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    Asset Allocation and

    Investment Policy

    An investment strategy is based on fourdecisions1. What asset classes to consider for investment

    2. What normal or policy weights to assign to each eligible class

    3. The allowable allocation ranges based on policy weights

    4. What specific securities to purchase for the portfolio

    85% to 95% of the overall investment return isdue to the first two decisions, not the selectionof individual investments

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    Asset Allocation

    Strategies

    Integrated asset allocation

    capital market conditions

    investors objectives and constraints

    Strategic asset allocationconstant-mix

    Tactical asset allocation

    mean reversion

    inherently contrarian

    Insured asset allocation

    constant proportion portfolio insurance

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    Integrated asset allocation

    Capital Market

    Conditions (C1)

    Prediction

    Procedure (C2)

    E(R), Risk,

    Correlations (C3)

    Investors Risk

    Tolerance (I3)

    Investor Risk

    ToleranceFunction (I2)

    Investor Assets,

    Liab., Net Worth

    (I1)

    Optimizer (M1)

    Investors Asset Mix (M2)

    Realized Returns (M3)

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    Strategic asset allocation

    Used to develop a long-term policy allocation

    Example: Portfolio will always rebalance to

    revert to a 60% Stock/30% Bond/10% Cashallocation

    Practical issues:

    Frequency of rebalancing

    Reevaluation of the policy allocation

    ex. Northeasterns endowment

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    Tactical asset allocation

    Used to develop short-term strategies to exploit changesin market conditions

    Often viewed as a contrarian strategy

    Assume asset class performance is mean-reverting

    if stocks have performed above average relative to bonds,underweight stocks and overweight bonds for next period

    Assume stocks will generate above average returns

    overweight stocks!

    Practical issues:

    Frequency of rebalancing

    Constraints on swing component

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    Insured asset allocation

    Used to develop short-term strategies to exploit changesin investors objectives and constraints

    This is a portfolio insurance strategy

    Assumes investors become more risk-tolerant as wealth rises

    if stocks have performed above average relative to bonds,overweight stocks for next period

    Assumes investors become less risk-tolerant as wealth falls

    If stocks have performed poorly, underweight in next period

    Practical issues:

    Frequency of rebalancing

    Liquidity

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    Which Allocation Strategy is Best?

    Define $ invested in stocks (S)

    S = m(A - F)

    where A = total asset value

    F = floor value for assets

    m = multiplier

    B = $ invested in riskless bonds (=A-S)

    Three Strategies (A=100):

    Buy and Hold (m=1, F=40)

    Constant Mix (m=.6, F=0)

    Portfolio Insurance (m=2, F=70)


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