Sci-tech-human power complex- Reshaping the
world
National Institute of Management Karachi (19th MCMC]
|Ghulam Murtaza Khuhro
07/04/2015|
Sci-tech and human power complex
Human civilization has entered into its third and hitherto highest phase.
Human being is going to live in a much different world i.e. better world by 2025-2030
First Phase
From the very beginning till advent of Industrial Revolution
When principle power of human being was his ‘Muscle Power’. Stronger the person, the more useful he was for hunting, for agriculture, for any manufacturing, for transport, for personal protection and for war etc.
I call this muscle power: an ‘Animal Power’.
Second Phase
Commenced with Industrial Revolution; when animate power of human being was augmented by many thousand and million times more powerful inanimate power of machines.
Steam Engine followed by Electricity and then internal combustion engine formed the epicenter of that power.
Second Phase (Contd.)
Second Phase is subdivided into four distinct phases.
1770s’ -1880s’
1890s’ – 1940s’
1950s’ -1980s’
1990s’ -2003-04
2005 Onwards
1770s’-1880s’1770s’-1880s’ Steam Engines (1776)
Steamships (Crossed English Channel-1822)
Iron and Steel
Railways (1825-29)
Telegraph (1844), Transatlantic Cable
(1858)
Telephone
( Source- Global Shift- Peter Dicken 6th Edition (Kondratiev cycle)
and Technology-A World history- Daniel R.Headrick – OUP )
1890s’ – 1940s’ Electricity
Electrical Engineering-Machinery
Internal Combustion Engine-(karl benz)
Automobile (Ford)
Aircraft( Wright Brothers)
Tractor-Thrasher
Heavy Engineering/armaments
Steel Ships
Camera/Video Camera
Television
Heavy Chemicals- PETROCHEMICALS
( Source- Global Shift- Peter Dicken 6th Edition
(Kondratiev cycle) and Technology-A World history- Daniel
R.Headrick – OUP )
1950s’ -1980s’1950s’ -1980s’ Early computer with vacuum tube
Containerized ocean shipping
Transistor
Radio
Computer –univac-ibm 701
Wide bodied Jet
Arpanet (1968)
Integrated Circuit/Microchip
Personal Computer-Spread Sheet
Dish Antenna, Fax-Machine, Pager
( Source- Global Shift- Peter Dicken 6th Edition (Kondratiev cycle) and
Technology-A World history- Daniel R.Headrick – OUP )
1990s’-2003-041990s’-2003-04 Computers (Notebooks, Laptop, Printers,
Webcams)
Internet
Software (Programming Languages)
Search Engines (Yahoo-1994, Google-
1998)
Mobile Phone
Optical Fibers
ICT
Robotics
• ( Source- Global Shift- Peter Dicken 6th Edition
(Kondratiev cycle) and Technology-A World history- Daniel R.Headrick
– OUP )
Globalization Of KRID
World started changing fast. Accessibility of information and knowledge increased
Knowledge, Research, Innovation And Development (KRID) crossed the borders.
Outsourcing and offshoring picked up. Outsourcing mainly involved software,
accountancy, medical transcripts, call centers and components of products.
This was the period when developing countries started on new trajectory of
development and developed countries felt the impact of it.
Developing countries started using raw material to manufacture finished products.
2005 -Onwards2005 -Onwards
3D Printing
Mooc
Nano-technology
Artificial Intelligence
Drones
• ( Source- Global Shift- Peter Dicken 6th Edition (Kondratiev cycle) and
Technology-A World history- Daniel R.Headrick – OUP )
Dsl
WIFI, Wimax
Social media. (Facebook,
Twitter, Linkedin,
Whatsapp, Viber, Skype,
etc)
Tablet Computers (Ipad
etc)
Smart Gadgets(Smart
T.V, Smart Phones)
3G and 4G LTE Internet
Cloud Computing
Sensors
VR Devices
Phone UsagePhone Usage
Internet UsageInternet Usage
Sci-tech-human power complex
After 2000 and particularly since mid of the 1st decade of 21st century;
human civilization successfully entered into its new and highest phase.
We are already living into a hyper-connected world and going to live in
virtual world
Sci-tech-human power complex-II
Change in business paradigm of MNC’s/TNC’S
Sci-tech-human power complex-III
Sci-tech has elevated itself from its previous role of ‘enabler’ to its
new additional role of ‘determinant’.
Sci-tech has already started determining the direction of your choices
and policies.
Sci-tech-human power complex-IV
Now Sci-tech is empowering human being and human being in return is expanding its
horizon and deepening it further. They are co-evolving and complementing each
other. Besides, human mind has emerged as a new economic factor.
Sci-tech And Human Power (Brain Power) is merging together to become a single
objective force.
And, this force is re-shaping the world economy, politics, culture and policies.
This is an objective phenomenon, hence is unstoppable.
Sci-tech-human power complex-V
If around 100 Tech Savvy persons can usher in industrial revolution; what thousands of corporations and millions of individuals equipped with scientific knowledge and tools of technology could do?
In a decade or so, you will find billions of marginalized people joining mainstream of tangible and intangible production process. Imagine then what will happen .
Just imagine what would happen when there would be 50 Billion connected devices by 2020 (Source: @BofA_News and World Economic Forum) and there would be Internet Of Everything.
Sci-tech-human power complex-VI
A new horizon of empowerment of Human Mind has started to emerge.
Smart Phones, Ubiquitous Internet and new sources of power including Solar to energize new gadgets.
Accessibility to all is the new phrase.
Sci-tech-human power complex-VII
Marginalized countries and people will no more remain peripheral
and poor; and the gap between developed and developing countries
will increasingly get narrower.
Hence, the future of people all around the world is being and shall be
determined by the “sci-tech - human power complex”
Think about the following two slides, Rise of Rwanda, Ethiopia,
Vietnam and above all China.
FROM 13 May, 2000 to Dec 3rd 2011 to….
From 13 may,2000 to march 2013
Role of China Modern China is also direct product of KRID and Sci-Tech-Human
Power Complex.
China by now is ranked #1 economy of the world in purchasing power parity terms.
China has around four trillion dollars of foreign currency and is desperate to invest it abroad.
Creation of BRICS Bank with 50 billion USD, launching of AIIB with 100 billion USD , and one Belt and one Road project with 170 billion USD are new initiatives of China to turn around the economies of developing countries.
So, Sci-Tech-Human Power Complex on one hand and China on the other hand are bound to gear up the exponential growth and development.
I assure you, you are going to live in a totally different world by 2025-2030 and signs of such revolution will be clearer even by 2020.
THANKYOU