e-commerce and freight forces impacting the interstates ... · 2016. 2017. 2018. retail and food...
TRANSCRIPT
E-Commerce and Freight Forces Impacting the Interstates and the NHFN
Penn State Transportation Engineering and Safety Conference
December 12, 2019
How many Amazon Prime members are in the audience?
E-Commerce Consumer Demands
Today’s Road Map
No one is talking about the Mid-Mile!
Traditional Shopping
Impacts on Freight Delivery (Last Mile)
Macro-level Freight Forces
• Widening of the Panama Canal• Raising of the Bayonne Bridge• Dredging of the Delaware River• Increasing e-Commerce activity
Panama Canal Expansion (2016)
Source: Kristen Sosulski, The effect of the expanded Panama Canal
Panama Canal - Affect on Supply Chains
Bayonne Bridge Raising
Source: HDR
Source: Port Authority of NY and NJ
Delaware River Dredging
Source: NBC Philadelphia Source: PhilaPort
Port of Philadelphia: Total Container Lifts
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
FY 15 FY 16 FY 16 FY 17 FY 17 FY 18 FY 18 FY 19
Source: Regional Plan Association, America 2050
Big Picture: Mega-Regions
Pennsylvania Freight Movement
Source: IHS Global Insight Transearch data
The Rise of e-commerce
E-Commerce v. In-Store Retail Sales
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
$-
$1,000,000
$2,000,000
$3,000,000
$4,000,000
$5,000,000
$6,000,000
$7,000,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Retail and Food Service Sales, adjusted E-Commerce, adjusted E-commerce Percentage
Source: US Census Bureau Monthly Retail Trade and Quarterly E-Commerce Reports
Mill
ion
s o
f D
olla
rs
DVMT Trends on Pennsylvania’s Interstates
Source: PennDOT Bureau of Planning and Research, Publication 600
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Inte
rsta
te D
VMT
(mill
ions
)
Interstate DVMT, Total (excluding trucks)
Interstate Truck DVMT, Total
Interstate Truck DVMT, Percentage
State Freight in Tons (millions), 2011 and 2040
What challenges are we talking about?
Where have we been?
• Passage of the FAST Act
(December 2015)
• PennDOT launches Freight
Work Group (November 2017)
• FHWA Approves CFMP
(November 2017)
• FHWA Certifies CUFCs and
CRFCs as additions to NMFN
(February 2019)
• PennDOT begins update of
state freight plan (August
2019)
The National Multimodal Freight Network in Pennsylvania
Source: PennDOT Freight Analysis Tool
Freight Finder Data Points
Eastern “Inland Empire”
Pennsylvania’s Truck Parking Shortage
What’s Happening on an Institutional Level?
• Revisiting the 2007 “Truck Parking in PA” Report by the Transportation Advisory Committee
• Commercial Vehicle Navigation• TSMO – Regional Operations Plan Development• Exploring P3 Opportunities for Truck Parking• Freight Summit scheduled for 2020• Freight Work Group• PA on Track Update• Forthcoming TAC freight study
2021 Interstate Management Program
• Shift in strategies and higher focus on Interstate investment • Increased funding for the Interstates by $50 million each year
beginning in 2022 - from $450 million today to $1 billion by 2030• Interstate priority needs include:
– Addressing the current backlog of asset needs– Modernization
• Fiber network, ITS expansion, operational improvements, safety and guiderail upgrades
– Strategic investments –• Selected capacity improvements, interchanges, truck climbing lanes
Performance Measurement and Management
• FHWA established a series of system performance measures:– Two system performance measures, one emission reduction measure, two
traffic congestion measures
• PennDOT’s Comprehensive Freight Movement Plan establishes four goals with 3-4 performance measures each:– System Preservation– Safety– Personal and Freight Mobility– Stewardship
Level of Travel Time Reliability (LOTTR)
< 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.75 > 2.00
Congestion/Delay
Staying Involved
Mike Rimer, AICPTransportation Planning SpecialistPennDOT Program Center(717) [email protected]
Discussion