Download - Carbon matters print: global tipping points
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Bangkok28 April 2016
FNA
Alan LaubschChief Community [email protected]
CELEBRATING A DECADE OF IMPACTS
CARBON MATTERS:GLOBAL TIPPING POINTS
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Dragon King (Sornette 2009)
Black Swan (Taleb 2001, 2007)
vs.
What causes crises?
Now let’s find some dragons...
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Three Energy “Dragon Kings”
Renewables
Divestment
Carbon PriceStranded
Assets
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24 June Risky Business Report
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Solar: Half way to 100%…
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Energy Disruption: No escape for fossil fuels
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Tesla vs Model T trajectory
All interesting things happen at the edges of the system. They do not happen at the solid core. In the edges where things are uncertain is where the evolution happens. - Vinod Khosla
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Diffusion of Disruptive Innovation
Source: Wikipedia; see Geoffrey Moore’s “Crossing the Chasm” (1999)
Potential: Innovators imagine & build
Visible: Early Adopters sense & respond
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Shared maps as mass collaboration platform: spark social intelligence
South Pole & FNA Collaboration… our first map
What should be on the map?
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•Carbon has become a critical investment risk factor
•Evolutionary leap: from ego to ecosystems (Scharmer)
•Build collaboration platforms
The next 10 years: buckle up penguins...
… let’s hunt some dragons together