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Progress on the Strategic Plan Goal
Progress since 2012-13
for Fall 13 & Fall 14 new students
Which student educational goal groups are making progress – and why?
Presentation to PRBC
December 9, 2015
Carolyn Arnold Coordinator, Institutional Research
Chabot College
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Chabot Strategic Plan Goal
n Increase the number of students who achieve their educational goal in a reasonable time (outcomes) à Institutional Research measures that number
n …by clarifying pathways and providing more information and support (methods) àCollege initiatives provide methods to increase that number
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So……..
Have we increased that number?
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It’s Not One Number! Why we created distinct student groups
n Allow for different educational goals, speed, and starting places
n Target initiatives/services to different groups
n See which groups are reached by initiatives
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Created 10 educational goal groups for new students
Groups based on
Their educational goal n Self-reported educational goal
Their speed: n Number of units they are taking (FT/PT)
Their starting place: n Assessment in English (College or Basic Skills)
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Creating educational goal groups
n Laser (FT) College n Laser (FT) Basic Skills n Laser (FT) Not Assessed n Seeker (PT) College n Seeker (PT) Basic Skills n Seeker (PT) Not Assessed n Explorer n Career-builder FT n Career-builder PT n Skills-builder
Student Ed Goal Groups English Assessment Units Ed Goal
College Basic Skills Not Assessed College Basic Skills Not Assessed
Full-time
Part-time
6+ units
Transfer or
Degree (GE)
Undecided Certificate or Job training Cert/Job/Und/Pers Dev/Othr
Full-time Part-time 6-11 units Under 6 units
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10 student ed goal groups: What percentage of each are at Chabot? Are the percentages changing?
n Laser (FT) College n Laser (FT) Basic Skills n Laser (FT) Not Assessed n Seeker (PT) College n Seeker (PT) Basic Skills n Seeker (PT) Not Assessed n Explorer n Career-builder FT n Career-builder PT n Skills-builder
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Chabot Fall 2014 New Students Percentage in each Educational Goal Group
9%
26%
4% 5% 25%
9%
11%
1% 3% 7%
Laser FT College Laser FT BasSkls Laser FT NoAssess Seeker PT College Seeker PT BasSkls Seeker PT NoAssess Explorer Career Builder FT Career Builder PT Skills Builder
(192)
(535)
(103)
(509)
Explorers
Seekers
Lasers
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Chabot Fall 2015 New Students More students are Laser FT College!
14%
20%
3%
8% 20%
9%
8%
2% 3%
13% Laser FT College Laser FT BasSkls Laser FT NoAssess Seeker PT College Seeker PT BasSkls Seeker PT NoAssess Explorer Career Builder FT Career Builder PT Skills Builder
(538)
(211) (510)
Explorers
Lasers
Seekers
(341)
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Chabot Fall 2015 New Students More students are Laser FT College!
(341)
166 192
341
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015
• Laser FT College group is Ed goal group with the highest completion rates • More students in this group
means more will successfully complete
• Strategic plan initiatives encourage more students to attend full-time (Lasers).
• And they are! à à à
Number of Laser College
students
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More new transfer/degree students are attending as Lasers (full-time)!
1,661 1,689 1,926 1,942
1,721 1,562 1,602 1,604
1,892
797 810
988 983 1,077
857 872
800 935
864 879 938 959 644
705 730
804 957
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
Fall 06 Fall 08 Fall 09 Fall 10 Fall 11 Fall 12 Fall 13 Fall 14 Fall 15 (census)
Total with Transfer/degree goal Seekers (part-time) Lasers (full-time)
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Higher percentages of new transfer/degree students are attending as Lasers (full-time)!
61% 57%
64% 67% 71% 71% 71% 73% 72%
29% 28%
33% 34%
44% 39% 39%
36% 36% 32% 30%
31% 33% 26%
32% 32%
37% 36%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Fall 06 Fall 08 Fall 09 Fall 10 Fall 11 Fall 12 Fall 13 Fall 14 Fall 15 (census)
Total with Transfer/degree goal Seekers (part-time) Lasers (full-time)
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Student ed goal groups: Progress towards their goal
Four major groups with transfer/degree goals (Laser FT College, Laser FT Basic Skills, Seeker PT College, & Seeker PT Basic Skills)
à How do we know whether each group is making progress towards their educational goal in a reasonable time? à We compare each group to itself over time
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Milestones towards ed goal for transfer/degree groups (Lasers FT & Seekers PT) n Early Engagement
n Enrolled in Basic Skills n Momentum
n Completed Basic Skills n Enrolled in any Math or College English
n Progress n Completed any Math or College English n Persistence for one year
n Completion n Earned degrees, certificates, transfer ready, transferred
n Will be able to see these next year for our cohorts
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Milestone check points for transfer/degree groups (Lasers FT & Seekers PT)
n By first Fall n By end of first year n By end of second and fourth year
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Milestones for transfer/degree groups (Lasers FT & Seekers PT)
This presentation focuses on:
n Fall 2014 cohort of new students n Percent who met milestones in 1st year n Compared to past cohorts:
* Average of 2010-12 Cohorts (our baseline) • Fall 2013
• Rising percentages à more completions
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Progress : Who and why?
n Which groups made the MOST progress? à Why?
à Which initiatives helped?
n Which groups made the LEAST progress? à Why? à What initiatives or support services are still needed to help these students?
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Milestones: How to interpret
n Percentages enrolling in English courses n Reflect available seats AND… n That group’s access to those seats
n Percentages completing English courses n Reflect available seats and access AND… n That group’s success in those courses n Higher percentages completing College English lead to more earning a degree or transferring
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Milestone by First Year Enrolled* in Basic Skills English *Enrollment percentages reflect availability of classes as well as access
80%
41% 46%
83%
54% 46%
86%
62%
49%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
100%
Full-time Basic Skills Part-time Basic Skills Explorer
Average F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14
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Milestone by First Year Completed Basic Skills English
55%
18% 27%
56%
28% 28%
59%
30% 30%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Full-time Basic Skills Part-time Basic Skills Explorer
Average F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14
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Milestone by First Year Enrolled* in College English *Enrollment percentages reflect availability of classes as well as access
77%
46%
21%
83%
64%
25%
87%
69%
29%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Full-time College Part-time College Explorer
Average F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14
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Milestone by First Year Completed College English
62%
24% 29%
5%
16%
64%
29%
42%
12% 21%
69%
34% 41%
13% 19%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FT College FT Basic Skills PT College PT Basic Skills Explorer
Average F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14
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Milestones: How to interpret
n Enrolling/succeeding in ANY Math course n Whatever their assessed math level, they have
enrolled in math early and completed math early, which will help complete their math sequence early
n Reflects available seats in math classes AND n Each group’s access to those seats AND n That group’s success in any math courses
n Percentages completing College Math n Higher percentages completing College Math lead to more transferring to 4-year colleges n Only 22% assess into and start in College Math.
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Milestone by First Year Enrolled* in Any Math Course *Enrollment percentages reflect availability of classes as well as access
77% 78%
46% 40%
52%
76% 77%
35% 38%
48%
81% 77%
46% 40%
54%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FT College FT Basic Skills PT College PT Basic Skills Explorer
Average F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14
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Milestone by First Year Succeeded in Any Math Course
53%
42%
28%
17%
27%
48% 42%
18% 15%
29%
58%
42%
23% 15%
28%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FT College FT Basic Skills PT College PT Basic Skills Explorer
Average F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14
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Milestone by First Year Completed College Math
37%
13% 9% 2% 6%
33%
16%
3% 3% 8%
34%
18% 8%
3% 7%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FT College FT Basic Skills PT College PT Basic Skills Explorer
Average F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14
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Milestones: How to interpret
n Persistence from first Fall to second Fall
n If Laser/Seeker students are here the following Fall, n they are making progress towards their educational goal.
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Milestone by First Year Persistence from first Fall to second Fall
83% 77%
57% 47%
66%
88%
76%
59% 58% 65%
84% 77%
58% 58% 59%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
FT College FT Basic Skills
PT College PT Basic Skills
Explorer
Baseline: 2010-12 Fall 2013 Fall 2014
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So…….. Did we increase that number?
n First Year English milestones n Basic Skills: YES — continue to rise n College Level: FT: YES! PT: Mixed
n First Year Math Milestones n Laser FT College and FT Basic Skills: YES n All others: Steady or lower
n First Year Persistence n Seeker PT Basic Skills: YES n All others: Steady or lower
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Thoughts? Observations? • Will more Fall 2013 and Fall 2014
Lasers and Seekers reach their educational goal of transfer or degree?
• Yes, based on English completion • Yes, if completion in Math increases • Yes, if persistence increases
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Preview of Fall 15 Cohort First Semester Progress: Enrolled in Basic Skills English
58%
21%
31%
74%
35% 36%
75%
45% 38%
78%
41%
30%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Laser FT Basic Skills Seeker PT Basic Skills Explorer
Baseline: F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14 Fall 15 (census)
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Preview of Fall 15 Cohort First Semester Progress: Enrolled in College English
47%
22%
5%
67%
44%
9%
78%
52%
13%
75%
52%
17%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Laser FT College Seeker PT College Explorer
Baseline: F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14 Fall 15 (census)
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Preview of Fall 15 Cohort First Semester Progress: Enrolled in Any Math Course
56% 56%
26% 21%
36%
54% 54%
12%
22%
32%
67%
56%
26% 21%
34%
65%59%
34%27%
39%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Laser FT College Laser FT Basic Skills Seeker PT College Seeker PT Basic Skills Explorer
Avg F10-12 Fall 13 Fall 14 Fall 15 (census)
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Thoughts? Observations?
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Equity in Milestones by First Year Notice and ponder: n Which race-ethnicity groups are
making the MOST progress on major milestones?
n Which race-ethnicity groups are making the LEAST progress?
n Why?
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Milestone by First Year Laser Full-time Basic Skills Completed Basic Skills English by Ethnicity
56%
43%
66% 63%
55% 57% 56% 53%
67% 68%
49% 41%
59% 54%
69%
55% 59%
48%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Overall African Amer Asian Filipino Latino White
Average F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14
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Milestone by First Year Seeker Part-time Basic Skills Completed Basic Skills English by Ethnicity
18% 12%
28% 27% 17% 20%
28%
16%
31% 35% 30% 32% 30% 26% 35%
42% 32% 34%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Overall African Amer Asian Filipino Latino White
Average F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14
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Did we increase the numbers for all race-ethnicity groups?
n Completing Basic Skills English
n Laser Full-time Basic Skills Students n YES for African Amer, Asian, Latinos n NO - Filipinos and Whites declined
n Seeker Part-time Basic Skills Students n YES – all groups increased
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Milestone by First Year Laser Full-time Basic Skills Completed College English by Ethnicity
24% 20% 31% 26% 23% 22%
29% 20%
47% 36%
23% 22% 34% 29%
47% 43%
27% 38%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Overall African Amer
Asian Filipino Latino White
Average F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14
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Milestone by First Year Laser Full-time College Completed College English by Ethnicity
63%
41%
74% 83%
56% 62% 64%
53%
70% 62% 64% 61%
69% 67% 78%
90%
55%
67%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Overall African Amer Asian Filipino Latino White
Average F10-F12 Fall 13 Fall 14
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Did we increase the numbers for all race-ethnicity groups?
n Completing College English n Laser FT Basic Skills Students
n YES – All groups increased since baseline years
n Laser FT College Students n Most groups increased a little n Highest increase: African Americans n No net increase: Latinos
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Progress : Who and why?
n For the groups that made progress: à Which initiatives or other factors could have helped?
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Thoughts? Observations?
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Student ed goal groups allow us to:
n Get beyond one number. n 10 student groups (4 degree/transfer groups)
n Measure progress along the way. n Progress milestones
n Determine whether groups are making progress compared to past cohorts
n See the effect of initiatives.
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Next steps:
n Follow Fall 15 Cohort n FYE & other Learning Communities
n Mostly Laser FT Basic Skills Students n How are these students progressing?
n Equity projects n More initiatives to study!
n Completions in Fall 13 and 14 cohorts n After 2 or 3 years.