MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – Global COVID-19 Tracker – Aug 21
by Tom Lake
Table 1. COVID-19 Data Table
Country Confirmed
Cases
New Cases
Last 24hrs Recovered Deceased
Tests Carried Out, Date in ()
Mortality Rate (per 100 recorded
cases)
Rate of Increase in cases (5-day
average)
Global 22,688,934 262,012 14,551,126 793,698 N/A 3.5 1.12%
Australia 24,407 171 18,458 472 5,508,831 (20/8) 1.9 0.97%
Brazil 3,501,975 45,323 2,844,318 112,304 13,748,152 (20/8) 3.2 1.12%
Canada 125,625 217 111,811 9,097 4,974,215 (20/8) 7.2 0.27%
China 89,567 40 83,663 4,709 N/A 5.3 0.07%
France 256,534 0 84,214 30,434 3,510,897 (21/7) 11.9 0.46%
Germany 231,323 1,586 205,933 9,263 10,197,366 (18/8) 4.0 0.55%
India 2,905,825 68,900 2,158,946 54,849 33,467,237 (20/8) 1.9 2.36%
Italy 256,118 840 204,686 35,418 7,790,396 (20/8) 13.8 0.22%
Japan 60,210 1,172 45,110 1,157 1,573,677 (19/8) 1.9 1.80%
Russia 939,833 4,767 759,639 16,058 33,814,105 (20/8) 1.7 0.52%
South Korea 16,670 324 14,120 309 1,716,078 (21/8) 1.9 1.73%
Spain 377,906 7,039 N/A 28,813 7,472,031 (13/8) 7.6 1.65%
Sweden 85,810 399 N/A 5,805 973,523 (18/8) 6.8 0.30%
United Kingdom 324,203 1,182 N/A 41,403 15,177,265 (20/8) 12.8 0.31%
United States 5,575,386 44,023 1,947,035 174,255 69,580,676 (20/8) 3.1 0.80%
Source: JHU, State.au, Government of Canada, Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Ministeiro de Sanidad, COVID
Tracking Project, Public Health Agency of Sweden, Robert Koch Institute, Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor, and Welfare,
Department for Health and Social Services, Ministerio da Saude, Sante Publique France, Federal Service for Surveillance on
Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing, Indian Council of Medical Research, MNI. As of 1045BST August 21. Test
numbers for China, and recovery numbers for UK, Spain and Sweden not available. PCR and Rapid tests for Brazil and Spain.
Completed test numbers for UK and South Korea rather than completed and distributed.
Chart 1. COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities, Nominal and % Chg Day-to-Day (5dma)
Source: JHU, MNI. As of 0600BST August 21. N.b. Each dot represents a single day’s figures, data for past month
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
1.8%
2.0%
-
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
21-Jul 26-Jul 31-Jul 05-Aug 10-Aug 15-Aug 20-Aug
Global
Total Cases (LHS) Total Fatalities (LHS)
Cases, D-t-D %, (RHS) Fatalities, D-t-D %, (RHS)
Chart Pack 1 – Short-Term COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities, Nominal and % Chg Day-to-
Day (5dma) The chart pack below records the number of COVID-19 cases and fatalities
resulting from COVID-19 recorded in key economies over the past month in each respective
country. The charts also display the rate of increase in recorded cases and fatalities in each
country. Legend below can be used for all national charts.
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
Australia
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
Brazil
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
0.7%
0.8%
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
Canada
0.00%
0.05%
0.10%
0.15%
0.20%
0.25%
0.30%
0.35%
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
China
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
France
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
0.7%
0.8%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
Germany
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
India
0.00%
0.05%
0.10%
0.15%
0.20%
0.25%
0.30%
0.35%
0.40%
0.45%
0.50%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
Italy
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
Japan
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
Russia
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
South Korea
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
Spain
Source: JHU, MNI. N.b. Global legend applies to all charts. All data correct as of 0600BST August 21, and represents full-day
data submissions, rather than intra-day figures. Each dot indicates the data from a single day.
Chart Pack 2 – Long-Term COVID-19 Cases and Fatalities, Nominal and % Chg Day-to-
Day (5dma) The chart pack below records the number of COVID-19 cases and fatalities
resulting from COVID-19 recorded in key economies since the start of the outbreak in each
respective country. The charts also display the rate of increase in recorded cases and
fatalities in each country. Legend below can be used for all national charts.
0.00%
0.05%
0.10%
0.15%
0.20%
0.25%
0.30%
0.35%
0.40%
0.45%
0.50%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
UK
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.6%
1.8%
2.0%
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
21-Jul 28-Jul 04-Aug 11-Aug 18-Aug
US
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000Australia
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
4,000,000
24-Mar 24-Apr 24-May 24-Jun 24-Jul
Brazil
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000Canada
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
23-Jan 23-Mar 23-May 23-Jul
China
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000 France
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
23-Feb 23-Apr 23-Jun
Germany
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
02-Apr 02-May 02-Jun 02-Jul 02-Aug
India
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
27-Feb 27-Apr 27-Jun
Italy
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000 Japan
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000 Russia
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20-Feb 20-Apr 20-Jun 20-Aug
South Korea
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000 Spain
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000 Sweden
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000UK
Source: JHU, MNI. N.b Global leg end applies to all charts. All data correct as of 0600BST August 21, and represents full-day
data submissions, rather than intra-day figures. Each dot indicates the data from a single day.
Chart 2. Map of World – Countries with 10 Highest Number Of New Cases
Source: JHU, MNI, D-Maps. Data for August 20. States with highest cases (in order): India, Brazil, US, Colombia,
Peru, Argentina, Spain, Mexico, Russia, Philippines.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
US
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
-
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000 Global
Chart 3. Map of World – Countries with 10 Highest Number of New Cases Per Head of
Country’s Population
Source: JHU, MNI, D-Maps. Data for August 20. States with highest cases (in order): Peru, Maldives, Colombia,
Brazil, Bahrain, Bahamas, Israel, Argentina, Spain, Kuwait.
Chart 4. Map of World – Countries with 10 Highest Number of Total Recorded Cases
Per 100 Head of State’s Population
Source: JHU, MNI, D-Maps. Data for August 20. States with highest cases (in order): Qatar, Bahrain, San
Marino, Chile, Panama, Kuwait, Peru, United States, Brazil, Oman.