dnb the norwegian bank · 5 101 5 235 6 806 3 156 1q11 2q11 3q11 4q11 1q12. business areas 5 1 882...
TRANSCRIPT
New York, Deutsche Bank
22 May 2012
CFO Bjørn Erik Næss
DNB – The Norwegian bank
2
Agenda
DNB - Q1 results
DNB drivers for successful banking
3
Agenda
Q1 results
DNB drivers for successful banking
Profit per quarter
4
Pre-tax operating profit
before write-downs (NOK million)
Profit for the period (NOK million)
Pre-tax operating profit before
write-downs excl. basis swaps (NOK million)
5 276
4 952
3 837
4 737
5 588
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
2 851
3 546
2 493
4 089
1 760
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
4 692
5 101 5 235
6 806
3 156
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
Business areas
5
1 8821 816 1 843
414
97
1 828
1 415
1 115
666
21
First quarter 2012
First quarter 2011
Pre-tax operating profit after write-downs in the first quarter(NOK million)
Retail Banking
Large Corporates andInternational
DNB Markets Insurance andAsset Management
DNB Balticsand Poland
Development in lending
6
971
1 016
1 192
1 174
1 1151 126
1 170
1 173
1 279 1 285
1 022
1 1211 128
1 1091 117
1 162
1 174
1 268
1 285
31Dec.
31March
30June
30Sept.
31Dec.
31March
30June
30Sept.
31Dec.
31March
30June
30Sept.
31Dec.
31March
30June
30Sept.
31Dec.
31March
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Lending at end of period
Lending adjusted for exchange rate movements
NOK billion
Development in deposits
7
538
529
597 595 591 586
642678
740
806
532 569575
585579
637
679
734
806
31Dec.
31March
30June
30Sept.
31Dec.
31March
30June
30Sept.
31Dec.
31March
30June
30Sept.
31Dec.
31March
30June
30Sept.
31Dec.
31March
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Deposits at end of period
Deposits adjusted for exchange rate movements
NOK billion
Development in average interest rate spreads - DNB Group
8
1.58 1.60 1.57
1.671.61
1.55 1.55
1.64
1.83
0.290.32
0.41
0.27 0.29 0.31 0.330.28
0.04
1.12 1.15 1.16 1.171.13 1.10 1.11
1.14 1.16
1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12
Per cent
2)
Lending spread
Deposit spread
Combined spread- weighted average
Net interest income - trailing 12 months
9
23 893
25 252
25 887
31 March 30 June 30 Sept. 31 Dec. 31 March
2011 2012
NOK million
Net interest income 2011
Trailing 12 months
+ 8.3 per cent from
1st quarter 2011
Changes in net interest income
27.04.2012 10
6 018
6 653571
222 57
39
1Q11 Lendingand
depositvolumes
Lendingand
depositspreads
Interest days Equity and non-interest-bearing items
Othernet
interestincome
Long-term
funding
1Q12
From 1st quarter 2011 to 1st quarter 2012NOK million
(24) (229)
Changes in net interest income
27.04.2012 11
6 792
6 653
140 60
4Q11 Lendingand
depositspreads
Lendingand
depositvolumes
Equity and non-interest-bearing items
Interest days Othernet
interestincome
Long-term
funding
1Q12
From 4th quarter 2011 to 1st quarter 2012NOK million
(57)
(75)(146)
(62)
12
Financial targets still apply - but more challenging
NOK 22-25 billion in pre-tax
operating profit before
write-downs
NOK 2 billion in cost reductions
Cost/income ratio
below 46 per cent
NOK 30 billion in pre-tax operating
profit before
write-downs
ROE > 14 percent
Cost/income ratio
below 45 per cent
2015 2012
13
Agenda
Q1 results
DNB drivers for successful banking
14
Driver 1:
Sustainable achievements – DNB has delivered as promised
Development in pre-tax operating profit before write-downs
(NOK billion)
Driver 2:
A business model shaped for the future
15
Private individuals
SME + Corporate
50% 50%
Driver 3:
An international strategy based on key Norwegian
industries
16
Energy Shipping/
Offshore Seafood
17 Source: Fourth quarter report 2011 from the financial institutions
Driver 4:
Sufficient solidity - DNB is among the most solid banks
2.6 %
3.1 % 3.2 %
3.9 % 4.2 %
4.9 %
Bank 1 Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 4 Bank 5 DNB
Equity Tier 1/total assets (“leverage ratio”)
18
Improved capitalisation with “Nordic” risk weights
Reported capital adequacy Pro forma full IRB IRB with Nordic risk weights
Adjusted for Nordic risk weights
Adjusted for full IRB
DNB risk weights
Per cent
14.5
11.0
9.3
Equity Tier 1 capital ratio – Q1 2012
Driver 5:
Favourable funding position
19
2012
2011
2010
NOK billion Maturity
Covered bonds 35.5 7.5 71 99
Senior bonds 40.8 6.7 174 196
Total 76.3 7.1 126 bp 151 bp
Subordinated loan 5.7
Total 82.0
In addition: LTRO funding 9.0 3.0
Spread
NOK billion Maturity 3-month Nibor
Covered bonds 98.3 6.5 53 68
Senior bonds 27.8 8.8 108 123
Total 126.1 7.0 65 bp 80 bp
In addition: LTRO funding 15.7 3.0
NOK billion Maturity
Covered bonds 84.4 7.5 49
Senior bonds 32.3 7.3 84
Total 116.6 7.5 59 bp
Spread
3-month Nibor
Spread
3-month Euribor
Spread
3-month Euribor
Spread
3-month Euribor
20
Driver 6:
Competitive on cost efficiency
Cost/income ratio* – Nordic banks 2011
Source: Company reports *All figures are before adjustments for goodwill i.a.
21
Driver 7:
A strong home market
Source: OECD Economic Outlook No. 90, November 2011
Note: Budget surplus/deficit calculated as a percentage share of country GDP; forecasts for 2012
Annual budget deficit/surplus for
2012 (forecast)
General government net financial liabilities
(As a percentage of nominal GDP 2011)
Budget deficit Budget surplus