dr. mike brumm - swine production benchmarks
DESCRIPTION
Swine Production Benchmarks - Dr. Mike Brumm, Brumm Swine Consultancy, North Mankato, Minn., from the 2013 Minnesota Pork Congress, January 16-17, Minneapolis, MN, USA. More presentations at http://www.swinecast.com/2013-minnesota-pork-congressTRANSCRIPT
Swine Production Benchmarks
Dr Mike BrummBrumm Swine Consultancy, Inc
North Mankato, MN
Tip of the Day
Dead pig removal
Dead Game SlideCabelas
What about energy bills?
What is Normal? 2004-2007 vs 2008 www.finbin.umn.edu
2004-7 2008• Wean-Finish – per pig
– Fuel & oil $1.43 $1.50– Utilities $1.04 $0.46
• Finishing – per pig– Fuel & oil $0.71 $1.18– Utilities $0.62 $0.52
• Wean-Finish - $/cwt gain– LP - $0.50 ~$1.25/pig– Fuel & Oil - $0.18 ~$0.45/pig– Utilities - $0.38 ~$0.95/pig
• www.finbin.umn.edu– Fuel & oil $1.43– Utilities $1.04
What is Normal - 2007?Latta, Harris, Hanon & Penningroth LLP
$1.70
Iowa rule of thumb – 2 gal LP/pig space/yr wean-finish
What is Normal?
2004-7 2008• Farrow-Wean – per pig weaned
www.finbin.umn.edu
– Fuel & oil $0.49 $0.95– Utilities $1.03 $0.57
• Breed-Wean – per pig produced 2007 Latta, Harris, Hanon & Penningroth LLP
– LP - $0.57– Fuel/oil - $0.22– Utilities - $0.90
– 18 sites - 3850 sows/site
$1.69
$1.52
What about energy bills this winter?Northern Iowa – Southern Minnesota
• What’s Normal– Nursery
• 1-1.2 Kwh/space/month• 2.2 gal propane/space/yr
– Wean-Finish• <2.5 gal propane/space/yr
– Grow-Finish• <0.5 gal propane/space/yr
Common Causes ofHigh Energy Costs
• Controller Settings– Variable Speed Fans
• Bandwidth• % Minimum speed
– Furnace OFF setting– Expert Series II seasonal programs
• Equipment Sizing– Fans– Furnaces
• Winterization• Emergency Thermostats• Preheat Hallways
Minimum Speed Setting
• 50% is a funny number in most controllers• Need to know what motor curve is chosen
– Phason– Thevco– Varifan
• Wrong motor curves are a common cause of high fuel bills!
Airstream TC5 Controllers
Furnace Sizing Rules
• A furnace is big enough if it shuts off on the coldest day of the year!
• The longer the furnace runs per burn cycle, the more uniform the heat distribution with the air space!
• If more than 1 furnace, should you unplug one furnace so remaining furnaces run longer?
Preventing Overshoot
• Daily high temperatures should never be at or above temperature at which variable speed fans increase speed when operating in furnace mode.
• Use controller to log hi/low temps
VariableOutput Furnaces
LB White GuardianPSI
New HiredHand
What Was versus What Is
• Closeouts tell us what the last group did– Statistical Process Control Charting– Long term management decisions
• Monitoring the current growth process– Water
• Daily total – looks at health challenge• Daily patterns – looks at thermal neutral zone
– Feed deliveries vs expected deliveries by day on feed• Monitors feed intake (disappearance)
– Load Cells on Bins• Inventory management• Limit out-of-feed events
www.lattaharis.com
www.metafarms.com
Finbin.umn.edu
“information solutions” for the swine industry © 2007, all rights reserved 20
SMS Benchmarking Trend Charts for 2005 to 2012 (8 years)
1-7-2013
Ron Ketchem
“information solutions” for the swine industry © 2007, all rights reserved
SMS, LLC Web Site: www.swinems.com
“information solutions” for the swine industry © 2007, all rights reserved 22
Ave. / Pig Ave / sow Low / pig High / pig
Pig Sales $ 36.08 919.31 31.25 39.44
BH Cull Sales $ 3.69 93.95 0.32 5.61
Expenses $
BH Feed cost 14.67 362.24 12.71 16.14
Animal Health 1.34 34.14 0.50 2.05
Breeding 2.01 51.20 1.64 3.05
Custom Hire 1.19 30.26 0.32 1.95
Insurance 0.39 9.99 0.09 0.64
Labor 5.61 142.88 4.55 6.89
Miscellaneous 0.69 17.48 0.00 2.32
Professional 1.03 26.16 0.47 2.16
Repairs 0.74 18.90 0.28 1.88
Supplies 0.42 10.78 0.16 0.64
Taxes 0.25 6.39 0.00 0.68
Utilities 1.59 40.50 1.25 2.06
Total Cost $ 33.75 859.92 30.89 35.99Financials from SMS data based on 8 farms with 1250 to 2700 sows. 7-31-12
Latta, Harris, Hanon & PenningrothBreed-Wean – 50th (90th)%tile estimates
2010 2011
Labor/pig $4.88 ($4.65) $5.91($5.40)
Facilities/pig $5.61 ($4.35) $6.38 ($5.20)
Other $2.97 ($2.43) $1.76 ($1.00)
Costs normally born by contractor $13.45 (11.43) $14.04 ($11.60)
Genetics $3.36 ($2.12) $3.00 ($0.65)
Vet/Med $3.65 ($3.11) $3.77 ($2.70)
General and Administrative $1.48 ($1.16) $1.38 ($0.70)
Feed $11.15 ($10.07) $17.38 ($14.89)
Non-facility interest $0.44 ($0.27) $0.21 ($0.00)
Total $33.53 ($28.16) $39.78 ($33.00)
Corn $4.12 $6.70SBM $299 $319
Latta, Harris, Hanon & PenningrothBreed-Wean
• Genetic costs– Includes semen, breeding supplies, royalties, sow
depreciation, (gain)loss on sale or death. Breeding stock development costs are capitalized.
– What impacts genetic costs?• Disease (closed herd due to PRRS)• Cull sow value• Turning the herd
Latta, Harris, Hanon & PenningrothBreed-Wean 18 owned + 1 contracted (3000 sow avg inventory 2011)
2010 2011
<2000 >2000 <2000 >2000
Labor/pig $5.61 $5.23 $6.08 $5.21
Facilities/pig $4.71 $5.67 $4.76 $5.97
Other $1.88 $1.25 $1.94 $1.49
Costs normally born by contractor $12.21 $12.14 $12.78 $12.68
Genetics $3.33 $2.59 $2.67 $2.55
Vet/Med $3.28 $2.46 $3.57 $2.56
General and Administrative $1.59 $0.90 $1.32 $0.94
Feed $11.45 $11.43 $14.51 $14.64
Non-facility interest $0.25 $0.43 $0.24 $0.27
Total $32.08 $29.53 $35.06 $33.71
Latta, Harris, Hanon & PenningrothBreed-Wean
• 2011– Of the 10 herds with costs below the group
average, 5 were <2000 and 5 were >2000.
– On average size matters, but individually size isn’t an issue.
Latta, Harris, Hanon & PenningrothWean-Finish Cost of Gain, $/cwt
2010 2011
Farms 9 12
Average cost of gain $38.43 $46.31
Range $35.85-$44.54 $40.08-49.72
Labor/Facilities/Other range $6.12-9.52 $6.13-10.14
Feed range $24.88-32.31 $29.33-38.76
Veterinary range(where do vaccines happen)
$0.17-3.57 $0.40-3.30
Corn $4.12 $6.70SBM $299 $319
“information solutions” for the swine industry ©
2007, all rights reserved
28
SMS Performance data 52 weeks average- 2012 summary
Top 10 %
Top 25%
All Farms
Bottom 25%
Number of farms 78 196 788 197
Mated females 112,993 340,343 1,367,173 336,447
Pigs weaned / mf / yr 29.57 28.16 24.78 21.16
Litters / mated female / year 2.50 2.47 2.37 2.23
Wean to 1st service interval 5.52 5.85 6.73 7.60
Percent served by day 7 91.3% 91.0% 88.6% 85.9%
Percent repeat services 3.9% 5.0% 7.9% 11.0%
Farrowing rate 91.1% 88.8% 85.0% 79.8%
Female Death loss 5.4% 6.3% 7.5% 8.3%
Replacement Rate 52.1% 51.7% 54.5% 63.7%
SMS Data Set-52 weeks 2012
“information solutions” for the swine industry © 2007, all rights reserved 29
Trends in the SMS Data Set
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Diff
10% 24.72 25.67 26.92 26.77 27.33 27.80 28.60 29.29 +4.57
All 21.28 21.92 22.52 22.94 23.33 23.84 24.31 24.75 +3.47
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Pigs Weaned / Mated Female / Year
Top 10% Top 25% Top 50% ALL
“information solutions” for the swine industry ©
2007, all rights reserved
30
SMS Performance data 52 weeks average- 2012 summary
Top 10%
Top 25%
All Farms
Bottom 25%
Total pigs born / female farrowed 14.46 14.26 13.42 12.66
Pigs born live / female farrowed 13.24 12.98 12.13 11.28
Pigs weaned / female farrowed 11.77 11.38 10.55 9.67
Piglet survival 82.5% 81.4% 79.8% 77.6%
Stillborn 6.3% 6.5% 7.0% 7.8%
Pre-weaning Mortality 11.2% 12.1% 13.8% 14.5%
Average gestation length 115.7 115.8 115.8 115.7
Average age at weaning 19.14 19.24 20.12 20.48
Average parity 2.61 2.70 2.67 2.60
Average parity of culled females 4.37 4.33 4.22 3.75
SMS Data Set-52 weeks 2012
“information solutions” for the swine industry © 2007, all rights reserved 31
Trends in the SMS Data Set
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Diff
10% 11.37
11.64 12.00 12.12 12.37 12.53 12.93 13.23 +1.86
All 10.54
10.81 11.04 11.26 11.45 11.65 11.92 12.10 +1.56
Jan-05
Apr-05
Jul-05
Oct
-05
Jan-06
Apr-06
Jul-06
Oct
-06
Jan-07
Apr-07
Jul-07
Oct
-07
Jan-08
Apr-08
Jul-08
Oct
-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct
-09
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Oct
-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct
-11
Jan-12
Apr-12
Jul-12
Oct
-12
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
12.5
13.0
13.5
Live Born / Female Farrowed
Top 10% Top 25% Top 50% ALL
Dec, 0
1
Apr, 02
Aug, 02
Dec, 0
2
Apr, 03
Aug, 03
Dec, 0
3
Apr, 04
Aug, 04
Dec, 0
4
Apr, 05
Aug, 05
Dec, 0
5
Apr, 06
Aug, 06
Dec, 0
6
Apr, 07
Aug, 07
Dec, 0
7
Apr, 08
Aug, 08
Dec, 0
8
Apr, 09
Aug, 09
Dec, 0
9
Apr, 10
Aug, 10
Dec, 1
0
Apr, 11
Aug, 11
Dec, 1
1
Apr, 12
Aug, 12
Dec, 1
2
Jun, 1
3
Oct, 1
38.00
8.25
8.50
8.75
9.00
9.25
9.50
9.75
10.00
10.25
10.50
10.75
11.00
f(x) = 0.0112051989794055 x + 8.60121790423317R² = 0.945183013528759
Pig per litterUSDA Hogs and Pigs Report
Month
Pig
s/li
tte
r
10.16
“information solutions” for the swine industry © 2007, all rights reserved 33
Trends in the SMS Data Set
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Diff
10% 9.99 10.30 10.76 10.80 11.08 11.20 11.44 11.80 +1.81
All 9.17 9.40 9.60 9.89 10.03 10.16 10.34 10.52 +1.35
Jan-05
Apr-05
Jul-05
Oct
-05
Jan-06
Apr-06
Jul-06
Oct
-06
Jan-07
Apr-07
Jul-07
Oct
-07
Jan-08
Apr-08
Jul-08
Oct
-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct
-09
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Oct
-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct
-11
Jan-12
Apr-12
Jul-12
Oct
-12
9.0
9.5
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
Pigs Weaned / Female Weaned
Top 10% Top 25% Top 50% ALL
“information solutions” for the swine industry © 2007, all rights reserved 34
Trends in the SMS Data Set
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Diff
10% 85.9% 86.9% 88.0% 87.9% 88.4% 88.5% 90.2% 90.4% +4.50
All 79.7% 81.1% 82.5% 82.5% 83.0% 84.0% 84.9% 85.1% +5.40
78%
80%
82%
84%
86%
88%
90%
92%
Farrowing Rate
Top 10% Top 25% Top 50% ALL
“information solutions” for the swine industry © 2007, all rights reserved 35
Trends in the SMS Data Set
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Diff
10% 18.30 18.92 19.14 19.31 19.76 18.77 19.52 19.17 +0.87
All 18.16 18.50 18.79 19.20 19.72 19.73 19.93 20.12 +1.96
Jan-05
Apr-05
Jul-05
Oct
-05
Jan-06
Apr-06
Jul-06
Oct
-06
Jan-07
Apr-07
Jul-07
Oct
-07
Jan-08
Apr-08
Jul-08
Oct
-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct
-09
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Oct
-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct
-11
Jan-12
Apr-12
Jul-12
Oct
-12
17.0
17.5
18.0
18.5
19.0
19.5
20.0
20.5
21.0
Weaning Age
Top 10% Top 25% Top 50% ALL
How We Have Improved
SGraphics1987
PigCHAMP1995
PigCHAMP1999
PigCHAMP2000
MetaFarms2008-2011
In wt 50 56.7 56.9 55 54
Out Wt 235 241 250 245 264.8
ADG 1.46 1.56 1.58 1.56 1.75
F/G 3.49 3.21 3.09 2.96 2.95
Mortality 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% 4.1% 3.9%
Grow-Finish
How We Have Improved
SGraphics1989
PigCHAMP1990
PigCHAMP1999
PigCHAMP2000
MetaFarms2008-2011
In wt 13 15.2 10.8 12.1 13
Out Wt 235 229.6 239 250 264.8
ADG 1.19 1.17 1.40 1.35 1.53
F/G 3.26 3.10 2.76 2.71 2.67
Mortality 3.85% 3.68% 6.12% 5.5%
Wean-Finish
Are we measuring the right thing?PIC Expected Intervention
Nursery 2280 2400
Grow-Fin 4140 4300
Wean-Fin 3920 3940
K State Expected Intervention
Nursery 2325 2475
Grow-Fin 4200 4500
Wean-Fin 3900 4200
kcal ME/ lb liveweight gain
Future Benchmarks
• We record expenses and performance on live weight basis but are paid on carcass weight basis.– If sell Hormel no live weight reported
• When will we begin thinking in terms of $/cwt carcass or carcass gain/unit of feed/energy?
USDA Federally Inspected Barrow and Gilt carcass wt, lb (1988-2011)
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
220
f(x) = 1.39695652173913 x + 170.579710144928R² = 0.979594704766453
Year
Lb Kg
At this pace, in 2022 live weights will average 290 lb based on 75% yield
68.2
77.3
90.9
86.4
95.5
81.8
72.7
100
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51250
255
260
265
270
275
280
IA-SMN Liveweight at Slaughter2011 2007-2011 2012 2013
Week
Lb
A conclusion is the place where you got tired of thinking.
-- Steven Wright
Swine Production Benchmarks
Dr Mike BrummBrumm Swine Consultancy, Inc
North Mankato, MN
Blog: www.Mnpork.com