e-bay tizimi haqida - tfiel.tfi.uz/images/bay.pdf- ife matrix ?? external assessment - efe matrix -...
TRANSCRIPT
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Overview
Some Cool Facts
Who we are,
What we sell,
Where we are
Mission and Vision
Internal Assessment
- Financial Condition
- IFE Matrix ??
External Assessment
- EFE Matrix
- CPM Matrix
Strategy Formulation
- SWOT Matrix
- Space Matrix
- IE Matrix
- Grand Strategy Matrix
- QSPM Matrix
- Matrix Analysis
Strategic Planning for the Future
EPS/EBIT
Decisions/Implementation/Evaluation
2004&05 Financials
eBay press releases
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eBay is evolution
• 1996 – 1998: US only, collectibles only – Started by Pierre Omidyar to assist his girl friend in collecting Pez
Dispensers
• 1999 – Moving beyond collectibles
• 1999 – Going global
• 2000 – Introducing Fixed Price and eBay Stores
• 2002 – PayPal: removing friction and building a huge new business
• 2004 – 2005: Creating other marketplaces → Marktplaats, Mobile, Rent.com, Shopping.com, Kijiji, ProStores
Common theme – expanding our vision, our market and our opportunity
Aspirational goal of growing faster than e-commerce
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Who we Are
Founded in September 1995, eBay is The
World's Online Marketplace® for the sale of
goods and services by a diverse community of
individuals and small businesses. Today, the
eBay community includes more than a hundred
million registered members from around the
world. People spend more time on eBay than
any other online site, making it the most popular
shopping destination on the Internet.
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What we Sell
On an average day, there are millions of items listed on eBay. People come to eBay to buy and sell items in thousands of categories from collectibles like trading cards, antiques, dolls, and house wares to practical items like used cars, clothing, books and CDs, and electronics. Buyers have the option to purchase items in an auction-style format or items can be purchased at a fixed price through a feature called Buy It Now.
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Where we Are
People from all over the world buy and sell on eBay. Currently, eBay has local sites that serve Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, China, France, Germany, Hong Kong, India, Ireland, Italy, Malaysia, the Netherlands, New Zealand, the Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Taiwan, the United Kingdom, and the United States. In addition, eBay has a presence in Latin America through its investment MercadoLibre.com.
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eBay’s Community Values
eBay is a community that encourages open and honest communication among all its members. Our community is guided by five fundamental values:
– We believe people are basically good.
– We believe everyone has something to contribute.
– We believe that an honest, open environment can bring out the best in people.
– We recognize and respect everyone as a unique individual.
– We encourage you to treat others the way you want to be treated.
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eBay's mission is to provide a global trading
platform where practically anyone can
trade practically anything.
1
eBay’s Mission Statement
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Proposed Mission Statement
eBay’s mission is to be the world’s most utilized and profitable “trading post.” Having bright and talented employees that are dedicated to serving both customers and communities, eBay provides the most technologically advanced, reliable, and secure trading platform available to anyone, anywhere, while always doing business in a highly ethical manner.
1
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Our vision at eBay is provide an online
business to enable anyone to auction
practically anything.
1
Proposed Vision Statement
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2
Opportunities
1. Current Internet usage estimated to be 420 million worldwide including 180
million in the US.
2. Generation X and Y entering the workforce.
3. Foreign markets especially in Asia are improving.
4. US and Mexico exceeded $3 trillion in online sales in 2003.
5. E-commerce in Latin America expected to grow to $82 billion in 2004.
6. Under 25 percent of online North American households made an auction
purchase in 2003.
7. Online auction sales are estimated to reach $54 billion in 2007.
8. The price of personal computers continues to fall.
9. Internet sales remain tax free.
10. Some customers prefer to finance large purchases "in house"
Opportunities
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Threats
1. Online businesses could possibly be subject to future taxation.
2. Medium fixed cost structure - barrier to entry not significantly high.
3. Ongoining fraud issues, with merchants not sending payment or products.
4. Many people feel the Internet is an unsafe medium to conduct financial
business.
5. Many households still do not own a PC.
6. Despite improvements, many foreign economies are still unstable.
7. High unemployment rates in the US.
8. Transportation systems in foreign countries could be poor for delivering
products.
9. Fluctuations in currency and exchange rates, could limit international business.
10. Possible website security problems such as hacking.
Threats
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Opportunities Weight Rating Weighted Score
1. Current Internet usage estimated to be 420 million worldwide
including 180 million in the US.0.07 4 0.28
2. Generation X and Y entering the workforce. 0.02 3 0.06
3. Foreign markets especially in Asia are improving. 0.03 2 0.06
4. US and Mexico exceeded $3 trillion in online sales in 2003. 0.04 3 0.12
5. E-commerce in Latin America expected to grow to $82 billion in
2004.0.03 2 0.06
6. Under 25 percent of online North American households made an
auction purchase in 2003.0.07 2 0.14
7. Online auction sales are estimated to reach $54 billion in 2007. 0.08 4 0.32
8. The price of personal computers continues to fall. 0.04 3 0.12
9. Internet sales remain tax free. 0.04 3 0.12
10. Some customers prefer to finance large purchases "in house" 0.03 1 0.03
External Factor Evaluation Matrix (EFE)
3
EFE Matrix
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EFE Matrix
Threats Weight Rating Weighted Score
1. Online businesses could possibly be subject to future taxation. 0.04 3 0.12
2. Medium fixed cost structure - barrier to entry not significantly high. 0.10 3 0.30
3. Ongoining fraud issues, with merchants not sending payment or
products.0.08 3 0.24
4. Many people feel the Internet is an unsafe medium to conduct
financial business.0.07 2 0.14
5. Many households still do not own a PC. 0.07 1 0.07
6. Despite improvements, many foreign economies are still unstable. 0.03 2 0.06
7. High unemployment rates in the US. 0.05 1 0.05
8. Transportation systems in foreign countries could be poor for
delivering products.0.02 1 0.02
9. Fluctuations in currency and exchange rates, could limit international
business.0.02 2 0.04
10. Possible website security problems such as hacking. 0.07 3 0.21
1.00 2.56TOTALS
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Weight Rating Score Rating Score Rating Score
0.05 2 0.10 4 0.20 1 0.05
Market Penetration 0.06 4 0.24 4 0.24 2 0.12
Customer Service 0.08 3 0.24 4 0.32 2 0.16
Brand Awareness 0.10 4 0.40 4 0.40 2 0.20
User friendly website 0.05 3 0.15 4 0.20 2 0.10
Revenue Growth 0.15 3 0.45 4 0.60 2 0.30
Financial Condition 0.15 3 0.45 2 0.30 2 0.30
Customer Loyalty 0.05 4 0.20 3 0.15 3 0.15
Market Share 0.10 4 0.40 4 0.40 1 0.10
Product Quality 0.08 4 0.32 4 0.32 4 0.32
Information about user 0.05 4 0.20 4 0.20 3 0.15
Price Competitiveness 0.08 3 0.24 3 0.24 3 0.24
1.00 3.39 3.57 2.19Totals
Critical Success Factors
eBay
Competitive Profile Matrix (CPM)
Amazon Yahoo! Auction
Advertising
CPM
4
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Organizational Team
• Beth Axelrod, Senior Vice President, Human Resources • Matt Bannick, President, eBay International • William C. Cobb, President, eBay North America • John Donahoe, President, eBay Marketplace • Michael Jacobson, Senior Vice President and General
Counsel • Jeff Jordan, President, PayPal • Pierre Omidyar, Founder and Chairman of the Board • Bob Swan, Senior Vice President, Finance and Chief
Financial Officer • Maynard Webb, Chief Operating Officer
• Meg Whitman, President and CEO
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Key Financials
• End of year 2003
– Net Income grew to $442 million, up 77%
– Resulted in record operating cash flows of $874
million, up 82%
– Year end Balance Sheet
• $5.8 billion in total assets
• $2.7 billion in cash and investments
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Key Financial Ratios
Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Valuation Ratios
P/E Ratio (TTM) 97.12 41.01 28.90 24.01
Beta 1.77 1.30 0.96 1.00
Growth Rates %
Sales - 5 Yr Growth Rate 90.58 35.47 17.25 9.30
EPS (MRQ) vs Qtr 1 Yr Ago 55.07 27.30 15.43 28.69
EPS (TTM) vs TTM 1 Yr Ago 60.76 27.58 16.37 21.92
EPS - 5 Yr Growth Rate 111.74 43.79 15.23 12.15
Financial Strength
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 3.13 1.22 0.93 1.26
Total Debt to Equity (MRQ) 0.03 0.73 0.82 0.85
5
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Key Financial Ratios Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Profitability Ratios %
Gross Margin (TTM) 80.78 42.23 42.84 47.32
Gross Margin - 5 Yr Avg 79.48 41.08 42.06 47.01
Operating Margin (TTM) 29.01 11.97 12.90 20.33
Operating Margin - 5 Yr Avg 16.21 6.75 11.21 18.35
Net Profit Margin (TTM) 21.00 7.76 7.54 13.12
Net Profit Margin - 5 Yr Avg 13.53 3.74 7.62 11.59
Management Effectiveness %
Return on Assets (TTM) 9.10 8.29 5.91 6.40
Return on Investment (TTM) 10.18 11.53 7.98 9.97
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.50 14.04 13.51 18.71
www.investor.stockpoint.com
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Strengths
1. eBay is the most well known online auction company in the world.
2. Strong auction community of loyal customers.
3. Excellent financial situation.
4. Have a fair payment system that encourages merchants to list products.
5. Strong presence in strategic global markets.
6. Experienced management team.
7. eBay has very little inventory since they do not actually take position of
items sold on their site.
8. Strong customer service.
9. Percent of revenue in international markets increasing significantly.
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Weaknesses
1. Weak promotional and marketing activities
2. eBay does not pay dividends on their stock.
3. Some customers feel the website is cluttered
4. eBay’s position in the business to business (B2B) market is weak.
5. eBay has very little debt, therefore the company is not taking advantage
of low interest rates to expand.
6. eBay has a higher tax rate since they do not take advantage of
depreciation as well as other companies.
7. The company relies too much on word of mouth advertising, assuming
everyone already knows about eBay.
8. The company does not do enough to convince leery potential customers
that Internet business is financially safe.
9. Longer transaction times, since many merchants will not receive payment
until a buyers check clears.
10. eBay is mainly a cash business.
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IFE Matrix
Key Internal Factors Weights Rating
Weighted
Score
0.0 to 1.0 1 to 4
Internal Strengths
eBay is the most well known online auction company in the world 0.1 4 0.4
Strong auction community of loyal customers. 0.04 3 0.12
Excellent financial situation 0.1 3 0.3
Have a fair payment system that encourages merchants to list products. 0.03 3 0.09
Strong presence in strategic global markets 0.05 3 0.15
Experienced management team 0.1 4 0.4
eBay has very little inventory since they do not actually take position of
items sold on their site. 0.05 3 0.15
Strong customer service. 0.03 4 0.12
Percent of revenue in international markets increasing significantly. 0.02 3 0.06
0
Internal Weaknesses
Weak promotional and marketing activities 0.1 1 0.1
eBay does not pay dividends on their stock 0.01 2 0.02
Some customers feel the website is cluttered 0.02 1 0.02
eBay’s position in the business to business (B2B) market is weak. 0.03 1 0.03
eBay has very little debt, therefore the company is not taking advantage
of low interest rates to expand. 0.05 2 0.1
eBay has a higher tax rate since they do not take advantage of
depreciation as well as other companies. 0.1 1 0.1
The company relies too much on word of mouth advertising, assuming
everyone already knows about eBay. 0.1 1 0.1
The company does not do enough to convince leery potential customers
that Internet business is financially safe. 0.03 1 0.03
Longer transaction times, since many merchants will not receive
payment until a buyers check clears. 0.03 1 0.03
eBay is mainly a cash business 0.01 2 0.02
0
Totals 1 2.34
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SWOT Matrix
7
SO Strategies WO Strategies
Expand operations into Asia
(S 1,2 &5; 0 1,3 & 8)
Start B2B operations in Asia (W
4,5,&10, O 4,7 & 9)
Increase advertising (1 1,6,7 & 10;
0 1,3,4,6 & 8)
ST Strategies WT Strategies
Lobby to keep Internet sales tax
free (S 1&3; T 1)
Increase Fraud Awareness (S 1,4
& 8; T 3)
Use extra Cash to educate all
customers that Internet
Transactions are safe (W 8; T
4&10)
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SPACE Matrix
6 -1
2 -4
6 -3
5 -5
6 -6
5 -4
Financial Strength (FS)
Return on Investment (ROI)
Leverage
Liquidity
Environmental Stability (ES)
Rate of Inflation
Technological Changes
Price Elasticity of Demand
Working Capital
Cash Flow
Competitive Pressure
Barriers to Entry into Market
Environmental Stability (ES) Average Financial Strength (FS) Average
-1 5
-2 4
-2 4
-3 4
-5 6
-2.6 5
Competitive Advantage (CA) Industry Strength (IS)
Competitive Advantage (CA) Average Industry Strength (IS) Average
Customer Loyalty Rivalry Among Competitors
Technological know-how Resource Utilization
Control over Suppliers and Distributors Profit Potential
Market Share Growth Potential
Product Quality Financial Stability
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SPACE Matrix
6
5
4
3
2
1
-6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 1 2 3 4 5 6
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
IS
ES
CA
FSConservative Aggressive
Defensive Competitive
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IE Matrix
4.0 I II III
High
3.0 IV V VI
The EFE Total Medium eBay Weighted Scores
Domestic International
2.0 VII VIII IX
Low
1.0
Strong Average Weak 4.0 to 3.0 2.99 to 2.0 1.99 to 1.0
The Total IFE Weighted Scores
24%
76%
24%
76%
11
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Grand Strategy Matrix
Rapid Market Growth
Quadrant II Quadrant I
Strong Competitive
Position
Slow Market Growth
Weak Competitive
Position
Quadrant III Quadrant IV
10
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Suggestion/Recommendations
• New Strategies
– Expand to all countries of the world » Cost: $500,000.00-1,000,000.00(advertising)
– Advance in security of personal information » 1,000,000.00+
– Increase in Industry » N/A
– Increase revenues by capturing more customers » N/A
– Look into new pay system or create own (PayPal
only in 38 countries) » Millions
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We believe that our continued profitability at historical levels will depend in large part on our ability to do the following:
• attract new users and keep existing users active on our websites;
• manage the costs of our business, including the costs associated with maintaining and developing our websites, customer support, transaction and chargeback rates, and international and product expansion;
• maintain sufficient transaction volume to attract buyers and sellers;
• increase the awareness of our brands; and
• provide our customers with superior community, customer support, and trading experiences.
eBay’s Thoughts
From 2003 annual report
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EPS/EBIT Analysis
• $Amount Needed: $1,500
• Stock Price $45
• Tax Rate 80/162=40%
• Interest Rate 5%
• # Shares Outstanding 609
14
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Decisions
Primary:
Expand aggressively into China
Secondary:
Increase business to business operations
Increase marketing campaigns in Asia
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Implementation
Objectives:
Create a fully translated Chinese eBay
site
Increase sales by 35%
Increase number of registered users
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Evaluation
Quarterly & Yearly Financial Statements
Annual strategic meetings of division
management and corporate management
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2004 Financial Information
More than 104.8 million registered users
327.7 million items
More than $8 billion in gross merchandise sales
* All from first quarter of 2004
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We have an incredible set of assets
http://www.skype.com/ http://www.paypal.com
http://www.ebay.com