document resume ce 065 827 author ghazalah, i. a. title · 2014-05-07 · document resume ed 367...

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DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in 1988. A Longitudinal Study Based on Federal Income Tax Data [and] Executive Summary. INSTITUTION Ohio Univ., Athens. SPONS AGENCY Ohio State Dept. of Education, Columbus. Div. of Vocational and Career Education. PUB DATE 93 NOTE 159p.; For related reports, see CE 065 828-829. PUB TYPE Reports Research/Technical (143) Statistical Data (110) EDRS PRICE MF01/PC07 Plus Postage. DESCRIPTORS *Associate Degrees; Comparative Analysis; Educational Status Comparison; Employment Patterns; *High School Graduates; High Schools; *Income; Job Training; *Outcomes of Education; Postsecondary Education; Salary Wage Differentials; State Aid; State Surveys; Tables (Data); Taxes; *Vocational Education; Vocational Followup IDENTIFIERS *Ohio ABSTRACT The sixth annual study of the economic performance of 15,055 graduats in 1979 of 14 vocational programs in Ohio used federal income tax records. Twelve of the programs with 13,109 graduates were secondary vocational programs. A total of 1,946 students graduated from 2 associate programs. The income of compLeters of vocational programs was compared to income of equivalent groups in the general population. The study also inve-tigated the geographic mobility of vocational graduates since 19/,. Results indicated predominantly higher incomes of vocational graduates than others in the general population. The result varied by vocational program, but the ratios were higher than 1 for the 1979 graduates in all programs for all years of the study (1983-1988). In all 12 secondary programs, the ratios were higher in 1988 than in 1983. For the 1979 graduates of the two associate programs, the ratios in 1988 were higher than the 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984, and 1983 ratios. Findings showed a continuing margin between incomes of vocational graduates and the equivalent group in the general population. (An executive summary and 64 tables and diagrams are included.) (YLB) *********************************************************************** Reproductions supplied by EDRS are the best that can be made from the original document. ***********************************************************************

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Page 1: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

DOCUMENT RESUME

ED 367 804 CE 065 827

AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A.TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in 1988. A

Longitudinal Study Based on Federal Income Tax Data[and] Executive Summary.

INSTITUTION Ohio Univ., Athens.SPONS AGENCY Ohio State Dept. of Education, Columbus. Div. of

Vocational and Career Education.PUB DATE 93

NOTE 159p.; For related reports, see CE 065 828-829.PUB TYPE Reports Research/Technical (143) Statistical

Data (110)

EDRS PRICE MF01/PC07 Plus Postage.DESCRIPTORS *Associate Degrees; Comparative Analysis; Educational

Status Comparison; Employment Patterns; *High SchoolGraduates; High Schools; *Income; Job Training;*Outcomes of Education; Postsecondary Education;Salary Wage Differentials; State Aid; State Surveys;Tables (Data); Taxes; *Vocational Education;Vocational Followup

IDENTIFIERS *Ohio

ABSTRACTThe sixth annual study of the economic performance of

15,055 graduats in 1979 of 14 vocational programs in Ohio usedfederal income tax records. Twelve of the programs with 13,109graduates were secondary vocational programs. A total of 1,946students graduated from 2 associate programs. The income ofcompLeters of vocational programs was compared to income ofequivalent groups in the general population. The study alsoinve-tigated the geographic mobility of vocational graduates since19/,. Results indicated predominantly higher incomes of vocationalgraduates than others in the general population. The result varied byvocational program, but the ratios were higher than 1 for the 1979graduates in all programs for all years of the study (1983-1988). Inall 12 secondary programs, the ratios were higher in 1988 than in1983. For the 1979 graduates of the two associate programs, theratios in 1988 were higher than the 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984, and 1983ratios. Findings showed a continuing margin between incomes ofvocational graduates and the equivalent group in the generalpopulation. (An executive summary and 64 tables and diagrams areincluded.) (YLB)

***********************************************************************

Reproductions supplied by EDRS are the best that can be madefrom the original document.

***********************************************************************

Page 2: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

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II L12 1-1! LL 1F": .1 11

The economic performance of graduates of vocational programs is a primary factor in the

evaluation of vocational education. This study evaluates the performance of students who completed

state-funded vocational job-training programs in Ohio.

The study uses an original source of information federal income tax records. The data

were provided in batch form by the Internal Revenue Service from its Information Returns Master

File in full compliance with the strict requirements regarding disclosure of personal information_

This study examines the performance over time of 15,055 graduates in 1979 of fourteen

vocational programs. Twelve of the programs with 13,109 graduates were at the secondary level, and

two with 1,946 graduates at the associate (second-year college) level. This is the sixth year of this

longitudinal study where the performance of the 1979 graduates in 1988 was analyzed and compared

to that measured in 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983.

The incomes of vocational graduates were compared to those in the general population at

the same age, educational achievement and geographical location. Data on the equivalent groups in

the general population were based on Bureau of the Census, Current Population Survey, Technical

Documentation Tape prepared by Data User Services Division, Data Access and Use Staff for the

Bureau of Labor Statistics, and East North Central Population and Per Capita Income Estimates for

Counties and Incorporated Places.

The following table and the corresponding gtaphs show the ratio of the average income of

vocational graduates to the average income of the equivalent group for the 1979 graduatcs during

1988, 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983.

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4

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Ratios of Mean Incne of 1979 Vocational Graduatesto Mean Income of Equivalent Group in the General Population

(1983-1988)

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

Secondary Prognuns

Agricultural Productionand Horticulture

1.16 1.28 1.24 1.38 1.19 1.25

Marketing 1.16 1.34 1.35 1.45 1.27 1.38

Health Occupations Education 1.49 1.60 1.63 1.66 1.55 1.65

Home Ec9nomics Education 1.15 1.42 1.48 1.62 1.45 1.79

Accounting, Computing and 1.45 1.53 1.57 1.67 1.47 1.51

Business Data ProcessingGeneral Office Clerical, 1.67 1.82 1.87 1.90 1.77 1.88

Stenographic, Secretarialand Related Occupations

Auto Mechanics 1.21 1.35 1.33 1.35 1.22 1.25

Carpentry 1.18 1.34 1.39 1.38 1.24 1.31

Electronics 1.30 1.42 1.47 1.48 1.31 1.38

Machine Shop 1.33 1.56 1.53 1.55 1.45 1.50

Cosmetology 1.35 1.50 1.49 1.50 1.33 1.37

Occupational Work Experience 1.07 1.27 1.16 1.20 1.08 1.09

Associate Programs

Health Occupations Ed. 1.68 1.53 1.64 1.73 1.73 1.80

Technical Education 1.16 1.12 1.15 1.23 1.33 1.37

Ratios of Mean Secondary Vocational Graduate Incometo Mean General Income

1983-1988

Bars for each Vocational Program show ratios for 1 9 83, 1984, 1986, 1986, 1987, and 1988.

,) BEST COPY AVAILABLE

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Ratios of Mean Associate Vocational Graduate Incometo Mean General Income

1983-1988

2

1.91.81.7

1.6

1.5

1.4

1.3

1.2

1.1

1

I I

Health OccupatiOns Technical Education

Bars for each Vocational Program show ratios for 1983, 1984, 1935, 1986, 1987, and 1988.

The results of the study indicate predominantly higher incomes of vocational graduates than others in the

gener31 population who are of the same age and years of schooling. The result varies by vocational

program, but the ratios are higher than 1 for the 1979 graduates in all programs for ail years of the study

1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988.

In all of the twelve secondary programs. the ratios were higher in 1988 than in 1983. For the 1979

graduates of the two associate programs studied, the ratios in 1988 were higher than the 1987, 1986, 1985,

1984, and 1983 ratios.

The study of six successive years of the 1979 graduates has shown a continuing margin between incomes

of vocational graduates and the equivalent group in the general population. As this longitudinal study

follows up the same group in successive years, a reconsideration of conventional assumptions about the

duration of vocational education benefits may be in order.

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1979Vocational Education

Graduates

in 1988

A Longitudinal Study Based onfedenzt Income TaK,Data

ty

Gazakk

Professor cf EconomicsOhio University

Ohio UniversityAthens, Ohio 45701

1993

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The research project reported herein was performed pursuant to agreement with the Ohio

Department of Education's Division of Vocational and Career Education. Contractors undertaking

such projects under government sponsorship are encouraged to express freely their professional

judgment in the conduct of the project. This research does not necessarily represent official positions

of the Ohio Department of Education.

Ted SandersSuperintendent of Public InstructionState of Ohio

It is the policy of the Ohio Department of Education, Division of Vocational and Career Education, that

educational activities, employment, programs, and services are offered without regard to race, color, national

origin, sex, religion, handicap, or age.

i

8

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PREFACE

The purpose of this study is to evaluate vocational education by examining the economic

performance of vocational graduates. In its measurement of this performance, the study uses an

original source of information federal income tax records. The Internal Revenue Service provided

the data in batch form in full compliance with the strict requirements for protection of personal

information.

I am deeply indebted to many individuals and organizations for their assistance and

cooperation in the design and implementation of this study. At the Internal Revenue Service, Dr.

Fritz Scheuren, Directw, Statistics of Income Division lent his gracious support and encouragement

to the research effort. Mr. Peter Sailer provided encouragement, valuable coordination and advice.

Ms. Dodie Riley was a source of insightful advice, unfailing support, effectiveness and genuine

interest in the project. Ms. Cathy Katz and Mr. Ray Salen organized and processed the data with

ability and dedication.

Dr. Darrell L Parks, Director, Vo.:ational and Career Education, Ohio Department of

Education gave his persistent and keen support to the research project. Dr. G. James Pinchak,

Associate Director, was a valuable source of encouragement, judicious coordination and advice at

different stages of the research. My sincere thanks to Mr. Larry J. Daniels, Mr. Mark J. Schaff, and

Mr. Robert D. Sommers for their encouragement and advice.

Mr. David Sarchet served very ably in computer programming and data processing. Mr.

Matloob Piracha performed important data processing and research assistance. Ms. Elisha Nuzum

and Ms. Catherine Kupec provided capable and dedicated research assistance. Ms. Jayashree

Swaminathan performed effective graphics work. Mr. Rob Painter provided valuable assistance

including graphic map design. Mr.Siyan Li designed and produced graphics with skill and dedication.

Special thanks go to Dr. You-Qiang Wang for his valuable assistance and advice. Mrs. Becky Huff

and Mrs. Helen Sue Smith performed the task of processing, typing, and related graphics. They did

so with high ability, patience and dedication.

Athens, Ohio I. A. Ghazalah

9 ii

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

LE I i ER OF TRANSMI1TAL

PREFACE ii

TABLE OF CONTENTS iii

LIST OF TABLES AND DIAGRAMS iv

CHAPTER I INTRODUCTION 1

CHAPTER II THE 1979 SECONDARY VOCATIONAL EDUCATION GRADUATES .. 7

A. Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduates:

1988 Income Tabulations 13

B. Income of the 1979 Secondary Vocational Education Graduates:

Comparison with Equivalent Groups 28

C. Regional Mobility of 1979 Secondary Vocational

Education Graduates 54

CHAPTER III THE 1979 ASSOCIATE VOCATIONAL EDUCATION GRADUATES .. 61

A. Income of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduates:

1988 Income Tabulations 67

B. Income of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduatcs:

Comparison with Equivalent Group 72

C. Regional Mobility of 1979 Associate Vocational

Education Graduates 86

CHAPTER IV SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 91

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LIST OF TABLES AND DIAGRAMS

Table orDiagram

T.I-A List of State Geographic Regions 4

D.I-B State Geographic Regions 5

T.II-A Study of 1979 Secondary Vocational Education Graduates:by Program and Gender 9

D.II-B Study of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduates:Number of Completers by Program 10

D.II-C Study of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduates:Percentage of Females and Males by Program 10

T.II-D Study of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduates:Distribution by Vocational Program and Geographical Region 11

D.H-E Study of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduates:Distribution by Geographical Region 12

T.IIA-1 Agricultural Production and Horticulture1979 Secondary Vocational Completers:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 14

T.IIA-2 Marketing 1979 Secondary Vocational Cmpleters:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 15

T.IIA-3 Health Occupations Education1979 Secondary Vocational Completers:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 16

T.IIA-4 Home Economics Education1979 Secondary Vocational Comp !eters:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 17

T.IIA-5 Accounting, Computing and Business Data Processing1979 Secondary Vocational Completers:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 8

T.IIA-6 General Office, Clerical, Stenographic, Secretarial andRelated Occupations1979 Secondary Vocational Completers:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 19

iv

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T.IIA-7 Auto Mechanics 1979 Secondary Vocational Completers:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 20

T.IIA-8 Carpentry 1979 Secondary Vocational Completers:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 21

T.IIA-9 Electronics 1979 Secondary Vocational Completers:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 22

T.IIA-10 Machine Shop 1979 Secondary Vocational Completers:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 23

T.IIA-11 Cosmetology 1979 Secondary Vocational Completers:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 24

T.IIA-12 Occupational Work Experience1979 Secondary Vocational Cornpleters:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 25

T.IIA-13 Mean Reported Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program and Region (1988 Tax Year) 26

D.IIA-A 1988 Mean Income of 1979 Secondary VocationalGraduates by Program 27

T.IIB-1 Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program and Region (1983 Tax Year) 29

T.IIB-2 Mean Incorr e of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program and Region (1984 Tax Year) 30

T.IIB-3 Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program and Region (1985 Tax Year) 31

T.IIB-4 Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program and Region (1986 Tax Year) 32

T.IIB-5 Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduatcsby Vocational Program and Region (1987 Tax Year) 33

T.IIB-6 Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program and Region (1988 Tax Year) 34

T.IIB-7 Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988by Vocational Program1979 Secondary Vocational Graduates 35

T.HB-8 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduates: Adjusted GenderComposition (1988, 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984, 1983)and Gender Composition in 1979 by Program 37

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T.IIB-9 Mean Income of Equivalent Group by Vocational Program (1988) 38

T.IIB-10 Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 ofEquivalent Groups by Vocational Program 39

D.IIB-11 Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 19881979 Secondary Vocational Graduates vs. Equivalent Groups 41

T.IIB-12 Ratios of Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational GraduatesTo Mean Income of Equivalent Group by Vocational Programin 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 44

T.IIB-13

T.HB-14

T.IIB-15

T.IIB-16

T.IIB-17

T.IIB-18

Ratios of Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational GraduatesTo Mean Income of Equivalent Group by Vocational Program and Region(1983 Tax Year) 45

Ratios of Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational GraduatesTo Mean Income of Equivalent Group by Vocational Program and Region(1984 Tax Year) 46

Ratios of Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational GraduatesTo Mean Income of Equivalent Group by Vocational Program and Region(1985 Tax Year) 47

Ratios of Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational GraduatesTo Mean Income of Equivalent Group by Vocational Program and Region(1986 Tax Year) 48

Ratios of Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational GraduatesTo Mean Income of Equivalent Group by Vocational Program and Region(1987 Tax Year) 49

Ratios of Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational GraduatesTo Mean Income of Equivalent Group by Vucational Program and Region(1988 Tax Year) 50

D.HB-19 Longitudinal Curves Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986,1987 and 1988: 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduates vs.Equivalent Groups 51

T.IIC-1 Retention Rates of Secondary Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program and Region, 1979-1988 55

T.IIC-2 Retention Rates of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program and Region, 1979-1983, 1979-1984,1979-1985, 1979-1986, 1979-1987 and 1979-1988 57

T.M-A Study of 1979 Associate Vocational Education Graduatesby Program and Gender 63

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D.III-B Study of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduates:Number of Completers by Program 64

D.III-C Study of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduates:Percentage of Females and Males by Program 64

T.III-D Study of 1979 Associate Vocational GraduatesDistribution by Vocational Program and Geographical Region 65

D.III-E Study of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduates:Distribution by Geographical Region 66

T.IIIA-1 Health Occupations Education1979 Associate Vocational Completers:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 68

T.IIIA-2 Technical Education1979 Associate Vocational Completers:Reported Income (1988 Tax Year) 69

T.IIIA-3 Mean Income of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduates:by Vocational Program and Region (1988 Tax Year) 70

D.IIIA-A 1988 Mean Income of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program 71

T.IIIB-1 Mean Income of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program and Region (1988 Tax Year) 73

T.IIIB-2 Mean Income of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program and Region(1988, 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983) 74

T.IIIB-3 Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988by Vocational Program1979 Associate Vocational Graduates 75

T.HIB-4 1979 Associate Vocational Graduates:Adjusted Gender Composition (1988, 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984, 1983)and Gender Composition in 1979 by Program 77

T.HIB-5 1988 Mean Income of Equivalent Group by Vocational Program 78

T.IIIB-6 Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988of Equivalent Groups 79

D.IIIB-7 Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988:Associate Vocational Graduates vs Equivalent Group 81

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T.IIIB-8 Ratios of Mean Income of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduatesto Mean Income of Equivalent Group by Vocational Programin 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 82

T.IIIB-9 Ratios of Mean Income of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduatesto Mean Income of Equivalent Group by Vocational Program andRegion (1988 Tax Year) 83

T.I1113-10 Ratios of Mean Income of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduatesto Mean Income of Equivalent Group by Vocational Program andRegion (1988, 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983) 84

D.IIIB-11 Longitudinal Curves Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986,1987 and 1988: 1979 Associate Vocational Graduates vs.Equivalent Groups 85

T.IIIC-1 Retention Rates of Associate Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program and Region, 1979-1988 87

T.IIIC-2 Retention Rates of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduatesby Vocational Program and Region: 1979-1983, 1979-1984,1979-1985, 1979-1986, 1979-1987 and 1979-1988 89

viii

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CHAFFER I

IN Uc (10

" 6

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CHAPTER 1

INTRODUCIDION

Vocational education, as all forms of education, has a multi-dimensional effect on the

welfare of individuals and society. Determination of the economic performance of graduates

of vocational programs is essential to the process of decision making over the allocation of a

given set of scarce resources among numerous competing uses.

Studies of the economic performance of vocational education graduates generally rely

on earnings and related data gathered through personal surveys. Such follow-up studies have

a number of limitations:

1. small percentage of returns in the form of completed questionnaires,

2. doubt about the randomness of returns, i.e. that they represent a random

sample of the surveyed population,

3. doubt about the accuracy of information provided, partly because the

individuals surveyed may not have the information readily available in the form

sought by investigators. Particularly in the case of income earned over a full

year (let alone various categories of income), the data obtained could suffer

from significant inaccuracies.

In its measurement of the economic performance of graduates of vocational programs,

this study uses an original source of information federal income tax records. The federal

income tax source avoids a number of limitations associated with follow-up studies utilizing

questionnaires. The tax data records are standardized by type of income and by period (tax

year), and do not rely on the memory nor the selectivity of individual responses to

questionnaires. The data were provided in batch form by the Internal Revenue Service from

its Information Returns Master File in full compliance with the strict requirements regarding

disclosure of personal information.

Methodology

This the sixth annual study of the economic performance of 15,055 graduates in 1979

of fourteen vocational programs in Ohio. Twelve of the programs with 13,109 graduates were

Secondary Vocational programs. A total of 1,946 graduated from two Associate programs.

2

1 7

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Each of the vocational graduates was identified by social security number and the code

of the vocational program completed. Furthermore, each of the graduates was identified by

the school attended. The school location was then used to group trainees by geographical

region. The State of Ohio was divided into five regions: Central, Northeast, Northwest,

Southwest, and Balance of Ohio. The first four regions contain only metropolitan statistical

areas. The Central Region included the Columbus Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA); the

Northeast Region: the Akron Primary Metropolitan Statistical Area (PMSA), the Canton

MSA, the Cleveland PMSA, the Lorain-Elyria PMSA, Jefferson County in the Steubenville-

Weirton MSA, and the Youngstown-Warren MSA. The Northwest Region included the Lima

MSA and Toledo MSA, while the Southwest Region was comprised of Clermont, Hamilton

and Warren counties in the Cincinnati PMSA, and the Dayton-Springfield MSA. The region

"Balance of Ohio" included Mansfield MSA, Washington county in the Parkersburg-Marietta

MSA, as well as all non-MSA counties in the State of Ohio. Table I-A lists these regions by

component counties. Diagram I-B shows the five Ohio regions on a state map.

Under a negotiated agreement with the Internal Revenue Service, the Statistics of

Income Division of IRS was provided on a magnetic tape with a list of social security numbers

in sequence of the vocational education graduates coded by vocational program attended. In

addition, the Internal Revenue Service was furnished on hard copy with a list of all zip codes

included in each of the five Ohio geographic regions. The list was developed using the

following source materials:

1. Bureau of the Budget, Office of Management and Budget,Standard Metropolitan Statistical Areas: Titles and Definitions,1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988.

2. National Technical Information Service, U.S. Department of Commerce,Five-Digit Zip Code Area Data (from 1983. 1984. 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988returns), Area four. Codes 43000 through 45899,

3. U.S. Postal Service, Map: National Service Area 4 (including Ohio)showing 3-Digit Zip Code Boundaries.

The Internal Revenue Service utilized its Information Returns Master File to prepare

data on the vocational education graduates. A completed table was provided by IRS for each

vocational program, in each of the five Ohio regions as well as in a sixth (outside Ohio) region.

3

118

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T. LELIST OF STATE GEOGRAPHIC REGIONS

The State of Ohio was divided into five geopaphic regions. Four of the regions

(Central, Northeast, Northwest, and Southwest) contain only metropolitan statistical

areas. The fifth region, Balance of Ohio, includes the Mansfield MSA and Washington

County of the Parkersburg-Marietta MSA, as well as all non-MSA counties in the State

of Ohio.

The components of each of the regions are listed below:

1. CENTRAL OHIOColumbus MSA (Delaware, Fairfield, Franklin, Licking, Madison,Pickaway, and Union counties)

2. NORTHEAST OHIOAkron PMSA (Portage and Summit counties)Canton MSA (Carroll and Stark counties)Cleveland PMSA (Cuyahoga, Geauga, Lake, and Medina counties)Lu.-ain-Elyria PMSA (Lorain county)Stem e wille-Weirton MSA (Jefferson county)Youn, ,Ystown-Warren MSA (Mahoning and Trumbull counties)

3. NORTHWEST OHIOLima MSA (Allen and Auglaize counties)Toledo MSA (Fulton, Lucas, and Wood counties)

4. SOUTHWEST OHIOCincinnati PMSA (Clermont, Hamilton, Warren counties)Dayton-Springfield MSA (Clark, Greene, Miami, and Montgomery counties)

5. BALANCE OF OHIOMansfield MSA (Richland county)Parkersburg-Marietta MSA (Washington county)All Non-MSA Counties: Adams, Ashland, Ashtabula, Athens, Belmont, Brown,Butler, Champaign, Clinton, Columbiana, Coshocton, Crawford, Darke, Defiance,Erie, Fayette, Gallia, Guernsey, Hancock, Hardin, Harrison, Henry, Highland,Hocking, Holmes, Huron, Jackson, Knox, Lawrence, Logan, Marion, Meigs, Mercer,Monroe, Morgan, Morrow, Muskingum, Noble, Ottawa, Paulding, Perry, Pike,Preble, Putnam, Ross, Sandusky, Scioto, Seneca, Shelby, Tuscarawas, Van Wert,Vintor, Wayne, Williams, and Wyandot.

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milDiagram I-BState Geographic Regions

Ashtabula

lrulton

WoodDefiance

Paulding

L,Van Wert

Henry

Putnam

Ottawa Oatt a

Sandukyl Erie

Seneca

Cuyahoga

........Lorain Trumbull

Huron fttlft Summit I

MedinaMahoninv

Wyandot Crawford

Hardin

1Marion

LIRichland

Morrow

WayneColumbiana

Carroll

_,.L..!scurItywar [JeffersonCoshocton HA I'll son

GuernseyMuskingum

Noble

Morgan

Clermont

Adam

BEST COPY AVALIBLE20

5

Region 1 - Central Ohio

Region 2 - Northeast Ohio

IIIRegion 3 - Northwest Ohio

1111 Region 4 - Southwest Ohio

Region 5 - Balance of Ohio

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The latter region included those among the vocational graduates who were identified as non-

Ohio residents, since their listed zip codes were not among those identifying the five Ohio

regions.

The IRS Statistics of Income Division reviewed all tables to assure that no cell

contained data on less than 10 individuals, in compliance with disclosure requirements. When

necessary, data cells were combined. Furthermore, all tables were scrutinized and cleared by

the IRS Disclosure Division before their release.

In Chapter II, we will report on and analyze the earning and geographic mobility of

the 1979 Secondary Vocational graduates in 1988, nine years following their graduation.

Chapter III will deal with the income and geographic mobility of the two Associate Vocational

programs. In each of these, the performance in 1988 of the 1979 vocational graduates will be

compared with their performance in 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983.

The final chapter, Chapter IV, presents a summary of the findings, conclusions and

recommendations.

6

01

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CHAPTER 11

THE 1979 SECONDARYVOCATIONAL EDUCATION

GRADUATES

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CHAPTER

1979 SECONDARY VOCA ONAL EDUCATION GRADUATES

The study included 13,109 graduates in 1979 of twelve Secondary Vocational programs

in Ohio. In this chapter, we will report on and analyze the earnings of the 1979 Secondary

Vocational graduates in 1988, nine years following their gaduation. The earnings and

geographic mobility in 1988 of the 1979 Secondary Vocational graduates will be compared with

their performance in 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983.

Table II-A lists the Secondary Vocational programs included in the study, the number

of graduates, and the percentage of females and males in each program. Diagram II-B is a bar

chart of the number of completers in each of the study's twelve Secondary Vocational

programs. Diagram II-C shows the percentage of females and males in each of the study's

programs. Table II-D presents the distribution of the 1979 Secondary Vocational education

graduates by vocational program and training region. Diagram II-E shows the geographical

distribution of graduates of the Secondary Vocational programs included in the study.

238

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TArstLE 11-A

STUDY OF 1979 SECONDARY VOCATIONAL EDUCATION GRADUATESBY PROGRAM AND GENDER

VOCATIONAL PROGRAM 1 NUMBER OF PERCENTAGE PERCENT,AGEGRADUATES FEMALES MALES

Agricultural Productionand Horticulture

575 51.09% 48.91%

Marketing 2,159 56.60% 43.40%

Health Occupations Education 1,142 95.33% 4.67%

Home Economics Education 2,171 80.20% 19.80%

Accounting, Computing and 1,007 63.33% 36.67%Business Data Processing

General Office Clerical, 1,567 98.10% 1.90%Stenographic, Secretarial,and Related Occupations

Auto Mechanics 622 0.90% 99.10%

Carpentry 520 0.20% 99.80%

Electronics 674 2.60% 97.40%

Machine Shop 803 1.46% 98.54%

Cosmetology 899 98.94% 1.06%

Occupational Work Experience 970 28.47% 71.53%

TOTAL 13,109 58.86% 41.14%

1979 Vocational Education Graduates in 1988: A Longitudinal Study Based on Federal Income Tax Databy I.A. Ghazalah, Ohio University

9

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Page 26: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

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and

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7449

2316

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357

5

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arke

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7329

952

186

1,54

92,

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3. H

ealth

Occ

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9116

249

9974

11,

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ome

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6930

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Page 27: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

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Page 28: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

A. INCOME OF 1979 SECONDARY VOCATIONAL GRADUATES: 1988INCOME TABULATIONS

The data provided by the Internal Revenue Service were used to determine the

economic performance of the 1979 Secondary Vocational graduates nine years following their

graduation.

Tables IIA-1 through IIA-12 present data on the 1988 Tax Year reported income of

the 1979 Secondary Vocational gaduates for each of the twelve programs. Reported income

is the sum of wages and salaries, interest and dividends, and other income (miscellaneous

income from work provided by other than as employees) as reported to the Internal Revenue

Service.

Table IIA-9, for example, provides the reported income of those who completed the

Electronics program. For the entire group of completers, the mean reported income in 1988

was $23,623. Among the group, reported income varied as follows: 10.31% received less than

$5,500 (a mean of $4,909), 3.05% between $5,500 and $8,499 (a mean of $7,326), another

2.88% between $8,500 and $9,999 (a mean of $9,604), 3.21% between $10,000 and $12,999 (a

mean of $10,990), 6.77% between $13,000 and $14,499 (a mean of $14,339), 5.419b between

$14,500 and $15,999 (a mean of $15,767), 17.09% between $16,000 and $21,999 (a mean of

$21,868), 11.34% between $22,000 and $23,999 (a mean of $23,952), and 39.94% had a

reported income of at least $24,000 with a mean of $35,020.

The table also shows the distribution of the reported income among the 1979

Electronics pre rn completers who resided outside Ohio in 1988 as compared to those who

resided in the State (a me: a reported income of $25,074 and $23,325, respectively). The

reported incomes of the Ohio residents are then shown by the region of their residence.

A tabulation of the mean reported income by program and region is given in Table

IIA-13. Diagam IIA-A is a bar graph of mean reported incomes of completers of each of the

twelve Secondary Vocational progams studied.

13

29

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(198

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of

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ions

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ent/M

ean

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side

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of

Ohi

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5,50

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$2,5

9421

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$5,4

354.

77%

$1,3

30

100%

14,

037

23.0

7%$1

,231

42.4

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22.7

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,273

$5,5

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5.81

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5,50

021

.67%

$3,4

0120

.87%

$5,0

3622

.75%

$3,2

0020

.74%

$2,6

9413

.92%

$2,9

059.

10%

$1,9

1619

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$3,3

63

$5,5

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5.21

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030

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4$6,

685

3.16

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-8,4

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212

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$11,

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$14,

500-

15,9

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7.72

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19.5

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27.2

216

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$16,

000-

18,9

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18,9

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$19.

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$22,

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$24,

000

and

over

18.5

338

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17.0

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8 28

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1979

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TA

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ance

of

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n

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er $

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$3,0

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,673

27.0

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33.3

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19.3

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319

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218

,871

13.3

316

,131

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,561

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Voc

atio

nal E

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tion

Gra

duat

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198

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n F

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e T

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by,1

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lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

16

Page 32: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

EH

OM

E E

CO

NO

MIC

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DU

CA

TIO

N19

79 S

EC

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Size

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t/Mea

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1979

Voc

atio

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duat

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ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

17

37

Page 33: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IA-5

AC

CO

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TIN

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1979

Voc

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ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

1 8

3J

Page 34: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E H

A-6

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NE

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, ST

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1979

Voc

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ased

on

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ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

401

9

41

Page 35: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IA-7

AU

TO

ME

CH

AN

ICS

1979

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1979

Voc

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nal E

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duat

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gitu

dina

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ased

on

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ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

20

Page 36: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IA-8

CA

RPE

NT

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1979

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.00

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28

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000

and

over

32.5

034

,625

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TA

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0%$2

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2

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on F

eder

al I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by L

A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

21

4445

Page 37: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IA-9

EL

EC

TR

ON

ICS

1979

SE

CO

ND

AR

Y V

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AT

ION

AL

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ET

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SR

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IN

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ME

(198

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Size

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ions

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ance

of

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er $

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3,27

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1979

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nal E

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duat

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198

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gitu

dina

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dyB

ased

on

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ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

22

4 11

Page 38: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IA-1

0M

AC

HIN

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HO

P19

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EC

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er $

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%$3

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1979

Voc

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nal E

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198

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on

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ncom

e T

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by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

23

4S4:

i

r

Page 39: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IA-1

1C

OSM

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OL

OG

Y19

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24

or 0

51.

Page 40: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IA-1

2O

CC

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NA

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Size

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er $

5,50

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.66%

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01

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1979

Voc

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nal E

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198

8: A

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ased

on

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ncom

e T

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by L

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nive

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259

1.1

5 3

Page 41: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E L

IA-1

3

ME

AN

RE

POR

TE

D I

NC

OM

E O

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79 S

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$14,

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$16,

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Exp

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1979

Voc

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Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

axD

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

265

5

Page 42: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

DIAGRAM HA-A1988 Mean Income of 1979 Secondary Vocational Graduates

by Program

$30,000 --/

$25,000 - 1

7-1

5627

Page 43: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

B. INCOME OF THE 1979 SECONDARY VOCATIONAL EDUCATION GRADUATES:COMPARISON WITH EQUIVALENT GROUPS

The data provided by the Internal Revenue Service were used to determine the

economic performance of the 1979 graduates of the Secondary Vocational programs in 1983,

1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988, four, five, six, seven, eight and nine years following their

graduation.

Tables 11B-1, IIB-2, HB-3, HB-4, IIB-5 and IIIB-6 show the mean income by program

and region of the 1979 Secondary Vocational gaduates for 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and

1988, respectively. Table IIB-7 shows the mean income of the 1979 Secondary Vocational

graduates by vocational program in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988.

Income data on the 1979 graduates of Secondary Vocational programs for 1983, 1984,

1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 tax years may be analyzed using baseline data on a comparable

group, i.e. one with a comparable age, educational achievement and gender composition.

The comparable educational achievement used was completion of four years of high

school. The age and gender factors in income comparison were determined allowirg for the

characteristics of a longitudinal study.

Gender Composition.

The longitudinal study of the 1979 vocational graduates began in 1983. For that year,

the Internal Revenue Service data (which do not include gender breakdown) were provided

on 99.13% of the study population. With the decline in this percentage in subsequent years,

adjustments for changes in the gender ratio of provided data became necessary for appropriate

calculations of the relative incomes.

(i)

The gender composition change was estimated as follows:

Single-gender dominated Secondary Vocational programs were utilized to estimate

gender composition change over time for each of the programs.

Single-gender dominated programs were identified: Health Occupations Education;

General Office Clerical, Stenographic, Secretarial and Related Occupations; and

Cosmetology (with a female percentage of 95.33, 98.10 and 98.94, respectively) were

identified as female-dominated. Auto Mechanics, Carpentry, Electronics and Machine

Shop with 99.10%, 99.80%, 97.40% and 98.54% male, respectively, were identified as

male-dominated programs.

28

57

Page 44: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IB-1

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

19'7

9 SE

CO

ND

AR

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

UA

TE

SB

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M A

ND

RE

GIO

N(1

983

TA

X Y

EA

R)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L E

DU

CA

TIO

NA

LL

OU

TSI

DE

AL

LC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOT

TT

HW

EST

BA

LA

NC

EPR

OG

RA

MR

EG

ION

SO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

F O

HIO

1. A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

re$7

,782

$9,4

83$7

,682

$8,3

90$6

,338

$9,2

48$7

,595

$7,8

78

2. M

arke

ting

$7,6

97$9

,547

$7,3

38$7

,030

$7,5

74$4

,796

$9,1

96$7

,224

3. H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

$7,8

82$8

,800

$7,7

28$6

,683

$8,1

3$9

,855

$7,6

83E

duca

tion

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ics

Edu

catio

n6,

669

$7,9

83$6

,417

$6,1

67$6

,660

$8,7

13$5

,483

$6,3

84

5. A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

am;

$9,2

35$8

,358

$9,0

61$1

1,27

2$9

,020

$8,3

58$1

1,59

8$9

,078

Bus

ines

s D

ata

Proc

essi

ng

6. G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

leri

cal,

$8,6

74$8

,520

$8,6

96$1

1,35

5$6

,822

$69,

37$9

,071

$8,9

91St

enog

raph

ic, S

ecre

tari

al,

and

Rel

ated

Occ

upat

ions

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs$1

0,37

0$9

,844

$10,

441

$9,1

57$9

,865

$12,

030

$10,

888

$10,

489

8. C

arpe

ntry

$10,

148

$13,

378

$9,2

88$1

1,36

7$7

,132

$9,7

94$9

,466

9. E

lect

roni

cs$1

1,06

0$1

1,25

2$1

1,02

4$9

,774

$11,

655

$8,5

02$1

0,40

9$1

1,19

4

10. M

achi

ne S

hop

$11,

396

$11,

413

$11,

393

$7,1

18$1

1,53

0$1

3,44

1$1

2,59

8$1

1,40

6

11. C

osm

etol

ogy

$6,9

46$5

,703

$7,1

28$6

,092

$6,9

01$9

,929

$7,0

46

12. O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

$8,1

08$7

,731

$8,1

81$1

4,28

3$7

,321

$8,3

64$5

,573

$8,2

38E

xper

ienc

e

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

A G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

5S29

59

Page 45: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IB-2

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

1979

SE

CO

ND

AR

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

UA

TE

SB

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M A

ND

RE

GIO

N(1

984

TA

X Y

EA

R)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

LE

DU

CA

TIO

NT

AL

LO

UT

SID

EA

LL

CE

NT

RA

LN

OR

TH

EA

STN

OR

TH

WE

STSO

UT

HW

EST

BA

LA

NC

EPR

OG

RA

MR

EG

ION

SO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

F O

HIO

1.A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

re$9

,933

$9,4

38$9

,891

$10,

037

$11,

498

$10,

176

$10,

569

$9,6

25

2.M

arke

ting

$10,

077

S11,

229

$9,7

92$9

,595

$7,8

40$9

,597

$11,

929

$9,7

55

3.H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

$9,4

12$8

,439

$9,5

66$1

1,03

4$9

,045

$9,4

60$9

,292

$9,4

98E

duca

tion

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ics

Edu

catio

n$9

,171

$9,8

35$9

,010

$8,7

06$1

1,39

7$9

,979

$7,7

15$8

,871

5.A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

and

$11,

038

$11,

040

$11,

037

$10,

393

$13,

303

$11,

570

$12,

113

$10,

842

Bus

ines

s D

ata

Proc

essi

ng

6. G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

leri

cal,

$10,

511

$11,

153

$10,

385

$10,

157

$11,

183

$10,

430

$10,

403

$10,

375

Sten

ogra

phic

, Sec

reta

rial

,an

d R

elat

ed O

ccup

atio

ns

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs$1

3,30

6$1

2,57

0$1

3,44

6$1

3,69

2$1

6,04

7$1

5,03

2$1

3,77

4$1

3,14

2

8. C

arpe

ntry

$13,

215

$12,

083

$13,

257

$13,

399

$10,

680

$20,

323

$14,

999

$13,

040

9. E

lect

roni

cs$1

3,93

8$1

2,26

5$1

4,33

4$1

3,77

1$1

2,88

2$1

5,25

1$1

3,82

6$1

4,35

9

10. M

achi

ne S

hop

$15,

354

$13,

228

$15,

712

$15,

407

$16,

195

$14,

819

$14,

326

$15,

983

11. C

osm

etol

ogy

$8,6

56$7

,766

$8,8

04$9

,064

$9,2

07$8

,463

$7,0

08$8

,893

12. O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

$11,

096

$11,

164

$11,

090

$12,

962

$11,

242

$11,

011

$13,

106

$10,

925

Exp

erie

nce

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

30flr

)

Page 46: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IB-3

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

1979

SE

CO

ND

AR

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

UA

TE

SB

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M A

ND

RE

GIO

N(1

985

TA

X Y

EA

R)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L E

DU

CA

TIO

NA

LL

OU

TSI

DE

AL

LC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOU

TH

WE

STB

AL

AN

CE

PRO

GR

AM

RE

GIO

NS

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OF

OH

IO

1.A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

re$1

1,79

5S1

1,44

8$1

1,86

6$1

3,63

1$11,477

$10,

025

$12,

126

$11,

982

2.M

arke

ting

$12,

386

$13,

582

$12,

087

$12,

119

$10,

771

$12,

893

$12,

465

$11,

996

3.H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

$10,

738

$10,

360

$10,

810

$11,

736

$10,

543

$10,

415

$11,

846

$10,

620

Edu

catio

n

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ics

Edu

catio

n$1

1,00

3$1

1,54

4$1

0,87

6$1

1,43

7$1

3,48

2$1

0,73

6$1

0,16

8$1

0,42

1

5.A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

and

$13,

623

$14,

151

$13,

499

$11,

874

$11,

613

$13,

979

$17,

232

$13,

199

Bus

ines

s D

ata

Proc

essi

ng

6. G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

leri

cal,

$12,

370

$12,

832

$12,

282

$13,

443

$12,

086

$10,

153

$12,

636

$11,

386

Sten

ogra

phic

, Sec

reta

rial

,an

d R

elat

ed O

ccup

atio

ns

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs$1

6,34

0$1

5,66

8$1

6,46

8$1

5,74

1$2

1,66

3$2

0,26

3$1

5,93

2$1

5,97

1

8.C

arpe

ntry

$17,

139

$16,

366

$17,

310

$16,

011

$17,

798

$21,

261

$17,

182

$17,

019

9.E

lect

roni

cs$1

8,12

0$1

7,64

0$1

8,24

0$1

7,79

0$1

6,03

8$1

8,57

0$1

8,35

4$1

8,56

9

10. M

achi

ne S

hop

$18,

826

$18,

572

$18,

878

$19,

314

$19,

660

$18,

283

$15,

558

$18,

421

I 1.

Cos

met

olog

y$9

,820

$9,1

91$9

,931

$10,

331

$9,6

01$9

,485

$10,

288

$9,7

58

12. O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

$12,

931

$13,

250

$12,

861

$13,

268

$12,

817

$11,

977

$14,

343

$12,

708

Exp

erie

nce

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

331

Page 47: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IB-4

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

1979

SE

CO

ND

AR

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

UA

TE

SB

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M A

ND

RE

GIO

N(1

986

TA

X Y

EA

R)

rVO

CA

TIO

NA

L E

DU

CA

TIO

NA

LL

OU

TSI

DE

AL

LC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOU

TH

WE

STB

AL

AN

CE

PRO

GR

AM

RE

GIO

NS

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OF

OH

IO

1 .

A g

ricu

l t u

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

re$1

3,78

1$1

2,44

9$1

3,99

7$1

3,74

5$1

4,21

3$1

5,01

3$1

2,82

3$1

2,61

3

2. M

arke

ting

$13,

904

$15,

201

$13,

744

$15,

092

$12,

149

$14,

298

$16,

582

$12,

895

3.H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

$11,

403

$10,

631

$11,

600

$13,

192

$12,

424

$11,

564

$11,

594

$11,

402

Edu

catio

n

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ics

Edu

catio

n$1

2,26

3$1

5,39

9$1

1,47

8$1

1,04

9$1

5,96

2$1

2,68

7$1

0,04

3$1

1,27

0

5.A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

and

$15,

170

$15,

897

$14,

930

$14,

970

$17,

544

$15,

113

$17,

523

$14,

472

Bus

ines

s D

ata

Proc

essi

ng

6. G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

leri

cal,

$13,

049

$13,

507

$12,

785

$13,

555

$13,

395

$12,

403

$15,

382

$12,

345

Sten

ogra

phic

, Sec

reta

rial

,an

d R

elat

ed O

ccup

atio

ns

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs$1

8,01

8$1

6,72

5$1

8,26

5$1

8,49

4$1

8,49

9$1

9,25

6$1

8,29

6$1

7,95

1

8. C

arpe

ntry

$18,

414

$17,

038

$18,

718

$19,

327

S16,

240

$23,

023

$20,

023

$18,

066

9.E

lect

roni

cs$1

9,67

5$1

8,45

9$1

9,98

9$1

9,20

3$1

9,24

4$1

9,60

3$2

0,30

8$1

9,63

1

10. M

achi

ne S

hop

S20,

629

$19,

156

$21,

365

$21,

831

$21,

377

$21,

030

$20,

819

$21,

176

11. C

osm

etol

ogy

$10,

301

$10,

095

$10,

547

$11,

393

S10,

895

$10,

466

$10,

532

$10,

261

12. O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

$14,

165

$14,

408

$14,

058

$15,

616

$15,

933

$13,

998

$17,

190

$13,

339

Exp

erie

nce

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral

Inco

me

Tax

Dat

a hy

LA

Gha

zala

h, O

hio

Uni

vers

ity

c,,

f',1

I32

65

Page 48: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IB-5

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

1979

SE

CO

ND

AR

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

UA

TE

SB

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M A

ND

RE

GIO

N(1

987

TA

X Y

EA

R)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L E

DU

CA

TIO

NA

LL

OU

TSI

DE

AL

LC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOU

TH

WE

STB

AL

AN

CE

PRO

GR

AM

RE

GIG

NS

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OF

OH

IO

1. A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

reS1

4,74

0$1

6,15

9$1

4,52

9$1

5,40

8$1

4,82

0$1

4,19

6S1

3,92

1$1

4,66

4

Z M

arke

ting

$15,

139

$17,

443

$15,

093

$14,

850

$14,

123

$14,

286

$17,

584

$15,

101

3. H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

$13,

046

$13,

177

$13,

025

$13,

087

$13,

241

$12,

712

$13,

037

$12,

857

Edu

catio

n

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ics

Edu

catio

n$1

3,85

2$1

7,43

8$1

3,09

3$1

2,13

5$1

4,45

2$1

2,67

7$1

1,08

9$1

3,20

5

5. A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

and

$16,

540

$17,

215

$16,

296

$18,

204

$16,

559

$16,

0445

$17,

950

$15,

925

Bus

ines

s D

ata

Proc

essi

ng

6. G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

leri

cal,

$14,

941

$16,

009

$14,

533

$14,

697

$14,

614

$13,

060

$15,

793

$14,

399

Sten

ogra

phic

, Sec

reta

rial

,an

d R

elat

ed O

ccup

atio

ns

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs$1

9,94

9$1

7,84

9$2

0,02

9$2

0,24

7$1

8,19

2$2

3,27

3$2

2,61

8$1

8,68

7

8. C

arpe

ntry

$20,

368

$19,

822

$20,

508

$20,

689

$18,

833

$21,

318

$19,

027

$20,

110

9. E

lect

roni

cs$2

1,43

8$2

1,86

9$2

0,98

2$2

0,67

3$2

1,34

7$2

1,14

3$2

0,81

9$2

0,51

7

10. M

achi

ne S

hop

$23,

686

$23,

884

$23,

650

$23,

748

$23,

927

$23,

271

$21,

603

$23,

081

11. C

Osm

etol

ogy

$11,

188

$11,

824

$10,

957

$10,

701

$12,

319

$9,6

15$1

3,39

1$1

0,73

0

12 O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

$15,

625

$16,

165

$15,

271

$10,

011

$15,

803

$14,

473

$14,

652

$15,

025

Exp

erie

nce

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

A.6

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nivt

rsity

0 0

336

7

Page 49: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

I13-

6

ME

EA

N R

EPO

RT

ED

IN

CO

ME

OF

1979

SE

CO

ND

AR

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

UA

TE

SB

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M A

ND

RE

GIO

N(1

988

TA

X Y

EA

R)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L E

DU

CA

TIO

NPR

OG

RA

MA

LL

RE

GIO

NS

OU

TSI

DE

OH

IOA

LL

OH

IOC

EN

TR

AL

OH

ION

OR

TH

EA

STO

HIO

NO

RT

HW

EST

.

OH

IO'

$OU

TE

WE

ST .

OH

IO'

'B

AI.

AN

CE

OF

OH

IO

I. A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

re$1

6,03

551

6,14

0$1

5,77

2$1

6,19

8$1

4,03

7$1

7,39

9$1

4,74

8$1

5,62

8

2..

Mar

ketin

g$1

6,97

5$2

1,29

8$1

6,21

7$1

6,54

0$1

5,99

4$1

6,02

7$1

9,94

5$1

5,63

1

3. H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

$14,

157

$14,

264

$14,

144

$14,

906

$14,

432

$13,

652

$13,

609

$14,

498

Edu

catio

n

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ics

Edu

catio

n$1

7,62

1$1

9,1

54$1

7,35

2$1

3,70

1$1

6,43

0$1

5,00

9$1

7,19

3$1

9,14

0

S. A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

and

$17,

565

$18,

525

$17,

382

$19,

306

$16,

613

$19,

053

$19,

847

$16,

109

Bus

ines

s D

ata

Proc

essi

ng

6. G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

leri

cal,

$16,

170

$19,

098

$15,

706

$17,

102

$15,

563

$14,

554

$15,

716

$15,

787

Sten

ogra

phic

, Sec

reta

rial

,an

d R

elat

ed O

ccup

atio

ns

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs$2

1,47

6$2

0,61

8$2

1,59

4$2

1,28

9$2

1,80

7$2

4,84

5$2

3,11

1$1

9,80

3

8. C

arpe

ntry

$22,

431

$23,

273

$22,

373

$22,

810

$24,

008

$20,

982

$22,

530

$21,

082

9.E

lect

roni

cs$2

3,62

3$2

5,07

4$2

3,32

5$2

2,94

0$2

2,87

3$2

3,94

1$2

4,30

5$2

3,27

4

10. M

achi

ne S

hop

$25,

692

$24,

973

52.5

,797

526,

462

526,

180

$25,

667

$27,

214

$25,

117

11. C

osm

etol

ogy

$11,

778

$13,

396

$11,

577

$11,

471

$11,

302

$11,

131

$11,

751

$11,

619

1 2.

Occ

upat

iona

l Wor

k$1

6,48

8$1

7,2

42$1

6,35

4$2

1,61

8$1

9,74

5$1

5,23

2$1

6,52

9$1

5,75

7

Exp

erie

nce

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gaud

inal

Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

try

LA

. Gha

zala

h, O

hio

Uni

vers

ity

34

c.3

Page 50: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IB-7

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

IN

198

3, 1

984,

198

5, 1

986,

198

7 A

ND

1988

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

1979

Sec

onda

ry V

ocat

iona

l Gra

duat

es

Mea

n In

com

eM

ean

Inco

me

Mea

n In

com

eM

ean

Inco

me

Mea

n In

com

eM

ean

Inco

me

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

in 1

983

in 1

984

in 1

985

in 1

986

in 1

987

in 1

988

1. A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

re$7

,872

$9,9

33$1

1,79

5$1

3,78

1$1

4,74

0$1

6,03

5

2. M

arke

ting

$7,6

97$1

0,07

7$1

2,38

6$1

3,90

4$1

5,13

9$1

6,97

5

3.H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

$7,8

82$9

,412

$10,

738

$11,

403

$13,

046

$14,

157

Edu

catio

n

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ies

Edu

catio

n$6

,M9

$9,1

71$1

1,00

3$1

2,26

3S1

3,85

2S1

7,62

1

5. A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

and

$9,2

35$1

1,03

8$1

3,62

3$1

5,17

0$1

6,54

0$1

7,56

5B

usin

ess

Dat

a Pr

oces

sing

6. G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

leri

cal,

$8,6

74$1

0,51

1$1

2,37

0$1

3,04

9$1

4,94

1$1

6,17

0St

enog

raph

ic, S

ecre

tari

al,

and

Rel

ated

Occ

upat

ions

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs$1

0,37

0$1

3,30

6$1

6,34

0$1

8,01

8$1

9,94

9$2

1,47

6

8. C

arpe

ntry

$10,

148

$13,

215

$17,

139

$18,

414

$20,

368

$22,

431

9.E

lect

roni

cs$1

1,06

0$1

3,93

8$1

8,12

0$1

9,67

5$2

1,43

8$2

3,62

3

10. M

achi

ne S

hop

$11,

396

$15,

354

$18,

826

$20,

629

$23,

686

$25,

692

11. C

osm

etol

ogy

$6,9

46$8

,656

$9,8

20$1

0,30

1$1

1,18

8$1

1,77

8

12. O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

$8,1

08$1

1,09

6$1

2,93

1$1

4,16

5$1

5,62

5$1

6,48

8E

xper

ienc

e

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on F

eder

al I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by 1

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

35

07

1

Page 51: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

(iii) The percentage sample loss by program between 1979 and each of the study years

1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 from all female and male dominated programs

were used to calculate a weighted percentage loss of females and males. This weighted

percentage loss was then used to adjust the original 1979 gender breakdown. Table

IIB-8 shows the adjusted gender breakdown for 1988, 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983

as well as the original gender breakdown at time of graduation in 1979.

Age

Incomes of the 1988 Secondary Vocational graduates were analyzed by comparison to

income data on age-specific (27-year-old) high school graduates in the U.S. for 1988. Incomes

of the comparable group were generated using the machine-readable data file Current

Population Survey, March 1989 conducted by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau of

Labor Statistics: Current Population Survey, March 1989 Tape Technical Documentation and

prepared by Data User Services Division, Data Access and Use Staff, Bureau of the Census,

Washington: The Bureau, 1989.

The age-specific Bureau of the Census income data for completers of four years of

high school, and the adjusted gender composition were used to calculate the U.S. basic

comparison figure for each of the Secondary Vocational programs. For example, the 1988 U.S.

comparison figure of $12,324 for graduates of Marketing was calculated by multiplying 0.5643

(the proportion of females) times $8,594 (the female earnings figure) and adding the result to

that of multiplying .4357 (the proportion of males) times $17,157 (the male earnings figure).

Table IIB-9 shows the 1988 mean income of the comparable group (the same age,

gender composition and educational achievement) for each of the twelve Secondary Vocational

programs.

Next, in order to carry out the comparison over time between incomes of graduates

of vocational programs in the study and those of the comparable group in the general

population, we utilized the same procedure described for 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983.

Table IIB-10 shows the mean income of the comparable group (the same age, gender

composition and educational achievement) for each of the Secondary Vocational programs for

each of the study years 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 (four, five, six, seven, eight and

nine years following graduation).

72 36

Page 52: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E B

B -

8

1979

SE

CO

ND

AR

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

UA

TE

S:A

DJU

STE

D G

EN

DE

R C

OM

POSI

TIO

N (

1988

,19

87, 1

986,

198

5, 1

984,

198

3)A

ND

GE

ND

ER

CO

MPO

SIT

ION

IN

197

9 B

Y P

RO

GR

AM

Miu

oted

Gen

der

Com

pogi

tion.

1988

1987

1986

1986

1984

1983

Gen

tler

Com

posi

tion

of 1

979

Gra

duat

es

Fem

ales

Mal

e.V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PRO

GR

AM

Fem

ales

Mal

esFe

mal

esM

ale.

Fem

ales

Mal

esFe

mal

esM

ale,

Fem

ales

Mal

esFe

mal

e.M

ales

Agr

icul

tura

l Pro

duct

ion

and

Hor

ticul

ture

60.0

6%49

.96%

49.6

9%60

.31%

51.4

9%48

.61%

48.6

7%61

.33%

51.5

0%48

.60%

51.0

9%48

.91%

51.0

9%48

.91%

Mar

ketin

g66

.43%

43.6

7%66

.61%

43/4

0%68

.10%

41.9

0%55

.06%

44.9

4%67

.28%

42.7

2%66

.60%

43.4

0%56

.60%

43.4

0%H

ealth

Cxu

patio

ns>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%>

99.0

0%<

1.40

%97

.55%

2.45

%95

.33%

4.67

%96

.33%

4.67

%E

duca

tion

Hom

e E

cono

mic

s86

.71%

14.2

9%86

.78%

14.2

2%89

.13%

10.8

7%85

.36%

14.6

4%83

.17%

16.8

3%80

.20%

19.8

0%80

.20%

19.8

0%E

duca

tion

Acc

ount

ing,

Com

putin

gan

d B

usin

ess

Dat

a64

.24%

36.7

6%64

.23%

35.7

7%65

.11%

34.8

9%63

.18%

36.8

2%64

.49%

36.6

1%63

.33%

36.6

7%63

.33%

36.6

7%

Proc

esai

ng

Gen

eral

°In

ce C

leri

c>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%>

99.0

0%<

L00

%98

.10%

1.90

%98

.10%

1.90

%St

enog

raph

ic,

Secr

etar

ial,

and

Rel

ated

Occ

upat

ions

Aut

o M

echa

nics

<1.

00%

>99

.00%

<1.

00%

>99

.00%

<1.

00%

>99

00%

<1.

00%

>99

.00%

<1.

00%

>99

.00%

0.90

%99

.10%

0.90

%99

.10%

Car

pent

ry<

1.00

%>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%>

9900

%<

1.00

%>99.00%

<1.

00%

>99

.00%

<1.

00%

>99

.00%

0.20

%99

.80%

0.20

%99

.80%

Ele

ctro

nics

<1.

00%

>99

.00%

<1.

00%

>99

00%

<1.00%

>99

00%

<1.

00%

>99

.00%

1.63

%98

.37%

2.60

%97

.40%

2.60

%97

.40%

Mac

hine

Sho

p<

1.00

%>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%>

9900

%<

1.00

%>

9900

%<

1.00

%>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%>

99.0

0%1.

46%

98.6

4%1.

46%

98.5

4%

Cos

met

olog

y>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%>

9900

%<

1.00

%>

9900

%<

1.0(

.4>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%>

99.0

0%<

1.00

%98

.94%

1.06

%98

.94%

L06

%O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

23.7

2%76

.28%

24.0

5%76

.95%

232"

76.7

1*20

.76%

79.2

6%28

.04%

71.9

6%28

.47%

71.6

3%28

.47%

71.5

3%E

xper

ienc

e

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy R

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by L

A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

377

4

Page 53: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TABLE IIB-9

MEAN INCOME OF EQUIVALENT GROUP

BY VOCATIONAL PROGRAM

(1988)

VOCATIONAL PROGRAM Mean Income of Equivalent Group

(1988)

Agricultural Production

and Horticulture

$12,871

Marketing $12,324

Health Occupations Education $8,594

Home Economics Education $9,818

Accounting, Computing and $11,656

Business Data Processing

General Office Clerical, $8,594

Stenographic, Secretarial,

and Related Occupations

Auto Mechanics $17,157

Carpentry $17,157

Electronics $17,157

Machine Shop $17,157

Cosmctology $8,594

Occupational Work Experience $15,125

1979 Vocational Education Graduates in 1988: A Longitudinal Study Based on Federal Income Data byLA.Ghazalah, Chio University

38

75

Page 54: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IB-1

0

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

IN

198

3, 1

984,

198

5, 1

986,

198

7 A

ND

198

8 O

F E

QU

IVA

LE

NT

GR

OU

PSB

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

Mea

n In

com

eM

ean

Inco

me

Mea

n In

com

eM

ean

Inco

me

Mea

n In

com

eM

ean

Inco

me

in 1

983

in 1

984

in 1

985

in 1

986

in 1

987

in 1

988

Agr

icul

tura

l Pro

duct

ion

and

Hor

ticul

ture

$6,8

15$7

,767

$9,5

28$9

,985

$12,

428

$12,

871

Mar

ketin

g$6

,624

$7,5

31$9

,164

$9,5

59$1

1,88

5$1

2,32

4

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

ns E

duca

tion

$5,2

83$5

,886

$6,6

05$6

,863

$8,4

27$8

,594

Hom

e E

cono

mic

s E

duca

tion

$5,7

94$6

,473

$7,4

39$7

,563

$9,5

58$9

,818

Acc

ount

ing,

Com

putin

g an

d$6

,391

$7,2

37$8

,701

$9,1

08$1

1,27

1$1

1,65

6B

usin

ess

Dat

a Pr

oces

sing

Gen

eral

Off

ice

Cle

rica

l,$5

,187

$5,7

86$6

,605

$6,8

63$8

,427

$8,5

94St

enog

raph

ic, S

ecre

tari

al,

and

Rel

ated

Occ

upat

ions

Aut

o M

echa

nics

$8,5

85$9

,871

$12,

299

$13,

298

$16,

379

$17,

157

Car

pent

ry$8

,578

$9,8

71$1

2,29

9$1

3,29

8$1

6,37

9$1

7,15

7

Ele

ctro

nics

$8,4

95$9

,804

$12,

299

$13,

298

$16,

379

$17,

157

Mac

hine

Sho

p$8

,538

$9,8

71$1

2,29

9$1

3,29

8$1

6,37

9$1

7,15

7

Cos

met

olog

y$5

,157

$5,7

86$6

,605

$6,8

63$8

,427

$8,5

94

Occ

upat

iona

l Wor

k E

xper

ienc

e$7

,599

$8,7

26$1

1,11

8$1

1,79

9$1

4,46

7$1

5,12

5

76

Page 55: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

Diagram IIB41 shows for each of the Secondary Vocational programs the mean

income of the vocational program graduates and the mean income of the comparable group

during the six study years 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988. In all of these years, the

mean income of vocational graduates of each program exceeds that of the comparable group.

The change over time in mean income ratio of the vocational graduates to comparable

groups can be examined in Table IIB-12. For all but one of the twelve programs, the ratio of

the mean income was higher in 1988, 1987, 1986, 1985 and 1984, than in 1983, the first year

of the study. The 1c ratio of 1.33 compared to 1.35 in 1983 for Cosmetology provided the

only exception.

Tables IIB-13, IIB-14, IIB-15, IIB-16, IIB-17 and IIB-18 which show the vocational

program-equivalent group mean income ratios by region for 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and

1988 provide a basis for a similar examination of the behavior over time of vocational

education income differential.

Finally, Diagram IIB-19 provides longitudinal curves for comparing the mean income

of vocational graduates to the mean income of the equivalent group. For each program, two

Lagrange interpolation polynomials were generated by substituting the data of the program

into the Lagrange interpolation formula. The two curves in the diagram of each Secondary

Vocational program are obtained by plotting the two Lagrange interpolation polynomials. The

two curves trace the change in mean income over the 1983-1988 study period, and the

evolution of the mean income of the vocational program graduate and that of the equivalent

group.

40

Page 56: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

DIAGRAM IIB-11

Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 19881979 Secondary Vocational Graduates vs. Equivalent Groups

AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION

AND HORTICULTURE

mow

$18.000 :

$16.000 -1

]$14.000

$12.000 1

$10.000

$8000

$6.000

$4000 "

$2:001

$20.000

$18.000

$16.000

983 1984 1985 985 1987 1988

riEALTH OCCUFATICNS EDUCATION

$14.000

$12.000 -1

$10.300 -1

1

$8.000

$6.000 ,

-4

$4.000 4

$2.300

1983 1984 1985 1986 1967 1985

$20.000

$18.000

MARKETING

$16.000

$14.000

$12.000

$10.000

$8.000

$6.000

$4.000

$2.000

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

mow

HOME ECONOMICS EDUCATION

$18.000

$16.000

$14.000

$12.000

$10.000

$8.000

$6.000

$4.000

$2.009

1953 1984 1985 1986 '987 1988

1979 Vocationo Gel:musty. Eavivoiant GinuP9

41

Page 57: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

$22...200

DIAGRAM IIB-11 (continued)

Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 19881979 Secondary Vocational Graduates vs. Equivalent Groups

ACCOUNTING. COMPUTING AND

BUSNESS DATA PRCCESSING

1

$4.200

$2.200

1

GENERAL OFFICE CLERICAL STENOGRAPHIC,

SECRETARIAL, AND RELATED OCCUPATIONS

$20.000

$18.000-

$16.000

$14.000

$12.000 1

$10.000 1

$.00,

$6.000 i

1$4.000

$2.000;

1983 1984 '985 1986 1957 955

AUTO ME.,--7,NIC5

1983 1984 1985 '986 1987 1988

$24.000

$22.000

$20.003

$18.000

$16.000

1983 1984 1985 1986

CARPirNTRI

1987 1988

$14.000

$12.000

$10.000

$8.000

$6.000 1

$4.000

$2.000

1

1983 1984 1985 19'86 1987 1988

1971 Vocational Costamatos falueocoksn't GrouPs

42

Page 58: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

DIAGRAM IIB-11 (continued)

Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 19881979 Secondary Vocational Graduates vs. Equivalent Groups

FCTRONICS

$74.000

1*22.000 -

.1

*20.000 11

*18.000 --1

816.000 j

$4.000

$12.000

810.CCO

_1

*6.000 1

*4=0

*2.000 -

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 I CH

COSMETOLCGY

*20.000

$18.000

819.000

$14200-4

812.000

810.000 ".1

Sa..wo

$6.000

84.000

*2.000

1983 1984 1485 1986 1987 1988

MACHINE SHOP

Snow

818.000

816.000

$14.000 -

$12.000

810.000

88.000 -

*6.000

$4.000

*2.000 -

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

OCCUPATONAL WORK EXPERIENCE

820.000

818.000

$16.000

814.0003

81/000

$6.000

$4.000

82.000

143 1484 1985 1988 1987 1988

1171 Vocational Competes tagivoort GreWie

43

81

Page 59: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

1B-1

2

RA

TIO

S O

F M

EA

N I

NC

OM

E O

F 19

79 S

EC

ON

DA

RY

VO

CA

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NA

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DU

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ES

TO

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

EQ

UIV

AL

EN

T G

RO

UP

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

IN 1

983,

198

4, 1

985,

198

6, 1

987

AN

D 1

988

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

A/v

i

Agr

icul

tura

l Pro

duct

ion

and

Hor

ticul

ture

Mar

ketin

g

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

ns E

duca

tion

Hom

e E

cono

mic

s E

duca

tion

Acc

ount

ing,

Com

putin

g an

dB

usin

ess

Dat

a Pr

oces

sing

Gen

eral

Off

ice

Cle

rica

l,St

enog

raph

ic, S

ecre

tari

al,

and

Rel

ated

Occ

upat

ions

Aut

o M

echa

nics

Car

pent

ry

Ele

ctro

nics

Mac

hine

Sho

p

Cos

met

olog

y

Occ

upat

iona

l Wor

k E

xper

ienc

e

1983

I19

84I

1985

I19

86I

1987

I19

88

1.16

1.28

1.16

1.49

1.15

1.45

1.34

1.60

1.42

1.53

1.67

1.82

1.21

1.18

1.30

1.33

1.35

1.07

1.35

1.34

1.42

1.56

1.50

1.27

1.24

1.38

1.35

1.63

1.48

1.57

1.45

1.66

1.62

1.67

1.87

1.90

1.33

1.39

1.47

1.53

1.49

1.16

1.35

1.38

1.48

1.55

1.50

1.20

1.19

1.27

1.55

1.45

1.47

1.77

1.22

1.24

1.31

1.45

1.33

1.08

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es h

t 198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by L

A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

44

1.25

1.38

1.65

1.79

1.51

1.88

1.25

1.31

1.38

1.50

1.37

1.09

Page 60: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IB-1

3

RA

TIO

S O

F M

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N I

NC

OM

E O

F 19

79 S

EC

ON

DA

RY

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CA

TIO

NA

L G

RA

DU

AT

ES

TO

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

EQ

UIV

AL

EN

T G

RO

UP

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

LPR

OG

RA

M A

ND

RE

GIO

N(1

983

TA

X Y

EA

R)

VO

CA

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NA

L E

DU

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LL

OU

TSI

DE

AL

LC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOU

TH

WE

STB

AL

AN

CE

PRO

GR

AM

RE

GIO

NS

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OF

OH

IO

1.A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

re1.

161.

391.

191.

230.

931.

411.

111.

38

2. M

arke

ting

1.16

1.44

1.17

1.06

1.15

0.75

1.38

1.30

3. H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

1.49

1.67

1.54

1.27

1.54

1.85

1.74

Edu

catio

n

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ics

Edu

catio

n1.

151.

381.

171.

071.

151.

570.

941.

32

5. A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

and

1.45

1.31

1.49

1.77

1.41

1.36

1.80

1.70

Bus

ines

s D

ata

Proc

essi

ng

6. G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

leri

cal,

1.67

1.64

1.76

2.19

1.32

1.39

1.74

2.07

Sten

ogra

phic

, Sec

reta

rial

,an

d R

elat

ed O

ccup

atio

ns

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs1.

211.

151.

281.

071.

151.

461.

261.

46

8. C

arpe

ntry

1.18

1.56

1.14

133

0.87

1.13

1.32

9.E

lect

roni

cs1.

301.

321.

371.

151.

381.

041.

221.

5810

. Mac

hine

Sho

p1.

331.

341.

400.

841.

351.

641.

471.

60

11. C

osm

etol

ogy

1.35

1.11

1.45

1.18

1.34

1.91

1.63

12. O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

1.07

1.02

1.13

1.88

0.97

!.15

0.73

1.30

Exp

erie

nce

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

oU

nive

rsity

8445

S5

Page 61: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IB-1

4

RA

TIO

S O

F M

EA

N I

NC

OM

E O

F 19

79 S

EC

ON

DA

RY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L G

RA

DU

AT

ES

TO

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

EQ

UIV

AL

EN

T G

RO

UP

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

AN

D R

EG

ION

(198

4 T

AX

YE

AR

)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L E

DU

CA

TIO

NA

LL

OU

TSI

DE

AL

LC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOU

TH

WE

STB

AL

AN

CE

PRO

GR

AM

RE

GIO

NS

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OF

OH

IO

I.A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

re1.

281.

211.

341.

301.

481.

371.

351.

48

2. M

arke

ting

1.34

1.49

1.37

1.28

1.04

133

1.57

1.55

3. H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

1.60

1.43

1.71

1.88

1.54

1.68

1.57

1.93

Edu

catio

n

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ics

Edu

catio

n1.

421.

521.

471.

351.

771.

611.

181.

64

5. A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

and

1.53

1.53

1.61

1.44

1.84

1.67

1.66

1.80

Bus

ines

s D

ata

Proc

essi

ng

6. G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

Eri

cal,

1.82

1.93

1.89

1.76

1.94

1.88

1.79

2.14

Sten

ogra

phic

, Sec

reta

rial

,an

d R

elat

ed O

ccup

atio

ns

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs1.

351.

271.

431.

391.

631.

591.

391.

59

8. C

arpe

ntry

134

1.22

1.41

1.36

1.08

2.15

1.51

1.58

9.E

lect

roni

cs1.

421.

251.

541.

411.

321.

621.

4.0

1.75

10. M

achi

ne S

hop

1.56

1.34

1.68

1.56

1.64

1.56

1.44

1.94

11. C

osm

etol

ogy

130

134

1.60

137

1.60

132

1.20

1.84

12. O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

1.27

1.25

1.34

1.49

1.29

132

1.49

130

Exp

erie

nce

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

axD

ata

by L

A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

46

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TA

BL

E I

IB-1

5

RA

TIO

S O

F M

EA

N I

NC

OM

E O

F 19

79 S

EC

ON

DA

RY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L G

RA

DU

AT

ES

TO

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

EQ

UIV

AL

EN

T G

RO

UP

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

AN

D R

EG

ION

(198

5 T

AX

YE

AR

)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L E

DU

CA

TIO

NA

LL

OU

TSI

DE

AL

LC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOU

TH

WE

STB

AL

AN

CE

PRO

GR

AM

RE

GIO

NS

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OF

OH

IO

1.A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

re1.

241.

201.

311.

431.

221.

111.

251.

59

2. M

arke

ting

1.35

1.48

1.39

1.33

1.19

1.48

1.34

1.66

3. H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

1.63

1.57

1.72

1.78

1.60

1.66

1.76

2.04

Edu

catio

n

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ics

Edu

catio

n1.

481.

551.

541.

541.

831.

521.

541.

78

5.A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

and

1.57

1.63

1.63

1.37

1.35

1.69

1.95

1.92

Bus

ines

s D

ata

Proc

essi

ng

6. G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

leri

cal,

1.87

1.94

1.96

2.04

1.83

1.62

1.88

2.19

Sten

ogra

phic

, Sec

reta

rial

,an

d R

elat

ed O

ccup

atio

ns

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs1.

331.

271.

411.

281.

781.

731.

271.

65

8. C

arpe

ntry

1.39

1.33

1.48

1.31

1.46

1.82

1.37

1.75

9.E

lect

roni

cs1.

471.

431.

561.

451.

321.

591.

471.

91

10. M

achi

ne S

hop

1.53

1.51

1.62

1.57

1.62

1.56

1.24

1.90

11. C

osm

etol

ogy

1.49

1.39

1.58

1.57

1.47

1.51

1.53

1.87

12. O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

1.16

1.19

1.22

1.20

1.17

1.13

1.27

1.45

Exp

erie

nce

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

8847

8 9

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TA

BL

E I

IB-1

6

RA

TIO

S O

F M

EA

N I

NC

OM

E O

F 19

79 S

EC

ON

DA

RY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L G

RA

DU

AT

ES

TO

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

EQ

UIV

AL

EN

T G

RO

UP

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

AN

D R

EG

ION

(198

6 T

AX

YE

AR

)

VO

CA

TIO

N X

L E

DU

CA

TIO

NPR

OG

RA

MA

LL

RE

GIO

NS

OU

TSI

DE

OH

IOA

LL

OH

IOC

EN

TR

AL

IO

HIO

I

NO

RT

HE

AST

OH

ION

OR

TH

WE

STO

HIO

SOU

TH

WE

STO

HIO

BA

LA

NC

EO

F O

HIO

1.A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

re1.

381.

251.

4813

81.

441.

631.

261.

56

2.M

arke

ting

1.45

1.59

1.51

1.58

1.29

1.62

1.71

1.67

3.H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

1.66

1.55

1.78

1.9'

31.

831.

831.

662.

06

Edu

catio

n

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ics

Edu

catio

n1.

622.

041.

601.

462.

141.

821.

311.

85

5.A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

and

1.67

1.75

1.73

1.65

1.95

1.80

1.89

1.91

Bus

ines

s D

ata

Proc

essi

ng

6.G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

leri

cal,

1.90

1.97

1.96

1.98

1.95

1.96

2.20

2.23

Sten

ogra

phic

, Sec

reta

rial

,an

d R

elat

ed O

ccup

atio

ns

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs13

51.

261.

4513

91.

4113

713

51.

67

8.C

arpe

ntry

1.38

1.28

1.48

1.46

1.24

1.88

1.48

1.68

9.E

lect

roni

cs1.

4813

91.

581.

851.

461.

601.

501.

83

10. M

achi

ne S

hop

155

1.44

1.69

1.65

1.63

1.72

1.54

1.97

11. C

osm

etol

ogy

150

1.47

1.62

1.66

1.61

1.65

131

1.85

11 O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

1.20

1.22

1.25

133

137

129

1.43

1.40

Exp

erie

nce

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy o

n Fe

dera

l Inc

ome

Tax

Dat

a by

I.A

Gha

zala

h, O

hio

Uni

vers

ity

48

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TA

BL

E I

IB-1

7

RA

TIO

S O

F M

EA

N I

NC

OM

E O

F 19

79 S

EC

ON

DA

RY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L G

RA

DU

AT

ES

TO

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

EQ

UIV

AL

EN

T G

RO

UP

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

AN

DR

EG

ION

(198

7 T

AX

YE

AR

)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L E

DU

CA

TiO

NA

LL

OU

TSI

DE

AL

LC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOU

TH

WE

STB

AIA

NC

EPR

OG

RA

MR

EG

ION

SO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

F O

HIO

1.A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

re1.

191.

241.

181.

181.

161.

131.

0513

0

2. M

arke

ting

1.27

1.40

1.28

1.13

1.15

1.19

1.38

139

3.H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

1.55

1.47

1.56

1.48

1.53

1.49

1.45

1.67

Edu

catio

n

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ics

Edu

catio

n1.

451.

741.

381.

381.

4713

11.

081.

52

5. A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

and

1.47

1.45

1.46

1.54

1.43

1.41

1.49

1.41

Bus

ines

s D

ata

Proc

essi

ng

6. G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

ieri

cal,

1.77

1.81

1.74

1.66

1.68

1.53

1.75

1.88

Sten

ogra

phic

, Sec

reta

rial

,an

d R

elat

ed O

ccup

atio

ns

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs1.

221.

041.

241.

241.

081.

411.

2913

2

8. C

arpe

ntry

1.24

1.15

1.26

1.20

1.12

1.29

1.09

135

9.E

lect

roni

cs1.

311.

271.

291.

201.

261.

281.

191.

38

10. M

achi

ne S

hop

1.45

1.39

1.45

1.38

1.42

1.41

1.23

1.55

11. C

osm

etol

ogy

1.33

1.34

1.31

1.21

1.42

1.13

1.48

1.40

12. O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

1.08

1.06

1.07

1.05

1 06

0.99

0.95

1.14

Exp

erie

nce

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

lSt

udy

Bas

ed o

n Fe

dera

l Inc

ome

Tax

Dat

a by

LA

. Gha

zala

h, O

hio

Uni

vers

ity

92,

4993

Page 65: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IB-1

8

RA

TIO

S O

F M

EA

N I

NC

OM

E O

F 19

79 S

EC

ON

DA

RY

GR

AD

UA

TE

S T

O M

EA

N I

NC

OM

EO

F E

QU

IVA

LE

NT

GR

OU

P B

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M A

ND

RE

GIO

N(1

988

TA

X Y

EA

R)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L E

DU

CA

TIO

NPR

OG

RA

MA

LL

RE

GIO

NS

OU

TSI

DE

OH

IOA

LL

OH

IOC

EN

TR

AL

0111

0N

OR

TH

EA

STO

HIO

NO

RT

HW

EST

OH

IOSO

UT

HW

EST

OH

IOB

AL

AN

CE

OF

OH

IO

I. A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

ortic

ultu

re1.

251.

281.

241.

251.

221.

291.

0813

1

2. M

arke

ting

1.38

1.43

1.36

1.38

1.28

1.30

1.32

1.40

3. H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

1.65

1.68

1.63

1.70

1.66

1.54

1.51

1.73

Edu

catio

n

4. H

ome

Eco

nom

ics

Edu

catio

n1.

791.

811.

761.

711.

781.

741.

801.

83

5.A

ccou

ntin

g, C

ompu

ting

and

1.51

1.58

1.49

1.52

1.46

1.47

1.44

1.49

Bus

ines

s D

ata

Proc

essi

ng

6. G

ener

al O

ffic

e C

leri

cal,

1.88

1.92

1.86

1.85

1.88

1.79

1.86

1.93

Sten

ogra

phic

, Sec

reta

rial

,an

d R

elat

ed O

ccup

atio

ns

7. A

uto

Mec

hani

cs1.

2.5

1.21

1.26

1.25

1.24

1.36

1.28

1.29

8. C

arpe

ntry

1.31

1.34

1.30

1.28

1.39

1.22

1.27

1.38

9.E

lect

roni

cs1.

381.

441.

371.

331.

381.

411.

431.

51

10. M

achi

ne S

hop

1.50

1.47

1.50

1.54

1.52

1.49

1.58

1.66

11. C

osm

etol

ogy

1.37

1.42

1.36

1.27

1.29

1.35

1.39

1.47

12. O

ccup

atio

nal W

ork

1.09

1.18

1.08

1.16

1.10

1.06

1.09

1.16

Exp

erie

nce

t_

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dyB

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

0

50

l

Page 66: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

DIAGRAM IIB-19

Longitudinal Curves - Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986. 1987 and 19881979 Secondary Vocational Graduates vs. Equivalent Groups

AGRICULTURAL PRODXTION

AND HORTICULTURE

$20400

woo -

$16.000

$14.000 -I

$12.000

j10.000

$8.000

$6.000

$4.0001

$2.000 -

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

HEALTH OCCUPATIONS EDUCATION

$20.000 -1

$18.CCO

1$16.000

$14.000

$10.000

38.000 -

36400 1

$4.000

$2.000

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

MARKETING

$20.000 -

$18.000 -

$16.000

$14.000

$12.000 -

$10.000 -

$8.000

$6.000 -

$4.000

$2.000

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

HOME ECONOMICS EDUCATION

$24.000

$22.000

$20.000 I

$18.000

316.000 ,

314.000 I$12.000

310.000

$8.000

$6.000

$4.000 -

$2.000 -

1983 1984 1985 1966 1987 1988

vocadono Commits* Equivalent Grve

9 6 51BEST COPY AVAILABLE

Page 67: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

$20.0co

DIAGRAM IIB-19 (continued)

Longitudinal Curves - Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 19881979 Secondary Vocational Graduates vs. Equivalent Groups

ACCOUNTING. COMPUTING AND

BUSINESS DATA PROCESSING

$18.000

1$16.000 -

-II514.000 -

$12.000 -1

$10...:00 -1

$8.000

56.000

$4.000

52.000

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

AUTO MECHANICS

520.000 -

$18.000 -

$16.000 -

514.000 -

$12.000

$1 0.000

$8.000

56.000 -

$4.000

52.000

1983 1984 1985 1985 1987 1988

GENERAL OFFICE CLERICAL STENOGRAPHIC.

SECRETARIAL AND RELATED OCCUPATIONS

520.000

$18.000 -

$16.000

$14.000 -

$12.000

510.000 -

58.000

$6.000

54.000

$7,000

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

CARPENTRY

$24.000

$22.000

$20000

$18.000

$16.000

$14.000

$12.000

$10.000 ":

$8.000

$6.000

$4.000

$2.000

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

1979 VOcatiortal Grtcluatea --0-- Equivalent 7-ow.

Page 68: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

DIAGRAM HB-19 (continued)

Longitudinal Curves - Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 19881979 Secondary Vocational Graduates vs. Equivalent Groups

ELECTRONICS MACHINE SHOP

$21:00 1 124.000

122000 1 $22.000-i

$20.000 11 $20.000

518.000 1 $18.000

$16.000 _I, *16.000

.1

$14:00 ..1 $14,000

112,000 1 $12.000

4slo.coo..; $10.000

,-18.000 :i.

: $8.000

16.300 -1 16.000

$4.000 :

$2.000:Ij $2.000

J1

1983 1984 1985 1985 1987 1488

COSMETOLOGY

120.000

$18.000 -

$16.000

$14.000

$12.000 -1

$10.000

118.000

1$6.000 ,

$4.000

12.000 -II

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

OCCUPATIONAL WORK EXPERIENCE

$20.000

$18.000

$16.000

$14.000

$12.000

$10.000

$8.000

16.000

$4.000 -

12.000

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

I1979 vocational Graduates -cw- Ecrtivo4ent Groups

9853

Page 69: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

C. REGIONAL MOBILITY OF 1979 SECONDARY VOCATIONAL EDUCATIONGRADUATES

The purpose of this section is to analyze the mobility patterns of vocational graduates

by comparing their residence in 1988, 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983 to that of 1979, the year

in which they completed their programs.

Each vocational graduate was identified by the zip code of the school attended in 1979.

Using the geographical regional classification of the State based on zip codes, we were able

to determine for each vocational program the number of trainees who resided in each of the

five regions of the State of Ohio (Central, Northeast, Northwest, Southwest and Balance of

Ohio).

Geographic Mobility, 1979-1988

The group data on vocational graduates provided by the Internal Revenue Service for

1988 were classified by the same geographical regions within the State (as well as a sixth

region: out-of-state) for each of the vocational programs. We were thus able to trace the

mobility of the vocational graduates between 1979 and 1988.

For each of the vocational programs, a retention rate was calculated in each of the

regions by comp .1g the region's percentage share in the total number of graduates in 1988

to that in 1979. To illustrate the calculation of the rctcntion ratc: if 2.41 percent of our sample

of Marketing graduates were trained in Northwest Ohio in 1979 while 1.895 percent of thc

same group were identified as residents of Northwest Ohio in 1988, thcn the region's 1979-

1988 retention rate of graduates of the Marketing program is estimated to be 78.63% (1.895

divided by 2.41).

Table IIC-1 provides the 1979-1988 retention rates by region for each of the twelve

Secondary Vocational programs studied as well as for all of these programs combined. The

retention rate of all twelve secondary programs for the State is estimated at 82.56%, indicating

that approximately 17.44% of the 1979 graduates were out-of-state residents in 1988. The

State's retention rate was estimated to be in the 80.13% to 86.05% range for all of the twelve

programs.

54

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TA

BL

E I

IC-1

RE

TE

NT

ION

RA

TE

S O

F SE

CO

ND

AR

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

UA

TE

SB

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M A

ND

RE

GIO

N19

79-1

988

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

SA

LL

CE

NT

RA

LN

OR

TH

EA

STN

OR

TH

WE

STSO

UT

HW

EST

BA

LA

NC

E O

FO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IO

All

Prog

ram

s

Agr

icul

tura

l Pro

duct

ion

and

Hor

ticul

ture

82.5

6%

84.7

9%

73.8

4%

37.3

3%

76.2

9%

68.5

3%

54.0

8%

49.0

0%

67.8

1%

57.3

3%

88.7

3%

129.

67%

Mar

ketin

g81

.14%

65.5

1%70

.41%

78.6

3%78

.63%

84.0

3%H

ealth

Occ

upat

ions

Edu

catio

n83

.45%

57.1

0%61

.24%

48.2

5%58

.82%

97.1

6%

Hom

e E

cono

mic

s E

duca

tion

81.4

4%80

.82%

46.2

3%59

.86%

51.6

1%94

.06%

Acc

ount

ing,

Com

putin

g an

d80

.13%

72.4

3%83

.06%

46.9

3%56

.17%

87.0

1%B

usin

ess

Dat

a Pr

oces

sing

Gen

eral

Off

ice

Cle

rica

l,83

.86%

100.

97%

8037

%83

.06%

76.8

1%84

.87%

Sten

ogra

phic

, Sec

reta

rial

,an

d R

elat

ed O

ccup

atio

ns

Aut

o M

echa

nics

86.0

5%69

.72%

74.4

7%16

38%

89.8

8%87

.27%

Car

pent

ry83

.74%

69.0

1%53

.19%

77.7

4%91

.12%

Ele

ctro

nics

80.1

7%67

.96%

95.7

8%21

.43%

7135

%85

.00%

Mac

hine

Sho

p85

.01%

21.0

3%79

.42%

3333

%94

37%

92.4

6%

Cos

i= z

ulog

y85

.20%

41.1

2%90

.07%

28.0

7%61

.19%

94.2

3%

Occ

upat

iona

l Wor

k82

29%

52.5

3%79

.42%

4731

%56

.80%

88.5

7%E

xper

ienc

e

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dyB

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

A G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

55

101

Page 71: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

A comparison of retention rates for the five Ohio regions shows the non-metropolitan

part of Ohio (the Balance of Ohio region) as experiencing the highest retention rate of

88.73%, i.e. in 1988 its share of residents among all 1979 Secondary Vocational graduates was

88.73% of its share in 1979, an estimate indicating a decrease of 11.27% in its share; while

Central Ohio, Northeast Ohio, Northwest Ohio and Southwest Ohio have 73.84%, 76.29%,

54.08% and 67.81%, respectively. In each case, the share decrease reflects the outmigration

of graduates to other regions in Ohio as well as to out-of-state locations.

Geographic Mobility, 1979-1983, 1979-1984, 1979-1985, 1979-1984 1979-1987, 1979-1988

The mobility patterns of the 1979 Secondary Vocational graduates can be analyzed by

comparing their residence in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 to that of 1979, the year

in which they completed their programs.

The group data on vocational graduates provided by the Internal Revenue Service for

1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 were classified by the same geographic regions within

the State (as well as a sixth region: out-of-state) for each of the vocational programs. We were

thus able to trace the mobility of vocational graduates between 1979 and 1983, 1979 and 1984,

1979 and 1985, 1979 and 1986, 1979 and 1987, and, 1979-1988.

For each of the vocational programs, a retention rate was calculated in each of the

regions by comparing the percent share in the total number of trainees in 1983, 1984, 1985,

1986, 1987 and 1988 to that in 1979.

Table IIC-2 provides the retention rates of vocational graduates by region and

vocational program for 1979-1983, 1979-1984, 1979-1985, 1979-1986, 1979-1987 and 1979-1988.

Retention rates are calculated on basis of residence. Therefore, retention by a region

(or the State as a whole) included those who resided in thc region (or the State as a whole)

but worked out of the region or the State and did not include out-of-region (or out-of-state)

residents whose work place was in the region (or the State as a whole).

56

1 2

Page 72: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E H

C-2

RE

TE

NT

ION

RA

TE

S O

F 19

79 S

EC

ON

DA

RY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L G

RA

DU

AT

ES

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

AN

DR

EG

ION

1979

-198

3, 1

979-

1984

, 197

9-19

85, 1

979-

1986

, 197

9-19

87A

ND

197

9-19

88

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

SA

LL

CE

NT

RA

LN

OR

TH

EA

STN

OR

TH

WE

STSO

UT

HW

EST

BA

LA

NC

E O

FO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IO

All

Prog

ram

s19

79-1

983

84.5

7%77

.44%

95.3

4%68

.02%

60.4

4%87

.21%

1979

-198

482

.21%

75.5

4%76

.04%

63.9

5%63

.35%

87.7

7%19

79-1

985

82.4

5%74

.08%

74.5

6%52

.99%

62.8

6%89

.11%

1979

-198

682

.75%

74.4

7%74

.40%

53.9

2%68

.05%

88.6

7%19

79-1

987

82.2

0%70

.36%

75.1

8%53

.81%

66.9

3%83

39%

1979

-198

882

.56%

73.8

4%76

.29%

54.0

8%67

.81%

88.7

3%A

gric

ultu

ral P

rodu

ctio

nan

d H

onic

ultu

re7

1979

-198

390

.08%

57.8

0%92

.13%

61.9

8%52

.96%

124.

67%

1979

-198

483

.00%

66.0

5%76

.17%

61 .5

0%51

.19%

110.

54%

1 97

9-19

8583

.61%

64.8

0%72

.47%

53.2

3%53

.47%

112.

65%

1 97

9-19

8683

.94%

64.7

5%69

.18%

40.6

5%54

.21%

114.

65%

1979

-19

8784

.47%

51.1

4%60

.76%

44.3

1%51

.14%

124.

11%

1 97

9-19

8884

.79%

37.3

3%68

.53%

49.0

0%57

.33%

129.

67%

Mar

ketin

g1

979-

1983

83.3

3%72

.60%

83.5

6%85

.83%

65.9

9%71

.75%

1979

-198

480

.46%

85.8

0%75

.23%

92.1

2%65

.85%

82.5

8%1

979-

1985

80.2

8%75

.02%

73.6

4%89

.35%

67.7

1%83

.00%

1979

-198

680

.51%

75.1

5%76

.15%

84.6

5%70

.46%

82.6

5%19

79-1

987

79.4

4%68

.18%

72.1

9%72

.35%

72.3

5%82

.05%

1 97

9-19

8881

.14%

65.5

1%70

.41%

78.6

3%78

.63%

84.0

3%

57

10 4

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,;)

VO

CA

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L P

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F

OH

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HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

ns E

duca

tion

1979

-198

385

.29%

83.8

9%96

.13%

24.9

3%61

.69%

90.2

4%

1979

-198

483

.97%

71.1

4%73

.06%

5831

%65

.40%

92.6

7%

1979

-198

583

39%

6935

%77

37%

1033

5%

1979

-198

684

.77%

71.8

0%68

.35%

48.7

4%69

.36%

9432

%

1979

-198

784

.28%

65.7

5%55

.39%

38.6

9%66

.78%

98.2

3%

1979

-198

883

.45%

57.1

0%61

.24%

48.2

5%58

.82%

97.1

6%

Hom

e E

cono

mic

s E

duca

tion

1979

-198

384

.41%

51.8

9%89

.35%

87.9

7%52

.50%

90.0

9%

1979

-198

481

.05%

98.4

3%64

.09%

63.0

5%59

.02%

8838

%

1979

-198

581

.86%

8630

%65

.29%

56.7

0%54

.07%

91.0

5%

1979

-198

681

.42%

8932

%61

.31%

55.5

3%53

37%

91.2

5%

1979

-198

781

.36%

86.4

8%48

.77%

55.3

2%56

.60%

92.8

6%

1979

-198

881

.44%

80.8

2%46

.23%

59.8

6%51

.61%

94.0

6%

Acc

ount

ing

Com

putin

g an

dB

usin

ess

Dat

a Pm

cess

ing

1979

-198

388

.54%

62.2

2%10

2.27

%38

.64%

40.8

4%98

.75%

1979

-198

480

.75%

7852

%76

.28%

55.2

8%62

.45%

76.5

1%

1979

-198

581

.51%

88.1

4%69

.69%

54.7

2%65

.69%

8735

%

1979

-198

681

.47%

82.7

5%73

.47%

52.1

0%65

.05%

87.6

2%

1979

-198

780

.98%

81.9

4%74

.42%

50.7

1%52

.54%

90.0

0%

1979

-198

880

.13%

72.4

3%83

.06%

46.9

3%56

.17%

87.0

1%

Gen

eral

Off

ice

Cle

rica

l,St

enog

raph

ic, S

ecre

tari

al,

and

Rel

ated

Occ

upat

ions

1979

-198

385

.95%

81.2

6%10

1.06

%10

8.49

%72

33%

8434

%

1979

-198

483

.40%

91.1

0%74

.12%

93.3

2%63

.38%

87.7

4%

1979

-198

582

.64%

93.2

7%73

.95%

115.

40%

67.1

7%85

.88%

1979

-198

683

.26%

89.3

2%75

.65%

64.1

3%71

.93%

85.7

4%

1979

-198

782

.19%

91.4

9%78

.09%

78.0

2%67

.96%

85.1

6%

1979

-198

882

.85%

100.

97%

8037

%83

.06%

76.8

1%84

.87%

58

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VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

SA

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CE

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ML

NO

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AN

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OF

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

.

Aut

o M

echa

nics

1979

-198

388

.14%

61.0

4%16

0.91

%38

34%

89.3

4%87

.55%

1979

-198

484

.07%

72.6

7%10

5.07

%45

.48%

87.1

4%84

.52%

1979

-198

584

.26%

75.7

5%10

136%

47.0

7%89

.74%

84.4

5%19

79-1

986

84.4

4%76

.25%

103.

55%

3537

%84

.83%

85.6

4%19

79-1

987

86.5

2%66

.28%

77.5

7%38

.14%

95.4

7%88

.57%

1979

-198

886

.05%

69.7

2%74

.47%

1638

%89

.88%

87.2

7%

Car

pent

ry19

79-1

983

1979

-198

485

.61%

69.7

6%63

.85%

63.0

3%92

.28%

1979

-198

581

.58%

64.7

9%66

.18%

6637

%86

.69%

1979

-198

682

.39%

56.5

3%53

.02%

7538

%88

38%

1979

-198

782

.87%

62.6

4%52

.23%

78.7

0%87

.86%

1979

-198

882

.37%

70.1

0%50

.86%

75.8

7%88

.73%

83.7

4%69

.01%

53.1

9%77

.74%

91.1

2%

Ekc

tron

ics

1979

-198

384

.05%

62..!

16%

97.1

7%55

.59%

50.2

9%94

.13%

1979

-198

480

.66%

74.4

8%91

.23%

48.9

4%56

.82%

8731

%19

79-1

985

80.5

8%68

.75%

96.9

9%44

.72%

53.9

8%87

.97%

1979

-198

680

39%

72.7

0%93

.53%

43.7

4%58

.08%

87.4

9%19

79-1

987

79.5

7%75

.91%

82.9

5%25

32%

65.8

6%87

.16%

1979

-198

880

.17%

67.9

6%95

.78%

21.4

3%71

35%

85.0

0%

Mac

hine

Sho

p19

79-1

983

88.3

9%35

.85%

82.6

2%55

.15%

72_3

3%96

.89%

1979

-198

483

.21%

40.9

3%81

.81%

64.8

2%84

31%

87.6

3%19

79-1

985

85.0

6%40

.09%

7834

%45

34%

9036

%91

.04%

1979

-198

685

.47%

39.2

6%78

33%

44.4

1%95

.25%

91.1

8%19

79-1

987

84.4

6%35

31%

7339

%26

.77%

9..9

6%91

.87%

1979

-198

885

.01%

21.0

3%79

.42%

3333

%94

37%

92.4

6%

11)8

59

Page 75: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

S. A

LL

CE

NT

RA

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-

. SO

UT

HW

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gAIC

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OH

IO'

OH

IO.

.

OH

IO .

'

.

'. O

HIO

'H r

oxio

:.'

Cos

met

olog

y19

79-1

983

87.3

0%51

.25%

92.1

0%28

.57%

56.0

7%97

.61%

1979

-198

484

.72%

53.4

5%82

.09%

43.4

2%68

.93%

92.6

1%19

79-1

985

84.2

5%53

.11%

83.7

8%37

.43%

70.2

9%91

.80%

1979

-198

684

31%

51.5

9%88

.80%

44.7

5%70

.73%

9021

%19

79-1

987

84.4

8%12

.58%

8939

%48

.29%

54.7

8%97

.77%

1979

-198

885

.20%

41.1

2%90

.07%

48.0

7%61

.19%

94.2

3%

Occ

upat

iona

l Wor

k E

xper

ienc

e19

79-1

983

85.0

4%44

.28%

93.0

6%84

.86%

38.1

9%88

.68%

1979

-198

482

.26%

76.5

8%76

.59%

90.2

9%44

.18%

84.5

6%19

79-1

985

81.7

5%68

.97%

72.8

9%78

39%

51.7

9%86

.20%

1979

-198

682

_73%

68.5

0%69

.50%

65.4

0%56

.74%

88.4

7%19

79-1

987

82.5

2%50

.00%

73.5

9%42

65%

28.8

8%91

.63%

1979

-198

882

.29%

52.5

3%79

.42%

47.3

1%56

.80%

88.5

7%

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by L

A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

Page 76: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

CHAPTER 111

THE 1979 ASSOCIATEVOCATIONAL EDUCATION

GRADUATES

11 1

Page 77: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

CHAPTER HI

THE 1979 ASSOCIATE VOCATIONAL E UCA ON GRADUATES

The study included 1,946 graduates in 1979 of two Associate Vocational programs in

Ohio. In this chapter, we will report on and analyze the earnings of the 1979 Associate

Vocational graduates in 1988, nine years following their graduation. The earnings and

geographic mobility in 1988 of the 1979 Associate Vocational graduates will be compared with

their performance in 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983.

Table III-A lists the Associate Vocational programs included in the study, the number

of graduates and the percentage of females and males in each program. Diagram III-B is a bar

chart of the number of completers in each of the study's two Associate Vocational programs.

Diagram III-C shows the percentage of females and males in each of the study programs.

Table III-D presents the distribution of the 1979 Associate Vocational education graduates by

vocational program and training region. Diagram III-E shows the geographic distribution of

graduates of the Associate Vocational programs included in the study.

62

112

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TABLE 111-A

STUDY OF 1979 ASSOCIATE VOCATIONAL EDUCATION GRADUATESBY PROGRAM AND GENDER

VOCATIONAL PROGRAM NUMBER OF PERCENTAGE PERCENTAGE. GRADUATES FEMALES MALES

Health Occupations Education 989 91.51% 8.49%

Technical Education 957 11.29% 88.71%

TOTAL 1,946 52.62% 47.38%

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CD

Page 80: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

II-D

STU

DY

OF

1979

ASS

OC

IAT

E V

OC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

UA

TE

SD

IST

RIB

UT

ION

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

AN

DG

EO

GR

API

UC

AL

RE

GIO

N

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

SC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOU

TH

WE

STB

AIA

NC

E O

FA

LL

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOR

EG

ION

S

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

ns1

139

849

989

Edu

catio

n

Tec

hnic

al E

duca

tion

9912

846

957

TO

TA

L1

139

9912

1,69

51,

946

65

1!.5

1

116

Page 81: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

DIAGRAM III-EStudy of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduates

Distribution by Geograpical Region

Health Occupations Education

1000

750

500

AA

11,

,, -',/,''ez ',,, -., /// /:

%:// -'// ,-,-,- 4,./ , ,

,;/A //r %,

A

A ,--- / /..11// ,Alir .Iiii/All Regions Central Ohio Northeast Ohio Northwest Ohio Southwest Ohio Balance of Ohio

Technical Education

/

/ / /z

All Regions Central Ohio Northeast Ohio Northwest Ohio Southwest Ohio Balance of Ohio

1 7 66

Page 82: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

A. INCOME OF 1979 ASSOCIATE VOCATIONAL GRADUATES: 1988 INCOMETABUIATIONS

The data provided by Internal Revenue Service were used to determine the economic

performance of the 1979 Associate Vocational graduates nine years following their graduation.

Tables DIA4 and MA-2 present data on the 1988 Tax Year reported income of the

1979 Associate Vocational graduates for each of the two programs. Reported income is the

sum of wages and salaries income from interest and dividends, and other income

(miscellaneous income from work provided by other than as employees) as reported to the

Internal Revenue Service.

Table MA-2, for example, provides the reported income data of those who completed

the Technical Education proigam. For the entire group of completers, the mean reported

income in 1988 was $35,828. Among the group, reported income varied as follows: 3.27%

received less than $5,500 (a mean of $4,315 ); 2.44% between $7,000 and $9,999 (a mean of

$8,493); 2.79% between $10,000 and $12,999 (a mean of $12,382); 1.51% between $13,000 and

$14,499 (a mean of $14,379); 1.63% between $14,500 and $15,999 (a mean of $15,991); 1.86%

between $16,000 and $18,999 (a mean of $18,534); 5.47% between $19,000 and $21,999 (a

mean of $21,915); 6.52% between $22,000 and $23,999 (a mean of $23,872 ); and 74.51% had

a reported income of at least $24,000 with a mean of $42,352.

The table also shows the distribution of reported income for those among the 1979

Technical Education program completers who resided outside the State of Ohio in 1988 as

compared to those who resided in the state (a mean income of $39,027 and $34,582

respectively). The reported incomes of the Ohio residents are then shown by the region of

their residence (Central Ohio, Northeast Ohio, Northwest Ohio, Southwest Ohio and Balance

of Ohio).

A tabulation of mean reported income by program and region is given in Table IIIA-3.

Diagram IIIA-A is a bar graph of mean reported incomes of completers -)f each of the

Associate Vocational programs studied.

118 k_

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TA

BL

E I

IIA

-1H

EA

LT

H O

CC

UPA

TIO

NS

ED

UC

AT

ION

1979

ASS

OC

IAT

E V

OC

AT

ION

AL

CO

MPL

ET

ER

SR

EPO

RT

ED

IN

CO

ME

(198

8 T

AX

YE

AR

)

Size

of

Rep

orte

dIn

com

e

All

Reg

ions

Perc

ent/M

ean

Out

side

Ohi

oPe

rcen

t/Ohi

oA

ll O

hio

Perc

ent/M

ean

Cen

tral

Ohi

oPe

rcen

t/Mea

nN

orth

east

Ohi

oPe

rcen

t/Mea

nN

orth

wes

t Ohi

oPe

rcen

t/Mea

nSo

uthw

est O

hio

Perc

ent/M

ean

Bal

ance

of

Ohi

oPe

rcen

t/Mea

n

Und

er $

5,50

07.

84%

$4,2

1312

.669

43,1

346.

80%

$4,8

08

100%

$31,

226

100%

$31,

156

6.76

%$4

,780

9.37

%$4

,694

$5,5

00-6

,999

5.33

8,12

51.

997,

536

7.74

%$6

,176

$7,0

00-8

,499

2.58

7,84

04.

498,

385

3.88

8,27

0

$8,5

00-9

,999

1.64

9,59

54.

5510

,161

$10,

000-

11,4

992.

4610

,969

4.49

11,8

814.

4011

,725

$11,

500-

12,9

993.

7512

,430

6.00

12,5

833.

6912

,773

$13,

000-

14,4

993.

2814

,434

2.67

15,0

633.

4114

,330

4.49

14,9

023.

6214

,140

$14,

500-

15,9

993.

2815

,240

3.41

15,7

103.

8815

,407

$16,

000-

18,9

9914

.52

21,1

2216

.00

19,5

3514

.78

20,1

816.

7419

,769

15.6

320

,853

5.68

17,8

55

$19,

000-

21,9

9926

.61

23,3

85$2

2,00

0-23

,999

9.60

23,4

3710

.67

23,4

159.

3823

,556

73.0

333

,644

75.0

035

,096

$24,

000

and

over

51.0

534

,527

46.6

7 37

,188

51.9

934

,232

44.1

934

,567

TO

TA

L10

0%$2

5,34

210

0% $

24,9

6610

0%$2

5,42

510

0%$3

1,22

610

0%$3

1,15

610

0%$2

7,80

51(

c$3

0,02

110

0%$2

4,93

6

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

681

21)

Page 84: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IIA

-2T

EC

HN

ICA

L E

DU

CA

TIO

N19

79 A

SSO

CIA

TE

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L C

OM

PLE

TE

RS

RE

POR

TE

D I

NC

OM

E(1

988

TA

X Y

EA

R)

Size

of

Rep

orte

dA

ll R

egio

nsPe

rcen

t/Mea

nO

utsi

de O

hio

Perc

ent/O

hio

All

Ohi

oPe

rcen

t/Mea

nC

entr

al O

hio

Perc

ent/M

ean

Nor

thea

st O

hio

Perc

ent/M

ean

Nor

thw

est O

hio

Perc

ent/M

ean

Sout

hwes

t Ohi

oPe

rcen

t/Mea

nB

alan

ce o

f O

hio

pt/M

::.:

Und

er $

5,50

03.

27%

$4,3

153.

34%

$3,2

363.

24%

$4,1

467.

40%

$3,8

2014

.29%

$4,

065

8.89

%$3

,527

10.3

4% $

3,69

12.

58%

$5,3

73

$5,5

00-6

,999

2.91

8,52

12.

587,

977

$7,0

00-8

,499

2.44

8,49

32.

268,

639

$8,5

00-9

,999

$10,

000-

11,4

992.

7912

,382

5.80

12,9

96

1.29

11,3

272.

1111

,212

$11,

500-

12,9

991.

1312

,155

$13,

000-

14,4

991.

.114

,379

1.29

13,9

161.

8714

,491

$14,

500-

15,9

991.

6315

,991

2.11

15,9

91$1

6,00

0-18

,999

1.86

18,5

342.

0017

,639

2.27

16,6

5220

.69

21,7

03$1

9,00

0-21

,999

5.47

21,9

159.

5422

,196

6.80

21,1

0517

.41

21,3

5025

.00

22,8

847.

4922

,550

$22,

000-

23,9

996.

5223

,872

7.61

23,8

0468

.97

37,5

15$2

4,00

0 an

dov

er74

.51

42,3

5275

.51

46,7

3474

.11

40,6

8975

.19

46,5

4160

.71

40,6

1591

.11

39,7

0881

.26

38,5

66

TO

TA

L10

0%$3

5,82

810

0%$3

9,02

710

0% $

34,5

8210

0%$3

8,99

410

0%$3

0,95

910

0%$3

6,49

110

0%$3

0,74

610

0%$3

4,20

9

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on F

eder

al I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

6912

112

2

Page 85: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IIA

-3

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

1979

ASS

OC

IAT

E V

GC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

UA

TE

SB

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M A

ND

RE

GIO

N(1

988

TA

X Y

EA

R)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

AL

LO

UT

SID

EA

LL

CE

NT

RA

LN

OR

TH

EA

STN

OR

TH

WE

STSO

UT

HW

EST

BA

LA

NC

ER

EG

ION

SO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

F O

HIO

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

nsE

duca

tion

$25,

342

$24,

966

$25,

425

$31,

226

$31,

156

$27,

805

$30,

021

$24,

936

Tec

hnic

al E

duca

tion

$35,

828

$39,

027

$34,

582

$38,

994

$30,

959

$36,

491

$30,

746

$34,

209

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by L

A. O

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

70

r_ 3

Page 86: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

$ 40,000

DIAGRAM IIIA-A1988 Mean Income of 1979 Associate Vocational Graduates

By Vocational Program

300

$25.000I

i

1

$ 20,000

310,0G0

$5,000

0

HealthOccupations

Education

TechnicalEducation

71

125

Page 87: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

B. INCOME OF THE 1979 ASSOCIATE VOCATIONAL EDUCATION GRADUATES;COMPAIUSON WITH EQUIVALENT GROUPS

The data provided by the Internal Revenue Service were used to determine the

economic performance of the 1979 graduates of the Associate Vocational programs in 1983,

1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988, four, five, six, seven, eight and nine years following their

graduation.

Tables IIIB-/ shows the 1988 mean income by program and region of the 1979

Associate Vocational graduates. Table IIIB-2 provides the same data for 1983, 1984, 1985,

1986, 1987 and 1988. Table IIIB-3 shows the mean income of the 1979 Associate Vocational

graduates by vocational program in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988.

Income data on the 1979 graduates of Associate Vocational programs for the 1983,

1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 tax years may be analyzed using baseline data on a

comparable group, i.e. one with a comparable age, educational achievement and gender

composition.

The comparable educational achievement used was completion of 1-3 years of college.

The age and gender factors in income comparison were determined allowing for the

characteristics of a longitudinal study.

Gender Composition

The longitudinal study of the 1979 vocational graduates began in 1983. For that year,

the Internal Revenue Service data (which do not include gender breakdown) were provided

on 99.13% of the study population. With the decline in this percentage in subsequent years,

adjustments for changes in the gender ratio of provided data became necessary for appropriate

calculations of the relative incomes.

The gender composition change was estimated as follows:

Single-gender dominated Secondary Vocational progams were utilized to estimate

gender composition over time for each of the programs.

(ii) Single-gender dominated Secondary Vocational programs were identified: Health

Occupations Education; General Office Clerical, Stenographic, Secretarial and Related

Occupations; and Cosmetology (with a female percentage of 95.33, 98.10 and 98.94,

respectively) were identified as female-dominated. Auto Mechanics, Carpentry,

Electronics and Machine Shop with 99.10%, 99.80%, 97.40% and 98.54% male,

respectively, were identified as male-dominated programs.

Page 88: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

127

TA

BL

E I

IIB

-1

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

1979

ASS

OC

IAT

EV

OC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

UA

TE

SB

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M A

ND

RE

GIO

N(1

988

TA

X Y

EA

R)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

SA

LLO

UT

SID

EA

ILC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AS

TN

OR

TH

WE

ST

SO

UT

HW

ES

TB

ALA

NC

ER

EG

ION

SO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

F01

-110

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

ns$2

5,34

2$2

4,96

6$2

5,42

5$3

1,22

6$3

1,15

6$2

7,80

5$3

0,02

1$2

4,93

6E

duca

tion

Tec

hnic

al E

duca

tion

$35,

828

$39,

027

$34,

582

$38,

994

$30,

959

$36,

491

$30,

746

$34,

209

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

731`

.?8

Page 89: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

I1B

-2

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

1979

ASS

OC

IAT

E V

OC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

UA

TE

SB

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M A

ND

RE

GIO

N19

88, 1

987,

198

4, 1

985,

198

4 A

ND

198

3

VO

CN

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

SA

LL

OU

TSI

DE

AL

LC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOU

IHW

EST

BA

LA

NC

E

RE

GIO

NS

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OF

.O

HIO

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

ns E

duca

tion

1988

$25,

342

$24,

966

$25,

425

$31,

226

$31,

156

$27,

805

$30,

021

$24,

936

1987

$23,

882

$25,

708

$23,

388

$25,

084

$24,

931

$24,

392

$24,

735

$22,

825

1986

$21,

020

$22,

554

$20,

910

$22,

842

$23,

629

$23,

147

$23,

789

$19,

869

1985

$19,

392

$19,

430

$19,

382

$20,

243

$19,

884

$17,

445

$20,

335

1984

$16,

199

$16,

279

$16,

355

$15,

123

$17,

420

$15,

367

$15,

447

$16,

592

1983

$17,

094

$17,

799

$16,

957

$15,

363

$16,

851

$18,

514

$16,

768

$16,

956

Tec

hnic

al E

duca

tion

1988

$35,

828

$39,

027

$34,

582

$38,

994

$30,

959

$36,

491

$30,

746

$34,

209

1987

$33,

624

$37,

499

$32,

131

$37,

601

$33,

475

$34,

014

$35,

142

$31,

962

1986

$29,

118

$30,

890

$28,

940

$32,

389

$27,

633

$32,

185

$29,

488

$28,

250

1985

527,

230

$29,

153

$26,

482

$24,

848

$23,

840

$29,

113

$27,

744

$26,

575

1984

$22,

460

$23,

764

$21,

932

$22,

557

$22,

334

$24,

424

$22,

311

$21,

429

1983

$18,

889

$21,

988

$17,

893

$19,

797

$16,

741

$17,

906

$17,

447

$17,

692

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8:A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ralI

ncom

e T

aX D

ata

by L

A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

74

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131

TA

BL

E I

IIB

-3

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

IN

198

3, 1

984,

198

5, 1

986,

198

7 A

ND

198

8 B

Y V

OC

AT

ION

AL

PR

OG

RA

M19

79 A

ssoc

iate

Voc

atio

nal G

radu

ates

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

Mea

n In

com

eM

ean

Inco

me

Mea

n In

com

eM

ean

Inco

me

Mea

n In

com

eM

ean

Inco

me

in 1

983

in 1

984

in 1

985

in 1

986

in 1

987

in 1

988

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

ns$1

7,09

4$1

6,19

9$1

9,39

2$2

1,02

0$2

3,88

2$2

5,34

2E

duca

tion

Tec

hnic

al E

duca

tion

$18,

889

$22,

460

$27,

230

$29,

118

$33,

624

$35,

828

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

75

132

Page 91: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

(iii) The percentage sample loss by program between 1979 and each of the study years

1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 from the female and male-dominated programs

were used to calculate a weighted percentage loss of females and males. This weighted

percentage loss was then used to adjust the original 1979 gender breakdown. Table HIB-4

shows the adjusted gender breakdown for 1988, 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983 as well as

the original gender breakdown at time of graduation in 1979.

Age

Incomes of the 1988 Associate Vocational graduates were analyzed by comparison to income

data on age-specific (34-year-old) with 1-3 years of college educational education in the United

States for 1988. Incomes of the comparable group were generated using the machine-readable data

file Current Population Survey, March 1989 conducted by the Bureau of the Census for the Bureau

of Labor Statistics: Current Population Survey, March 1989 Tape Technical Documentation and

prepared by Data User Services Division, Data Access and Use Staff, Bureau of the Census,

Washington: The Bureau: 1989.

The age-specific Bureau of the Census income-data for completers of 1-3 years of college,

and the adjusted gender composition were used to calculate the U.S. basic comparison figure for

each of the Associate Vocational programs. For example, the 1988 U.S. comparison figure of $14,060

for graduates of Health Occupations Education was calculated by multiplying .9391 (the proportion

of females) times $13,260 (the female earnings figure) and adding the result to that of multiplying

.0609 (the proportion of males) times $26,407 (the male earnings figure).

Table IIIB-5 shows the 1988 mean income of the comparable group (the same age, gender

composition .and educational achievement) for each of the two Associate Vocational programs.

Next, in order to carry out the comparison over time between incomes of graduates of

vocational programs in the study and those of the comparable group in the general population, we

utilized the same procedure described for 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983. Table HIB-6 shows the

mean income of the comparable group (the same age, gender composition and educational

achievement) for each of the Associate Vocational programs for each of the study years 1983, 1984,

1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 (four, five, six, seven, eight and nine ycars following graduation).

76

133

Page 92: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IIB

-4

1979

ASS

OC

IAT

E V

OC

AT

ION

AL

GR

AD

Ui T

ES:

AD

JUST

ED

GE

ND

ER

CO

MPO

SIT

ION

(19

88, 1

987,

198

6, 1

985,

198

4,19

83)

AN

D G

EN

DE

R C

OM

POSI

TIO

N I

N 1

979

BY

PR

OG

RA

M

1988

1987

Adj

uste

d G

ende

r C

ompo

sitio

n

1986

1985

1984

1983

Gen

der

Com

posi

tion

of 1

979

Gra

duat

es

Fem

ales

Mat

esV

OC

AT

ION

AL

PRO

GR

AM

Fem

ales

Mal

esFe

mal

esM

ales

Fem

ales

Mal

esFe

mal

esM

ales

Fem

ales

Mal

esFe

mal

esM

ales

Ileal

th O

ccup

atio

nsE

duca

tion

Tec

hnic

al E

duca

tion

93.9

1%

1.38

%

6.09

%

98.6

2%

94.3

4%

8.07

%

5.66

%

91.9

3%

94.6

6%

9.63

%

5.34

%

90.3

7%

95.0

8%

8.38

%

4.92

%

91.6

2%

93.4

7%

9.46

%

6.53

%

90.5

4%

91.5

1%

11.2

9%

8.49

%

88.7

1%

91.5

1%

11.2

9%

8.49

%

88.7

1%

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

lSt

udy

Bas

ed o

n Fe

dera

l Inc

ome

Tax

Dat

a by

I.A

. Gha

zala

h, O

hio

Uni

vers

ity

7713

413

5

Page 93: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TABLE IIIB-5

1988 MEAN INCOME OF EQUIVALENT GROUPBY VOCATIONAL PROGRAM

VOCATIONAL PROGRAM Mean Income of Equivalent Group1988

Health Occupations Education

Technical Education

136

78

$14,060

$26,226

Page 94: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

TA

BL

E I

IIB

-6

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

IN

198

3, 1

984,

198

5, 1

986,

198

7 A

ND

198

8O

F E

QU

IVA

LE

NT

GR

OU

PS

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

Mea

n In

com

eM

ean

Inco

me

Mea

n In

com

eM

ean

Inco

me

Mea

n In

com

eM

ean

Inco

me

in 1

983

in 1

984

in 1

985

in 1

986

in 1

987

in 1

988

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

ns$1

0,17

4$1

0,58

5$1

1,85

6$1

2,18

3$1

3,78

0$1

4,06

0E

duca

tion

Tec

hnic

al E

duca

tion

$16,

232

$20,

028

$23,

599

$23,

768

$25,

313

$26,

226

79

137

138

Page 95: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

Diagram IIIB-7 shows for each of the Associate Vocational programs the mean income

of the vocational program graduates and the mean income of the comparable group during

the six study years 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988. In all of these years, the mean

income of vocational graduates of each program exceeds that of the comparable group.

The change over time in mean income ratio of the vocational graduates to comparable

groups can be examined in Table IIIB-8. In both of the Associate Vocational programs, the

ratio in 1988 was higher than in 1987 (1.80 compared to 1.73 for Health Occupations

Education and 1.37 vs. 1.33 in Technical Education). For both of the Associate programs, the

ratio of the mean income was higher in 1988, the fifth year of the study, than in 1983 (1.80

compared to 1.68 for Health Occupations Education and 1.37 vs. 1.16 for Technical

Education). For both programs the ratio of the mean income was lower in 1985 and 1984, the

third and second year of the study, than in 1983 (1.64 in 1985 and 1.53 in 1984 compared to

1.68 in 1983 for Health Occupations Education and 1.15 in 1985 and 1.12 in 1984 vs. 1.16 in

1983 for Technical Education).

Table IIIB-9 shows the vocational program-equivalent group mean income ratios by

region for 1988. Table IIIB-10 with the ratios for 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988,

provides a basis for a similar examination of the behavior over time of vocational education

income differential.

Finally, Diagram IIIB-11 provides longitudinal curves for comparing the mean income

of vocational graduates to the mean income of the equivalent group. For each program, two

Lagrange interpolation polynomials were generated by substituting the data of the program

into the Lagrange interpolation formula. The two curves in the diagram of each Associate

Vocational program are obtained by plotting the two Lagrange interpolation polynomials. The

two curves trace the change in mean income over the 1983-1988 study period, and the

evolution of the mean income of the vocational program graduate and that of the equivalent

group.

80

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DIAGRAM IIIB-7

Mean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988Associate Vocational Graduates vs. Equivalent Group

HEALTH OCCUPATIONS EDUCATION TECHNICAL EDUCATION

1$24.000

$22.000

$20.000

$18.000

$16.000

$14.000

$12.000

810.000

$8.000

$6.000

84.000

82.000

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

$34000 -.1

832.000

83o.000

828.000 -

$26.000

$24.000

$22.000

820.000

$18.000

$16.000

$14,000

$12.000

$10.000

$8.000

$6.000

$4.000

$2.000 -

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

1 172 Vocatiarmi Gmetuertse Etquirvaartt Crown

1979 Vocational Education Graduates in 1988: A Longitudinal Study Based on Federal Income Tax Databy I.A Ghazalah, Ohio University

81

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TA

BL

E I

IIB

-8

RA

TIO

S O

F M

EA

N I

NC

OM

E O

F 19

79 A

SSO

CIA

TE

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L G

RA

DU

AT

ES

TO

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

EQ

UIV

AL

EN

T G

RO

UP

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

IN 1

983,

198

4, 1

985,

198

6, 1

987

AN

D 1

988

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

ns1.

681.

531.

641.

731.

731.

80E

duca

tion

Tec

hnic

al E

duca

tion

1.16

1.12

1.15

1.23

1.33

1.37

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

82

141

'1.

42

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TA

BL

E I

IIB

-9

RA

TIO

S O

F M

EA

N I

NC

OM

E O

F 19

79 A

SSO

CIA

TE

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L G

RA

DU

AT

ES

TO

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

EQ

UIV

AL

EN

T G

RO

UP

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

AN

D R

EG

ION

(198

8 T

AX

YE

AR

)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

SA

LL

OU

TSI

DE

AL

LC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOU

TH

WE

STB

AL

AN

CE

RE

GIO

NS

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OF

OH

IO

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

ns1.

801.

791.

811.

831.

821.

761.

791.

85E

duca

tion

Tec

hnic

al E

duca

tion

1.37

1.41

1.36

1.43

1.29

1.39

1.32

1.43

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on F

eder

al I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by L

A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

143

8314

4

.."

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TA

BL

E I

IIB

-10

RA

TIO

S O

F M

EA

N I

NC

OM

E O

F 19

79 A

SSO

CIA

TE

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L G

RA

DU

AT

ES

TO

ME

AN

IN

CO

ME

OF

EQ

UIV

AL

EN

T G

RO

UP

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

AN

D R

EG

ION

1988

, 198

7, 1

986,

198

5, 1

984

AN

D 1

983

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

SA

LL

OU

TSI

DE

AL

LC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOU

TH

WE

STB

AL

AN

CE

RE

GIO

NS

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OF

OH

IO

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

ns E

duca

tion

1988

1.80

1.79

1.81

1.83

1.82

1.76

1.79

1.85

1987

1.73

1.78

1.74

1.73

1.76

1.75

1.68

1.82

1986

1.73

1.85

1.81

1.43

1.65

1.51

1.45

1.88

1985

1.64

1.64

1.72

1.51

1.66

1.90

1.64

1.99

1984

1.53

1.54

1.63

1.88

1.96

2.06

1.92

2.02

1983

1.68

1.75

1.51

1.73

1.77

1.45

2.18

Tec

hnic

al E

duca

tion

1988

1.37

1.41

1.36

1.43

1.29

1.39

1.32

1.43

1987

1.33

1.44

1.28

1.41

1.28

1.33

1.30

1.39

1986

1.23

1.30

1.28

1.37

1.18

1.47

1.22

1.47

1985

1.15

1.24

1.18

1.06

1.02

1.30

1.16

1.43

1984

1.12

1.19

1.15

1.13

1.12

1.27

1.11

1.28

1983

1.16

1.34

1.16

1.22

1.03

1.15

1.07

1.30

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

axD

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

4 i;

84

Page 100: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

DIAGRAM IIIB-11

Longitudinal CurvesMean Income in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988

1979 Associate Vocational Graduates vs. Equivalent Groups

HEALTH OCCUPATIONS EDUCATION

$24.000 j

$22.000 1

$20.000

$18.000 I

$16.000 J

$14.000

$12.000

$10.000 -

$8.000 -

S6.000

$4.000

$2.000 -

1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 19813

$34.000

$32.000

$30.000

$28.000

$26.000

$24000

$22.000

$20.000

TECHNICAL EDUCATION

$18.000

$16.000

$14.000

$12.000

$10.000

$8.000

$6.000

$4.000

$2.000

1983 1984 1985 198E 1987 1988

1s7 Vocational On:mates c". Eativcilont Ci1341011

1979 Vocational Education Graduates in 1988: A Longitudinal Study Based on Federal Income Tax Databy I.A. Ghazalah, Ohio University

147 85

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C. REGIONAL MOBILITY OF 1979 ASSOCIATE VOCATIONAL EDUCATIONGRADUATES

The purpose of this section is to analyze the mobility patterns of vocational graduates

by comparing their residence in 1988, 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983 to that of 1979, the year

in which they completed their programs.

Each vocational graduate was identified by the zip code of the school attended in 1979.

Using the geographical regional classification of the State based on zip codes, we were able

to determine for each vocational program the number of graduates who resided in each of the

five regions of the State of Ohio (Central, Northeast, Northwest, Southwest and Balance of

Ohio).

Regional Mobility, 1979-1988

The group data on vocational graduates provided by the Internal Revenue Service for

1987 were classified by the same geographical regions within the State as well as a sixth region,

out-of-state, for each of the vocational programs. We were thus able to trace the mobility of

the Associate Vocational graduates between 1983 and 1988.

For each of the vocational programs, the retention rate was calculated in each of the

regions by comparing the region's percentage share in the total number of graduates in 1988

to that in 1979. To illustrate the calculation of the retention rate: if 10.00 percent of graduates

of the program were trained in Northeast Ohio in 1979 while 9.09% of the same group were

identified as residents of Northeast Ohio in 1988, then the region's 1979-1988 retention rate

of graduates of the program is estimated to be 90.90% (9.09 divided by 10.00).

Table IIIC-1 provides the 1979-1988 retention rates by region for each of the two

Associate Vocational programs studied as well as for both of these programs combined. The

retention rate of both associate programs for the State is estimated at 74.18%, indicating that

approximately 25.82% of the 1979 graduates were out-of-state residents in 1988. The State's

retention rate was estimated to be in the 70.17% for Technical Education and 78.06% for

Health Occupations Education.

148 86

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149

TA

BL

E I

IIC

-1

RE

TE

NT

ION

RA

TE

S O

F A

SSO

CIA

TE

VO

CA

TIO

NA

LG

RA

DU

AT

ES

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

AN

D R

EG

ION

(197

9-19

88)

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

AL

LC

EN

TR

AL

NO

RT

HE

AST

NO

RT

HW

EST

SOU

TH

WE

STB

AL

AN

CE

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

FO

HIO

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

nsE

duca

tion

78.0

6%15

1.86

%90

.90%

Tec

hnic

al E

duca

tion

70.1

7%

All

Prog

ram

s

63.9

1%

68.4

2%19

1.95

%59

.15%

74.1

8%15

1.86

%90

.90%

68.4

2%19

1.95

%61

.53%

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on

Fede

ral I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by I

.A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

8715

0

Page 103: DOCUMENT RESUME CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE · 2014-05-07 · DOCUMENT RESUME ED 367 804 CE 065 827 AUTHOR Ghazalah, I. A. TITLE 1979 Vocational Education Graduates in

A comparison of retention rates for the five Ohio regions shows one of the

metropolitan parts of Ohio (the Southwest Ohio region) as experiencing the highest retention

rate of 191.95%, i.e. in 1988 its share of residents among all 1979 Associate Vocational

graduates was 191.95% of its share of graduates in 1979, an estimate indicating an increase

of 91.95% in its share; while Central Ohio, Northeast Ohio, Northwest Ohio and Balance of

Ohio have 151.86%, 90.90%, 68.42% and 61.53%, respectively. In each case, the share

decrease (increase) reflects the net outmigration (inmigration) of graduates to other regions

in Ohio as well as to out-of-state locations.

Regional Mobilily, 1979-1983, 1979-1984, 1979-1985, 1979-1986, 1979-1987, 1979-1988

The mobility patterns of the 1979 Associate Vocational graduates can be analyzed by

comparing their residence in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 to that of 1979, the year

in which they completed their programs.

The group data on vocational graduates provided by the Internal Revenue Service for

1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 were classified by the same geographic regions within

the State (as well as a sixth region: out-of-state) for each of the vocational programs. We were

thus able to trace the mobility of vocational graduates between 1979 and each of the years

1983 through 1988.

For each of the vocational programs, a retention rate was calculated in each of the

regions by comparing the percentage share in the total number of trainees in 1983, 1984, 1985,

1986, 1987 or 1988 to that in 1979.

Table IIIC-2 provides the retention rates of vocational graduates by region and

vocational program for 1979-1983, 1979-1984, 1979-1985, 1979-1986, 1979-1987, and 1979-1988.

Retention rates are calculated on basis of residence. Therefore, retention by a region

(or the State as a whole) included those who resided in the regions (or the State as a whole)

but worked out of State and did not include out-of-region (or out-of-state) residents whose

work place was in the region (or the State as a whole).

151

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152

TA

BL

E I

IIC

-2

RE

TE

NT

ION

RA

TE

S O

F 19

79 A

SSO

CIA

TE

VO

CA

TIO

NA

LG

RA

DU

AT

ES

BY

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

AN

D R

EG

ION

1979

-198

3, 1

979-

1984

, 197

9-19

85, 1

979-

1986

, 197

9-19

87,

1979

-198

8

VO

CA

TIO

NA

L P

RO

GR

AM

SA

LL

CE

NT

RA

LN

OR

TH

EA

STN

OR

TH

WE

STSO

UT

HW

EST

:1 'L

AN

CE

OF

RE

GIO

NS

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IOO

HIO

OH

IO

All

Prog

ram

s19

79-1

983

78.9

0%10

0.00

%94

.33%

31.1

4%10

0.00

%67

.11%

1979

-198

475

.91%

11/9

7%81

.28%

36.8

5%12

7.83

%63

.89%

1979

-198

574

.65%

105.

27%

87.1

6%36

.06%

141.

87%

6238

%19

79-1

986

74.8

0%11

4.95

%84

.60%

35.2

0%13

5.22

%6/

89%

1979

-198

774

.81%

163.

05%

84.7

9%47

.34%

188.

36%

61.9

3%19

79-1

988

74.1

8%15

1.86

%90

.90%

68.4

2%19

1.95

%61

.53%

Hea

lth O

ccup

atio

ns E

duca

tion

1979

-198

383

.33%

100.

00%

94.3

3%69

.06%

1979

-198

479

.80%

112.

97%

81.2

8%67

.02%

1979

-198

578

.63%

105.

27%

87.1

6%64

.81%

1979

-198

679

.17%

114.

95%

84.6

0%65

.43%

1979

-198

778

.64%

163.

05%

84.7

9%64

30%

1979

-198

878

.06%

151.

86%

90.9

0%63

.91%

Tec

hnic

al E

duca

tion

1979

-198

375

.63%

31.1

4%10

0.00

%65

.43%

1979

-198

471

.97%

36.8

5%12

7.83

%60

.80%

1979

-198

571

.96%

36.0

6%14

1.87

%60

.80%

1979

-198

671

.87%

35.2

0%13

5.22

%60

.91%

1979

-198

770

.85%

47.3

4%18

8.36

%60

.08%

1979

-198

870

.17%

68.4

2%19

1.95

%59

.15%

1979

Voc

atio

nal E

duca

tion

Gra

duat

es in

198

8: A

Lon

gitu

dina

l Stu

dy B

ased

on F

eder

al I

ncom

e T

ax D

ata

by L

A. G

haza

lah,

Ohi

o U

nive

rsity

8915

3

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CHAPTER IV

SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONSAND RECOMMENDATIONS

154

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CHAPTER IV

SUMMARY, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

The economic performance of graduates of vocational programs is a primary factor in the

evaluation of vocational education. In its measurement of the economic performance of graduates

of vocational programs, this study uses an original source of information federal income tax

records. The federal income tax source avoids a number of limitations associated with follow-up

studies utilizing questionnaires. The tax records data are standardized by type of income and by

period (tax year), and do not rely on the memory nor the selectivity of individual responses to

questionnaires. The data were provided in batch form by the Internal Revenue Service from its

Information Returns Master File in full compliance with the strict requirements regarding

disclosure of personal information.

This study examines the performance over time of a random sample of 15,055 graduates

in 1979 of the same twelve Secondary and two Associate Vocational programs. This is the sixth year

of this longitudinal study where the performance in 1988 of the same group was analyzed and

compared to that measured in 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983.

The data on the 1979 graduates of the twelve Secondary and two Associate Vocational

programs are categorized by the area of residence in 1988 any of the five regions in Ohio

(Central, Northeast, Northwest, Southwest and Balance of Ohio) and outside Ohio. The income

of completers of vocational programs is compared to income of equivalent groups in the general

population (same years of schooling, age and region of residence). The study also investigated the

geographic mobility of vocational graduates since 1979, their year of vocational program

completion.

For each of the vocational programs, a retention rate was calculated for the State of Ohio

as a whole, and for each of the regions within the State. This was done by comparing the

percentage share of the program graduates in residence during the year of study to that during

1979, the year of graduation. For all of the Secondary Vocational programs, the state retention rate

was 84.57% in 1983, 82.21%, 82.45%, 82.75%, 82.20%, and 82.56% in 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987, and

1988, respectively, indicating that more than 82% of the graduates continued to reside in the State.

92

155

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For the Associate Vocational programs, the equivalent retention rates were 78.90% in 1983,

75.91%, 74.65%, 74.80%, 74.81% and 74.18% in 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988, respectively. For

the individual programs, Secondary Vocational programs had a range of retention rates of 83.33%

to 90.08% in 1983, and 80.46% to 84.72%, 80.28% to 85.06%, 80.51% to 85.47%, 79.44% to

86.52%, and 80.13% to 86.05% in 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988, respectively. For the Associate

Vocational programs, the state retention rates in 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988 were

83.33%, 79.80%, 78.63%, 79.17%, 78.64%, and 78.06% for Health Occupations Education and

75.63%, 71.97%, 71.96%, 71.87%, 70.85% and 70.17% for Technical Education.

These calculations indicate that the retention rates for the Secondary Vocational programs

were highest in 1983, followed by 1986 and 1985 and lowest in 1987. For the Associate Vocational

programs, the retention rates were highest in 1983, followed by 1984 and 1986 and lowest in 1988.

In all cases, the retention rates remained high.

The income performance of the 1979 graduates was traced over six successive years: 1983,

1984, 1985, 1986, 1987 and 1988. The incomes of the 13,109 Secondary Vocational graduates and

of the 1,946 Associate Vocational graduates are compared to incomes of equivalent groups in the

general population (same age, years of schooling and region of residence). The results indicate

predominately higher incomes for graduates of all Secondary and Associate Vocational programs

in the study. In 1988, the mean incomes of the Secondary Vocational graduates are higher by 9%

to 88% and those of the Associate Vocational graduates by 37% and 80%. The highest percentage

income also varies by region of residence in 1988.

The most significant finding for the 1979 longitudinal study group was the general widening

of the margin in 1988 compared to 1987 between their incomes and the incomes of the comparable

group (same age, years of schooling and region of residence) in the general population.

In 1988, the Secondary Vocational graduates' ratios of their mean income to mean income

of comparable groups ranged from 1.09 to 1.88 compared to a range of 1.08 to 1.77 in 1987, 1.20

to 1.90 in 1986, 1.16 to 1.87 in 1985, 1.27 to 1.82 in 1984, and 1.07 to 1.67 in 1983. In eleven out

of the twelve programs, the ratios were higher in 1987 than in 1983. But in all of the twelve

programs, the ratios in 1988, 1986, 1985 and 1984 were higher than in 1983.

93

156

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For the 1979 graduates of the two Associate Vocational programs, the ratios in 1988 of

their mean income to mean income of comparable groups were 1.80 for Health Occupations

Education and 1.37 for Technical Education. In both cases, the ratios were higher than the 1987,

1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983 ratios of 1.73 and 1.33, 1.73 and 1.23, 1.64 and 1.15, 1.53 and 1.12, and

1.68 and 1.16, respectively.

The following table and diagrams present these ratios for the 1979 Secondary and Associate

Vocational graduates by vocational program for 1988, 1987, 1986, 1985, 1984 and 1983.

Ratios of Mean Income of 1979 Vocational Graduatesto Mean Income of Equivalent Group in the General Population

(1983-1988)

Secondary Pmgrams1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988

Agricultural Productionand Horticulture

1.16 1.28 1.24 1.38 1.19 1.25

Marketing 1.16 1.34 1.35 1.45 1.27 1.38Health Occupations Education 1.49 1.60 1.63 1.66 1.55 1.65Home Economics Education 1.15 1.42 1.48 1.62 1.45 1.79Accounting, Computing and 1.45 1.53 1.57 1.67 1.47 1.51

Business Data ProcessingGeneral Office Clerical, 1.67 1.82 1.87 1.90 1.77 1.88

Stenographic, Secretarialand Related Occupations

Auto Mechanics 1.21 1.35 1.33 1.35 1.22 1.25Carpentry 1.18 1.34 1.39 1.38 1.24 1.31Electronics 1.30 1.42 1.47 1.48 1.31 1.38Machine Shop 1.33 1.56 1.53 1.55 1.45 1.50Cosm etology 1.35 1.50 1.49 1.50 1.33 1.37Occupational Work Experience 1.07 1.27 1.16 1.20 1.08 1.09

Associate Programs

Health Occupations Education 1.68 1.53 1.64 1.73 1.73 1.80Technical Education 1.16 1.12 1.15 1.23 1.33 1.37

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Ratios of Mean Secondary Vocational Graduate Incometo Mean General Income

1983-1988

2

1.9

1.8

1.7

1.6

1.5

1.4

1.3

1.2

1.1

1

Agri. Prod. & Marketing Health Occ. Home Econ. Accounting General Auto Carpentry Electronics Machine Cosmetology Occup. Work

Horti. Office .... Mechanics Shop Exp.

Bars for each Vocational Program show ratios for 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987, and 1988.

Ratios of Mean Associate Vocational Graduate Incometo Mean General Income

1983-1988

2

1.9

1.8

1.7

1.6

1.51411.3

12.11

1

.

.111

. .

Health Occupations

III,

Technical Education

Bars for each Vocational Program show ratios for 1983, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987, and 1988.

158

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The data and analysis of the data presented here show the value of utilizing federal income

tax records as a source of information on the performance of graduates of vocational education

programs. The rewards from obtaining reliable and consistent federal tax data point to the potential

in the pursuit of information on the performance of vocational graduates.

Knowledge of the performance of vocational graduates as a whole as well as graduates of

specific programs would contribute to effective decision-making. Longitudinal studies of groups of

vocational graduates would provide information on the nature and level of impact of vocational

education and the change over time in this impact.

The study of six successive years of the 1979 graduates has shown a continuing margin of

the incomes of vocational graduates relative to the equivalent group in the general population. As

the longitudinal study follows up the same group in successive years, a reconsideration of

conventional assumptions about the duration of vocational education benefits may be in order.

159 96