draft for discussion. subject for change. · smv: php40,000 per square meter (fy 1994/1996) szv:...
TRANSCRIPT
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
1
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
By 2022
17
3,996USD
3,500USD
at least
12,376USD
3,500USD
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Progress in achieving the 10-point socioeconomic agenda is advancing strongly.
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
39
GDP growth has remained robust despite headwinds in the global economy.
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
40
With higher growth, the Philippines is likely to become an upper-middle income country next year.
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Poverty reduction is encouraging.
41
28.627.9
26.3
27.6
21.0
15.014.0
12
16
20
24
28
32
Pove
rty
rate
(p
erce
nt)
First semester poverty estimates among the population
2006 basket based series 2012 basket based series
Source: PSANote: Poverty rates for 2021 to 2022 represent government targets.
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
42Source: First Quarter 2019 Social Weather Report, Social Weather Stations
Self-rated poverty: Families who are “mahirap”, Philippines, April 1983 to March 2019
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Photo: IRRI
Rice liberalization ispro-consumerpro-farmerpro-taxpayerpro-workerspro-childrenpro-poor
Photo: IRRI
Photo: IRRI
4343
Rice liberalization reform is a game-changer.
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
The next three years will be focused on achieving entirely the 10-point socioeconomic agenda.
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Development objectives in next three years.
• The overarching objectives for the next three years are to:
45
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Some economic priorities in next three years1. Accelerate implementation of the Build Build Build infrastructure program.
• We have achieved 5.1 percent of GDP budget on infrastructure and we are on track to achieve 7
percent of GDP in infrastructure spending in three y a s’ time. This is consistent with achieving an 8
percent GDP growth.
46
● Hybrid PPPs
● Improve pre-planning
● Involve LGUs in identification and strategic planning of projects
● Upgrade technical capacity of LGUs to deliver local infrastructure
● Land valuation reform to resolve right-of-way conflicts
● National Land Use Plan to implement proper zoning
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Some economic priorities in next three years2. Pursue the remaining tax reform packages to make the tax system simpler, fairer,
and more efficient, while ensuring sustainable financing for the infrastructure program. Four major packages remain:
47
Package 2
Corporate income tax and incentives reform
Package 3
Property valuation
Package 2+
Alcohol excise
Package 4
Capital income and financial taxes
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Some economic priorities in next three years3. Pursue economic reforms to increase FDI and jobs. Priority bills include
• Amendment to the Public Service Act • Opening up retail trade further
48
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Some economic priorities in next three years4. Improve implementation of existing reforms such as
• National ID• Ease of doing business• Universal health care• Rice liberalization• Social programs to increase investment in health, education, and social protection• Building resilience to climate change
49
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Some economic priorities in next three years5. Improve the productivity of agriculture, including distribution of
individual titles to land reform beneficiaries.
50
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Tax reform is about INVESTING in our country’s FUTURE.
5151
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Why tax policy reform is needed: A bad tax system
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Inflation
Special treatment and exemptions
Lack of information (e.g.,
bank secrecy)
Inequity
Complexity
Inefficiency
High tax rates
Narrow base (only about half of the economy
is taxed)
Cause Effect Outcome
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Duterte Administration’s Comprehensive Tax Reform Program
53
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
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CTRP estimated revenue collection
(2018-2022)0.4
1.0 1.0
0.7 0.6
3.5
0
1
2
3
4
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018 to 2022
Per
cen
t o
f G
DP
CTRP revenue estimates, 2018 to 2022
Source: DOF staff estimatesNotes: The blue bars represent annual estimates , while the green bar represents the combined 5-year estimate.
Tax reform is expected to raise 3.5 percent of GDP annually by 2022.
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Package 1Tax Reform for Acceleration
and Inclusion (TRAIN)
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
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Shift to a simplified PIT system, and reduce the max
rate to 30% over time.*
Restructure the tax for self-employed to an
optional flat tax of 8%.
Reduce and restructure th d n ’s tax t a
single rate of 6%.
Reduce and restructure the estate tax to a single rate of 6%.
Broaden the VAT system by reducing the number of exemptions.
Increase the excise tax on petroleum products gradually.
Simplify excise tax on automobiles.
Introduce a tax on sweetened beverages.
Introduce and update taxes on: cosmetic procedures, coal excise, mining, tobacco,
foreign currency deposits, capital gains, stock transactions, and documentary stamp taxes.
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
VAT comparison with other countries
6161
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Widening the VAT base by reducing exemptions
The number of lines of VAT exemptions in the NIRC slightly increased due to:i) The adoption of some special laws such as the VAT exemption of senior citizens and PWDs in the NIRC,ii) The introduction of VAT exemptions on association dues, transfer of property if in pursuance of a plan of merger or consolidation, and hypertension, high cholesterol, and diabetes medicines, andiii) The movement of the sale of gold to BSP from a VAT zero-rated to a VAT exempt transaction.
Despite this slight increase, the number of exemptions in special laws has been substantially cleaned up, resulting in the significant decrease in the total number of exemptions.62
TRAIN
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Package 2Corporate income tax and incentives reform
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Source: Asian Development Bank and PWC
The Philippines has the highest corporate income tax rate in the ASEAN region, yet it has low efficiency.
69
• For instance, Thailand collects CIT equivalent to around 4percent of GDP on a 20 percent CIT rate, or an efficiency of 20 percent.
• Meanwhile, the Philippinescollects CIT equivalent to 3.7percent of GDP on a 30 percent rate, or an efficiency of only 12.3 percent.
• Among the ASEAN5, the county is only ahead of Indonesia in terms of efficiency.
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
The President may advance the
scheduled reduction in the CIT rate when
adequate savings are realized from
the rationalization of fiscal incentives.
Lower corporate income tax
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
- 14 investment promotion agencies
- 136 investment incentive laws and 200 non-investment incentive laws
- 546 ‘ecozones’ and freeports
71
We grant the most generous fiscal incentives since they are in lieu of all taxes and given forever.
Source: Individual country finance agencies and investment promotion offices.
We have a complex tax incentives system.
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
● Firms with no incentives pay the regular rate of 30% of net taxable income
● Firms with incentives pay between 6% and 13%
72
For example, almost all of the 90,000 SMEs pay the regular 30% rate.
Source: DTI and TIMTA
Resulting in huge inequity and “wasted” incentives
2% of 2017 GDP
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Fair and accountable tax incentives system
73
Every peso granted as tax incentive is a peso off the budget that could have been spent for infrastructure, health, education, and
social protection that benefit all, and not only a few.
Package 2
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Package 2+Tobacco and alcohol excise taxes
74
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
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UHC annual cost and fund source
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
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Tax rates under Congress-approved bill on tobacco tax
Cigarettes for pack of 20 (in pesos per pack)
Heated tobacco products for pack of 20 (in pesos per pack)
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
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Tax rates under Congress-approved bill on tobacco tax
Vapor products (in pesos)
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DOH-DOF and Sen. Pacquiao’s proposal on alcohol tax
Fermented liquors – increase specific tax (in pesos)
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
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DOH-DOF and Sen. Pacquiao’s proposal on alcohol tax
Distilled spirits – increase ad valorem and specific tax (in pesos)
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DOH-DOF and Sen. Pacquiao’s proposal on alcohol tax
Sparkling wines/champagnes – increase specific tax per liter (in pesos)
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DOH-DOF and Sen. Pacquiao’s proposal on alcohol tax
Still wines and carbonated wines – increase specific tax per liter (in pesos)
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Total revenue estimate (in PHP billion)
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Package 3Property tax and valuation reform
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Property valuation reforms
1Unrealized revenues and
socio-economic benefits from delayed projects
Conflicting land values result in right-of-way compensation problems
2
3 4 5Lengthy court litigations arising
from valuation disputesProjects are delayed Cost overruns
Effects ofoutdated
land values
84
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Sample of huge disparities in valuations
Ayala Avenue, Makati City
✓SMV: Php40,000 per square meter (FY 1994/1996)
✓SZV: Php439,000 (CR) per square meter (2017)
✓MV: Php700,000 per square meter
Legaspi Village, Makati City
✓SMV: Php29,000 per square meter (FY 1994/1996)
✓SZV: Php320,000 per square meter (2017)
✓MV: Php390,000 per square meter
E. Rodriguez Jr. Ave – C5, Quezon City
✓SMV: Php35,000 per square meter (FY 2017)*
✓SZV: Php100,000 (CR) (2012)
✓MV: Php130,000 per square meter
*Under TRO (April 2017)
87
Sales Listing gathered in the internet; value estimate
on land based on abstraction/extraction method.
-
500,000.00
1,000,000.00
MVSZV
SMV
Ayala Avenue
Legaspi Village
E. Rodriguez Ave Jr. – C5
18x
13x
4x
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Property valuation reforms
Adopt international standards, rationalize the process
Establish single valuation base for taxation, benchmark for other purposes
Insulate valuation from undue politicization.
Recentralize the neglected function of LGUs; improve oversight by NG
Establish comprehensive database to support valuation function
VALUATION
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Package 4Passive income tax (PasIT) and financial intermediary tax (FIT)
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Multiplicity of rates: investment driven by tax and not by risk
1. By product (interest income, dividends, capital gains, banks, insurance, DST)
2. By type of lending (private or public / currency bank deposits)
3. By issuer (RBU, FCDU, OBU)
4. By currency (peso vs. foreign)
5. By maturity (short vs. long-term)
6. By taxpayer (individual vs. corporate)
7. By residency (resident vs. non-resident)
8. By business status (engaged vs. not engaged in business)
9. Under special laws (41 special laws)95
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Comparison between the current and proposed systems
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Special laws
There are 41 laws outside the NIRC on passive income. Tax reform will repeal 31 of them (hopefully)
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Reform as bridging the future
Source: https://www.pinterest.com/explore/social-stratification/133133
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Source: https://scottdeutschtalks.files.wordpress.com/2016/05/who-wants-change.jpg134
Reform coalitions needed to understand the reformas a package
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DRAFT FOR DISCUSSION. SUBJECT FOR CHANGE.
Thank you
Photo: IRRIPhotos: IIRI
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