dominic hogg, eunomia, go green business breakfast - the circular economy, st mary redcliffe church,...
TRANSCRIPT
Circular Economy:
Policy Setting and Drivers
Go Green Breakfast Meeting
Dr Dominic Hogg
Chairman
Eunomia Research & Consulting Ltd
2nd December 2015
The Hierarchy
Prevention
Preparation for Reuse
Recycling
Other Recovery
Disposal
Design
as Viewed by Designers
Commodity Prices as a Driver
The Case
• ‘the costs of making stuff are becoming
unpredictable & expensive’… ‘resource
scarcity and tighter environmental standards
are here to stay’
Source: Ellen MacArthur Foundation 2012
• ‘In a world of high and volatile resource
prices, a CE offers huge business
opportunities’
Source: Chatham House briefing paper
Is the Economy ‘Linear’? - Disposal
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
La
nd
fille
d W
aste
('0
00
to
nn
es)
Standard Rate Lower Rate
Is the Economy ‘Linear’?
£0.00
£10.00
£20.00
£30.00
£40.00
£50.00
£60.00
£70.00
0
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
60,000,000
Level o
f Stand
ard R
ate Tax (£
pe
r ton
ne
)To
nn
es
of
Was
te L
and
fille
d a
t St
and
ard
Rat
e o
f Ta
x
Total Landfilled at Standard Rate Non-LAC Waste Landfilled at Active Rate Tax Rate (right hand axis)
Commodity Prices as a Driver?
Why?
An Alluring Identity?
Rising demand + increasing
volatility
=
high commodity prices + a circular
economy
What if prices fall?
José Antonio Ocampo (2013) Super-cycles of Commodity Cycles of Commodity
Prices Since the Mid-nineteenth Century, Presentation at the IMF, March 20 2013.
0.00
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
140.00
160.00
180.00
200.001
99
1M
01
19
91
M0
6
19
91
M1
1
19
92
M0
4
19
92
M0
9
19
93
M0
2
19
93
M0
7
19
93
M1
2
19
94
M0
5
19
94
M1
0
19
95
M0
3
19
95
M0
8
19
96
M0
1
19
96
M0
6
19
96
M1
1
19
97
M0
4
19
97
M0
9
19
98
M0
2
19
98
M0
7
19
98
M1
2
19
99
M0
5
19
99
M1
0
20
00
M0
3
20
00
M0
8
20
01
M0
1
20
01
M0
6
20
01
M1
1
20
02
M0
4
20
02
M0
9
20
03
M0
2
20
03
M0
7
20
03
M1
2
20
04
M0
5
20
04
M1
0
20
05
M0
3
20
05
M0
8
20
06
M0
1
20
06
M0
6
20
06
M1
1
20
07
M0
4
20
07
M0
9
20
08
M0
2
20
08
M0
7
20
08
M1
2
20
09
M0
5
20
09
M1
0
20
10
M0
3
20
10
M0
8
20
11
M0
1
20
11
M0
6
20
11
M1
1
20
12
M0
4
20
12
M0
9
20
13
M0
2
20
13
M0
7
20
13
M1
2
20
14
M0
5
20
14
M1
0
Energy Non-energy Agriculture Precious Metals
Source: World Bank
2
0
0
5
Source: IMF (Index, Jan 2005=100)
Iron Ore Prices Since Jan 05 ($/ton)
Source: IMF
Do we Need Policy to Drive us
Circular?
• If markets are ‘volatile’, can they drive the
behaviour we want to see?
• Policy intervention is likely to help…
• … and it’s justified
DG Env – waste targets review; DG Env – potential for
ecological tax reform in EU-28; GLA / LWARB - Route map to
a circular economy for London.
The Commission Package
Eco-design
Working with key OEMs and contract manufacturers in the
EU, US, Korea and China on handset eco-design
requirements, taking into account WEEE and RoHS
requirements and best practice for durability, repair and reuse
EMAS
Member of JRC
Technical Working
Group on EMAS for
waste management
Repair / Reuse
WRAP - Product
returns;
ZWS - Reverse
logistics study
Ecolabel / GPP
JRC - Revision of ecolabel for
paper ; OECD – sustainable
materials management; ZWS –
specifications for reuse, repair and
remanufacture
Plastics / Marine Litter
0.25 -
15% plastic bottles*
77Enough to
make
*@13g each
billion
DG Env – MSFD – sources of
microplastics and policies; strategies
for port reception facilities
Revised Waste Targets
DG Env – development of reference model on
MSW management; support to impact assessment
on 1st and 2nd CE packages
Other
• Food• Improve likelihood of donation
• Labelling
• Critical raw materials• Improved recovery through design and recovery
technologies
• C&D• Pre-demolition guidelines
• Indicators for env performance of buildings
• Biomass and related products• Cascading
• Sustainability of bioenergy