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The material contained in this PPT is a raw model output and research product. This is meant for scientific use. For any clarification/interpretation, please contact India Meteorological Department.

INITIAL CONDITION: 18th October 2014

Extended range prediction during 2014 Extended range prediction during 2014 seasonseason

Extended range prediction during 2014 Extended range prediction during 2014 seasonseason

Real-time forecast based on 18th October 2014 initial condition

This forecast has been prepared using the CFST126 (11 member) and CFST382(11 member) separately

Daily evolution of rainfall and wind at 850hPa (by CFST126)

Daily evolution of rainfall and wind at 850hPa (by CFST382)

Daily evolution of vorticity at 850hPa and mean sea level pressure (by CFST126)

Daily evolution of vorticity at 850hPa and mean sea level pressure (by CFST382)

Daily evolution of divergence and winds at 200hPa (by CFST126)

Daily evolution of divergence and winds at 200hPa (by CFST382)

Predicted pentad wise rainfall (by CFST126)

Predicted pentad wise rainfall (by CFST382)

Key points from the present forecast

We are starting Extended Range Forecast beyond monsoon season. Complete presentation will be available from mid-October.