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The Role of Human Capital Investment in

Sustainable Economic Development

Patrick Sherry, Ph.D.

Director, National Center for Intermodal Transportation

University of Denver

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Overview

Effects of Human Capital Investment

Anticipated Economic Activity

Identification of Needed Areas for Human Capital Development

Leadership

Workforce

Practical Considerations for Implementation

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Four Pillars of Activities

Technology (Including ITS and Global Navigation Satellite Systems)

The development and implementation of selected integrated technologies is important to the successful management and operation of intermodal transportation.

Supply Chain Management (Focused on Transportation)

Seamless interconnectivity of different modes of transportation. Efficient management of the supply chain involved in regional freight and shipping movement is critical to seamless interconnectivity.

 Sustainability (Including Energy and the Environment)

The identification of opportunities for the development and promotion of fuel efficient transport policies and practices is particularly important in the APEC region.

Human Capacity Development

Human capacity skills are important to the effective movement of intermodal transportation. The ability of the work force to develop, manage, and safely implement existing and emerging technologies is essential to the ongoing facilitation of trade in the APEC region.

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Asian Economic Downturn

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US International Container Traffic

5Source: RITA

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Circa 2008-2009

Developing cooperative alliances

Working with customers

Investing in Technology

Investing in equipment and infrastructure

Investing in employees

Hiring additional employees

What Are US Railroads Doing to Increase Productivity & Profit?

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Railroad PerformanceClass I Railroads

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

64 68 72 76 80 84 88 92 96 00 04

Index 1981 = 100

Source: Railroad Facts, AAR (Based on a design by R. Gallamore)

Productivity

Volume

Revenue

Price

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Railroad Capital ExpendituresClass I Railroads – and so far 2008 looks to be a paradigm shift!

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

$12

80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08

Billions

Source: Railroad Facts, AAR

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U.S. Railroad Intermodal Traffic(millions)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08

U.S. Railroad TOFC/COFC Units

Source: Association of American Railroads’ Weekly Railroad Traffic

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U.S. Railroad Intermodal TrafficTrailers vs. Containers (millions)

0

1

2

3

4

5

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88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08

U.S. Railroad TOFC Units U.S. Railroad COFC Units

Source: Association of American Railroads’ Railroad Facts

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0 10 20 30 40

2035p

2002

Future Demand for Freight Transportation Will Continue to Grow

p – U.S. DOT projection

Billions of Tons of Freight Transported in the U.S.

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Projected % Growth in Trains Per Day From 2005 to 2035 by Primary Rail

Corridor

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-$2

$0

$2

$4

$6

$8

$10

$12

'80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08

Source: Association of American Railroads

Net Income

Capital Spending

Class I Railroad Capital Spending vs. Net Income

(Current Dollars)

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25% tax credit for projects that expand rail capacity

Expense other infrastructure capital expenditures

Leverage private investment

Need tax CREDITS for HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENT

Tax Incentives to Leverage Capacity Expansion

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150,000

152,000

154,000

156,000

158,000

160,000

162,000

164,000

166,000

168,000

170,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Total Class I Employment: Jan. 2001-Nov. 2008

US Rail Employment is Up for the First Time in Decades

Source: Surface Transportation Board

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Railroad Employee ProductivityClass I Railroads, Ton-Miles Per Freight Service Employee

0

2

4

6

8

10

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80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06

Source: Railroad Facts, AAR

Millions

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The Role of Training

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Investment in Human Capital Related to Increased Productivity

Increased Percent Time in Training

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Source: Kim & Bloom (2003)

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The mean proportion of workers being trained in an industry is about 10%.

If industry managed to increase the proportion of workers from the mean to 15% this would be associated with a 4% increase in productivity and a 1.5% increase in wages.

Note that it took the UK economy 13 years to generate an increase in the proportion workers trained on this scale (from 9% in 1984 to 14% in 1996).

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Effects of Education on Productivity

Becker 1964, Mincer 1974 looked at the impact of education on earnings or estimated private rate of returns ().

A survey of growth accounting studies covering 29 developing countries found estimates of education’s contribution to economic growth ranging from less than 1 percent in Mexico to as high as 23 percent in Ghana (Psacharopoulos, 1984).

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Education is also an important contributor to technological capability and technical change in industry. Statistical analysis of the clothing and engineering industries showed that the skill and education levels of workers and entrepreneurs were positively related to the rate of technical change of the firm (Deraniyagala, 1995).

http://www.geocities.com/ceteris_paribus_tr2/i_ozturk.htm

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Lucas (1998), found that the higher the level of education of the work force the higher the overall productivity of capital because the more educated are more likely to innovate, and thus affect everyone’s productivity.

Increased education of individuals raises not only their own productivity but also that of others with whom they interact, so that total productivity increases as the average level of education rises (Perotti, 1993).

The impact of education on the nature and growth of exports, which, in turn, affect the aggregate growth rate, is another way in which human development influences macro performance.

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One of the emerging requirements for a successful economic development program is a workforce delivery system that works for local, emerging, and new businesses in the community.

Survey after survey notes businesses need a skilled workforce to be competitive. Traditionally economic developers have not had to deal with the workforce delivery system and that system tends to be complicated by regulations, vendor influence, and perceptions that it only deals with those least capable of holding a job.

International Economic Development Council

http://www.iedconline.org/?p=Training_Workforce#agenda

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World Bank: Knowledge Economy Index

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Bloom et al 2006

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In a study of more than 3,100 U.S. workplaces, the National Center on the Educational Quality of the Workforce (EQW) found that on average, a 10 percent increase in workforce education level led to an 8.6 percent gain in total productivity. But a 10 percent increase in the value of equipment increased productivity just 3.4 percent.

Another study by ASTD showed that “leading-edge” companies trained 86 percent of employees while “average” companies trained only 74 percent. Leading edge companies also spent twice as much per employee. Companies that invest the most in workplace learning, the study showed, yielded higher net sales per employee, higher gross profits per employee, and a higher ratio in market-to-book values.

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Difficulty in finding workers with key skills

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An Expanded Role for APEC

To increase and sustain economic development there needs to be continued investment in education and training of workforce

APEC can take the lead by providing training and development actiiities for key leaders throughout the region

In addition to providing skills training APEC should seek to enhance the leadership and developmental sklls of key industry represntaitinves

Focus should be aon giding and shaping the values and praoctices fo businesses from the top as well as supporting skills development at all levels

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Business Week’s 50 Most Innovative Companies

1 1 APPLE  2 2 GOOGLE  3 3 TOYOTA MOTOR  4 5 MICROSOFT  5 7 NINTENDO  6 12 IBM  7 15 HEWLETT-PACKARD  8 13 RESEARCH IN MOTION  9 10 NOKIA  10 23 WAL-MART STORES  11 11 AMAZON.COM  12 8 PROCTER & GAMBLE  13 6 TATA GROUP  14 9 SONY  15 19 RELIANCE INDUSTRIES  16 26 SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS  17 4 GENERAL ELECTRIC  18 NR VOLKSWAGEN  19 30 MCDONALDS  20 14 BMW  21 17 WALT DISNEY  22 16 HONDA MOTOR  23 27 AT&T  24 NR COCA-COLA  25 47 VODAFONE  26 NR INFOSYS  27 NR LG ELECTRONICS  28 NR TELEFÓNICA  29 31 DAIMLER  30 34 VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS  31 NR FORD MOTOR  32 35 CISCO SYSTEMS  33 48 INTEL  34 28 VIRGIN GROUP  35 NR ARCELORMITTAL  36 40 HSBC HOLDINGS  37 42 EXXONMOBIL  38 NR NESTLÉ  39 NR IBERDROLA  40 25 FACEBOOK  41 22 3M  42 NR BANCO SANTANDER  43 45 NIKE  44 NR JOHNSON & JOHNSON  45 49 SOUTHWEST AIRLINES  46 NR LENOVO  47 NR JPMORGAN CHASE  48 NR FIAT  49 24 TARGET  50 NR ROYAL DUTCH SHELL 

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Innovative Transportation Companies

2009 20081 1 APPLE 2 2 GOOGLE 3 3 TOYOTA MOTOR 4 5 MICROSOFT 5 7 NINTENDO 6 12 IBM 7 15 HEWLETT-PACKARD 8 13 RESEARCH IN MOTION 9 10 NOKIA 10 23 WAL-MART STORES 18 NR VOLKSWAGEN 20 14 BMW 22 16 HONDA MOTOR 29 31 DAIMLER 31 NR FORD MOTOR 34 28 VIRGIN GROUP 45 49 SOUTHWEST AIRLINES 48 NR FIAT http://images.businessweek.com/ss/09/04/0409_most_innovative_cos/index.htm

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Procter & Gamble

Gets 400,000 applications for entry-level management positions each year.

It will hire less than one half of 1% of them,

"We actually recruit for values," says Chief Operating Officer Robert McDonald.

"If you are not inspired to improve lives, this isn't the company you want to work for."

The careful vetting, training, and career development pay off. P&G boasts 23 brands with at least $1 billion in annual sales and is the market leader in everything from detergent to diapers to razors.

bringing in and promoting creative thinkers.

Interviewers look for what they call a candidate's "power," including leadership ability and empathy.

Innovation skills and values are measured in an online assessment. "Our managers are skilled at probing for the right fit," says William Reina, director for global talent. "The people they identify score well on the assessment."

every department has its own "university." The general manager's college, holds a week-long school term once a year when there are a handful of newly promoted managers

There are nearly 50 courses—helps managers with technical writing or financial analysis.

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Development of Human Capital

Begins with the leadership

Having a vision

Recognizing that technology levels the playing fields

Recognize that new technology will take time to develop

Recognize that we need to improve our ability to identify new techs

Recognize that we need to implement new techology

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Leadership Competencies

Vision

CommunicationSkills

Execution

Values

Problem Solving

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How do you develop Innovative and Productive

Leadership?

Our Team at the

National Center for Intermodal Transportation has

Twenty Five years of experience developing leaders

University of Denver Pioneer Leadership Program

Center for Creative Leadership Consultants

Academics – USC, Harvard, Georgia Tech

Businesses -

Trainers

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371-E-4 Intermodal Training Model

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Technical Assistance

Provided by our extensive industry contacts and ITI board members

Lindsay E. Fox

Fox Group

Australia

Peter KellerExec Vice President

NYK Lines

North America

Clifford J. Hardt

Fmr. VP

Strategic Planning

FEDEX

Tom Hardin

President,

Hub Group

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Construct a Competency

Model

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The Key Competencies for Success

BUSINESS

PERFORMANCE

STRATEGIC LEADERSHIP

PEOPLE & CULTURE

RESULTS DRIVEN

EXPERTISE

BUSINESS ACUMEN

CREATIVE THINKING

CUSTOMER

SERVICE

LEADSHIP

RELATIONSH

IPS

VALUES

1. Demonstrates

drive and hunger

2. Consistently delivers superior business results.

3. Spends time and

energy on the most important priorities.

4. Perseveres in

delivering what is promised, even when obstacles arise.

5. Demonstrates

functional/technical expertise.

6. Leverages

expertise to get things done in the business.

7. Talks in EMI

language vs. the language of a function or profession.

8. Knows the

music business. 9. Knows how to

get things done. 10. Understand

competitors and how to compete effectively against them.

11. Exercises good

business judgement – balances risks and rewards.

12. Demonstrates

creativity; is a source of new ideas and approaches.

13. Encourages

innovation and calculated risk taking.

14. Always keeps the

consumer in mind when solving problems.

15. Anticipates

future consumer trends.

16. Knows what the

competition is doing with consumers.

17. Communicates an

exciting vision of the future for our business.

18. Selects and

promotes the best people for the organisation.

19. Inspires and

motivates people and teams to greater levels of performances and commitment.

20. Recognises

people for good performance more often than criticises them for performance problems.

21. Provides feedback

that is even-handed and fair.

22. Works

constructively with people to correct performance

24. Behaves in a

way that builds trust with others..

25. Is open and

candid with people rather than vague or indirect.

26. Confronts

conflict situations win an honest and direct manner.

27. Collaborates

effectively with others; is a good team player.

28. Encourages

people to collaborate with other EMI business units.

29. Develops

networks across EMI.

30. Is a role model

who champions the EMI values.

31. Demonstrates

high personal standards

32. Communicates

infectious enthusiasm for music and EMI.

33. Places the needs

of the business ahead of personal agendas.

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Identify Gaps in Skill, Knowledge & Capacity

Evaluate BENCH STRENGTH

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SUMMARY OF RESULTSUsing Competency Model

Competency Limited Solid StrongWorld Class

Courage / Initiative X

Drive for Results X

Partnering (One company focus)

X

Building Organizational Capability

X

Strategic Leadership X

Thinking Skills X

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THINKING SKILLS

Critical Thinking Skills

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BOGOR

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Working With TOP Leadership Teams

APEC Leadership SHOULD take the LEAD with

Both PUBLIC and PRIVATE SECTOR

Identify key COMPETENCIES needed

Identify key areas for development

Create opportunities to discuss and promote INNOVATIVE thinking and development

Ensure that EXECUTIVES are thinking about how to develop their workforce

Encourage incentives to promote HUMAN CAPTIAL INVESTMENT

FACILITATE evaluation and growth of executive Capability & Bench Strength

Examine key areas for growth

Promote the thinking and investment needed to advance and develop the workforce

Work with Teams to create Strategic Vision

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Workforce Development Activities

Identification of Skills Needed

Identification of Available Training

Programs

Identification of

Gaps

Development of Skills

Courses

Intermodal Skills

Insufficient Training Available

““Needed Intermodal Skills”Needed Intermodal Skills”““Intermodal Managers”Intermodal Managers”““Refrigeration Handlers”Refrigeration Handlers”

Provide COACHING and MENTORING

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Priority Skill Areas

FOUNDATIONAL KNOWLEDGE:Government Regulations & PoliciesAvailable Transport TechnologyGlobal Business EnvironmentGeneral Business EnvironmentLabor RelationsVarious Transportation ModesHow Modes InterfaceUnderstanding of Legal Issues

INTERPERSONAL SKILLS: General Managerial Skills Customer Service Skills Communications Skills Listening Skills Sales Skills Coalition Building Skills Teambuilding Skills Conflict Management & Negotiation Leadership Skills

ANALYTICAL SKILLS: Environ Impact Analysis Economic & Financial Analysis Policy Analysis Strategic Planning Forecasting Skills Futures Analysis Systems Analysis Ethical Analysis

TECHNICAL SKILLS: Computer Applications Technology Management Modeling Skills Logistics & Supply Chain Processes Data Gathering, Analysis &

Manipulation Marketing Skills Transportation Experience

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Success Stories

Cohort 1999-2000

José Antonio Pérez Antón was promoted to Chief Executive Officer of Grupo ADO.

 

Cohort 1

Shannon Brown, Senior VP and Chief Human Resources Officer FedEx.

Michael Byrne, CEO, Linfox Australia, Pty Limited.

Bruce Denny, Asst VP, Terminal Operations, with Pacer Stacktrain.

Barbara Gilliland, Principal at Parametrix Consulting in Denver.

Adam Rodery, Director, Operational Process Improvement with Excel.

Chris Schuleit ,Vice President of the Enterprise Business Development with Hub Group.

 

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Cohort 2

Michael Brothers, Vice President, Intermodal Operations, at JB Hunt Transport Services, Inc.,

David Leech, Vice President of US Operations, Southern Region of FedEx Express.

Adam J. Lemarr, Manager of Intermodal Hub Operations within Norfolk Southern.

James Price, Vice President Rail Operations, Hampton Roads Transit, Norfolk, Virginia.

 

Cohort 3

Grantley Martelly, Regional General Manager, Utah Transit Authority.

Tim E. Naylor, Manager of Service Delivery, Utah Transit Authority.

Than Seeds, Vice President of Operations, Americas with APL.

Ben Sullivan, Country Manager of Linfox, India.

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Challenges

Economic activity increasing

Shortage of skills in developing economies Intelligent Transportation

Intermodal Transportation

Employment outlook good Shortages of key talent identified

Opportunity to shape the future

Develop self-sustaining training efforts

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Local Case Study

Visit to JIT

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Executive Level Management

Bob Sleeker Exec Vice President of Intermodal Omnitrax Experience -- CSX Operates Terminals for the Major Class I railroads

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2. Executive Management of Intermodal Transportation Operations

Module Objectives:Common organizational

structuresLeadership and

motivation conceptsBest practices in major IM

transportation Teamwork and

productivity theoriesCoaching and

development strategiesImproving collaboration,

cooperation, and partnership

Developed by: Professor Patrick Sherry University of Denver

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Proposed Workforce Development Activities Strategy

Identification of Skills

Identification of Available Training

Programs

Identification of Gaps

Between Skills Needed & Training

Programs

Development of Supplemental

Training Programs

Development of Train the Trainer

Programs

Scan of Workforce Skills

Shortages

External Funding of Training Programs

Create a Roadmap for Workforce Development

Intelligent Transportation Skills Needed?Transportation Security Skills Needed?


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