developments in radar refractivity retrieval

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Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval John Nicol 1 , Anthony Illingworth 1 , Kim Bartholomew 1 , Tim Darlington 2 Malcolm Kitchen 2 , Jon Eastment 3 and Owain Davies 3 1 University of Reading 2 UK Met Office 3 Chilbolton Observatory, RAL Joint 8th COPS Workshop and CSIP Meeting 2009 26th-28th October 2009, Madingley Hall, Cambridge, UK.

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Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval. John Nicol 1 , Anthony Illingworth 1 , Kim Bartholomew 1 , Tim Darlington 2 Malcolm Kitchen 2 , Jon Eastment 3 and Owain Davies 3 1 University of Reading 2 UK Met Office 3 Chilbolton Observatory, RAL. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

John Nicol1, Anthony Illingworth1, Kim Bartholomew1, Tim Darlington2 Malcolm Kitchen2, Jon Eastment3 and Owain Davies3

1 University of Reading2 UK Met Office

3 Chilbolton Observatory, RAL

Joint 8th COPS Workshop and CSIP Meeting 200926th-28th October 2009, Madingley Hall, Cambridge, UK.

Page 2: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

Radar Refractivity Retrieval Background

• A technique to derive maps of refractive index changes from radar data was first demonstrated using an S-band (10 cm) weather radar in Fabry et. al. (1997)

• For stationary targets (ground clutter), phase changes are typically dominated by changes in the refractive index (n) of the air near the surface

• Refractivity N=(n-1)106

• Refractivity changes (N) are proportional to the phase change gradient with respect to range

• Refractivity changes are very closely linked to changes in humidity

• Changes in the spatial distribution of near-surface water vapour are not currently well-observed by other means

• Near-surface fields of refractivity (humidity) changes may benefit QPE and Nowcasting through data assimilation in Numerical Weather Prediction models

Motivation

Page 3: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

First application of radar refractivity in the UKACROBAT – Chilbolton CSIP

L-band wavelength (23cm)

Designed for detecting weak meteorological echoes (Bragg scatter)

Coded pulse

greater sensitivity for low-power radars

range artefacts from intense returns

Radar refractivity estimates were good at times,

though often inaccurate when changes were large…

CSIP IOP 8, 13/07/2005

Sea-breeze passes Chilbolton after 15:00

RH increases 10% across sea-breeze front

Page 4: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

Digital terrain model

The Operational Weather Radar Network in the UKMagnetron transmitters prone to frequency drift (due to ambient temperature changes in the receiver cabin)

measure transmitted frequency in real-time

C-band wavelength (5 cm)

phase changes are more sensitive to target motion at shorter wavelengths

• Testing and development of radar refractivity retrieval at Cobbacombe, Devon

• Quantitative evaluation using synoptic station measurements, N(T,P,e)

x

x

Page 5: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

Application (deriving hourly refractivity changes)

2. Identify correlated range-gatesIndependent range-gates → refractivity changes Highly-correlated range-gates → transmitted frequency changes

Magnetron transmitters

(Nfreq = -fT/fT .10-6)

Klystron transmitters

(Nfreq = 0)

1. Identify stationary targets

Target motion affects the phase during the measurement process

Phase Quality Indicator (PQI) is recorded for every ray (≈ 44 pulses/deg.) at each range gate

PQI = Incoherent signal power

Total signal powerOptimum threshold ≈ -5 dB

dBZ

Page 6: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

Application cont. (deriving hourly refractivity changes)

3. Correct local oscillator frequency changes (e.g. STALO frequency changes)

Local oscillator frequency changes cause a range dependent phase change ( = 4fLOd/c)

4. Smooth phase change field

Smoothing function

Inverse-distance squared with base length = 1.5km (range) x 4 km (azimuth)

5. Calculate the phase change gradient w.r.t. range for all target pairs

local mean → refractivity change local std. dev. → error estimate

N N

Page 7: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

Comparison of hourly refractivity changes with synoptic station obs.March 2008

Nrad

Nsyn

Nrad

Nsyn

N N

rms

(N

rad-N

syn)

rms

(N

rad-N

syn)

June 2008

Correlation between Nfreq and Nrad Station 1 2 (1 & 2)

with elimination of correlated range-gates 0.00 0.03 0.01

without elimination of correlated range-gates 0.16 0.22 0.19

correlation

0.60

slope

0.63

correlation

0.51

slope

0.48

rms difference ≈ error estimate / 2

Synoptic stations show greater variability

(‘point’ measurements vs. area average [4km])

Refractivity error evaluation

Importance of eliminating correlated range-gates

March 2008 June 2008Calculate rms difference as a function of the error estimate

Page 8: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

Met Office Unified Model comparisons

Case study: Isolated convection 07/06/2008

Model refractivity

Radar rainfall

Synoptic station refractivity

Correlation with synoptic observations of refractivity.

Station 1 2

Radar 0.52 0.51

UM 4km 0.04 0.33

UM 12km 0.36 0.36

Temperature and pressure often well-captured in the model … but not humidity

Page 9: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

Initial comparisons between radar refractivity retrieval and the Met Office Unified Model output suggest that radar refractivity retrieval may improve the representation of humidity in the model (not well-captured at present)

Radar refractivity error estimates should provide useful constraints for data assimilation

Future work will aim to evaluate the benefit of assimilating radar refractivity measurements in the Unified Model regarding the initiation/suppression of convection

Summary and Future Work (1)

Page 10: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

Summary and Future Work (2)Radar refractivity retrieval is possible with magnetron radars and has highlighted the importance of eliminating correlated range-gates, which bias refractivity change estimates.

Klystron radars will be biased towards N=0 !

Inconsistent results from CSIP may well be due to this effect, in conjunction with the pulse-coding artefacts.

Data soon to be re-analysed!

Newly-developed theory suggests exact target location could be retrieved using frequency hopping from pulse-to-pulse.

Use exact spacing rather than range-gate spacing to calculate phase change gradients.

To be tested on ACROBAT (no pulse coding).

Page 11: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

Thanks for your attention!

Page 12: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

Relation between refractivity and meteorological variables

256 1073.3

6.7710)1(

T

e

T

PnN

10

20

10

T

hPaP

N

CTRH

CTRH

30%5

20%10

Total Density (dry) term Wet term

250-460 250-280 80-180

Refractivity changes are dominated by humidity changes in warm conditions

could be caused by any of the following

Page 13: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

Stockland Hill TV Mast (235m at 30km)

azimuth range

dBZ

phase

Single targets may contaminate many range gates

Page 14: Developments in Radar Refractivity Retrieval

B

j

k

tjk

jBkB fcdd

dd

4)()(

Frequency changes from dominant ‘point’ clutter targetsWhen a single target dominates the returned signal across adjacent range gates, the phase change gradient with respect to range will be proportional to the change in transmitted frequency

This requires that the reference frequency is either corrected for or remains unchanged

By averaging the estimates from such targets, changes in the transmitted frequency can be accurately determined (black)

In addition, the transmitted frequency is independently measured in real-time by sampling the transmitted pulse (red)

Comparisons between these two estimates have confirmed that the measured transmitted frequency and the recorded reference frequency are accurate to better than 1kHz