district heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 market share of space heating residential, commercial and...

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District heating year 2015 13.1.2016

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Temperature corrected district heat demand, TWh

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Page 1: District heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 Market share of space heating Residential, commercial and public buildings

District heating year 2015

13.1.2016

Page 2: District heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 Market share of space heating Residential, commercial and public buildings

13.1.20162

Market share of space heatingResidential, commercial and public buildings

Page 3: District heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 Market share of space heating Residential, commercial and public buildings

13.1.20163

Temperature corrected district heat demand, TWh

Page 4: District heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 Market share of space heating Residential, commercial and public buildings

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District heat demand

Page 5: District heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 Market share of space heating Residential, commercial and public buildings

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District heat production 201533,0 TWh

Cogenerated electricity 11,8 TWh

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District heat production and the share of cogenerated heat

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Fuel consumption in production of district heat and CHP 2015- fuel consumption 52,0 TWh

Renewables 33 %Carbon dioxide free 36 %Domestic 56 %

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Fuel consumption in production of district heat and CHP

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Domestic renewable energy sources in production of district heat and CHP

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Sources:Statistics Finland (2000...2014)Finnish Energy Industries (1976...1999, 2015)

Specific carbon dioxide emissions from district heat production

Page 11: District heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 Market share of space heating Residential, commercial and public buildings

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District cooling – delivered energy and connected heat load

Page 12: District heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 Market share of space heating Residential, commercial and public buildings

The future of the district heating sector

Page 13: District heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 Market share of space heating Residential, commercial and public buildings

Demand and market share of district heat 2010 - 2025

2010• Market share of district heat 45%• Demand for district heat 36 TWh

(temperature-corrected demand)

2025• Market share of district heat in new

construction 2011–2025 50–75%• Demand for district heat 40–42 TWh

13.1.2016

Source: Tehokas CHP, kaukolämpö ja ‒jäähdytys Suomessa 2010–2025, VTT 2015

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Page 14: District heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 Market share of space heating Residential, commercial and public buildings

Production of district heat, CHP 2010–2025• New heat capacity 1,500 MW

– of which CHP heat 0–1,000 MW (CHP electricity 0–500 MW)– new heat capacity 500 MW, the rest is substitutive

• If the max. number of CHP plants is realised– Additional heat production 4 TWh, electricity 2 TWh– Savings in primary energy 14‒27% (note! part of the additional

production will substitute old CHP production)

13.1.2016

Source: Tehokas CHP, kaukolämpö ja –jäähdytys Suomessa 2010 – 2025, VTT 2015

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Page 15: District heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 Market share of space heating Residential, commercial and public buildings

Building stock

13.1.2016

Detached houses

Terraced houses

Apartment buildings

Office and public buildings

Industrial buildings Total

Urbanised municipalities 51% 67% 90% 72% 65% 68%Densely populated municipalities 24% 17% 7% 14% 19% 16%

Rural municipalities 25% 16% 3% 14% 15% 16%Source: Tehokas CHP, kaukolämpö ja –jäähdytys Suomessa 2010–2025, VTT 2015

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Page 16: District heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 Market share of space heating Residential, commercial and public buildings

Share of district heat in the floor area of buildings according to area density in built-up areas covered by town plan

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Page 17: District heating year 2015 13.1.2016. 2 Market share of space heating Residential, commercial and public buildings

Scenario of the need for cooling energy (the BAU scenario)

13.1.2016

Source: Rakennusten jäähdytysmarkkinat, VTT 2015

2014• demand for cooling

1,400 GWh• market share of district cooling

10%

2025• demand for cooling

1,700 GWh• market share of district cooling

25%

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