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The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report
Jonathan LynnRabat Media Workshop4 May 2015
Photo © A. Eitzinger (CIAT)
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• ç
© John Kudelka
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The role of the IPCC is …
“… to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the
scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the
scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and
options for adaptation and mitigation.”
Principles Governing IPCC Work, paragraph 2
Source: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf
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The role of the IPCC is …
“… to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the
scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the
scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and
options for adaptation and mitigation.”
Principles Governing IPCC Work, paragraph 2
Source: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf
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The role of the IPCC is …
“… to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the
scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the
scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and
options for adaptation and mitigation.”
Principles Governing IPCC Work, paragraph 2
Source: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf
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The role of the IPCC (continued)
“IPCC reports should be neutral with respect to policy, although they
may need to deal objectively with scientific, technical and socio-
economic factors relevant to the application of particular policies.”
Principles Governing IPCC Work, paragraph 2
Source: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf
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The role of the IPCC (continued)
“IPCC reports should be neutral with respect to policy, although they
may need to deal objectively with scientific, technical and socio-
economic factors relevant to the application of particular policies.”
Principles Governing IPCC Work, paragraph 2
Source: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ipcc-principles/ipcc-principles.pdf
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What are IPCC reports used for?
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What are IPCC reports used for?
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IPCC structure
• UN supported
• Intergovernmental (195 members)
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AR5 Synthesis Report
What are the risks?What are the risks?
What can be done?What can be done?
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IPCC structure
• UN supported
• Intergovernmental (195 members)
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IPCC reports
Five assessment reports (1990, 1995, 2001, 2007, 2013-14)
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IPCC reports
Five assessment reports (1990, 1995, 2001, 2007, 2013-14)
1992 supplementary report and 1994 special report
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IPCC reports
Five assessment reports (1990, 1995, 2001, 2007, 2013-14)
1992 supplementary report and 1994 special report
Nine special reports (1997, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011, 2012)
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IPCC reports
Five assessment reports (1990, 1995, 2001, 2007, 2013-14)
1992 supplementary report and 1994 special report
Nine special reports (1997, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011, 2012)
Guidelines for national GHG inventories, good practice
guidance (1995, 2006, 2013)
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IPCC reports
Five assessment reports (1990, 1995, 2001, 2007, 2013-14)
1992 supplementary report and 1994 special report
Nine special reports (1997, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2011, 2012)
Guidelines for national GHG inventories, good practice
guidance (1995, 2006, 2013)
Six technical papers (1996-2008)
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The first four assessment reports
• FAR (1990) – led to UNFCCC
• SAR (1995) – input for Kyoto Protocol
• TAR (2001) – focused attention on impacts of climate change and need for
adaptation
• AR4 (2007) – input for decision on 2ºC limit; basis for post Kyoto Protocol
agreement
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2007
AR5 Synthesis Report
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2007
AR5 Synthesis Report
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and Albert Arnold (Al) Gore Jr. were awarded the Nobel Peace Prize"for their efforts to build up and disseminate greater knowledge about man-made climate change, and to lay the foundations for the measures that are needed to counteract such change".
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Fifth Assessment Report (2013/14)
AR5 Synthesis ReportAR5 Synthesis Report
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Finding your way round the report
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AR5 statistics
•836 authors from 85 countries
•(incl 301 DC/EIT, 179 women, 529 new)
•>30,000 papers cited
•~5,000 pages
•~143,000 comments from > 2000 expert reviewers
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Topics often in the news
• Balance of reports
• Selection of authors
• Grey literature
• Review process
• Confidentiality of drafts
• Approval process
• Errors
• www.ipcc.ch
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Writing, Review and Acceptance
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Peer reviewed and internationally available scientific technical and socio-economic literature, manuscripts made available for IPCC review and selected non-peer reviewed literature produced by other relevant institutions including industry
IPCC approves
outline
Governments, organizations nominate experts
Bureaux select Authors
Scoping
Authors prepare 1st -
order DRAFT
Expert Review
Authors prepare 2nd -
order DRAFT
Government and Expert Review
WG/IPCC accepts/approves report and SPM
Authors prepare FINAL DRAFT
Final distribution and Government Review of SPM
Publication of report
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Topics often in the news
• Balance of reports
• Selection of authors
• Grey literature
• Review process
• Confidentiality of drafts
• Approval process
• Errors
• www.ipcc.ch
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More on IPCC process
• www.ipcc.ch
• > News and Outreach
• >Outreach
• >Materials
• Factsheets
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Future work of the IPCC
- Bigger role for developing countries
- Make reports more accessible
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What next for the IPCC?
• 42nd Session – October 2015, Dubrovnik tbc
- Election of new Bureau
• Meeting on communications – early 2016
• Preparing for the Sixth Assessment Report
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IPCC Working Group I, Figure SPM.1aObserved globally averaged combined land and ocean surface temperature anomaly 1850-2012
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The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report
Jonathan LynnNew Delhi Media Workshop5 August 2014
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The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report
Jonathan LynnDhaka Media Workshop6 August 2014
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The IPCC and the Fifth Assessment Report
Jonathan LynnIslamabad Media Workshop8 August 2014
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What are IPCC reports used for?
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What are IPCC reports used for?
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What are IPCC reports used for?