South Africa’s Climate Change
Near-term Priority Flagship Programmes
Human Settlements Round Table On For Innovation And Transformative
Technologies
The Canvas Riversands – Fourways
29 May 2019
South Africa’s 3rd
National Communication• 1931-2015: South Africa has warmed by 2°C/
century or even higher for some parts of the
country since 1931
• 2016-2035: Warming is projected to range
between 0.5 to 1°C at most locations
• 2040-2060: The western to central interior
regions are projected to warm by 2 - 3 °C
• 2080-2099: Temperature increases of more
than 4°C are likely over the entire interior
3
A Sobering Reality for South Africa
• The Climate Change Flagship Programmes of the National Climate Change Response Policy are South Africa’s response to implementing climate action at a national scale
• The Climate Change Flagship programmes are implementation programmes, and represent the leading climate action committed to or already underway
• The programmes provide a coordination and consolidating mechanism the implementation of projects or groups of projects to national-scale implementation
Transitioning to a Low carbon and
Climate Resilient Economy and Society
To champion implementation of climate action beyond pilot initiatives
Accelerated implementation of high impact, large-scale catalytic climate action
Climate Change Flagship Programmes Goals
• South Africa has a well-developed base to effect climate change mitigation and adaptation
• The Climate Change Flagship Programmes respond to the three key challenges facing
South Africa and other countries as global efforts to address climate change intensify:
Demonstrating the course of actions needed to respond to climate change
Attracting resources at the scale required to enable meaningful transformation
Igniting national-scale action at the speed required to respond to climate change
Climate Change Flagship Programmes and
South Africa’s Climate Change Response
South Africa’s NDC
National GCF Country Programme
CLIMATE CHANGE
FLAGSHIP PROGRAMMES
South Africa’s GCF Country
Programme and Investment
Framework
South Africa’s Portfolio of
Nationally Appropriate
Mitigation Actions (NAMAs)
South Africa’s Nationally
Determined Contribution
South Africa’s NAMA Portfolio
Climate Change Flagship Programmes
Milestones
Operationalisation of the National Climate Change Response Policy
Deepening Impact of Climate Change Flagship Programmes
Expanding Existing Climate Flagship Programmes
Building New Climate Change Flagship Programmes
Catalysing Economy-wide Investment and Articulating the Investment Case for Large-Scale Climate Action
2011 2013 2015 2017
Phases 2 and 3 Phase 4Phase 1
2019
Scaling-up Pathways for Climate Change
Flagship Programmes
Continued implementation of existing successful policies and measures
Policy alignment and integration intervention
Consolidation of existing climate-relevant
programmes
Improving the operational effiiciency and impact of exisitng policies and measures
Scaled up rollout of existing successful
policies and measures
Demonstration scale programmes to full-scale
measures
Determining the requirements for
upscaling and development of scaling
plans
Packaging of measures into investment grade
programmes
Implementation of proven “no regrets" policies and
measures in the immediate and near term
Pilot scale to demonstration and full-scale implementation
Defining and assessing scalability of existing and
new measures
Building programmes by grouping, harmonising and
related measures
Climate Change Flagship Programmes to 2030
Agriculture, Food Systems and Food Security
Energy Efficiency and Energy Demand
Management
Carbon Capture and Storage
Land, Oceans, Biodiversity and Ecosystems
Low Carbon, Climate Resilient Built
Environment, Communities and Human Settlements
Low Carbon, Climate Resilient Transport
Systems
Renewable Energy Waste Management Water Conservation and
Water Demand Management
Deepening the Impact of Existing Flagship
Programmes
• Energy Efficiency in Public Infrastructure and Buildings
• Diversion Of Municipal Solid Waste From Landfill
• Tsamaya Sustainable Urban Transport NAMA
• Rainwater Harvesting Strategy Development
Expanding Existing Flagship Programmes
• Small-scale Embedded Energy Generation:
• Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies:
• Wastewater Biogas Generation For Electricity
Building New Flagship Programmes
• Green Utilities Management for Building Sector Buildings
• Smart Homes Campaign –Residential Green Buildings:
• Development of a Green Rating tool for Existing Residential Buildings
• Agriculture, Food Systems and Food Security
Climate Change Flagship Programmes to
2030
Beneficiaries of Climate Change Flagship
Programmes Pipeline Development
Sector Role in Programme Implementation
• National,
provincial and
local government
• Coordinate programme development
• Anchor supply chains and stimulate demand at scale
• Incentivise the supply of required services to meet demand for
low carbon/climate resilience
• Private sector
• Civil society
• Partner in programme conceptualization and implementation
• Beneficiaries as providers of relevant services
• Anchor supply chains and stimulate demand at scale
Enable Lead
South Africa’s NDC Programming through
Climate Change Flagship Programmes
Identify and Document Opportunity
Accelerate Readiness (prefeasibility level
readiness)
Demonstrate scale (market size, climate
impact)
Attract Investment for Implemenation
Deliver and Operationalise Programme
Implementation
Achieve Scale (Continuous Delivery of
Relevant Projects)
Institutionalise Programme Development and Implementation Readiness
Achieve Transformation towards a Low Carbon Resilient Economy and Society
Low
High
Full Investment
Proposal &
Business Plan
Prefeasibility
Report
Concept Note
Full Feasibility Report
Scoping Report
3
4
5
6
1 Commissioning and Full-scale Deployment
2Refining & Detailing
Implementation/ Delivery
Models
Assessing viable project
ideas for preferred
options
Project Criteria: Flagship
Programme Fit & Climate
change Impact
Market
Refine optional operation scenario
Select preferred options
Define project potential
Generate project ideas
Imp
lem
enta
tio
n R
ead
ines
s
Climate Change Flagship Programmes: Pipeline
and Investment/ Implementation Readiness
6 Y
ears
+
The SMARTHOME Campaign
• Market factors, competitive landscape, regulations and best practice were explored.
• Identified the perceived barriers and drivers of a rating tool in the South African
market and how the former can be mitigated and the latter developed.
• 4 target audiences identified and the communication is structured to foreground the
unique benefit in terms of living in the certified SMARTHOME for each.
Emerging Urban Renter (22-34)
Emerging Aspirant Home Buyers (29-40 Years)
Existing Home Owner (34+)
Pioneering Estate Agent & Principals (24 - 34)
The SMARTHOME Campaign Positioning
1 Do not talk or focus on “green” conscience.
2 Make benefits tangible & functional.[‘Save your pocket &
save the planet.’]
3 Simplify edge understanding focusing on water & energy
consumption & measurability
4 Emphasise relationship between individual behaviour
change + technology
5 Focus communication in digital & social media realms,
and enable 3rd party advocacy through experiences.
6 Concept of ‘smart’ - resonates with target group as a
technology that has function and emotional benefits.
Climate Change Implementation Partners
Reitumetse Molotsoane
Department of Environmental Affairs
Directorate: Climate Change Mitigation Response Analysis