CBI NI Annual Energy Forum
Date, Wednesday 28th January 2009
Olive HillDirector of Technology & Process Development
Evidence of a changing climate?
Mounting Evidence
Energy ????…. (NREL)
Where is it going? (NREL)
State Policy FrameworkRenewable Portfolio Standards (NREL)
• “ $16 trillion (or $550 billion per year) will need to be spent on the energy supply infrastructure globally between now and 2030”
International Energy Agency
• “35 GW of new renewable energy capacity involving an investment of some £100 billion is needed by 2020”
UK Renewables
• “On site renewables worth up to £36 billion a year by 2016”
Renewable Advisory Board (UK)
Headlines
Invest NI Interest
Government Policy-Climate Change Targets-Renewables
Energy Efficiency
- Competiveness
Growing Market – Opportunities
- Competiveness
R&D Capabilities
- Innovation
Short-term0-5 Years
Medium-term5-15 Years
Long-term
15-25 Years
Diversity Inc onshore wind
Electricity, Infrastructure
Transport Bio fuels
Demand side management
Offshore Wind
Dynamic Large scale power e.g. Clean coal
Energy “nodes”
Wave/Tidal
Hydrogen storage
Dynamic high efficiency 4th generation Nuclear
Decentralise Community wind, biomass district heating, Anaerobic digestion for farm wastes
AD energy from MSW, Biomass gasification
Community CHP
Marine Biomass
Fuel cells, Virtual power stations
Decrease Air-source retrofit Heat Pumps
Solar thermal
Advanced Glazing
Enhanced Micro-chp
Low cost Vacuum Insulated Panels
Nano-based insulations
PV Concentrators
Organic PV
Technology Options Are Evolving (NREL) Concept
StudyPrototypeTesting
KWScale
MWScale
GWScale
Utility Wind(Land based)
Offshore Wind(Bottom Mounted)
Offshore Wind(Floating Turbines)
Marine Energy *(Wave, Tidal, current)
Distributed Wind(communities-residencies)
Organisations leading the R&DIndustry leaders with government support
Government-Industry Partnership
Government Laboratory Contactors
Academia & Small Startups
Organisations leading the R&D
Grain / Agriculture
Petroleum
Coal
Forestry Academia & Startups
Chemical
Ethanol
Biodiesel
Green diesel
Syngas Liquids
Bio-oil Derivative
H2 From Biomass
Diesel from Algae
Hydrocarbons from Carbohydrates
HighLow
Lab / Academia
Industry
Organisations leading the R&D
First Generation PV: Crystalline Silicon
Trough - Solar Only
Trough – Indirect 2-Tank Molten Salt Storage
Second Generation PV: Thin films
Trough – Advanced Direct Storage
Concentrating PV
Power Tower – Direct 2 Tank Molten Salt Storage
Dish Stirling
Third Generation PV: Organic / Plastic, nanostructures
HighLow
Organisations leading the R&DHVAC Industry
Industry
Industry, Academia, DOE
DOE, Academia, Industry
Geothermal Heat Pumps
Direct Thermal Applications
Conventional Hydrothermal Generation
Enhanced Geothermal Systems
Existing Research and Development Commitments• Advanced Fuel Cells • Advanced Motor Fuels • Bioenergy • Buildings and Community Systems
(ECBCS) • Clean Coal Sciences • Demand-Side Management • Emissions Reduction in Combustion • Energy Storage • Energy Technology Systems Analysis
Programme (ETSAP) • Enhanced Oil Recovery
UK UK and Ireland
• Fluidized Bed Conversion • Heat Pumping Technologies • High-Temperature Superconductivity
(HTS) on the Electric Power Sector • Hydrogen• Hydropower • Ocean Energy Systems • Photovoltaic Power Systems • Renewable Energy Technology
Deployment • Solar Heating and Cooling • Wind Energy Systems
Technology Innovation Challenges Remain The Next Generation
• Wind– Improve energy capture by 30%– Decrease costs by 25%
• Biofuels– New feedstocks– Integrated biorefineries
• Solar– Improved performance through, new materials, lower cost manufacturing processes, concentration– Nanostructures
• Zero energy buildings– Building systems integration– Computerized building energy optimization tools
• Advanced vehicles– Plug-in hybrids/electrics– Alternative fuels
• Integrated Building Technologies
• Offshore energy (including wind, tidal, wave)WindGB - 7,000 offshore turbines / £64 billionROI - £4 billion / 5 years
MarineUK - £36m Marine turbine research
£50 m Wave power research
• Bio EnergyADBio fuels
• Energy Storage Current annual £21 billion globally, 55%, £33 billion by 2012
Four areas of development opportunity
Making Transformational Change Requires an integrated approach (NREL)
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