EMSI LEADERSHIP CONFERENCEOctober 2014
NEW SKILLS AT WORK
ABOUT JFF
• Our Mission:JFF works to ensure that all lower-income young people and workers have the skills and credentials needed to succeed in our economy.
• Our Vision: The promise of education and economic mobility in America is achieved for everyone.
• Our Approach: JFF designs and drives the adoption of innovative, scalable approaches and models—solutions that catalyze change in our education and workforce delivery systems.
NEW SKILLS AT WORK OVERVIEW
• JPMC’s landmark five year, $250M global effort to address the mismatch between skills employers need and skills workers possess.
• Supported by five national partners (Aspen Institute, Jobs for the Future, National Academies Foundation, National Fund for Workforce Solutions, Year Up and Youth Build).
• The initiative will:
– Utilize new and existing data sources to identify identify skills most in need for select regions.
– Collaborate with local businesses, elected officials, academics and community leaders to create an economic opportunity pipeline.
– Develop and target training programs to fill identified regional skills gaps.
• Focus on nine JPMC markets: Chicago, Columbus, Dallas, Detroit, Houston, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, and the San Francisco Bay Area.
NEW SKILLS AT WORK OVERVIEW: STRATEGIES AND SOLUTIONS
Phase 1: Networking and Orientation
Phase II: Cutting Edge LMI Analysis and Skills Gap Reports
Phase III: Strategic Assessment and Action Planning
Phase IV: Pathway Design and Implementation
NEW SKILLS AT WORK OVERVIEW: ABOUT THE SKILLS GAP REPORTS
• Provide information about how the skills gap impact certain discrete sectors of the economy (e.g. IT, health care) in each market.
• Adopts the definition of the skills gap as a mismatch between skills jobseekers possess and the skills an employer needs.
• Targets the growing skills gap for middle skill occupations – those that require more than a high school degree but less than a four-year degree.
• Serve as regional blueprints to mobilize action and leverage synergies among the following actors to close the skills gap:
– Employers
– Community Based Organizations
– Economic developers
– Education system (high school educators, leaders, and community college leaders)
– Funders
– Political and community leaders
– Workforce system (WIB, training providers)
6
METHODOLOGY TO IDENTIFY MIDDLE SKILL JOBS
EMSI criteria for “middle skill” occupations:
1. Percentage of its workforce that possesses a high school diploma and less than a four year degree.
2. 25% or more of the workforce must surpass the living wage for families with two adults and one child.
3. Must surpass a minimum growth rate over the past three years.
4. Occupations with limited annual openings are filtered out.
CURRENT EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
Educational attainment for workers 25 years and older by detailed occupation, 2010-11
2012 National Employment Matrix title and code
Less than high
school diploma
High school diploma or equivalent
Some college,
no degree
Associate's degree
Bachelor's degree
Master's degree
Doctoral or professional
degree
29-1141 Registered nurses 0% 1% 5% 38% 46% 8% 2%
29-1151 Nurse anesthetists 0% 1% 5% 4% 15% 64% 12%
29-1161 Nurse midwives 0% 0% 1% 2% 6% 78% 13%
29-1171 Nurse practitioners 0% 0% 1% 2% 6% 78% 13%
29-1181 Audiologists 0% 2% 0% 0% 8% 35% 55%
29-1199 Health diagnosing and treating practitioners, all other 1% 3% 7% 3% 13% 46% 29%
29-2011 Medical and clinical laboratory technologists 1% 11% 19% 17% 44% 6% 3%
29-2012 Medical and clinical laboratory technicians 1% 11% 19% 17% 44% 6% 3%
29-2021 Dental hygienists 0% 3% 6% 55% 32% 2% 2%
29-2031 Cardiovascular technologists and technicians 1% 9% 22% 46% 20% 2% 1%
29-2032 Diagnostic medical sonographers 1% 9% 22% 46% 20% 2% 1%
29-2033 Nuclear medicine technologists 1% 9% 22% 46% 20% 2% 1%
29-2034 Radiologic technologists 1% 9% 22% 46% 20% 2% 1%
0%1%
5%
38%
46%
8%
2%
Less than high school diploma High school diploma or equivalent Some college, no degreeAssociate's degree Bachelor's degree Master's degreeDoctoral or professional degree
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT:REGISTERED NURSES
FUTURE EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT
Title HSL (%) PSC (%) SC(%) A(%) BA+(%) Total
Dental assistants 35.5% 55.9% 3.0% 5.6% 0.0% 100%
Dental hygienists 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 77.0% 23.0% 100%
Dental laboratory technicians 65.4% 17.6% 3.1% 14.0% 0.0% 100%
Dentists, all other specialists 0.0% 0.0% 4.5% 0.0% 95.5% 100%
Dentists, general 7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 7.2% 85.2% 100%
Derrick operators, oil and gas 91.5% 4.9% 0.0% 3.6% 0.0% 100%
Designers, all other 0.0% 9.5% 2.1% 13.8% 74.7% 100%
Desktop publishers 51.7% 16.8% 26.7% 0.0% 4.8% 100%
Detectives and criminal investigators 45.5% 10.7% 15.9% 21.3% 6.6% 100%
Diagnostic medical sonographers 0.0% 23.4% 1.2% 42.2% 33.2% 100%
Dietetic technicians 69.6% 4.4% 0.0% 10.1% 15.9% 100%
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT:DENTAL ASSISTANTS
36%
56%
3%6%
High School Diploma or Less Post Secondary Certificate Some CollegeAssociate's Degree Bachelor's Degree or more
LIVING WAGE (HOURLY)
Chicago Columbus Dallas Detroit Houston Los Angeles Miami New York San Francisco $-
$5.00
$10.00
$15.00
$20.00
$25.00
MINIMUM GROWTH RATE
Chicago Columbus Dallas Detroit Houston Los Angeles Miami New York San Francisco0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
ANNUAL OPENINGS
< 10 JOBS
DID WE MISS ANY JOBS?
Did we miss any jobs in the Computer and Information
Technology fields?
CASE STUDY: NEW YORK CITY

• As of 2013, there were 4.27 million people working in New York City.
• Of the 4.27 million, 3.39 million people were employed by the private sector.
• 566,000 were employed by the government.
• 316,000 were self-employed.
NYC ECONOMY OVERVIEW
Source: NYC Tech Ecosystem
NYC ECONOMY OVERVIEW
While hard hit by the 2008 recession, New York City’s jobs are now growing.
NYC ECONOMY OVERVIEW
Despite economic growth, some New Yorkers continue to face high unemployment.
Brooklyn Bronx Manhattan Queens Staten Island0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
9.4%
11.8%
7.2%7.8% 7.8%
Labor Force & Unemployment Rate by Borough, 2013
In th
ousa
nds
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Source: Fiscal Policy Institute
Whites non-Hispanic
Blacks Non Hispanic
Hispanics Asians and Others
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
5.5%
13.5%
10.8%
5.0%
Unemployment Rate by Race & Ethnicity, 2013
NYC ECONOMY OVERVIEW
A significant number of New Yorkers are at a disadvantage.
20
HIGH DEMAND INDUSTRIES
Research identifies six target industry sectors that are primary economic drivers for NYC.
Source: EMSI QCEW, Non-QCEW & Self Employed, 2014.2
Category 2013 Jobs 2013-2018 % Change% Middle-Skill Target
Occupations
Healthcare 423,321 14% 37%
Financial and Insurance Services 321,670 1% 33%
Education 273,019 8% 22%
Multimedia Entertainment 109,197 8% 51%
Computer and Information Services 65,993 15% 52%
Corporate Headquarters 64,385 8% 42%
HIGH DEMAND OCCUPATIONS IN HEALTHCARE
Healthcare sector has a wide range of middle skill occupations
Registered Nurses
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
Medical Assistants
Dental Assistants
Pharmacy Technicians
Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics
Radiologic Technologists
Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists
Dental Hygienists
Medical Records and Health Information Technicians
0 40,000 80,000 120,000 160,000 200,000
162,766
37,597
29,232
18,416
17,042
15,170
11,671
10,754
9,688
7,608
Top Ten Middle Skill Healthcare Occupations, NYC2013
HIGH DEMAND OCCUPATIONS IN HEALTHCARE
Many middle skill occupations in health care are in high demand and pay family sustaining wages
Radiation Therapists
Nuclear Medicine Technologists
Magnetic Resonance Imaging Technologists
Dental Hygienists
Registered Nurses
Respiratory Therapists
Diagnostic Medical Sonographers
Occupational Therapy Assistants
Radiologic Technologists
Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists
$0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00
$52.10
$42.22
$39.96
$39.90
$38.59
$35.14
$33.44
$33.42
$32.86
$32.41
Top Ten Middle Skill Health Care Jobs by Median Hourly Earnings, 2013
HIGH DEMAND OCCUPATIONS IN THE “TECH” SECTOR
The Tech industry is projected to grow and pay family sustaining wages.
Description 2013 Jobs Median Hourly Earnings
2013-'18 Average Annual
OpeningsComputer Systems Analysts 35,708 $43.45 1,307Information Security Analysts 5,294 $56.84 241Computer Programmers 25,400 $40.43 905Software Developers, Systems Software 19,964 $50.55 725Web Developers 10,378 $34.93 398Database Administrators 8,465 $43.54 273Network and Computer Systems Administrators 23,630 $41.84 633
Computer Network Architects 8,689 $53.17 256Computer User Support Specialists 38,502 $26.31 1,284Computer Network Support Specialists 10,357 $34.37 253
HIGH DEMAND OCCUPATINS IN THE “TECH” SECTOR
Jobseekers can find Tech Occupation opportunities across multiple industry sectors.
Computer Systems Analysts
Information Security Analysts
Computer Programmers
Software Developers, Systems Software
Web Developers
Database Administrators
Network and Computer Systems Administrators
Computer Network Architects
Computer User Support Specialists
Computer Network Support Specialists
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Healthcare
Financial and In-surance Services
Education
Multimedia Enter-tainment
Computer and In-formation Services
Corporate Headquarters
25
EDUCATIONAL GAPS FOR SELECT HEALTHCARE & IT OCCUPATIONS
Registered Nurses
Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses
Computer User Support Specialists
Computer Systems Analysts
Medical Assistants
Medical and Health Services Managers
Pharmacy Technicians
Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics
Computer Programmers
Dental Assistants
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500
225
226
260
274
298
388
421
458
738
1,337
Gap Supply Demand
KEY FINDINGS
1. Both Healthcare and technology offer significant middle skill opportunities
2. These sectors have explicit career ladders to middle skill jobs that pay a family-sustaining wage
3. Jobseekers can find technology occupation opportunities across multiple industry sectors
4. Skill requirements for various healthcare occupation groupings are changing
5. Conflicting research findings about required credentials for middle skill tech occupation
BUILDING A CAREER PATHWAY APPROACH TO EDUCATION AND TRAINING PROGRAMS
SAMPLE HEALTH DESK PATHWAY
Technology and healthcare offer clear career pathways to middle skill jobs.
SAMPLE HEALTH INFORMATION PATHWAY
Technology and healthcare offer clear career pathways to middle skill jobs.
RECOMMENDATIONS
• Expand a sector-focused workforce development system.
• Create additional career pathways aligned with labor demand in healthcare and technology.
• Develop funding strategies that can sustain and scale a system of career pathways and expand the sector-focused approach to workforce development.
• Implement policies that incentivize a systemic approach to sector-focused career pathway development.
• Ensure New Yorkers are aware of the middle-skill job opportunities in healthcare and technology.
TEL 617.728.4446 FAX 617.728.4857 [email protected]
88 Broad Street, 8th Floor, Boston, MA 02110
122 C Street, NW, Suite 650, Washington, DC 20001
WWW.JFF.ORG
MYRIAM SULLIVAN, SENIOR PROJECT MANAGER
TEL 208-883-3500 FAX 208-882-3317
409 South Jackson Street
Moscow, ID 83843
http://www.economicmodeling.com/