dte midstream and dte gas midstream servicesw15-16. w16-17. w17-18. last winter persistent record...
TRANSCRIPT
DTE Midstream andDTE Gas Midstream Services
2018 Customer MeetingJuly 17 – 19, 2018
Steve HohfManager, Natural Gas Analytics
DTE Midstream
Welcome
2
Agenda PresenterWelcoming Remarks Steve Hohf
DTE Midstream (GSP) Nexus Pipeline Update Steve Hohf
Storage & Michigan Gathering Update Steve Richman
Operations & Logistics Update Nadine Mathis
DTE Gas (Midstream) Update Julia Huffman
Closing Remarks, Dinner and Activities Dan Brudzynski
DTE Midstream Customer MeetingTuesday, July 17, 2018
3
DTE Midstream Overview
4Visit us at: www.dtemidstream.com
DTE Midstream Footprint
5
6
NEXUS Project Update
7
NEXUS – Late-Q3 In-Service
Steve RichmanDirector, Marketing & Optimization
DTE Midstream
Michigan Update
8
9
Michigan Platform
Regional Demand W10 Update DTE Michigan Gathering
Average weekly HDD’s across North Region
101. Source: S&P Global. Degree Day Data 6.7.18
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
North HDD
• Week of December 31, 2017 averaged 60 HDD across the region
• Winter 2017/18 rivaled the Vortex winter
Winter 2017/18 was COLD…. For a Long Time
11
Several record peak days have been established the past few winters at Washington 10
12
(1,350,000)
(1,250,000)
(1,150,000)
(1,050,000)
(950,000)
(850,000)
W10 Historical Peak Days
W10-11 W11-12 W12-13 W13-14 (Vortex) W14-15 W15-16 W16-17 W17-18
With
draw
als
-(M
MBT
u)
13
(1,350,000)
(1,250,000)
(1,150,000)
(1,050,000)
(950,000)
(850,000)
W10 Historical Peak Days
W10-11 W11-12 W12-13 W13-14 (Vortex) W14-15 W15-16 W16-17 W17-18
Last winter persistent record cold temps created many high demand days for our W10 facility
With
draw
als
-(M
MBT
u)
Similar to the overall US, East North Central winter month consumption shows the storage component of gas supply often exceeds 40%
141. Source: GPCM / EIA- 2018
9
20
7
4
Jan
16
19
7
8
4
Feb
15
22
10
10
3
Jan
15
19
8
9
2
Feb
14
21
8
12
1
Jan
18
Jan
17
18
7
Jan
14
22
10
11
1
Dec
13
17
8
9
1Fe
b 13
17
8
9
1
Jan
13
17
8
8
1
Feb
12
16
6
9
1
Jan
12
16
7
9
1
Feb
11
16
7
9
1
Jan
2011
18
8
10
1
6
5
Storage WithdrawalsPipeline ImportsDry Production
Average Peak Winter Month Supply ComponentsBcf/d
44% 41% 41% 37% 46% 44% 45% 44% 38% 42% 45% 38% 39% 44%Storage Component Percent
• On the coldest peak months, like those in 2011, 2013 , 2014 and 2018 up to 45% of consumption is supplied by storage
Forecast
12.2
5.5
2017 2040F
15.0
6.0
3.1
5.3
0.6
2035F
14.4
5.8
3.2
4.8
0.6
2030F
13.1
5.7
3.3
3.5
0.6
2025F
12.6
5.6
0.5
3.1
3.4
2020F
5.5
3.4
1.9
0.411.2
5.2
3.5
2.7
0.5
2016
11.2
5.1
3.3
2.4
0.3
2015
11.1
3.3
2.3
0.4
East North Central demand growth will also be driven by the power generation sector
15Source: IHS Fall 2017 Rivalry Scenario – February 2018 update
East North Central Average Annual Natural Gas Consumption by SectorBcf/d
Segment Change (Bcf/d)% from ‘17 to ‘40
Fuel / Other +0.2 / +49%
Power +3.0 / 131%
Industrial -0.2 / -7%
Residential / Commercial +0.9 / +17%
East North Central
• With over 15,100 MW of coal generating plants retiring in the region through 2020 natural gas used for power generation is forecasted to increase
~3.8 Bcf/d
35% increase from last year for same time period
16
East North Central area retiring coal fired generating plants – 2016 Forecast
• Approx. 30,000 MW over the next 23 years
0
2,000
4,0006,000
8,000
10,000
12,00014,000
16,000
18,000
20,00022,000
24,000
26,000
28,00030,000
32,000
34,000
2040203820362034203220302028202620242022202020182016
MichiganIndianaIllinois Ohio Wisconsin
MW (Cumulative)
Source: IHS Fall 2015 Rivalry Scenario – February 2016 update
State
Total Forecasted
Retiring Coal Plants
Total Forecasted MW Retired
Illinois 30 11,229
Indiana 47 7,526
Michigan 48 8,459
Ohio 27 3,410
Wisconsin 30 2,436
Retired by 2040:
17
East North Central area retiring coal fired generating plants
• Approx. 37,000 MW over the next 22 years
02,0004,0006,0008,000
10,00012,00014,00016,00018,00020,00022,00024,00026,00028,00030,00032,00034,00036,00038,000
2040203820362034203220302028202620242022202020182016
WisconsinOhioMichiganIndianaIllinois
MW (Cumulative)
Source: IHS Fall 2017 Rivalry Scenario – May 2018 update
State
Total Forecasted
Retiring Coal Plants
Total Forecasted MW Retired
Illinois 27 7,034
Indiana 44 10,523
Michigan 44 9,304
Ohio 29 6,258
Wisconsin 18 3,876
Retired by 2040:
2016 Forecast
2017 Forecast
2018 Forecast
2018 Forecast
18Sources: DTE August 2017 and May 2018 Business Updates
In Michigan, both DTE and Consumers have announced plans to meet increased demand from generation while reducing carbon emissions
Impact to DTE Energy
• Gas and Renewable capacity (wind/solar) will be the beneficiaries of coal plant retirements
• DTE estimates that by 2030 – 60% of generation will be provided by sources other than coal.
• DTE has recently announced plans to double Renewable Capacity by 2022, mostly through new Wind projects. This will meet the state Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) legislation of 15% in 2021.
• DTE Electric has received approval to build an 1,100 MW CCGT Plant in East China Township, MI. Expected to be in-service Q2 2022.
Renewables and gas-powered generation are driving the shift from coal
W10 Update
• Summer Storage Refill (1)
• Hourly Balancing
• Station Projects– Compressor Unit 1 Overhaul– Office Upgrades/Control Room– Station Valve Replacement– Compressor Unit 3 Overhaul
• New Hire:Scott MarinoGas Storage Origination
191. As of July 13th
Union Gas 37%Bluewater 60%ANR 37%
• Some Niagaran production targets in Northern Michigan being explored along with Dundee / Detroit River targets
• Potential drilling in A1 carbonate and Utica Collingwood formations in future years
• Core Energy acquired Marathon’s Michigan interests
• Lambda Energy Resources LLC acquiring Merit’s Michigan assets
• Saginaw Bay Pipeline converted to dry transmission in June providing service to Consumers from Kalkaska (DTE Gas)
• Upgrades to existing flow computers are ongoing combined with communication updates related to DTE Gas Company’s SCADA upgrade
Michigan development: Limited producer activity creating some opportunity for existing DTE Pipeline Company assets
20
Saginaw Bay Pipeline
Wet Header Pipeline
DTE Gas CompanyWet HeaderDry HeaderSaginaw BayOther Gathering
Legend
AEP Pipeline
Nadine MathisDirector, Operations & Logistics
DTE Midstream
Operations and Logistics Update
22
Operations & Logistics
23
Contracts
W10, MiGathering,
LINK, Bluestone & Birdsboro
Gas Management (Nominations)
W10, LINK, Bluestone & Birdsboro
Exception: MiGathering (DTE Gas)
Invoices
W10, MiGathering,
LINK, Bluestone & Birdsboro
• Our partners in NEXUS, Vector and Millennium handle the contracts, gas management and invoices
DTE Michigan Gathering
Split handling the day-to-day needs of our DTE Michigan Gathering customers
DTE Midstream (Operations & Logistics) Starting point for new business All changes to existing business
• Contract and/or meter assignments• Requests for well shut-ins, reactivations or terminations• Accounting
DTE Gas Company Services related to day-to-day business and operational matters
• User credentials• Agency agreements• Nominations• Measurement• Field operations
24
Contacts - DTE Michigan Gathering
25
Contacts - Operations & Logistics
26
www.dtemidstream.com
27
User Access
28
Gas Management System Change
29
• New Nomination System platform for Washington 10– Kicked off December 2017
• Currently utilize Trellis for pipeline assets– LINK (AGS/SGG)– Bluestone– Birdsboro
• Completed W10 Gas Storage Trellis 6.2 Preparation in January 2018– Updated company details, addresses, user details & credentials
• Implementation – Q4 2018
Julia HuffmanManager, Midstream Origination &
OptimizationDTE Gas
DTE Gas Midstream Update
30
DTE Gas within the broader organizational structure
31
DTE Gas• Natural gas transmission,
storage and distribution• 1.3 million residential
customers• Fully regulated
Gas Storage & Pipelines• Transport, store and gather
natural gas• 5 pipelines, ~91 Bcf storage
Power & Industrial Projects• Own and operate energy
related assets• 16 states
Energy Trading• Active physical and financial
gas and power marketing company
75% - 80% Utility Growth driven by investments aimed at
improving reliability
20% - 25% Non-utility Growth driven by strategic opportunities
DTE Electric• Electric generation and
distribution• 2.2 million customers• Fully regulated
Introductions to the DTE Gas team members
32
Jerr
y N
orci
aPr
esid
ent a
nd C
OO
DTE ElectricTrevor Lauer
President and COO
DTE GasMark Stiers
President and COO
Engineering Services
Gas Operations
Strategic Planning
Gas Sales & SupplyDan BrudzynskiVice President
Gas Control, System Planning & Gas
Nominations
Gas Sales & MarketingHJ Decker
Director
Home Services
End User Transportation
MidstreamJulia Huffman
Manager
Asset OptimizationLisa Kramer
Manager
MarketingRachel MeckTom BudzynJohn LobbiaCompressed Natural
Gas
Customer/Operational Performance
New Markets
Gas Supply
DTE Gas Storage & Pipeline
David SlaterPresident
Power & IndustrialDavid RuudPresident
Major Enterprise Projects
Robert RichardSr. Vice President
DTE Gas Midstream Services maximizes the utilization of ~2,000 miles of transmission lines and ~140 Bcfworking gas storage
33
W10Union
Belle River:VectorGLGTANR Link
Willow:ANR
PEPLNEXUS
Consumers
ANR-Woolfolk
ANR-Kalkaska
DTE Gas Storage Facility (depleted reservoir)
Vector-Milford
34
Big changes on the DTE Gas system – NEXUS Gas Transmission capacity lease
Map from NEXUS Gas Transmission website 6/15/18
NEXUS Capacity Lease highlights:
• NEXUS Ypsilanti will be added to the list of Michcon Generic points
• 1.1 Bcf/d lease from NEXUS Ypsilanti (Willow) to Vector and Union
• 49,885 HP added to DTE Gas system at Willow and Milford
• Nomination system upgrade
35
NEXUS capacity lease provides access to receipt and delivery points on the DTE Gas system from Willow to Union
Willow: ANR, PEPL, NEXUS
Vector-Milford
W10 Belle River: Vector, GLGT
Union
Consumers
Receipt Delivery
Prim
ary NEXUS Ypsi Vector-Milford
Vector-Belle RiverUnion St. Clair
Sec
onda
ry
ANR-Willow ANR-WillowPEPL PEPLConsumers ConsumersWashington 10 Washington 10GLGT GLGTStorage Storage
Closing Remarks
Dan BrudzynskiVice President, Gas Sales & Supply
DTE Gas
36
Wednesday July 18, 2018
• Golf – Grand Traverse Resort – The Bear 7:30 am – Breakfast at Club House 8:30 am – First tee time 1:00 pm – Lunch
• Bike / Brewery Adventure 8:00 am – Breakfast – pick up in Resort Lobby 9:00 am – Bus departs for Filling Station Brewery 9:30 am – Bike tour begins 12:30 pm – Lunch / Filling Station Brewery 2:00 pm – Board bus back to Grand Traverse Resort
Social Activities
37
Wednesday July 18, 2018 (continued)
• Spa Grand Traverse – By appointment (schedule with Della) 9:00 am – 2:00 pm – Scheduled appointments 12:00 pm – Lunch vouchers provided
• Cocktail Reception and Dinner 5:30 pm - Pavilion
• Cocktails on the Bay – Rooftop bar overlooking Grand Traverse Bay 8:00 pm – Meet in Resort lobby & board bus to Hotel Indigo 8:30 pm – Cocktails on the Roof Top / H&L Social 11:00 pm – Board bus back to Grand Traverse Resort
38
Social Activities
Thursday July 19, 2018
• Golf – Lochenheath Golf Club Transportation on your own (7951 Turnberry Circle,
Williamsburg, MI Phone: 231-938-9800) 7:30 am – Pick up Box Breakfast in Resort lobby 8:30 am – First tee time
39
Social Activities
On behalf DTE Energy – Thank You!