diffusion of innovations theory final

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    Diffusion of InnovationsDiffusion of InnovationsTheoryTheory

    The process of how new ideas are communicated among peoplein social system over time

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    Why not diffuse?Why not diffuse?

    y

    Dvorak keyboard More efficient, easier Why do we still use QWERTY keyboard?

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    Four key elementsFour key elements

    y 1. Innovation itselfy

    2. Information about innovationcommunicated through channelsy 3.Diffusion is a process that unfolds over

    time

    y 4.Diffusion occurs in specific social system

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    1. Innovation itself1. Innovation itself

    y Idea, practice, or process perceived as new

    newness means higher uncertainty high uncertainty shapes adoption process

    y Not always good idea Bad ideas can also be an innovation G

    ood ideas for one can bebad for another!

    y Innovations perceived characteristics key

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    Innovation CharacteristicsInnovation Characteristics

    y Relative advantage (more the better) Most important set of innovation qualities Broad category that encompasses many aspects

    y Relative complexity (less the better)y Compatibility (more the better)y Reliability (more the better)y Observability/Trialability (more the better)y Familiarity (more the better)

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    2. Info through channels2. Info through channels

    y Mass media (often used)y

    Interpersonal (can be more effective thanmass)y Similar others most effective at persuasiony Change agent/opinion leader can be dissimilar,

    leads to diffusion problems

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    3. Diffusion occurs over time3. Diffusion occurs over time

    y Five-step process for individuals

    Prior conditions (need/norms/current practices) 1. Knowledge 2. Persuasion (think of as Evaluation) 3.Decision (adopt or not adopt) 4. Implementation (could reinvent) 5. Confirmation (or could discontinue)

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    AdoptionAdoption--Decision StepsDecision Steps

    1.

    Knowledge

    2.

    Persua

    sion/Evaluation

    3.

    Decision

    4.

    Implemen

    tation

    5.

    Confirm

    -ation(?)

    -Rel Adv

    - Rel Complexity

    - Compatibility

    -Relability

    - Observability

    Reinvention

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    Adoption exampleAdoption example

    Have you adopted a fitness innovation?Consider the steps you took

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    Diffusion (S) CurveDiffusion (S) CurveTime

    %Adop-tion

    100%

    Takeoff

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    Many possible curves!Many possible curves!Time

    %Adop-tion

    100%

    DVDs? TV?

    Cable TV?

    Videodiscs?

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    Innovation Adopter CategoriesInnovation Adopter Categories

    y 1.Innovators = venturesome First to adopt, not usually influential

    y 2.Early adopters = progressive Key to observability, takeoff

    y 3.Early majority = deliberatey 4.Late majority = skepticaly 5.Laggards = traditional

    Can become innovators over time!

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    4. Occurs in a social system4. Occurs in a social system

    y Norms, practices of culture affect process

    Ignoring them could lead to failure Understanding them key to success

    y Key: Identify systems opinion leadersy Opinion leaders can be change agents

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    Utility of DITUtility of DIT

    y Describes how social systems deal with new

    ideas (including new technologies)y Provides framework for analyses to inform

    effective programs/campaigns/strategiesy Can be used to encourage or discourage

    adoption of innovationsy Can be used to explain successes and failures

    of innovations