![Page 1: The Federal R&D Budget: Overview and Outlook Matt Hourihan February 5, 2014 for the Society of Research Administrators International AAAS R&D Budget and](https://reader035.vdocuments.net/reader035/viewer/2022062803/56649ca35503460f9496311b/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
The Federal R&D Budget: Overview and Outlook
Matt HourihanFebruary 5, 2014for the Society of Research Administrators International
AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Programhttp://www.aaas.org/spp/rd
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0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
DefenseDiscretionary
NondefenseDiscretionary
Mandatory
Net Interest
Federal Spending as a Percent of GDP, 1962 - 2018
Source: Budget of the U.S. Government FY 2014.© 2013 AAAS
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0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
Federal R&D in the Budget and the EconomyOutlays as share of total, 1962 - 2014
R&D as a Shareof the FederalBudget (LeftScale)
R&D as a Shareof GDP (RightScale)
Source: Budget of the United States Government, FY 2014. FY 2013 data do not reflect sequestration. FY 2014 is the President's request.© 2013 AAAS
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*Keep in mind… Department of Defense development activities have
declined more than everything else
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-16.0%
-13.4%
-14.8%
8.5%
-20.3%
-20.9%
18.9%
18.3%
-30% -10% 10% 30%
Defense Activities
Health (NIH)
Space*
General Science (NSF, DOE SC)
Agriculture
Environment Agencies
Commerce (NIST)
Applied Energy Programs
R&D Change by Budget Function, 2004-2013Percent change from FY 2004 in constant dollars, post-sequestration
* To avoid comparability challenges, "Space" refers to total NASA budget authority rather than R&D spending. It does not include Aeronautics, which is in the "Transportation" function, not shown.Source: AAAS analysis of historical data and current R&D data, agency budget justifications and other budget documents. Select DHS programs were categorized in Defense and General Science in prior years; the above data have been adjusted for comparability.© 2013 AAAS
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Recent R&D Budget History R&D down by 8.4 percent between FY10 and FY12
August 2011: Budget Control Act AAAS estimated ~$50 billion R&D cuts in first 5
years
January 2013: American Taxpayer Relief Act
FY 2013: Sequester cuts nearly $10 billion more
Summer 2013: Appropriators operate under two different spending baselines
December 2013 budget deal: 50% sequester rollback for FY14
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Department of Defense
DOD R&D cut, but not to S&T programs Basic research at all-time high Nanotechnology, materials
science
DARPA: small from FY12 Medical research BIG increase
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NIH Continuing stagnation
Most institutes about halfway between sequester and FY12
Largest increases: National Institute on Aging, NCATS Translational medicine,
Alzheimer’s research, BRAIN Initiative, National Children’s Study
Success rates down to 16.8 percent in FY13
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Department of Energy Generally good news Science: much closer to Senate
mark Advanced Computing and
Fusion (especially domestic research)
Energy Frontier Research Centers at $100 million
Clean energy programs (EERE, ARPA-E) avoid the guillotine
NNSA R&D also picked up significant funding
DOE R&D at all-time high
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NASA Positive outcomes for Science,
Exploration Planetary Science avoids
deeper cuts; Europa Mission? Largest increase for Webb
Telescope
Skepticism toward asteroid mission
Clear commitment to next-generation flights systems, also commercial spaceflight
Aeronautics, Space Tech flat
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National Science Foundation Lower number than other
agencies, about even with FY12 Appropriator support for ocean
research, cybersecurity, advanced manufacturing R&D, neuroscience
Social Sciences research restrictions lifted
Large Synoptic Survey Telescope to commence construction
Likely to fall short of COMPETES Act doubling target
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USDA Another good outcome Intramural R&D: Request
matched Minus poultry research center
Extramural R&D: closer to Dems than GOP Big boost for AFRI
Forest Service dodges cuts Farm Bill establishes ag
research foundation
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Other notes Environmental agencies (EPA, USGS) come up short
DHS got (mostly) what it wanted
NIST not looking bad
Patient outcomes research (via Obamacare) not funded
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TOTAL
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GDP
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Looking ahead… President’s budget to be released March 4, for now
Priorities: manufacturing, clean energy, climate, IT and computing, biological innovation, neuroscience, STEM Ed
Discretionary spending limit in FY 2015 has already been agreed And will increase hardly at all 25% of sequester reductions rolled back
Big-picture fiscal challenges remain largely unchanged
Beyond FY 2015: back to sequester levels
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Current Politics: The “Pong” Model?
Cut spending!
Raise revenues!
The science and innovation budget
Obviously, a very facile oversimplification…!
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For more info…
202-326-6607
www.aaas.org/spp/rd/