Transcript
Page 1: Oil and gas fiscal regimes around the world

Module 2Oil and gas fiscal regimes around the world

Prepared by David Péloquin

Background materials forUN workshop on oil and gas in IraqDead Sea Marriott Resort, Jordan

April 4-6, 2006

Page 2: Oil and gas fiscal regimes around the world

Key challenge for (public) owners of oil & gas:

• Rents from oil & gas invite “rent-seeking behaviour”…… and the greater the rents, the more intense the behaviour

• Public ownership alone is NO guarantee of ability to maximize public benefits from oil & gas revenues

• Key challenge is how to minimize revenue leakages:– to corruption / other private benefits from use of public funds– to private / foreign oil & gas firms (e.g. above-normal profits)– to private end users of oil & gas (e.g. excessive fuel subsidies)

How to maximize public benefits

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Page 3: Oil and gas fiscal regimes around the world

The problem of uncertainty

Significant uncertainty surrounds the value of oil & gas wealth

• In most cases, (public) owners cannot readily assess the magnitude of potential revenues from oil & gas

• Governments have typically limited technical expertise:– limited geological and other expertise relating to exploration– limited access to advanced extraction technologies required to

increase recovery and prolong life of maturing deposits• Resulting “asymmetry of information” regarding likelihood

of finding new deposits, their extent and production lives

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Page 4: Oil and gas fiscal regimes around the world

The problem of uncertainty

As a result, joint public-private involvement is usually desirable

• Private sector brings technical expertise (including cutting-edge technologies) and can also be: – significant sources of capital (to fund oil & gas development)– a source of expertise for local capacity-building (in private sector

and even for governmental activities)– a force for increased transparency in government management

of the oil & gas sector (and in governance generally)

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Page 5: Oil and gas fiscal regimes around the world

Risk-sharing under oil & gas fiscal regimes

Need to strike right balance in public / private risk and rewards

• A wide variety of mechanisms is used in different countries to generate oil & gas revenues– e.g. various types of taxes, royalties, production sharing, equity

stakes, sales of rights to explore, develop and produce, etc.• Used in different combinations, these mechanisms result in

different patterns of public and private risk and reward…… and different incentives for investments in oil & gas

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Page 6: Oil and gas fiscal regimes around the world

(Non-exhaustive) list of mechanismsfor generating revenues from oil & gas

General taxes (including “excess profits taxes”) Limited ability to effectively target rents (though high risk of unilateral revision may impede private involvement)ex post public

Sale / auction of rights (at front-end) Especially if auctioned, maximizes capture of ex ante rents and may reduce other leakages through relatively high transparencyex ante private

Royalties / production sharing (pre-“payout”) Low public share required to secure private involvement (and risk of further leakages to private sector if “pay-out” poorly defined)ex ante private

Price-sensitive royalties / production shares Reduced risk (especially pre-payout) may prompt private involvementPublic revenues maximized when prices are highex post public

Service contracts for exploration / development High risk limits private involvement (and resulting gross revenues) and relatively low transparency may facilitate leakagesex post private

Oil & gas-specific (e.g. export / environmental) taxes Close substitutes for value-based royalties (pre- and post-payout), but higher risk of unilateral revision may impede private involvementex ante private

Royalties / production sharing (post-“payout”) Public revenues maximized by relatively high post-payout shares– but only if projects are profitableex post public

State / SOC equity stakes (e.g. joint ventures)Depends on size of public share (and corresponding leakages

through private share), but relatively high transparency limits other leakages

ex post shared

Profits from state or state oil company (SOC)production

Over-reliance on SOCs may limit access to capital and production / revenue-maximizing technology. Net revenues also depend on

extent of leakages resulting from relatively low transparencyex post public

Risk-sharing under oil & gas fiscal regimes

Need to strike right balance in public / private risk and rewards

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Main risk

bearer

Ex ante or ex post rents

targeted?

Implications for overall ability to generate net public revenues from oil & gas

Page 7: Oil and gas fiscal regimes around the world

Combinations of fiscal mechanisms work best

But: Need the right “mix” to maximize public benefits

• Higher net revenues likely to result from:– predictable fiscal/regulatory regimes (minimal case-by-case

negotiation of terms, low risk of unilateral changes ex post facto)– substantial sharing of risk by governments (with resulting increase

in private exploration and subsequent production)– high degree of transparency (with fewer resulting opportunities for

corruption / other leakages to public sector agents)…… with especially significant benefits from open auctions with

multiple bidders when rules are known in advance

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Page 8: Oil and gas fiscal regimes around the world

Combinations of fiscal mechanisms work best

Illustration of “front-end” bids and “back-end” royalties / taxes

Start of production End of production

Risingproduction costs

Production costs

Auction of exploration /

development / production

rights(front-end loaded)

Gross revenue generated

Royalties /tax es /

production sharing

(back-end loaded)

Exploration and development costs

$

“Pay-out”

Volatile prices

“Normal” return to firms

“Excess” profits

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Page 9: Oil and gas fiscal regimes around the world

Legend

dominant contribution major contribution minor contribution to revenues

+ + + =+ + =

+ =

General taxes (including “excess profits taxes”)

Sale / auction of rights (at front-end)

Royalties / production sharing (pre-“payout”)

Price / production-sensitive royalties / production shares

Service contracts for exploration / development

Oil & gas-specific taxes

Royalties / production sharing (post-“payout”)

State / SOC equity stakes (e.g. joint ventures)

Profits from state / SOC oil & gas production

Combinations of fiscal mechanisms work best

A wide variety of common practices around the world

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