Driving Future Growth Blackberry Innovation Forum
Dubai
November 16th 2011
Rohit Talwar
CEO - Fast Future Research
www.fastfuture.com
Twitter @fastfuture
Driving Future Growth
Business
Trends
ICT
Horizon
New
Ideas and
Approach
Discussion
What is the single
biggest change in
the outside world,
the marketplace or
technology that has
had the greatest
impact on your
business in the last
five years?
Emerging Trends and
Developments
• Which of the following
business or technology
trends and developments
could create the biggest
opportunities and
challenges for your
business?
• How might they affect
you?
Organisations Need to Work on
3 Horizons in Parallel
1-12 Months
Operational
Excellence
1-3 Years
Drive for
Growth
3-10 Years
Creating
the Future
Growth is not Guaranteed…
…Thinking is Back in Fashion
Transformational Change?
It’s Only Just Begun
The World in 2015
Demographic Destinies 2 billion more people in 40 years –
Demographics is Driving Economics
1998
448 691
729
5231
4157
739
1030
344
585
Source : United Nations 2010 2050
Life Redefined –
Lifespans are Increasing
Under 50’s have 90%
chance of living to 100.
Aubrey de Grey suggests
we could live to 500 or 1000
What are the health,
housing, consumption and
resource implications?
What kind of opportunities
will be created?
BCG’S 2011 Global Challengers
and Emeriti: Origin Countries 33
20
14
8 6
5 4
3 3 2 2
1 1 1 1 1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Source: Boston Consulting Group, January 2011
Service is the ‘Killer App’
Tackling Complexity
• Process
• Organisation
• Information /
Systems
• Regulatory
• Human
Think Like the Customer
e.g. Open Innovation
New Business Thinking
e.g. Ultra-Quick Construction
Auctions
£3088 £8791.50 £81
Access vs. Ownership
Telephony • Voice
• Messaging
• SIM card
• Phonebook
• Ring Tones
• Security
Connectivity • Cellular
• Up to 14 bands
• WLAN/BT
• GPS
• NFC
• FM
Data/
Enterprise • 100Mbps
• IMS
• Browsing
• VPN
• PIM
• Ecommerce
• Payments
Software • Protocols
• Middleware
• Applications
• User Interface
• Minimize fragmentation
Multimedia • Camera 8-16M
• Camcorder
• 24M Color Display
• Memory (160GB)
• Multiformat A/V • HD Video/TV out
• Games
(50-100M Tps)
• DRM
TMT – Convergence and Immersion
What I Want – When I Want
Rising Broadband Penetration
Grid Computing
Cybersecurity
Holographic Devices
Image source: livetradingnews.com
Next Generation Interfaces
AR at Copenhagen Airport
Haptics / Holograms / Interactive Surfaces
Intelligent Interfaces Offer Seamless Human-
Computer Interaction
Immersive Environments
Optical Computing
Quantum Computing
Intelligent Brain-Computer Interface
New Analytics and a New Knowledge Infrastructure
Emerging Trends and
Developments
• Which business or
technology trends and
developments could
create the biggest
opportunities and
challenges for your
business?
• How might they affect
you?
Where are the Opportunities?
Securing the Future
What critical
actions can you
take to future proof
your business?
Lead or Follow?
Focus on Growth Industries
Rising Infrastructure Spending
• CIBC projects up to $35 trillion in public works by 2030 (1)
• Annual spend:
– North America $180Bn
– Europe $205Bn
– Asia $400Bn
– Africa $10Bn
Green Buildings - $600Bn by 2015
Airport Expansion by 2020
China from ~150 to 244
India from ~100 to 150
Opening Up Education
Green Transport Revolution
Extending the Experience
The Slide@T3
Changi Airport - Singapore
Virtual Grocery Shopping –
Tesco South Korea
Tablet Equipped Shopping Carts
3D Printing
$1Tn+
Make Time and Space for Change
Be Sticky and Magnetic
Create Tolerance of Uncertainty
Encourage Experimentation
Broad Scans and Deep Dives
Embrace Networks and
Associations
Conclusions – Playing to Win
• Think Service
• Focus on Growth Markets
• Be Visible
Securing the Future
What critical
actions can you
take to future proof
your business?
About Fast Future
Fast Future • Research, consulting, speaking, leadership
• 5-20 year horizon - focus on ideas, developments,
people, trends and forces shaping the future
• Clients
– Industry Associations – ICCA, ASAE, PCMA, MPI
– Corporates - GE, Nokia, Pepsi, IBM, Intel,
Samsung, GSK, SAP, Orange, O2, E&Y, KPMG,
Amadeus, Sabre, Travelport, Travelex, ING,
Santander, Barclays, Citibank, DeutscheBank
– Governments - Dubai, Finland, Nigeria,
Singapore, UK, US
– Convention Bureaus – Seoul, Sydney, London,
San Francisco, Toronto, Abu Dhabi, Durban,
Athens, Slovenia, Copenhagen
– Convention Centres – Melbourne,
Adelaide, Qatar, QEIICC
– Hotels - Accor Group, Preferred,
– Intercontinental
– Congrex, Kenes
– Aeroports de Paris / Schiphol Group
Hotels 2020: Beyond
Segmentation Objectives
• Identify change drivers and
key success characteristics
for the globally branded hotel
sector over the next decade
• Examine the implications for:
– Hotel strategy
– Brand portfolio
– Business models
– Customer targeting
– Innovation
Rohit Talwar • Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research.
• Award winning speaker on future insights and strategic
innovation – addressing leadership audiences in 40 countries on
5 continents
• Author of Designing Your Future – Published 08/2008
• Profiled by UK’s Independent Newspaper as one of the Top 10
Global Future Thinkers
• Led futures research, scenario planning and strategic
consultancy projects for clients in telecommunications,
technology, pharmaceuticals, banking, travel and tourism,
environment, food and government sectors
• Clients include 3M, BBC, BT, BAe, Bayer, Chloride, DTC De
Beers, DHL, EADS, Electrolux, E&Y, GE, Hoover, Hyundai, IBM,
ING, Intel, KPMG, M&S, Nakheel, Nokia, Nomura, Novartis,
OECD, Orange, Panasonic, Pfizer, PwC, Samsung, Shell,
Siemens, Symbian, Yell , numerous international associations
and governments agencies in the US, UK, Finland, Dubai,
Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Singapore.
• To receive Fast Future’s newsletters please email
• 50 key trends
• 100 emerging trends
• 10 major patterns of change
• Key challenges and choices for
leaders
• Strategic decision making
framework
• Scenarios for 2012
• Key futures tools and techniques
• Published August 2008
• Price £49.95 / €54.95/ $69.95
• Email invoice request to
Designing Your Future Key Trends, Challenges and Choices Facing
Association and Nonprofit Leaders
Our Services Bespoke research; Identification &
Analysis of Future Trends, Drivers &
Shocks
Accelerated Scenario
Planning, Timelining &
Future Mapping
Identification of
Opportunities for
Innovation and Strategic
Investment Strategy Creation &
Development of
Implementation
Roadmaps
Design & Facilitation of
Innovation, Incubation
& Venturing
Programmes
Expert Consultations &
Futures Think Tanks
Personal Futuring for
Leaders and Leadership
Teams
Public Speaking, In-
Company Briefings,
Seminars and
Workshops
Example Projects • Public and private client research e.g. :
– Convention 2020 – the Future of Business Events
– Future Convention Cities Initiative – Maximising Long-term Economic Impact of Events
– One Step Beyond – Future trends and challenges for the events industry
– Hotels 2020: Beyond Segmentation – Future Hotel Strategies
– The Future of Travel and Tourism in the Middle East – a Vision to 2020
– Future of Travel and Tourism Investment in Saudi Arabia
– Aviation and Airports e.g. Aviation 2030
– Scenario Projects – Migration 2030, Future of Narcotics, Chemical Sector, Family 2030
– Scenarios for the global economy for 2030 and the implications for migration
– Designing Your Future (Published August 2008) – book written for the American Society
of Association Executives & The Center for Association Leadership
– Global Economies – e.g. The Future of China – the Path to 2020
– The Shape of Jobs to Come – Emerging Science and Technology Sectors and Careers
– Winning in India and China
• Strategic advice to industry players
• Confidential advisory and coaching services to CEOs and top teams
• Public speaking at public conferences and in-company events
• Future thinking workshops and retreats
Example Clients
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