Download - Mainstreet Prairie Riding Polls

Mainstreet surveyed a random sample of 639 Regina Lewvan residents, 651 Saint Boniface - Saint Vital residents & 658 Saskatoon West residents by Smart IVR on September 21, 2015. Mainstreet surveyed a

mixture of landlines and cell phones. Regina Lewvan margin of error: +/- 3.85%; Saint Boniface - Saint Vital margin of error: +/- 3.83%, Saskatoon West margin of error: +/- 3.83%, 19 times out of

20. Results were weighed by age & gender based on the 2011 Canadian Census.

REGINA LEWVAN, SAINT BONIFACE & SASKATOON WEST

September 25, 2015 (Toronto, ON) A new set of Mainstreet/Postmedia riding polls finds the Conservatives leading in Regina Lewvan, the Liberals ahead in Saint Boniface-Saint Vital & the NDP out front in Saskatoon West. The Mainstreet Postmedia Polls have a margin of error of 3.83%-3.85%, 19 times out of 20.

REGINA LEWVANIn Regina, we see a lead by the Conservative candidate with 34% a 6 point lead over the NDP. This race may yet tighten up with more than 3 weeks to go, but right now, it looks like Trent Fraser may have enough to win - 80% of his supporters say they wont switch, said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research.

SAINT BONIFACE - SAINT VITALIn Saint Boniface, the Liberals have a lead with 33% and 37% among decided and leaning voters. This looks to be a chance for Liberal candidate Vandal to add to the Liberal seat count in Manitoba. We are expecting a dicult climate for the Conservatives in the province particularly in the city of Winnipeg.

SASKATOON WESTSaskatoon West will be one of those rare three way races that we don't often see in federal or provincial elections in Canada. Although the NDPs Benson leads over Conservative Randy Donaur by 6%, the third place Liberals are not far o with 22%. It's still anybody's to win, with three weeks to go, this will be a fun finish to watch though Benson is favoured, finished Maggi.

ABOUT MAINSTREETMainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.

Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election.

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Available for phone interview: Quito Maggi, President - [email protected]

"Exclusive Mainstreet/Postmedia polls are protected by copyright. The information and/or data may only be rebroadcast or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to Mainstreet/Postmedia.

A2

Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today?

A3

Fraser Weir Browne UndecidedFriesen

ReginaLewvan

TRENT FRASER (CPC)ERIN WEIR (NDP)LOUIS BROWNE (LPC)TAMELA FRIESEN (GPC)UNDECIDED

Certain35%29%29%4%15%

Likely29%28%18%2%

22%

Unlikely38%9%3%4%47%

Might23%28%10%0%39%

TRENT FRASER (CPC)ERIN WEIR (NDP)LOUIS BROWNE (LPC)TAMELA FRIESEN (GPC)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE

18-3429%32%24%2%13%97

35-4938%27%16%3%17%137

50-6432%28%12%5%

22%175

65+40%26%13%5%16%230

Female34%29%13%5%19%385

Male34%28%21%3%15%254

All Voters Decided & Leaning

34%

17%

28%

4% 17%

40% 1%234%

5%

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election?

And, which party are you leaning toward voting for?

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ReginaLewvan

STRONG SUPPORTERMIGHT CHANGE MINDDONT KNOW

CPC80%17%3%

NDP59%29%12%

LPC54%30%17%

Fraser Weir Browne UndecidedFriesen

10%

9%

11%

2%

68%


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Catellier Selby Vandal UndecidedZaretski

Saint BonifaceSaint Vital


28%

21%

33%

4% 14%

33%

25%

37%

5%

FRANCOIS CATELLIER (CPC)ERIN SELBY (NDP)DAN VANDAL (LPC)GLENN ZARETSKI (GPC)UNDECIDED

Certain28%23%34%3%12%

Likely25%14%38%3%

20%

Unlikely28%5%10%33%24%

Might13%14%23%0%

50%

FRANCOIS CATELLIER (CPC)ERIN SELBY (NDP)DAN VANDAL (LPC)GLENN ZARETSKI (GPC)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE

18-3429%17%36%4%13%89

35-4925%24%29%5%18%175

50-6428%23%34%3%12%225

65+34%22%32%3%10%162

Female23%23%37%3%13%390

Male33%19%28%5%15%261



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Saint BonifaceSaint Vital


CPC81%17%2%

NDP48%48%4%

LPC53%39%8%

19%

12%

5%

4%

60%

Catellier Selby Vandal UndecidedZaretski


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RANDY DONAUER (CPC)SHERI BENSON (NDP)LISA ABBOTT (LPC)GLENDON TOEWS (GPC)UNDECIDEDSAMPLE

18-3417%38%21%14%10%86

35-4926%27%31%3%13%123

50-6434%22%16%8%

20%208

65+26%27%19%6%22%241

Female26%31%22%7%14%335

Male25%32%22%9%12%323

RANDY DONAUER (CPC)SHERI BENSON (NDP)LISA ABBOTT (LPC)GLENDON TOEWS (GPC)UNDECIDED

Certain26%31%23%8%13%

Likely29%39%18%2%13%

Unlikely15%42%13%10%20%

Might30%32%23%0%15%

Saskatoon West

Donauer Benson Abbott UndecidedToews


26%

32%

22%

8% 13%

31%

36%

25%

9%




A8

Saskatoon West

Donauer Benson Abbott UndecidedToews

23%

11%

13%

2%

51%

CPC81%17%2%

NDP48%48%4%

LPC53%39%8%

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Federal election?CertainLikelyMight

Unlikely

Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today? Trent Fraser of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper

Erin Weir of the NDP led by Tom MulcairLouis Browne of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau

Tamela Friesen of the Green Party led Elizabeth MayUndecided

And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]Trent Fraser of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper

Erin Weir of the NDP led by Tom MulcairLouis Browne of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau

Tamela Friesen of the Green Party led Elizabeth MayUndecided

Do you consider yourself to be a strong supporter of this party, or is there a chance you will change your mind before the next election? [DECIDED ONLY]

Strong supporterMight change your mind

Dont know

REGINA LEWVAN SCRIPT

A9


Unlikely

Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today? Francois Catellier of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper

Erin Selby of the NDP led by Tom MulcairDan Vandal of the Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauGlenn Zaretski of the Green Party led Elizabeth May

Undecided

And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]Francois Catellier of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper

Erin Selby of the NDP led by Tom MulcairDan Vandal of the Liberal Party led by Justin TrudeauGlenn Zaretski of the Green Party led Elizabeth May

Undecided



Dont know

SAINT BONIFACE-SAINT VITAL SCRIPT

A10


Unlikely

Who would you vote for if a federal election were held today? Randy Donauer of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper Sheri Benson of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair Lisa Abbott of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau Glendon Toews of the Green Party led Elizabeth May

Undecided

And, which party are you leaning toward voting for? [UD ONLY]Randy Donauer of the Conservative Party led by Stephen Harper

Sheri Benson of the NDP led by Tom Mulcair Lisa Abbott of the Liberal Party led by Justin Trudeau Glendon Toews of the Green Party led Elizabeth May

Undecided



Dont know

SASKATOON WEST SCRIPT

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2015 Mainstreet Research. All rights reserved

Mainstreet is a national public research firm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aairs.

Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta (2015), a majority Liberal government in British Columbia, and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Most recently, Mainstreet was the most accurate pollster of Novembers Toronto mayoral election.

Download - Mainstreet Prairie Riding Polls

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