![Page 1: China’s food security challenge and the implications for business](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062407/56649dbf5503460f94ab3783/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
China’s food security challenge and the implications for business
![Page 2: China’s food security challenge and the implications for business](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062407/56649dbf5503460f94ab3783/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
China's urban population will expand from 572 million in 2005 to 926 million in 2025 and hit the one billion mark by 2030;
More than 350 million people will add to its urban population by 2025, more than 240 million will be migrants in China;
Over the next two decades, migration will play a much larger role, accounting for about 70 percent of the new urban residents;
China’s Urbanization
![Page 3: China’s food security challenge and the implications for business](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062407/56649dbf5503460f94ab3783/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Rapid Urbanization
More New Megacities
City Renewal
Enhanced Intercity Connection
Guangzhou Baiyun new town China High Speed Rail Map
![Page 4: China’s food security challenge and the implications for business](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062407/56649dbf5503460f94ab3783/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Growing Middle Class
Year 2010 Year 2020
Disposable income of urban residents
Disposable income of urban residents
Population Annual disposable income of urban residents Population
( Million) ( US$: 000) ( Million)1 Upper class >30 12
13 Lower upper class 15~30 53
34 Middle class 9~15 69
61 Emerging Middle Class 6~9 66
57 Low income class 4~6 39
36 Poorest class <4 23
202 262
Total 109M
Total200M
![Page 5: China’s food security challenge and the implications for business](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062407/56649dbf5503460f94ab3783/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
• The current arable land per capita in China is about 0.08 hectares, which is only about 40 percent of the global average, one-seventh the United States, and a quarter of the Brazil level.
• The level of arable land per capita in 2008 is about half of that in 1961
Availability of Arable Land
Arable Land Comparison (hectares per person)
Source: The World Bank
Country Name 1961 1970 1980 1990 2000 2008
2008 vs. 1961
World 0.34 0.30 0.25 0.22 0.23 0.21 61%
European Union 0.31 0.28 0.25 0.24 0.24 0.22 69%
United States 0.98 0.92 0.83 0.74 0.62 0.60 61%
Brazil 0.30 0.36 0.37 0.34 0.33 0.32 108%
India 0.35 0.29 0.24 0.19 0.16 0.14 40%
China 0.16 0.12 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.08 52%
![Page 6: China’s food security challenge and the implications for business](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062407/56649dbf5503460f94ab3783/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
China Urbani zation
Less rural workforce Arable land shrinkage Environment pollution
Water shortage Soil erosion Climate change
Combined withSelf-sufficient of food is not sustainable
China Urbanizatio
n
China Urbanizatio
n
Wealth creation Dietary upgrade
Wealth creation Dietary upgrade
Increase demand on staple and non-
staple food
Increase demand on staple and non-
staple food
Supply &
Demand Gap
Import/FEX
China’s Food Supply & Demand
![Page 7: China’s food security challenge and the implications for business](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062407/56649dbf5503460f94ab3783/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Thank You!