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Video Montage
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Rhys Jones IRB Game Analysis
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… is the vehicle through which the IRB tracks, at any moment in time, how the
game of rugby is being played at the highest levels
and around the world
What is IRB Game Analysis?
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What do we analyse?
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The Shape of the Game
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Aim of the presentation
Summarise how the shape of the game has changed in last 40 years
Modern day Patterns of play, Player sizes & Scrums
Link to coaching tactics and techniques
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Warning!
Stat Attack
Any questions please let me know
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Scotland v Wales1971
Wales v Scotland2010
Difference
Ball in Play 24m 34s 40m 58s 16m more play
Game Stoppages 151 70 81 fewer stoppages
Lineouts 71 21 50 fewer lineouts
Scrums 39 13 26 fewer scrums
Ruck/Mauls 31 187 156 more r/ms
Kicks 85 57 28 fewer kicks
Passes 145 323 178 more passes
Activity cycles over 30 secs
3 31 28 more cycles over 30 secs
Difference in 40 years – 2 classic matchesActivity
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Wales v Scotland 2010
Set Piec
e78%
Ruck/
Mauls
22%
Set Piece15%
Ruck/
Mauls
85%
Difference in 40 years – 2 classic matchesActivity
Scotland v Wales 1971
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THE SHAPE OF THE GAME HAS COMPLETELY
CHANGED
MOVED FROM SET PIECE ORIENTATED TO OPEN
PLAY ORIENTATED
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Scotland v Wales1971
Wales v Scotland2010
Difference
Lineout Success 43% 86% Increased
Lineout contest 99% 62% Decreased
Scrum Success 66% 85% Increased
Ruck/Maul Success
59% 96% Increased
Difference in 40 years – 2 classic matchesContest of possession
Less contest for possession
Higher retention at set piece and at breakdowns
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Summary of Changes in 40 yearsContest
Teams win possession:Scrum - 9 / 10
Lineout - 8 / 10 Breakdown - 14 / 15
Less of a lottery and sometimes even bad teams
obtain good retention
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THE CONTEST HAS COMPLETELY CHANGED
MOVED FROM CONTEST TO CONTINUITY
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Ball in Hand Scotland v Wales1971
Wales v Scotland2010
Forwards 75 156
Scrum Half 93 163
Outside Half 57 98
Back 5 96 165
Total 321 582
Difference in 40 years – 2 classic matches
Ball in hand = more passes & more contact
Result = A different physical shape of player
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PHIL BENNETT 72kg & GEORGE NORTH 104kg
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COUNTRY Average weight - kg
WALES 106kg
NEW ZEALAND 106kg
SOUTH AFRICA 106kg
SCOTLAND 104kg
IRELAND 103kg
ENGLAND 103kg
ARGENTINA 103kg
AUSTRALIA 103kg
FRANCE 102kg
ITALY 102kg
Average Size of Players
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WALES Backs Forwards
1960 76kg 92kg
2013 99kg 113kg
DifferencePer
player23k 21kg
Size of Players – Changes
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WALESAverage weight -
kg
no 11 104kg
no 12 110kg
no 13 103kg
no 14 104kg
Size of Players – Wales Backs
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WALES AUSTRALIA LEINSTER
no 11 104kg 95kg 92kg
no 12 110kg 87kg 93kg
no 13 103kg 98kg 95kg
no 14 104kg 88kg 88kg
Size of Players – Team comparison
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THE SHAPE OF PLAYERS HAS COMPLETELY
CHANGED
MOVED FROM GAME FOR ALL SHAPES & SIZES TO
ALL PLAYERS NEED TO BE PHYSICALLY STRONG
BACKS AND FORWARDS ALMOST INTERCHANGEABLE
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Summary of Changes in 40 years
Less Set pieces = Less players tied together = less space on the pitch
More open play events = Defensive players outnumber attacking players = scoring
opportunities are fewer
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Less Space = Less Tries
The average number of tries in 6 Nations 2013 was
2.5
The lowest in the history of 6 Nations
Try Scoring
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Total tries scored in 6 Nations
In 2013 50% fewer tries than 10 years ago
Try Scoring
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In 2012 and 2013 – 82 tries scored In 2002 and 2003 – 150 tries scored
38 more tries scored in 2003 than in 2013
Try Scoring
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years Matches won
Matches lost
TRIES SCORED
2001 and 2002 8 2 522012 and 2013 8 2 12
England
Most tries scored by any team in last 2 years was 19
Try Scoring
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2012 6 Nations - Scrum
Scrum
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Scrum
SCRUMS
Average SCRUMS
Rate of COLLAPSE
Rate of RESET
Rate of PENS/FKS
BALL OUT
Per game
RWC 1987 33 12 18 4 32RWC 1991 31 18 30 8 29RWC 1995 25 16 33 7 23RWC 1999 20 20 32 11 18RWC 2003 23 23 26 13 20RWC 2007 18 43 37 13 16RWC 2011 14 45 27 27 10
6 N 2013 14 59 30 51 7
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Scrum
6 NATIONS 2013
Average Scrums per Match14
Average Collapses per Match9
Average Resets per Match4
Average Penalties/FKs per Match7
Average Ball Out per Match7
The ball came out of only 49% of scrums
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Scrum
Collapses per 100 scrums
Resets per 100 scrums
Pens/FKs per 100 scrums
2013 6 Nations 59 30 512012 6 Nations 49 33 39
2011 6 Nations 53 30 44
RWC 2011 (T1 v T1) 50 31 41
RWC 2011POOL MATCHES
Collapses per 100 scrums
Resets per 100 scrums
Pens/FKs per 100 scrums
Tier 1 v Tier 1 50 31 41
Tier 1 v Tier 2 34 17 29
Tier 2 v Tier 2 19 9 17
Scrum problems are greatest when Tier 1 play Tier 1
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Scrum
Average No. of Times the Ball came out of Scrum
RWC 2011POOL MATCHES
No of times ball back into play –average no of times per game
Tier 1 v Tier 1 8 times per gameTier 1 v Tier 2 12 times per gameTier 2 v Tier 2 18 times per game
6 Nations 2013 7 times per game
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Scrum
6 Nations 2013 WALES ENGLAND SCOTLAND IRELAND ITALY FRANCE
TOTAL Scrums 70 69 69 68 79 79Pen/fk 44 36 35 33 34 40
Ball out 26 33 34 35 45 39
Own ball out 13 13 15 18 21 26
IN 5 MATCHES!!!!!
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From Sept 2013, Crouch Bind Setwas introduced
During November window there were clear signs of improvement
THIS MUST CONTINUE
Scrum
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Tier 1 v Tier 1 Scrums – Rate of Ball Out
Avg. 6N 2013
ImprovementIncreased rate of ball out
November
Avg. Nov 2013
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Tier 1 v Tier 1 Scrums – Rate of Collapse
ImprovementDecreased rate of collapses
November
Avg. Nov 2013
Avg. 6N 2013
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Summary – November Tests
Overall, the rate of scrum ball out was 58 every 100 scrums but rate increased to 65 in week 2/3
Overall, the rate of scrum collapses was 44 every 100 scrums but rate decreased to 38 in week 2
Scrum
6 Nations 2014 Coaches Meeting
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Coaches, Players & Referees have a HUGE CHALLENGE
to change the image of the scrumfor the Northern Hemisphere
Scrum
6 Nations 2014 Coaches Meeting
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Stat Attack over!
Some questions to consider
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Questions
How much time is spent coaching Open play skills?
Attack?Defence?Set Piece?Set plays?
Individual skills?
Which are the most important?
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Questions
Are forwards as comfortable in possession as backs?
Do you agree forwards and backs are interchangeable?
How important is size & strength in the modern day player?
If yes, why is it important?
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Questions
How important is the scrum?
Is it used as a way to restart the match or has it become a method to obtain penalties?
How do have you found the new scrum sequence?