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ACER— Agency for tht’ Coop’ration01 Inergv Regulators
OPINION OF THE AGENCY FOR THE COOPERATION OF ENERGYREGULATORS No 16/2014
of3O July 2014
ON THE IMPLEMENTATION OF INVESTMENTS IN ELECTRICITYTRANSMISSION NETWORKS
THE AGENCY FOR THE COOPERATION OF ENERGY REGULATORS,
HAVING REGARD to Regulation (EC) No 7 1 3/2009 of the European Parliament and of theCouncil of 1 3 July 2009 establishing an Agency for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators’ , and, inparticular, Articles 6(7) and 6(8) thereof,
HAVING REGARD to the favourable opinion of the Board of Regulators of 1 7 July 2014, issuedpursuant to Article 15(1) ofRegulation (EC) No 713/2009,
WHEREAS:
(1) Articles 6(7) and 6(8) of Regulation (EC) No 713/2009 task the Agency for the Cooperation ofEnergy Regulators (“the Agency”) with monitoring the progress as regards the implementationof investments to create new interconnector capacity and the implementation of the electricityUnion-wide ten-year network development plan (“EU TYNDP”).
(2) In this Opinion, the Agency reports on its monitoring of progress in the development of theinvestments included in the list of investments of pan-European significance in Appendix 1 ofthe EU TYNDP released by ENTSO-E on 5 July 2012 (“TYNDP” investments). Themonitoring has been performed with reference to investment items, as disaggregated in theENTSO-E “2013 TYNDP Monitoring Update”2.
(3) In this Opinion, the Agency also reports on its monitoring of the investments included in theRegional Investment Plans3 published on 5 July 2012, which are not included in the 2012 EUTYNDP (“REG” investments) and of other investments of cross-border relevance, which arenot included in the 2012 EU TYNDP or in the 2012 Regional Investment Plans, but appeareither in the national investment plans (“OTHER” investments) or are developed by Third-PartyPromoters (“TPP” investments).
1j L 211, 14.8.2009, p.’
2 ENTSO-E “2013 Monitoring update ofthe IYNDP 2012 Table ofprojects”, 1 July 2013, Annex 1 — Monitoringupdate TYNDPhftps://www.entsoe.eu/fileadminluserupload!library/SDC/TYNDP/2012/1 3O7OlMonitoring_updatejYNDP2O 12_Table_ofprojects_FINAL.pdf.3 ENTSO-E TYNDP 2012 (p.23) indicates that “investments needs and projects of European importance arecomprehensively depicted in the Regional Investment Plans”.
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ACER.\gency hr ht (OOpt’rtlOflot ltr Rgulator
(4) National regulatory authorities (“NRAs”) have provided essential input for this Opinion bysubmitting information on components of transmission investments4 in an online data collectionprocess (completed on 1 0 April 2014) and additional updates provided until 27 June 2014. Thisinformation is summarised in the Annex to this Opinion,
HAS ADOPTED THIS OPINION:
1. Introduction
In the Agency’ s view, the monitoring of the implementation of investments in electricitytransmission networks should in principle include an evaluation over time of four fundamentalaspects:
. the expected benefits from each investment;
. the increase of transfer capacity at a network boundary, and in particular, of cross-bordergrid transfer capability (“XB GTC”)5 delivered by each investment;
. the cost of each investment;
. the status and the timing/progress of each investment.
Benefits for society are the objective of network development and of individual investments.However, due to the interaction of different investments in meshed networks, measuring actualbenefits of each investment is very complex (if not impossible, at least for some types of benefits).
The increase in XB GTC is a means to an end (the benefits), and not an end in itself. Albeit transfercapacity may also be affected by interaction among investments in meshed networks, it is moreeasily calculable and measurable than final benefits. It allows the monitoring of the actual evolutionof capacity6 once the investment is commissioned against the expected increase in XB GTC at theplanning stage. Further, XB GTC may constitute a proxy for some types of benefits, in particularregarding market integration.
Similarly, the investment costs can also be easily monitored during the different phases of theinvestment (either as a planned range, planned value or as an actual value). The actual cost, oncethe investment is commissioned, can be assessed against the expected cost at the planning stage.
Finally, the status of each investment can be monitored through the identification of differentinvestment phases. The timing and progress can be monitored through the identification ofinvestment development steps7, such as the approval of the investment in a national development
4 In this Opinion, “component” (or investment component) means the national part of a transmission investment item.5 In this Opinion, the term “cross-border grid transfer capability” is used in line with ENTSO-E Guideline for CostBenefit Analysis ofGrid Development Projects, version 14 November 2013.6 Increase ofNet Transfer Capacity (NTC).7 The Agency introduced a list of eleven steps in the process of developing electricity transmission projects of EU-wideimportance. See Agency’s recommendation regarding cross-border cost allocation requests, p.3.http://www.acer.europa.euIOfficialdocuments/ActsoftheAgency/Recommenthtions/ACER%20Recomendation%2007-201 3.pdf
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ACERfor tht’ (oop4’rtion
— ol Lnt’rgv Rtguit&r
plan, the start of the permitting procedure, the end of the permitting procedure, the start of theconstruction phase, the commissioning date and others.
As already noted in the Agency’ s Opinion on national ten-year electricity network developmentplans8, the definitions of benefit- and cost-related aspects are still under development at Europeanlevel9, affecting the availability of investment-by-investment information in the 2012 EU TYNDPand in national plans, which is still limited.
In this Opinion therefore, the Agency focuses on the XB GIC and on the timing aspect (status andtiming/progress of investment components). With respect to the latter aspect, very limitedinformation is available on the dates of investment development stages, which are therefore notfurther discussed in this Opinion.
Section 2 identifies investments and investment components considered in this Opinion andprovides an insight into the availability of data. Section 3 investigates increases in XB GTC,including a separate monitoring of commissioned investments. Section 4 describes the status ofinvestment components. Section 5 assesses the progress in the implementation of investmentcomponents. Section 6 evaluates the delayed, rescheduled and cancelled investments, including ananalysis of the causes for such delays, rescheduling and cancellations. finally, Section 7 providesconsiderations with regard to investment monitoring in view of forthcoming EU TYNDPs.
2. Investments under monitoring and availability of data
The monitoring activity is performed at a disaggregated level, i.e. at transmission investmentcomponent level, even in the case of clusters. As some investment components of interconnectioninvestments are located in countries outside the scope of this Opinion (which covers EU MemberStates and Norway’°), the monitoring covers 838 components corresponding to 757 investments, aspresented in Table 1.
8 Opinion of the Agency for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators No 08/2014 of 4 April 2014 on National Ten-YearNetwork Development Plans pursuant to article 8(11) of the Regulation (EC) no 714/2009http://www.acer.europa.eu/Official documents/Acts of the Agency/Opinions/Opinions/ACER%200pinion%2008-20 14.pdf9 See ENTSO-E “Guideline to Cost Benefit Analysis of Grid Development Projects”, 14 November 2013,https://www.entsoe.eu/fileadmi&userupload/library/events/Workshops/CBAI13 1 1 14ENTSO-E_CBAMethodology.pdf.10 Thanks to the voluntary participation ofthe Norwegian NRA.
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ACERAg?fl:y or (opt’rttonof L.ncrgv Regulators
Table 1 Breakdown of investments and investment components
Category InvestmentsComponents of
investmentsTYNDP 607 656
REG 104 109OTHER 13 1$
TPP 33 55Total 757 838
Out of which, interconnections 99 180Out of which, internal 658 658
Assessments are based on the available data supplied by NRAs:
. information regarding the status of investment components is available for approximately84% of them;
. information regarding the progress of investment components is available for approximately64% of them;
. information regarding the commissioning date of investment components is available forapproximately 67% of them.
When analysing the different categories of investments (TYNDP, REG, OTHER, TPP) separately,data availability appears to be more limited for TPP investments, compared to the ones in othercategories, for instance:
. information on the expected date of commissioning is available only for 1 5% of the TPPcomponents, compared to 71% of the investment components in other categories;
. information on the status of the investment is available only for 44% of the TPPcomponents, compared to 87% of investments in other categories.
Based on this finding, the Agency has focused its monitoring activity on the time aspects (Sections4, 5 and 6 ofthis Opinion) for TYNDP, REG and OTHER” investment components.
3. Creation of interconnector capacity
Based on available data, the Agency has analysed the implementation of 125 investmentcomponents (69 interconnector and 56 internal investment components) for which informationregarding an increase in XB GTC was provided by NRAs. The Agency notes that out of these 125investment components, 12 have already been commissioned.
Details about the expected increase in XB GTC for the 1 1 3 investment components which are notyet commissioned are presented in the Annex to this Opinion (60 interconnector components inTable I and 53 internal components in Table II). Furthermore, 12 investment components (4
1 1 OTHER investment components are not monitored in Sections 5 and 6 because they do not exist in 2012 EU TYNDP,therefore it is not possible to assess progress.
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ACER
..\g’:y tør ht’ (
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ACER
II .\g’nLy for hL’ Coprticnof l.nergv Rtg:trs
1500 GIC1500 GTC DE-NL
600
1000 (cluster)’8 DK-DEDK 1200 4200
700 NO-DK700 DK-NL
EE 550’ (cluster) EE-LV 5501400 ES-fR
E52° l700to 1200from 300 to 400 ES-PT
fI 500 fl-SE 5001200
FR-ES1200
1000 I 1500 FR-CH I CH - FR1000 FR-BE1000
FR 10300/102001000 FR-GB1000
700 FR-IE1200 FR-IT1000 FR-DE
504215
154HR-BA
HR 30 125350
200
100 HR-SI
18 The XB GTC increase at cluster level refers to 2 investment components on the Danish side: Tjele (DK) - KassO(DK) - Border with Germany I Audorf. According to DERA, a capacity increase will also affect DK-NO border.19 The XB GTC increase at cluster level refers to 3 investment components on the Estonian side: Harku (EE)- Sindi(EE) 1 10 kV circuit, Harku (EE)- Sindi (EE) 330 kV circuit and Kilingi-Nomme (EE) — Border with Latvial Riga CHP2substation.20 The XB GTC increases for Spain are per border. The value on the French border takes into account 5 investmentcomponents on the Spanish side: Santa Llogaia (ES) - BescanO (ES) line, Santa Llogaia (ES) substation, BescanO (ES)substation, Sta. Llogaia converter station, Sta.Llogaia (ES) — border with France I Baixas and does not include thesubsea interconnector Gatica (ES) - Border with France I Aquitaine as this is not in Spanish national plan. The value onthe Portuguese border is derived by deducting the capacity increase given by the commissioned investment (see Table3).
1500 GTCDE-PL
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ACER
.\gt’rcy br th’ cxptrt in() 1.t’TV Regulators
500 (cluster)221500
IE-GB1000
IE 47001500 IE-NI700 IE-FR
1200 I 1000 FR- IT I IT-FR1600/ 1500 AT- IT! IT-AT1000 1 950 CH - IT I IT-CR
IT23 600 IT—NorthemAfrica 7200/56801000 IT-ME
800/250SI- IT / IT-SI
1000/380
500LT-PL
LT 500 1700700 LT-SE
LU 400 (cluster)24 BE-LU 400MT 200 MT-IT 200
700 NL-DKNL 2200
1500 NL-DE1400 NO-DE
NO 700 NO-DK 35001400 NO-GB500 PL-DE/CZ/SK
1 500 (cluster)25 DE/CZ/SK-PLPL 30001 500 PL-DE/CZ/SK
500 (cluster)26 DE/CZ/SK-PL
21 The XB GTC increase at cluster level refers to 2 investment components on the Hungarian side: Gonyu area (HU) -Border with Slovakia I Gabcilcovo and SajOivánka (HU) - Border with Slovakia I Rimavskã Sobota.22 The XB GTC increase at cluster level refers to 1 investment component on the Hungarian side: Area of Kisvãrda —Border with Slovakia /Velkë Kapuany23 Italian NRA inputs are per border with additional details on the french-Italian border (see at the end of Section 3).24 The XB GTC increase at cluster level refers to 2 investment components on the Luxembourgish side: (first step)phase shifting transformer in Schifftange (LU) and (second step) works on existing cable related to substationsBascharage and Schifflange (LU).25 The XB GTC increase at cluster level refers to 4 investment components on the Polish side: Plewiska (PL) - Borderwith Germany I EisenhUttenstadt, Krajnik (PL) - Baczyna (PL), Mikulowa (PL) - Swiebodzice (PL) and substationGubin (PL).26 The XB GTC increase at cluster level refers to 5 investment components on the Polish side: Krajnik (PL) - Borderwith Germany I Vierraden, switchgear in substation Krajnik, switchgear in substation Mikulowa, PST in substationKrajnik, PST in substation Mikulowa.
400 / 1 1 00 (clustei1RU RU-SK/SK-RU 900/1600
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ACERAg&’rwy for th.’ (()%M’ratLOflof Ltwrgv Regulators
425 RO-MD1225
$00 RO-TRRO
2$ SE-LT1500 I 1200
700 (cluster)SE
$00 I 500 SE-Fl I Fl-SEindicative value 1 00029
SI IT4640SI indicative 1640°
indicative 2000 SI-RU1 100 I 400 (cluster)3’
SK-HU I HU-SK 1600 I 9005K500 (cluster) 32
Table 3 presents the 12 commissioned investment components (corresponding to $ investmentitems, as four items are interconnectors between Member States commissioned on both sides, thuscomposed of two components each) which resulted in an increase in XB GTC:
. three Estonian and Finnish investment items of EstLink II, which became commerciallyoperational in February 2014;
. the East-West Interconnector (Ireland-Great Britain);
. the “Southern Interconnection” Puebla de Guzman - Tavira (Spain-Portugal), which wascommissioned in May 2014;
. two reinforcements (reconductoring or upgrades) of existing lines on the French-Italianborder and on Croatian-Bosnian border and the Oltarzew substation in Poland.
For the 12 commissioned investment components, as far as the comparison is possible taking intoaccount that some capacities are at cluster level, the Agency notes that there are no differences
27 The XB GIC increase at cluster level refers to 13 investment components on the Polish side: Siedlce UjrzanOw (PL) -Milosna (PL), Elk (PL) - Lomza (PL), substation Lomza (PL), switchgear in substation Ostroleka, Ostroleka (PL) -Narew (PL), Ostroleka (PL) - StanislawOw (PL), substation StanislawOw, Kozienice (PL) - Siedlce UjrzanOw (PL),Kozienice substation, Plock (PL) - Olsztyn Matki (PE), Olsztyn Mtki substation, Ostroleka (PL) - Olsztyn Matki (PL)and Elk (PL) - Border with Lithuania I Alytus. The increase is 500 MW in a first stage and 1000 MW after a secondstage. The XB GTC increase at investment level for Elk (PL) - Border with Lithuania I Alytus is 400 MW.28 The XB GTC increase at cluster level refers to 1 investment component on the Swedish side: Nybro (SE) - Borderwith Lithuania I Klaipeda29 According to AGEN-RS, the NTC values provided are only indicative, the future conditions in neighbouringcountries are not considered in calculations. Therefore, the final NTC values on the Slovene borders will have to bebilaterally/multilaterally harmonized (or using Pentalateral procedure) between ELES and TSOs of neighbouringcountries, so that the final values may vary significantly from the indicative values above.30 The XB GTC increase at cluster level refers to 3 investment components on the Slovenian side: Divaca (SI) -Cirkovce (SI), phase shifting transformer in Okroglo (SI) and Okroglo (SI) - Border with Italy / Udine.31 The XB GTC increase at cluster level refers to 3 investment components on the Slovakian side:Gabcilcovo - Border with Hungary / Gonyu area, Rimavská Sobota -Border with Hungary / SajOivãnka and Velk Dur(5K) - Gabcikovo (5K).32 The XB GTC increase at cluster level refers to 2 investment components on the Slovakian side: Lemeany (5K) -Velké Kapuany (5K) and Velké Kapuany -Border with Hungary / Area of Kisvãrda.
500-1000 (cluster)2’ PL-LT
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between the XB GTC increase reported by NRAs and the grid transfer capability increase availablein Annex I to the 2012 EU TYNDP.
The total increase in interconnector capacity for the commissioned investment items is 1550-2250MW. Furthermore, the full availability of 1 000 MW on the Polish-Lithuanian border and of 600MW on the French-Italian border depends on the completion of clusters of investments.
New southern interconnection. New400kV OHL single-circuit line betweenPuebla de Guzman (ES)- Tavira (PT)
33 The increase in XB GTC varies according to peak I off-peak conditions and to the period ofthe year.34 This is the value at cluster level, including other reinforcements and in particular the Trino — Lacchiarella Italianinternal line.35 This value is at cluster level including the investments described in Table 2 (see footnote for the PL-LT cluster).
Table 3: Actual increases in XB GTC for commissioned investment con
4.17
XB GTCTYNDP actualInvestment increase ImpactedItem Code Substation I Substation 2 Investment description (MW) border
onents
Puebla deGuzman (ES)
Border withPT (Tavira) 300-400 ES to PT
OnBorder with ES average(Puebla de about
4.17 Guzman) Tavira (PT) As above (PT component) iOOO PT to ESReplacement of conductors (by ACCS)on various lines from Cornier (FR) to
Border with IT Piossasco (IT) (Total length of lines21.54 Cornier (FR) (Piossasco) 257 km) 600 fR-IT
600 (atBorder with FR cluster
21.54 (Cornier) Piossasco As above (IT component) level)34 IT-FRRe-establishment oftwo previouslyexisting 220kV single circuit
Border with BA interconnection Trebinje(BA)-Plat(HR);28228 (Trebinje) Plat(HR) Total length 10km. 100 HR-BA
A new AC substation will be connectedby splitting 400kV line RogowiecMilosna and Milosna-Plock and 220kV 1000(clus
59.372 Oltarzew (PL) line Mory-Sochaczew and Mory-JanOw. ter)35 PL-LTA new HVDC (450kV) connection willbe built between Estonia and Finland.
63.391 Anttila (Fl) New substation Anttila part.Border with Fl
63.391 Püssi (EE) (Anttila) As above. Marine cableBorder with EE 650 (at
63.391 (Püssi) Anttila (Fl) As above (Fl component). Marine cable cluster63.391 (Fl) Anttila (Fl) As above. DC overhead line part. level) EE-FI
A new 260 km HVDC (200 kV DC)underground and subsea connection
Border with between Ireland and Britain with80.461 Woodland (IE) GB (Deeside) 500MW capacity. 500 IE-GB
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ACER.\gent:y for f :c)p’Tt iOnO LflCIV Rtgulatc)rs
TYNDP actualInvestment increase ImpactedItem Code Substation 1 Substation 2 Investment description (MW) border
Border with IF80.461 (Woodland) Deeside (GB) As above (IF component)
4. Status of investments
In this Opinion, the following investment statuses as defined by the 2012 EU TYNDP areconsidered:
. “under consideration”,
. “planned”,
. “design and permitting”,
. “under construction”, and
. “commissioned”36.
Further, the “cancelled” status is considered.
4.1 Status ofthe TYNDP, REG and OTHER investments
The analysis regarding the status of the TYNDP, REG and OTHER investments has been carriedout for 679 investment components, as no information was reported for the other 1 04 investmentcomponents.
For the purpose of comparison with 2012 EU TYNDP data, the analysis of the status has beencarried out separately for TYNDP, REG and OTHER investments.
TYNDPOut of the total 566 TYNDP investment components for which information is available, the Agencyhas found that 1 3 % are currently “under consideration”, 24% are “planned”, 3 6% are in the designand permitting phase, 1 3% are in the construction phase, 1 1% have been commissioned and 3%have been cancelled (Figure 1). Compared to the status of the 2012 EU TYNDP investmentssummarised in Figure the Agency observes a significant reduction of the TYNDP investments
36 This status is intended as “completed” for the investment components of interconnection lines: when only one of theinvestment components is completed, it cannot be commissioned yet due to the lack of completion on the other side.37 Figure 2 refers to 64$ investment components instead of 656 due to the lack of information on the status of Magenta(IT) substation and as the commissioned status of some projects in Spain is not included:
. Magenta substation was included in 2012 FU TYNDP as a sub-investment of investment item 21 .8 1 Trino (IT)- Lacchiarella (IT), which included a voltage upgrade of the existing Magenta 220 I 132 kV substation up to380 kV. After the definition of the new interconnection project between Italy and Switzerland (HVDC linkbetween Pallanzeno and Baggio), Magenta substation also supports the new interconnection project. FNTSO-Ftherefore classified Magenta substation as part of cluster 3 1, under item code 3 1 .932, in the 20 13 TYNDPMonitoring Update.
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I\jgçy;J;()PI!fl
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in the “Design and Permitting” status (see further analysis at the end of this Section). The Agencynotes that 33% of the TYNDP investments which were “under construction” in 2012 have beencommissioned.
Figure 1: The current status of the TYNDP Figure 2: Status of TYNDP investments in 2012investments
Sunder1. consideration. under consideration
splanned S plannedS design & permitting
S Under constr uction
S Commissioned
a Cancelled
REGOut of the 1 01 REG investment components for which information is available, the Agency hasfound that 1 3% are currently “under consideration”, 1 6% are “planned”, 28% are in the design andpermitting phase, 1 3% are in the construction phase, 14% have been commissioned and 1 6 % havebeen cancelled (Figure 3). Compared to the status of the 2012 REG investments summarised inFigure 438, the Agency observes a significantly higher percentage of cancelled investmentscompared to the TYNDP investments. The Agency notes that 67% of the REG investments whichwere “under construction” in 2012 have been commissioned.
. BescanO substation is a sub-investment of TYNDP investment item 5.37 Santa Llogaia (ES) - BescanO (ES).As indicated in the 2012 EU TYNDP, Appendix I, “Bescano-Vic I Senmenat 400 kV commissioned”.
. Penagos, Udalla, Pesoz and Abanto substations in Spain are sub-investments of TYNDP investment item 6.22.As indicated in the 2012 EU TYNDP, Appendix I, Soto (ES) - Penagos (ES) and Zierbena (ES) - Abanto (ES)were commissioned. “Section Pesoz — Salas commissioned”. “From Penagos I Aguayo to Udallacommissioned” .
. Muruarte substation is a sub-investment of TYNDP investment item 7.23 Ichaso (ES) - CastejOn (ES). Asindicated in the brief description of the investment item in the 2012 EU TYNDP, Appendix I, “SectionCastejOn-Muruarte 400 kV is afready in service”.
. Arcos - Guadame is a sub-investment of TYNDP investment item 1 1 .29 Cartuja (ES) — Guadame (ES). Asindicated in the brief description of the investment item in the 2012 EU TYNDP, Appendix I, “Arcos - Cabra -Guadame section commissioned”.
38 Figure 4 refers to 108 investment components instead of 109 as Camporosso phase shifting transformer (IT) wascommissioned before issuing the EU TYNDP 2012, as indicated in ENTSO-E “Regional Investment Plan ContinentalCentral South - final”, 5 July 2012.
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‘I0
Udesign &permitting
S underconstruction
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ACER.\g’r:v the cf))f’4’T t lOll(It IflCTV RCiUI.ltl)TS
Figure 3: The current status of REGinvestments
________
. underconsideration
I planned
S design &per mitting
S underconstruction
S Commissioned
Figure 4: The status of REG investments inRegional Investment Plans 2012
S [)esigrr & Permitting
The status of the 12 OTHER investment components for which information is available is presentedin figure 539•
In particular, such situation applies to 42 Spanish TYNDP components, 21 Italian TYNDP andREG components and 9 Polish TYNDP and REG components. Furthermore, 4 components ofinterconnection investments have returned to an “under consideration” status:
. the AT component of Lienz (AT) - Veneto region (IT);
. the AT component of Area Bodensee (AT, CH, DE) — Area Bodensee (AT, CH, DE)
39 A list of OTHER investments including the description and status for each investment components can be found inthe Annex to this Opinion, Table XI.
under consideration
S planner]
S Cancelled
S under construction
figure 5: The current status of OTHER investments
S under consideration
S Planned
S Design & permitting
S Under construction
The Agency finally notes that 1 08 TYNDP and REG investment components have returned to anearlier status than the one in the 2012 EU TYNDP or Regional Investment Plans as illustrated inTable 4.
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ACER.\gt’rwy fo n’
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. the BG component of Maritsa East 1 (BG) - Nea Santa (GR);
. the GB component of Kvilldal (NO) — tbd (GB).
Under consideration 1
. . . Under consideration 1$75 design & permitting
Planned 5723 planned Under consideration 23
4.2 Investment components already commissioned
In total, 76 TYNDP and REG investment components have already been commissioned. This totalincludes about 10 investment components (more disaggregated than in the 2012 EU TYNDP) thatwere already commissioned before the 2012 EU TYNDP, as discussed in other parts of Section 44O
The Agency has found that 1 investment is only partly commissioned. Table 5 provides furtherdetails.
Table 5: Investment items oi commissioned
Commissioned On time
5. Timing and progress of implementation of investments
For the purpose of this Opinion, the term “investment rescheduled” corresponds to an investmentwhich is voluntarily postponed by a transmission system operator due to changes of its externaldriver (e.g. postponed connection of new generation, lower demand, less urgent need for aninvestment due to updated planning data or priority to other transmission solutions).
40 For more details, see Table III in the Annex to this Opinion for the interconnector investment components, and TableIv in the Annex for the internal investment components.
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Table 4: Investme
10 under constructionDesign & permitting 7
Planned 2
TYNDP Progress!Investment Country commissioningItem Code Code Component ! Investment item description Status date
27.223 SI
HR
The existing substation of Cfrkovce(SI) willbe connected to one circuit of the existingHeviz(HU)-Zerjavinec(HR) double circuit400kV OHL by erecting a new 80km doublecircuit 400kV OHL in Slovenia. The projectwill result in two new cross-border circuits:Heviz(HU)-Cirkovce(SI) and Cfrkovce (SI)Zerlavinec (HR).HU
PlannedDelayed I Notbefore 2018
Design andpermitting On time /20 16
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ACERAgency for bt’ (xp’rtzonof l.ncrgy Regulators
The term “investment delayed” corresponds to an investment which is still needed at the expecteddate, but cannot be delivered on time due to various external factors like permitting, environmental,legislative reasons, etc.41.Considering that the availability of information about the expected timing and progress ofinvestments is rather limited for the investment components “under consideration” compared to theother investment statuses, the Agency has decided not to include these investment components in itsanalysis. The analysis for commissioned investments is presented separately in Section 5.2.
5 . 1 TYNDP and REG investments (excluding commissioned investments)
Out of 569 TYNDP and REG investment components (information was missing for 145 investmentcomponents), 44% are ‘on time’ , 3 1% encounter delays, 21 % are rescheduled and 4% are expectedahead of schedule, as illustrated in Figure 6.
Figure 6: Progress of implementation of TYNDP and REG investments (excludingcommissioned, cancelled and “under consideration”)
5 .2 Investment components already commissioned
Expected ahead ofschedule
S On time
S Delayed
S Rescheduled
Out of the 76 commissioned investment components, 24 components have been commissioned ontime, 1 0 with a delay and 2 ahead of schedule. Information is not available for 40 components.
41 Based on the input received, the Agency notes that postponing of some investments could have been due to multiplereasons in the delayed and rescheduled categories.
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ACERAgency for :hL’ C p’rt ion
— ()fl.neTgv Rgti1toc
6. Analysis of the delayed, rescheduled and cancelled investments
This section presents the Agency’s evaluation of the reasons for a delay, rescheduling andcancellation of investments.
6. 1 Reasons for a delay
The Agency has identified 8 reasons why the implementation of investments has been delayed.
. Delays due to permit granting reasons;
. National law changes affecting permitting;
. Environmental problems and re-routing;
. Delays related to acquisition of land;
. Delays due to correlation with other delayed transmission investments;
. Delay in tendering process;
. Delay related to finalisation of agreements across borders or with third party promoters;
. Localisation and siting of substation(s).
Based on the detailed information presented in Figure I in the Annex42, the Agency has found that66% of the investment components are delayed due to permitting issues, environmental reasons andre-routing, siting of substations and national law changes affecting permitting43.
6.2 Reasons for rescheduling
The Agency has identified 5 main reasons why the implementation of investments has beenrescheduled:
. Changes on the generation side, including delays in the expected date of connection of newrenewable-based generation;
. Changes due to correlation with other (prioritised or rescheduled) transmission investments;
. Changes on the demand side;
. Changes in planning data input;
. Rescheduling of works during the construction phase either to guarantee the continuity ofservice or due to other technical issues;
Based on the detailed information presented in Figure II in the Annex44, the Agency has found thata significant proportion (58%) of investment components have been rescheduled due to changes on
42 Information was available for 85% ofthe delayed investment components.43 A list of all investments encountering delays in their implementation and the detailed reasons for the delay can befound in the Annex to this Opinion. See Table V for interconnector investment components and Table VI for internalinvestment components.44 Information was available for 85% ofthe rescheduled investment components.
Pagel5of46
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t) I.!CV Rtç.uIatorS
generation and demand side or changes in the overall planning data inputs. Next, 1 8% ofrescheduling is related to priority given to other transmission investments45.
6.3 Assessment ofthe cancelled investment components
As already reported in Section 4, the Agency has found that 32 investment components have beencancelled (16 TYNDP components and 16 REG components)46.The Agency has identified 7 main reasons why the implementation of the investments has beencancelled:
. Changes due to the overall planning process and inputs;
. Changes on the demand side;
. Changes on the generation side;
. Changes due to other transmission investments;
. Studies which never turned into a planned investment;
. Environmental reasons and re-routings;
. Investments becoming third party projects (thus cancelled from national plans).
Based on the detailed information presented in Figure III in the Annex47, the Agency has found thata significant proportion (59%) of investment components has been cancelled due to changes on thegeneration or demand side or in the overall planning inputs. Next, 25% of investment componentshave been cancelled due to other transmission investments or because the study never turned into aplanned investment.
7. Considerations in view of the forthcoming EU TYNDPs
The Agency acknowledges that the availability of data presented in this Opinion was limited, whichis partly due to the novelty of the process, but also to the presentation of the grid transfer capacitiesat cluster level in the 2012 EU TYNDP. As already indicated in its Opinion on the ENTSO-Eguideline for Cost-Benefit Analysis (CBA), the Agency, in line with the draft ENTSO-E CBAmethodology48, reaffirms the importance of including single-investment GTC increases in the 2014EU TYNDP.
45 A list of all investments encountering a reschedule in their implementation and the detailed reasons can be found inthe Annex to this Opinion. See Table VII for interconnector investment components and Table VIII for internalinvestment components.46 The increase in cancelled investments in comparison to the number of cancelled projects observed in the Agencyopinion on national ten-year electricity network development plans (which reported 24 cancelled investmentcomponents) is related to the updates of some national plans and to new information provided by some NRAs. Inparticular, the Norwegian NRA informed the Agency that the investment 67.411 Rød (NO) - Sylling (NO) is notcancelled, but under consideration and rescheduled indefinitely. For detailed information see Annex to this Opinion,Table IX for interconnector investment components and Table X for internal investment components.47 Information was available for all the cancelled investment components.48 ENTSO-E, “Guideline to Cost Benefit Analysis ofGrid Development Projects”, 14 November 2013.
Pagel6of46
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ACER;\g&’nt:v fr hL’ ( cMft’rat C’fl() Lergv Rvgul:uors
More generally, as already noted in its previous opinions49, the Agency expects ENTSO-E toundertake a Cost-Benefit Analysis for all transmission investments in the 2014 EU TYNDP, in linewith the currently available methodology. Such an analysis would allow for more information to bereported on in the forthcoming monitoring activities of the Agency, in particular with regard to theXB GTCs at investment item level50 and with regard to the costs and benefits of each investmentitem.
The Agency considers that the s 201 3 TYNDP Monitoring Update has improvedcompared to the 2012 EU TYNDP in terms of clarity of the information provided (in the 2012 EUTYNDP the expected commissioning date for 1 94 investment components was not clearly defined —e.g. mid-term, long-term — and 1 8 investment items had no expected commissioning date). TheAgency expects ENTSO-E to clearly and uniquely indicate the expected commissioning date in the2014 EU TYNDP.
The Agency also considers that ENTSO-E should provide disaggregate information on eachinvestment item (as ENTSO-E did in the 201 3 TYNDP Monitoring Update, compared to the 2012EU TYNDP). The presence of more disaggregated investments in the forthcoming EU TYNDPswill facilitate the future implementation monitoring of investments.
As already noted in its Opinion on National Ten-Year Network Development Plans51, the Agencyobserves that in a few cases - in particular for investments under consideration - the 2012 EUTYNDP did not provide details or sufficient clarity in investment descriptions. The Agency calls onENT$O-E to provide complete and clear descriptions in the 2014 EU TYNDP.
Done in Ljubljana on 30 July 2014.
For the Agency:
A1Irto’ototschnigDirnctor
49 Opinion ofthe Agency for the Cooperation ofEnergy Regulators No 17/2013 of 1 August 2013 on the 2012 ENISOE Annual Reporthttp://www.acer.europa.eulOfficialdocuments/Acts_of_the_Agency/Opinions/Opinions/ACER%200pinion%2017-2013.pdf50 According to ENTSO-E CBA Guidelines (p.20), “the Delta-GIC must be reported for each investment”.furthermore, in its Opinion on ENTSO-E TYNDP 2012, the Agency afready recommended that costs are presented foreach individual investment item inside each project cluster.51 Opinion ofthe Agency on National Ten-Year Network Development Plans, p. 8.
Page 17 of 46
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