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EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist Oregon Public Health Division [email protected]

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Page 1: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE

Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH

All Hazards Epidemiologist

Oregon Public Health Division

[email protected]

Page 2: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

IT'S NOT YOUR IMAGINATION: PORTLAND SETS WINTER RAINFALL RECORD

http://www.oregonlive.com/wea

ther/index.ssf/2016/02/oh_its_

not_your_imagination_it.html

Page 3: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

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Week of Symptom Onset

Shigella sonnei Outbreak Cases by Homelessness Status ― Oregon 2015─2016

Homeless

Not homeless

Precipitation

Page 4: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

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v 1

-7

No

v 8

-14

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v 2

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No

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9-D

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Feb

7-1

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Mar

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2

Mar

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Cas

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Week of Symptom Onset

Not Homeless Cases― Oregon 2015−2016

Not homeless

Precipitation

Page 5: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

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v 1

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No

v 8

-14

No

v 1

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No

v 2

2-2

8

No

v 2

9-D

ec 5

Dec

6-1

2

Dec

13

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20

-26

Dec

27

-Jan

2

Jan

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Jan

10

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-23

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24

-30

Jan

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Week of Symptom Onset

Homeless Cases― Oregon 2015─2016

Homeless

Precipitation

Page 6: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

http://www.floridahealth.gov/environmental-health/climate-and-health/brace/index.html

Page 7: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

Climate Science

Disaster Management

Epidemiology

Page 8: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

Attribution of

Extreme Weather

Events in the

Context of Climate

Change

http://www.nap.edu/cat

alog/21852/attribution-

of-extreme-weather-

events-in-the-context-of-

climate-change

Page 9: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

SOUTHEAST AND THE CARIBBEANhttp://nca2014.globalchang

e.gov/report/regions/southe

ast

“Sea level rise poses widespread and continuing threats to

the region’s economy and environment. Extreme heat will

affect health, energy, agriculture, and more. Decreased

water availability will have economic and environmental

impacts.”

Page 10: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

FLORIDA BUILDING RESILIENCE AGAINST CLIMATE EFFECTS (BRACE) PROGRAM

Priorities: Vulnerability assessment, Florida-specific analysis (retrospective and prospective)

Hazards: Extreme heat, drought, sea-level rise, flooding, wildlandfire, tropical cyclones

Partners: Scientific and planning colleagues, county health departments

Page 11: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

FLORIDA BRACE

Climate

Science

Disaster Management Epidemiology

Page 12: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

DROUGHT HAZARD, TWO WAYS

12

Florida Division of Emergency Management

Florida Department of Health

Page 13: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

NORTHWESThttp://nca2014.globalchang

e.gov/report/regions/northw

est

“Changes in the timing of streamflow reduce water supplies

for competing demands. Sea level rise, erosion, inundation,

risks to infrastructure, and increasing ocean acidity pose

major threats. Increasing wildfire, insect outbreaks, and tree

diseases are causing widespread tree die-off.”

Page 14: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

OREGON PREPAREDNESS SURVEILLANCE AND EPIDEMIOLOGY TEAM (PSET)

Priorities: Robust passive surveillance systems, knowledge of active surveillance techniques, continuity of operations

Hazards: Wildfire, winter storms, flooding, extreme heat, earthquakes

Partners: Local public health agencies, healthcare providers

Page 15: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

OREGON PSET Climate Science

Disaster Management

Epidemiology

Page 16: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

HAZARD VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT

https://public.health.oregon.gov/Preparedness/Partners/Documents/OHA%208584%20PH%20Hazard%20Vulnerability.pdf

Page 17: Earth, Wind, and Fire: Public Health Preparedness in …...EARTH, WIND, AND FIRE: PUBLIC HEALTH PREPAREDNESS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH All Hazards Epidemiologist

DISCUSSION

Climate Science

Disaster Management

Epidemiology

Meredith A. Jagger, MS, MPH

All Hazards Epidemiologist

Oregon Public Health Division

[email protected]