![Page 1: Daily & seasonal gradients of linear fit (SM=bP+a i.e. result=LINFIT(SM,P)](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022081603/568154b2550346895dc2bb63/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Daily & seasonal gradients of linear fit (SM=bP+a i.e. result=LINFIT(SM,P) Model mean gradients, precip v soil moisture*, CMIP5 models, historical run
(1/1/1990-31/12/2005)
* Known as soil moisture, volumetric soil water layer 1, moisture in upper portion of soil column, moisture in upper 0.1m of soil column, depending on model
![Page 2: Daily & seasonal gradients of linear fit (SM=bP+a i.e. result=LINFIT(SM,P)](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022081603/568154b2550346895dc2bb63/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Colours show model mean gradientsStippling shows where all models agree on sign (+ve or -ve) of gradient
DJF
MAM
JJA
SON
![Page 3: Daily & seasonal gradients of linear fit (SM=bP+a i.e. result=LINFIT(SM,P)](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022081603/568154b2550346895dc2bb63/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Colours show model mean gradientsStippling shows where 5 out of 11 models agree that gradients lie between the upper and lower
confidence intervals (sigma*3) from the GPCP precipitation – ERA SM gradients
DJF
MAM
JJA
SON
![Page 4: Daily & seasonal gradients of linear fit (SM=bP+a i.e. result=LINFIT(SM,P)](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022081603/568154b2550346895dc2bb63/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Colours show model mean gradientsStippling shows where 5 out of 11 models agree that gradients lie between the upper and lower
confidence intervals (sigma*3) from the ERA precipitation – ERA SM gradients
DJF
MAM
JJA
SON
![Page 5: Daily & seasonal gradients of linear fit (SM=bP+a i.e. result=LINFIT(SM,P)](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022081603/568154b2550346895dc2bb63/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Colours show model mean gradientsStipping shows where 8 out of 11 models agree that gradients > 1 mm/day per kg/m2
DJF
JJA SON
MAM