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Ductless Heat Pumps Myths, Modeling and Mesmerizing Material

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Page 1: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Ductless Heat PumpsMyths, Modeling and Mesmerizing Material

Page 2: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Myth:

Ductless Heat Pumps don’t work when it is cold out.

Page 3: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Heating System Performance versus Outdoor Temperature

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DHP & Oil Boilerefficiency vs. temperature

High Efficiency Cold Climate DHP COPBoiler COP

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DHP & Oil Boilercapacity vs. Temperature

High Efficiency Cold Climate DHP Capacity Boiler Capacity Stnd DHP Capacity

Page 4: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Metered COP: VT Evaluation

Page 5: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Myth:

Ductless heat pumps cost more than your oil system to run when its cold out.

Page 6: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Heating System Costs v Outdoor Temperature

Assumptions:

$0.16/kWh

$2.75/gallon of oil

The cost of each unit of heat (btu) produced by a DHP varies as a function of outdoor temperature.

High efficiency ductless heat pumps cost less to operate than standard efficiency ductless heat pumps.

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$/M

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tu

Outdoor Temperature (Tout)

DHP & Oil Boilercost vs. temperature

Oil $/MMBtu High Efficiency Cold Climate DHP Stnd DHP $/MMBtu

Page 7: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Temperature Time Series (hourly data)

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s Ti

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Hour of the Year (starting at January 1st 0:00)

Typical Meteorological Year

Portland TMY3 Dry-bulb (F) Caribou TMY3 Dry-bulb (F) Bangor TMY3 Dry-bulb (F)

Page 8: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

“Binning” of Temperature for Analysis

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Outdoor Temperature (Tout)

Hours per Temperature Bin

Portland Bangor Caribou

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Typ

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Outdoor Temperature (Tout)

TMY and Modeled Heating hours

Caribou Caribou Gated heating

Page 9: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Modeled Results: Heat Supplied – High Efficiency Cold Climate DHP vs. Oil Boiler

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/h

Tout"max"capacity kBtu/h Space Load kBtu/h

capacity ASHP can deliver kBtu/h ASHP actual delivered kBtu/h

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Heat Supplied

DHP heat supplied Boiler heat supplied

Page 10: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Modeled Results: Cost of Heating – High Efficiency Cold Climate DHP vs. Oil Boiler

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$5.00

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$25.00

$30.00

$35.00

-20 0 20 40 60

$/M

MB

tu

Tout

DHP & Oil Boilercost vs. temperature

Oil $/MMBtu High Efficiency Cold Climate DHP Stnd DHP $/MMBtu

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$10.00

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$80.00

696561575349454137332925211713951-3-7-11-15-19

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ost

per

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pe

ratu

re B

in

Tout

Cost of Heat Supplied

High Efficiency Cold Climate DHP Oil 'Make-Up' Only Central System

Page 11: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Modeled Results: Cost of Heating – High Efficiency Cold Climate DHP vs. Standard Efficiency DHP

Base-only annual operating cost $1,189

EE DHP + base annual operating cost $879

$ saved estimated $310

ASHP annual operating cost $650

Base-only annual operating cost $1,189

EE DHP + base annual operating cost $996

$ saved estimated $193

ASHP annual operating cost $271

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696561575349454137332925211713951-3-7-11-15-19

An

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ost

per

Tem

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re B

in

Tout

Cost of Heat Supplied

High Efficiency Cold Climate DHP Oil 'Make-Up' Only Central System

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$10.00

$20.00

$30.00

$40.00

$50.00

$60.00

$70.00

$80.00

696561575349454137332925211713951-3-7-11-15-19

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Cost of Heat Supplied

Standard Efficiency DHP Blended Fuel "Make-Up' Only Central System

Page 12: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Modeled Results: “Cutover”

"lost" savings from not cutting off DHP $ 1.22

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st o

f H

eat

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Cost of Heat Supplied

DHP Cost Oil 'Make-Up' Boiler Cost without DHP

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eat

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ed

Tout

Cost of Heat Supplied

DHP Cost Oil 'Make-Up' Boiler Cost without DHP

Page 13: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Heat Pump User Tips

Page 14: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Myth:

You should turn down the temperature setting on your ductless heat pump at night and when you’re not home.

Page 15: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

• Comparison of two identical houses using DHP’s as primary heat sourceso One home sets the thermostat based on comfort and occupancy

o One home sets the thermostat

• Long term Monitoring

• Short Term Comparison

National Renewable Energy Laboratory Case Study

Page 16: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Constant Set Point

From: https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy15osti/63080.pdf

Page 17: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

On Off Operation

https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy15osti/63080.pdf

Page 18: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Setback and Constant Operation

https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy15osti/63080.pdf

Page 19: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Heat Pump User Tips

Page 20: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Myth:

Ductless Heat Pumps will be used for air conditioning and break the grid in the summer.

Page 21: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

DHP Reduce Air Conditioning’s Impact on Peak Load

• Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017

• The evaluation found that on average DHP’s reduce cooling load:

Page 22: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

• The Vermont evaluation examine the AMI data before and after a DHP was installed. o Table reflects net savings:

Cooling (cont)

Page 23: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Evaluations

Page 24: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

• Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016

• Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017o Both studies found that the units were not being used as much as anticipated

• Vermont may be most comparable to Maine

Evaluation Results from Vermont and Massachusetts

Page 25: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Vermont DHP Usage

Page 26: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Integrated Thermostats

Page 27: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

• 7 Homes with Mitsubishi DHP previously metered• Honeywell Thermostat (VisionPRO 8000) integrated with DHP (through

interface kit box PAC-US444CN-1) and Existing Central Heating System zone shared with DHP

• Remotely mounted wireless temperature sensor configured to control DHP and central system

• Droop between DHP and central system set to 2-3 deg F• Before Thermostat Integration

o 317 gallons of Oil offset with DHP

• After Thermostat Integrationo 607 gallons of Oil offset with DHP

Integrated Thermostat

Page 28: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

Lessons Learned

Page 29: Ductless Heat Pumps - Efficiency Maine•Massachusetts published the evaluation of DHP’s in December, 2016 •Vermont published the evaluation of DHP’s in November, 2017 o Both

• DHP’s can deliver significant benefits to customers

• The more they are used the higher the benefits

• DHP’s operate differently that conventional systems

• Customer education and orientation is needed

Lessons Learned