e. sanchez, j.a. lópez, e. rodríguez aemet, madrid, spain contribution of aemet to euporias

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E. Sanchez, J.A. López, E. Rodríguez ([email protected]) AEMET, Madrid, Spain Contribution of AEMET to EUPORIAS

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Contribution to EUPORIAS WP12 Assessment of users' needs  Expert interviews with key water, forest fires and tourism stakeholders [1 pm] WP32 Uncertainty framework  Assessment and combination of climate predictions using a Bayesian approach [20 pm] WP33 Communicating levels of confidence  Review of existing approaches [2 pm] WP42 Climate services prototypes  Assessment of usefulness and limitations of the prototypes [4 pm] RPSS (Ranked Probability Skill Score, Epstein 1969) Lead time 1

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Page 1: E. Sanchez, J.A. López, E. Rodríguez AEMET, Madrid, Spain Contribution of AEMET to EUPORIAS

E. Sanchez, J.A. López, E. Rodríguez ([email protected])

AEMET, Madrid, Spain

Contribution of AEMET to EUPORIAS

Page 2: E. Sanchez, J.A. López, E. Rodríguez AEMET, Madrid, Spain Contribution of AEMET to EUPORIAS

Country presence:

• Headquarters in Madrid. Territorial Delegations in each Autonomous Community

• 11 Forecasting and Monitoring Groups and one National Forecasting Centre.

• Izaña Atmospheric Observatory in the Canary Islands. 

Resources:

• Personnel: Staff of over 1,400, • Annual budget: approx.100 M€

Research in climate related areas:

• Climate modelling and evaluation• Generation of downscaled climate change scenarios• Downscaling algorithms• Analysis of series• Seasonal forecasting: support to oper. activities DS + Combination• Analysis of extremes• Climate variability

http://www.aemet.es

Page 3: E. Sanchez, J.A. López, E. Rodríguez AEMET, Madrid, Spain Contribution of AEMET to EUPORIAS

Contribution to EUPORIAS• WP12 Assessment of users' needs

Expert interviews with key water, forest fires and tourism stakeholders [1 pm]

• WP32 Uncertainty framework Assessment and combination of climate predictions using a Bayesian approach [20 pm]

• WP33 Communicating levels of confidence Review of existing approaches [2 pm]

• WP42 Climate services prototypes Assessment of usefulness and limitations of the prototypes [4 pm]

RPSS (Ranked Probability Skill Score, Epstein 1969) Lead time 1