Insufficient Demand for WorkBuilding

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6Grade 7 Overall

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6Grade 7 Overall

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6Grade 7 Overall

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6Grade 7 Overall

0

20

40

60

80

100

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC0

20

40

60

80

100

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0

20

40

60

80

100

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC0

20

40

60

80

100

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

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Contractor Development: Details of the upgrading of contractors in the building and civil sectors within the past four quarters is shown in the adjacent figure. On average, around 6% of Grade 2 to 4 contractors are upgrading per year, around 7% within Grades 5 and 6, and around 3% in Grades 7 and 8.

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Grade (from)Number of Upgrades %

7 & 8 7 3% <5%5 & 6 66 8% 5% to 10%2 to 4 238 6% 5% to 10%Total 311

7 & 8 8 3% <5%5 & 6 63 6% 5% to 10%2 to 4 206 7% 5% to 10%Total 277

Contractor Upgrades %

Building

Civil

0% 5% 10% 15%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

Civil

Civil

CivilGrades 2 to 4

Building

Grades 5 & 6Building

Grades 7 & 8Building

0%

5%

10%

15%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

5%

10%

15%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

5%

10%

15%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

0%

5%

10%

15%

EC FS GT KZN LP MP NW NC WC

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Contractor Development (continued): An analysis of upgrades is given in the adjacent table, from which it can be seen that, say, five General Building contractors have upgrade from within Grades 2 to 4 to within Grades 7 and 8 within the last four quarters! An analysis of these upgrades is given below:

From Grade To Grade Reason for Upgrade

3 7 Increase in reportable track record (largest contract value undertaken) and in employable capital

4 7 Increase in reportable track record 4 7 Increase in reportable track record 4 7 Increase in reportable employable capital 4 7 Increase in reportable employable capital / NAV

In all but one of the above cases, the growth in contractor upgrading has taken place over a period of about two years. Also included in the adjacent table is a comparison between the number of upgrades and the number of new registrations over the past four quarters. On interest is that the number of new entrants within Grades 2 to 4 over the past few quarters far exceeds the number of upgrades – suggesting an unsustainable situation. The number of new registrations per quarter in Grades 2 to 4 is shown in the adjacent figure, which shows a constant flow of around 150 to 250 new registrations per quarter in the building and civil sectors.

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From/To 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8 9

7 & 8 5 25 & 6 30 36 02 to 4 158 75 5 0

7 & 8 6 25 & 6 33 28 22 to 4 122 81 3 0

Civil

Building

Contractor Upgrades

2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

Upgrades (to) 158 105 46New Reg. 646 96 19

Upgrades (to) 122 114 37New Reg. 860 117 19

Upgrades & New Registrations

Building

Civil

Quarter 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

200802 143 21 5200803 150 22 6200804 198 32 6200801 155 21 2

200802 197 31 7200803 214 31 2200804 242 25 4200801 207 30 6

Building

Civil

Number New Registrations200805

050

100150200250300

200801 200802 200803 200804

Building; 2 to 4Civil; 2 to 4

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4. Eastern Cape

GradeValue pa (Rm;

Corrected) % DistributionDistribution

15% +/- Average

7 & 8 1 445 51% <5 & 6 1 004 36% >2 to 4 372 13% =Total 2 820 100%

7 & 8 8 416 76% =5 & 6 1 807 16% <2 to 4 907 8% =Total 11 130 100%

Grade Value pa (Rm; Corrected)

% of Total in Grade

Distribution 15% +/-

Average

7 & 8 411 15% =5 & 6 452 16% >2 to 4 177 6% >Total 1 040 37% >

7 & 8 3 452 31% >5 & 6 126 1% <2 to 4 108 1% <Total 3 685 33% >

Grade Number of Contractors

Number Black Contractors

% Black Owned

7 & 8 21 12 40% to 80%5 & 6 63 40 40% to 80%2 to 4 414 372 >80%Total 498 424 >80%

7 & 8 24 9 <40%5 & 6 103 73 40% to 80%2 to 4 345 307 >80%Total 472 389 >80%

Grade Number of Contractors

Number of Women

Contractors

% Women Owned

7 & 8 21 0 <30%5 & 6 63 11 <30%2 to 4 414 145 30% to 50%Total 498 156 30% to 50%

7 & 8 24 1 <30%5 & 6 103 23 <30%2 to 4 345 127 30% to 50%Total 472 151 30% to 50%

Supply; Black Ownership

Supply; Women Ownership

Building

Civil

Civil

Maintenance; Public Sector Awards (%)

Building

Civil

Demand; Public Sector Awards (Corrected)

Building

Civil

Building

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

Building

Civil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

Building

Civil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

Building

Civil

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

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Civil

Grade (from)Number of Upgrades %

7 & 8 3 14% >10%5 & 6 8 13% >10%2 to 4 19 5% <5%Total 30

7 & 8 0 0% <5%5 & 6 7 7% 5% to 10%2 to 4 33 10% 5% to 10%Total 40

Building

Contractor Upgrades %

Building

Civil

Insufficient Demand for Work per Grade / Business Confidence Index (BCI)

5002000500

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

100

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

From/To 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8 9

7 & 8 3 05 & 6 2 6 02 to 4 12 7 0 0

7 & 8 0 05 & 6 2 4 12 to 4 21 12 0 0

Contractor Upgrades

Building

Civil

2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

Upgrades (to) 12 9 9New Reg. 84 9 3

Upgrades (to) 21 14 4New Reg. 105 8 0

Building

Civil

Upgrades & New Registrations

Quarter 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

200801 17 2 0200802 18 3 2200803 28 1 1200804 21 3 0

200801 28 2 0200802 24 1 0200803 31 4 0200804 22 1 0

Civil

Number New Registrations

Building

0

10

20

30

40

200801 200802 200803 200804

Building; 2 to 4

Civil; 2 to 4

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5. Free State

GradeValue pa (Rm;

Corrected) % DistributionDistribution

15% +/- Average

7 & 8 1 496 89% >5 & 6 134 8% <2 to 4 52 3% <Total 1 682 100%

7 & 8 1 063 59% <5 & 6 613 34% >2 to 4 116 6% =Total 1 792 100%

Grade Value pa (Rm; Corrected)

% of Total in Grade

Distribution 15% +/-

Average

7 & 8 265 16% =5 & 6 67 4% <2 to 4 30 2% <Total 362 21% <

7 & 8 538 16% >5 & 6 30 4% <2 to 4 10 2% <Total 578 21% >

Grade Number of Contractors

Number Black Contractors

% Black Owned

7 & 8 20 14 40% to 80%5 & 6 41 32 40% to 80%2 to 4 257 242 >80%Total 318 288 >80%

7 & 8 29 14 40% to 80%5 & 6 52 32 >80%2 to 4 151 242 >80%Total 232 288 >80%

Grade Number of Contractors

Number of Women

Contractors

% Women Owned

7 & 8 20 6 30% to 50%5 & 6 41 12 <30%2 to 4 257 122 30% to 50%Total 318 140 30% to 50%

7 & 8 29 8 <30%5 & 6 52 13 <30%2 to 4 151 53 30% to 50%Total 232 74 30% to 50%

Supply; Women Ownership

Building

Civil

Building

Civil

Building

Civil

Demand; Public Sector Awards (Corrected)

Supply; Black Ownership

Building

Civil

Maintenance; Public Sector Awards (%)

5002000500

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

Building

Civil

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

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Civil

Grade (from)Number of Upgrades %

7 & 8 0 0% <5%5 & 6 5 12% >10%2 to 4 15 6% 5% to 10%Total 20

7 & 8 0 0% <5%5 & 6 8 15% >10%2 to 4 15 10% 5% to 10%Total 23

Building

Civil

Contractor Upgrades %

Insufficient Demand for Work per Grade / Business Confidence Index (BCI)Building

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

From/To 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8 9

7 & 8 1 15 & 6 6 8 02 to 4 23 12 2 0

7 & 8 2 05 & 6 6 12 02 to 4 15 17 2 0

Civil

Building

Contractor Upgrades

2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

Upgrades (to) 23 18 11New Reg. 27 6 0

Upgrades (to) 15 23 16New Reg. 49 2 0

Building

Civil

Upgrades & New Registrations

Quarter 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

200801 7 1 0200802 9 0 0200803 6 3 0200804 5 2 0

200801 16 1 0200802 12 0 0200803 16 1 0200804 5 0 0

Building

Civil

Number New Registrations

0

10

20

200801 200802 200803 200804

Building; 2 to 4Civil; 2 to 4

Insufficient Data

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6. Gauteng

GradeValue pa (Rm;

Corrected) % DistributionDistribution

15% +/- Average

7 & 8 1 836 68% =5 & 6 686 25% >2 to 4 179 7% <Total 2 700 100%

7 & 8 12 306 85% >5 & 6 1 740 12% <2 to 4 386 3% <Total 14 432 100%

Grade Value pa (Rm; Corrected)

% of Total in Grade

Distribution 15% +/-

Average

7 & 8 246 9% <5 & 6 347 13% >2 to 4 129 5% =Total 722 27% =

7 & 8 2 479 17% <5 & 6 353 2% <2 to 4 94 1% <Total 2 926 20% <

Grade Number of Contractors

Number Black Contractors

% Black Owned

7 & 8 78 53 40% to 80%5 & 6 196 163 >80%2 to 4 855 763 >80%Total 1 129 979 >80%

7 & 8 122 60 40% to 80%5 & 6 257 183 40% to 80%2 to 4 599 513 >80%Total 978 756 40% to 80%

Grade Number of Contractors

Number of Women

Contractors

% Women Owned

7 & 8 78 22 <30%5 & 6 196 75 30% to 50%2 to 4 855 408 30% to 50%Total 1 129 505 30% to 50%

7 & 8 122 19 <30%5 & 6 257 68 <30%2 to 4 599 270 30% to 50%Total 978 357 30% to 50%

Building

Civil

Civil

Maintenance; Public Sector Awards (%)

Supply; Women Ownership

Civil

Supply; Black Ownership

Building

Building

Building

Civil

Demand; Public Sector Awards (Corrected)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

Building

Civil

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

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23

Civil

Grade (from)Number of Upgrades %

7 & 8 2 3% <5%5 & 6 14 7% 5% to 10%2 to 4 37 4% <5%Total 53

7 & 8 2 2% <5%5 & 6 18 7% 5% to 10%2 to 4 34 6% 5% to 10%Total 54

Insufficient Demand for Work per Grade / Business Confidence Index (BCI)Building

Civil

Contractor Upgrades %

Building

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

From/To 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8 9

7 & 8 1 15 & 6 6 8 02 to 4 23 12 2 0

7 & 8 2 05 & 6 6 12 02 to 4 15 17 2 0

Contractor Upgrades

Civil

Building

2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

Upgrades (to) 23 18 11New Reg. 166 36 6

Upgrades (to) 15 23 16New Reg. 197 42 13

Upgrades & New Registrations

Building

Civil

5002000500

Quarter 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

200801 30 8 1200802 37 9 1200803 62 13 3200804 37 6 1

200801 51 13 4200802 42 11 2200803 55 8 3200804 49 10 4

Building

Civil

Number New Registrations

010203040506070

200801 200802 200803 200804

Building; 2 to 4Civil; 2 to 4

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24

7. KwaZulu Natal

GradeValue pa (Rm;

Corrected) % DistributionDistribution

15% +/- Average

7 & 8 2 873 60% =5 & 6 1 116 23% =2 to 4 806 17% >Total 4 795 100%

7 & 8 3 264 61% <5 & 6 1 602 30% >2 to 4 525 10% >Total 5 392 100%

Grade Value pa (Rm; Corrected)

% of Total in Grade

Distribution 15% +/-

Average

7 & 8 441 9% <5 & 6 382 8% =2 to 4 17 0% <Total 840 18% =

7 & 8 77 1% <5 & 6 48 1% <2 to 4 31 1% <Total 156 3% <

Grade Number of Contractors

Number Black Contractors

% Black Owned

7 & 8 43 28 40% to 80%5 & 6 158 132 >80%2 to 4 1 019 989 >80%Total 1 220 1 149 >80%

7 & 8 41 13 <40%5 & 6 154 114 40% to 80%2 to 4 899 852 >80%Total 1 094 979 >80%

Grade Number of Contractors

Number of Women

Contractors

% Women Owned

7 & 8 43 9 <30%5 & 6 158 68 30% to 50%2 to 4 1 019 454 30% to 50%Total 1 220 531 30% to 50%

7 & 8 41 7 <30%5 & 6 154 41 <30%2 to 4 899 379 30% to 50%Total 1 094 427 30% to 50%

Supply; Black Ownership

Maintenance; Public Sector Awards (%)

Building

Civil

Demand; Public Sector Awards (Corrected)

Building

Civil

Supply; Women Ownership

Civil

Civil

Building

Building

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

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25

Civil

Grade (from)Number of Upgrades %

7 & 8 1 2% <5%5 & 6 11 7% 5% to 10%2 to 4 62 6% 5% to 10%Total 74

7 & 8 4 10% 5% to 10%5 & 6 8 5% 5% to 10%2 to 4 55 6% 5% to 10%Total 67

Civil

Building

Contractor Upgrades %

Insufficient Demand for Work per Grade / Business Confidence Index (BCI)Building

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

From/To 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8 9

7 & 8 1 05 & 6 5 6 02 to 4 45 16 1 0

7 & 8 3 15 & 6 5 2 12 to 4 40 15 0 0

Contractor Upgrades

Building

Civil

2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

Upgrades (to) 45 21 8New Reg. 140 13 1

Upgrades (to) 40 20 5New Reg. 187 11 1

Building

Civil

Upgrades & New Registrations

Quarter 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

200801 37 3 1200802 29 4 0200803 39 1 0200804 35 5 0

200801 39 2 1200802 53 6 0200803 56 1 0200804 39 2 0

Number New Registrations

Building

Civil

0102030405060

200801 200802 200803 200804

Building; 2 to 4

Civil; 2 to 4

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26

8. Limpopo

GradeValue pa (Rm;

Corrected) % DistributionDistribution

15% +/- Average

7 & 8 1 615 64% =5 & 6 387 15% <2 to 4 519 21% >Total 2 521 100%

7 & 8 3 042 66% =5 & 6 1 332 29% >2 to 4 247 5% <Total 4 620 100%

Grade Value pa (Rm; Corrected)

% of Total in Grade

Distribution 15% +/-

Average

7 & 8 198 8% <5 & 6 34 1% <2 to 4 58 2% <Total 290 12% <

7 & 8 436 9% <5 & 6 504 11% >2 to 4 22 0% <Total 962 21% <

Grade Number of Contractors

Number Black Contractors

% Black Owned

7 & 8 19 19 >80%5 & 6 134 127 >80%2 to 4 581 575 >80%Total 734 721 >80%

7 & 8 18 12 40% to 80%5 & 6 161 149 >80%2 to 4 346 327 >80%Total 525 488 >80%

Grade Number of Contractors

Number of Women

Contractors

% Women Owned

7 & 8 19 11 >50%5 & 6 134 88 >50%2 to 4 581 418 >50%Total 734 517 >50%

7 & 8 18 5 <30%5 & 6 161 80 30% to 50%2 to 4 346 200 >50%Total 525 285 >50%

Civil

Supply; Black Ownership

Building

Maintenance; Public Sector Awards (%)

Building

Civil

Supply; Women Ownership

Building

Civil

Demand; Public Sector Awards (Corrected)

Building

Civil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

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27

Civil

Grade (from)Number of Upgrades %

7 & 8 0 0% <5%5 & 6 10 7% 5% to 10%2 to 4 35 6% 5% to 10%Total 45

7 & 8 0 0% <5%5 & 6 9 6% 5% to 10%2 to 4 20 6% 5% to 10%Total 29

Building

Contractor Upgrades %

Building

Civil

Insufficient Demand for Work per Grade / Business Confidence Index (BCI)

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

From/To 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8 9

7 & 8 0 05 & 6 7 3 02 to 4 21 14 0 0

7 & 8 0 05 & 6 7 2 02 to 4 7 13 0 0

Civil

Contractor Upgrades

Building

2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

Upgrades (to) 21 21 3New Reg. 58 9 0

Upgrades (to) 7 20 2New Reg. 115 14 1

Upgrades & New Registrations

Building

Civil

Quarter 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

200801 13 1 0200802 14 1 0200803 17 4 0200804 14 3 0

200801 19 4 0200802 39 3 0200803 39 2 0200804 18 5 1

Building

Civil

Number New Registrations

0

10

20

30

40

50

200801 200802 200803 200804

Building; 2 to 4

Civil; 2 to 4

Insufficient Data Insufficient Data

Page 30: development through partnership January 2009 Monitor - January... · development through partnership cidb The Construction Industry Development Board The cidb Quarterly Monitor: January

28

9. Mpumalanga

GradeValue pa (Rm;

Corrected) % DistributionDistribution

15% +/- Average

7 & 8 2 058 74% =5 & 6 642 23% =2 to 4 88 3% <Total 2 788 100%

7 & 8 2 182 54% <5 & 6 1 139 28% >2 to 4 702 17% >Total 4 023 100%

Grade Value pa (Rm; Corrected)

% of Total in Grade

Distribution 15% +/-

Average

7 & 8 564 20% >5 & 6 53 2% <2 to 4 14 1% <Total 631 23% <

7 & 8 1 210 30% >5 & 6 66 2% <2 to 4 128 3% >Total 1 404 35% >

Grade Number of Contractors

Number Black Contractors

% Black Owned

7 & 8 18 17 >80%5 & 6 72 69 >80%2 to 4 453 443 >80%Total 543 529 >80%

7 & 8 13 10 40% to 80%5 & 6 102 89 >80%2 to 4 313 305 >80%Total 428 404 >80%

Grade Number of Contractors

Number of Women

Contractors

% Women Owned

7 & 8 18 9 30% to 50%5 & 6 72 42 >50%2 to 4 453 273 >50%Total 543 324 >50%

7 & 8 13 4 30% to 50%5 & 6 102 39 30% to 50%2 to 4 313 179 >50%Total 428 222 >50%

Demand; Public Sector Awards (Corrected)

Building

Civil

Building

Civil

Building

Civil

Supply; Black Ownership

Building

Civil

Maintenance; Public Sector Awards (%)

Supply; Women Ownership

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

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29

Civil

Grade (from)Number of Upgrades %

7 & 8 0 0% <5%5 & 6 10 14% >10%2 to 4 25 6% 5% to 10%Total 35

7 & 8 0 0% <5%5 & 6 3 3% <5%2 to 4 22 7% 5% to 10%Total 25

Civil

Contractor Upgrades %

Building

Building

Insufficient Demand for Work per Grade / Business Confidence Index (BCI)

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

From/To 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8 9

7 & 8 0 05 & 6 5 5 02 to 4 12 12 1 0

7 & 8 0 05 & 6 2 1 02 to 4 12 10 0 0

Civil

Building

Contractor Upgrades

2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

Upgrades (to) 12 17 6New Reg. 62 9 2

Upgrades (to) 12 12 1New Reg. 72 16 2

Upgrades & New Registrations

Building

Civil

Quarter 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

200801 15 3 1200802 12 2 0200803 19 4 1200804 16 0 0

200801 22 3 0200802 14 5 0200803 17 5 1200804 19 3 1

Building

Civil

Number New Registrations

0

10

20

30

200801 200802 200803 200804

Building; 2 to 4Civil; 2 to 4

Insufficient Data Insufficient Data

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30

10. North West

GradeValue pa (Rm;

Corrected) % DistributionDistribution

15% +/- Average

7 & 8 378 69% =5 & 6 137 18% =2 to 4 70 14% =Total 586 100%

7 & 8 1 277 67% =5 & 6 511 27% >2 to 4 119 6% <Total 1 907 100%

Grade Value pa (Rm; Corrected)

% of Total in Grade

Distribution 15% +/-

Average

7 & 8 207 35% >5 & 6 51 9% >2 to 4 20 3% <Total 278 47% >

7 & 8 0 0% <5 & 6 174 9% >2 to 4 11 1% <Total 186 10% <

Grade Number of Contractors

Number Black Contractors

% Black Owned

7 & 8 11 7 40% to 80%5 & 6 38 35 >80%2 to 4 239 231 >80%Total 288 273 >80%

7 & 8 7 5 40% to 80%5 & 6 50 33 40% to 80%2 to 4 120 113 >80%Total 177 151 >80%

Grade Number of Contractors

Number of Women

Contractors

% Women Owned

7 & 8 11 1 <30%5 & 6 38 14 30% to 50%2 to 4 239 107 30% to 50%Total 288 122 30% to 50%

7 & 8 7 1 <30%5 & 6 50 6 <30%2 to 4 120 55 30% to 50%Total 177 62 30% to 50%

Demand; Public Sector Awards (Corrected)

Building

Civil

Supply; Women Ownership

Building

Civil

Maintenance; Public Sector Awards (%)

Building

Civil

Supply; Black Ownership

Building

Civil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

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31

Civil

Grade (from)Number of Upgrades %

7 & 8 0 0% <5%5 & 6 3 8% 5% to 10%2 to 4 18 8% 5% to 10%Total 21

7 & 8 0 0% <5%5 & 6 2 4% <5%2 to 4 2 8% 5% to 10%Total 4

Insufficient Demand for Work per Grade / Business Confidence Index (BCI)Building

Building

Civil

Contractor Upgrades %

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

From/To 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8 9

7 & 8 0 05 & 6 2 1 02 to 4 13 4 1 0

7 & 8 0 05 & 6 1 1 02 to 4 1 1 0 0

Building

Civil

Contractor Upgrades

2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

Upgrades (to) 13 6 2New Reg. 25 6 2

Upgrades (to) 1 2 1New Reg. 48 13 0

Upgrades & New Registrations

Building

Civil

Quarter 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

200801 8 2 0200802 7 1 1200803 4 3 0200804 6 0 1

200801 6 4 0200802 11 3 0200803 18 4 0200804 13 2 0

Building

Civil

Number New Registrations

0

10

20

200801 200802 200803 200804

Building; 2 to 4Civil; 2 to 4

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32

10. Northern Cape

GradeValue pa (Rm;

Corrected) % DistributionDistribution

15% +/- Average

7 & 8 721 69% =5 & 6 185 18% <2 to 4 144 14% >Total 1 050 100%

7 & 8 2 162 86% >5 & 6 244 10% <2 to 4 113 4% <Total 2 519 100%

Grade Value pa (Rm; Corrected)

% of Total in Grade

Distribution 15% +/-

Average

7 & 8 83 8% <5 & 6 97 9% >2 to 4 48 5% =Total 228 22% <

7 & 8 1 100 44% >5 & 6 0 0% <2 to 4 4 0% <Total 1 104 44% >

Grade Number of Contractors

Number Black Contractors

% Black Owned

7 & 8 3 0 <40%5 & 6 13 10 40% to 80%2 to 4 75 64 >80%Total 91 74 >80%

7 & 8 7 0 <40%5 & 6 14 7 40% to 80%2 to 4 40 25 40% to 80%Total 61 32 40% to 80%

Grade Number of Contractors

Number of Women

Contractors

% Women Owned

7 & 8 3 1 30% to 50%5 & 6 13 2 <30%2 to 4 75 20 <30%Total 91 23 <30%

7 & 8 7 1 <30%5 & 6 14 5 30% to 50%2 to 4 40 11 <30%Total 61 17 <30%

Demand; Public Sector Awards (Corrected)

Building

Civil

Maintenance; Public Sector Awards (%)

Supply; Black Ownership

Building

Civil

Building

Civil

Supply; Women Ownership

Building

Civil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

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33

Civil

Grade (from)Number of Upgrades %

7 & 8 0 0% <5%5 & 6 1 8% 5% to 10%2 to 4 4 5% 5% to 10%Total 5

7 & 8 0 0% <5%5 & 6 2 14% >10%2 to 4 2 5% 5% to 10%Total 4

Insufficient Demand for Work per Grade / Business Confidence Index (BCI)Building

Contractor Upgrades %

Building

Civil

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

From/To 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8 9

7 & 8 0 05 & 6 1 0 02 to 4 3 1 0 0

7 & 8 0 05 & 6 1 1 02 to 4 1 1 0 0

Civil

Building

Contractor Upgrades

2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

Upgrades (to) 3 2 0New Reg. 13 1 0

Upgrades (to) 1 2 1New Reg. 39 5 0

Building

Civil

Upgrades & New Registrations

Quarter 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

200801 2 0 0200802 7 1 0200803 3 0 0200804 1 0 0

200801 3 0 0200802 5 0 0200803 3 0 0200804 28 5 0

Number New Registrations

Building

Civil

0

10

20

30

200801 200802 200803 200804

Building; 2 to 4Civil; 2 to 4

Insufficient Data Insufficient Data

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34

11. Western Cape

GradeValue pa (Rm;

Corrected) % DistributionDistribution

15% +/- Average

7 & 8 1 985 69% =5 & 6 512 18% <2 to 4 364 13% =Total 2 861 100%

7 & 8 5 458 63% =5 & 6 2 160 25% >2 to 4 1 005 12% >Total 8 622 100%

Grade Value pa (Rm; Corrected)

% of Total in Grade

Distribution 15% +/-

Average

7 & 8 833 29% >5 & 6 79 3% <2 to 4 228 8% >Total 1 140 40% >

7 & 8 1 817 21% =5 & 6 631 7% >2 to 4 238 3% >Total 2 686 31% >

Grade Number of Contractors

Number Black Contractors

% Black Owned

7 & 8 29 17 40% to 80%5 & 6 64 47 40% to 80%2 to 4 368 322 >80%Total 461 386 >80%

7 & 8 41 15 <40%5 & 6 89 49 40% to 80%2 to 4 220 172 40% to 80%Total 350 236 40% to 80%

Grade Number of Contractors

Number of Women

Contractors

% Women Owned

7 & 8 29 5 <30%5 & 6 64 24 30% to 50%2 to 4 368 175 30% to 50%Total 461 204 30% to 50%

7 & 8 41 1 <30%5 & 6 89 18 <30%2 to 4 220 79 30% to 50%Total 350 98 <30%

Civil

Supply; Women Ownership

Supply; Black Ownership

Building

Civil

Demand; Public Sector Awards (Corrected)

Building

Civil

Building

Maintenance; Public Sector Awards (%)

Building

Civil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4Building

Civil

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Civil

Grade (from)Number of Upgrades %

7 & 8 1 3% <5%5 & 6 4 6% 5% to 10%2 to 4 23 6% 5% to 10%Total 28

7 & 8 2 5% <5%5 & 6 6 7% 5% to 10%2 to 4 15 7% 5% to 10%Total 23

Insufficient Demand for Work per Grade / Business Confidence Index (BCI)Building

Contractor Upgrades %

Building

Civil

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

7 & 8

5 & 6

2 to 4

BuildingCivil

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

0

20

40

60

80

100

08Q01 08Q02 08Q03 08Q04

Series2 Series3

From/To 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8 9

7 & 8 0 15 & 6 0 4 02 to 4 20 3 0 0

7 & 8 1 15 & 6 5 1 02 to 4 10 5 0 0

Civil

Contractor Upgrades

Building

2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

Upgrades (to) 20 3 4New Reg. 71 7 5

Upgrades (to) 10 10 2New Reg. 48 6 2

Upgrades & New Registrations

Building

Civil

Quarter 2 to 4 5 & 6 7 & 8

200801 14 1 2200802 17 1 2200803 20 3 1200804 20 2 0

200801 13 2 2200802 14 2 0200803 7 0 0200804 14 2 0

Number New Registrations

Building

Civil

0

10

20

30

200801 200802 200803 200804

Building; 2 to 4Civil; 2 to 4

Page 38: development through partnership January 2009 Monitor - January... · development through partnership cidb The Construction Industry Development Board The cidb Quarterly Monitor: January

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