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Resource productivity and future technologies
Miroslav Havránek
EEA - FLIS - COPENHAGEN - 18.-19. 11.2010
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Content
About CUEC Resource productivity Final sink scarcity Future technologies ISIE ConAccount news
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Charles University Environment Center
Charles University in Prague Non-faculty research institute (1992) About 30 people (director prof. Bedrich
Moldan) Focus on environmental and ecological
economy, sustainable development indicators
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Resource productivity metrics
EEA Core set EUROSTAT IEA
Upstream processes omitted Rucksack, Footprinting, Hybrid I-O tables
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Resource productivity in Europe
Source: EUROSTAT
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Energy intensity per product
Source: CZSO
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Increasing efficiency - pitfall
Physical and financial flows are coupled Resource efficiency leads to higher quality of
life and ultimatelly to more resource use = rebound effect is real
Economic growth is driven by consumption (income)
To effectively de-couple and decrease env. burden efficiency must grow faster than GDP
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Final sink
Resource becomes waste
Dematerialisation shifts materials to more dangerous materials
Recycling vs. Final disposal
Air & Soil & Sea
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Technology development
Strong driver of the future Omitted environmental impacts and resource
needs Non-linearities in future scenarios Penetration curve of new technologies Know-how exchange
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Accelerating technologies: race in to unknown?
Improvement of technology vs. Change of basic principles
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Technology outlook of LDV, IEA
Source: IEA 2010
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Technologies example:Demand Side
Energy efficiency in buildings and appliances Heat pumps Solar space and water heating Energy efficiency in transport Electric and plug-in vehicles H2 fuel cell vehicles
CCS industry, H2 and fuel transformation Industrial motor systems
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Technologies example:Suply side
CCS fossil-fuel power generation Nuclear power plants Onshore and offshore wind Biomass IGCC & co-combustion Photovoltaic systems Concentrating solar power Coal: integrated-gasification combined Cycle Coal: ultra-supercritical 2nd generation biofuels
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News
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Thank you for your attention