Easy MoneyPolicy

Capital Inflows

Eager Home Buyers

InnovativeBanks

Rating Agencies

AmbitiousMortgage Brokers

SecuritizationMBSs

EscalatingHouse Prices

Gov’t SponsoredEnterprises

Developer Clout

Bank Regulators

The best of times

A “Global Saving Glut”

Easy MoneyPolicy

Capital Inflows

Eager Home Buyers

InnovativeBanks

Rating Agencies

AmbitiousMortgage Brokers

SecuritizationMBSs

EscalatingHouse Prices

Gov’t SponsoredEnterprises

Developer Clout

Bank Regulators

The best of times

House Price – Foreclo

sureSpiral

Demand –Jobs –

Wages – Income –

SpiralDeleveraging – Debt DeflationSpiral

GovernmentRevenue – CutbackSpiral

Global Repercussion Spiral Macroecono

mic Linkages

and Feedbacks

Vicious Spirals Unleashed

Financial Crisis of 2007 - 2009 (cont’d)• Banks’ balance sheets deteriorate

– Write downs– Sale of assets and credit restriction

• High-profile firms fail– Bear Stearns (March 2008)– Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (July 2008)– Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, AIG, Reserve Primary Fund (MMMF) and

Washington Mutual (September 2008).• Fed pumps up bank reserves: TARP/TALF,etc.

– Lend and lend freely • Bailout package enacted

– House votes down the $700 billion bailout package (9/29/08) Stock market slumps Bailout passes on October 3. – Congress approves a $787 billion economic stimulus plan on February 13, 2009.

• Recession deepens

ResponsesLender of Last Resort / Spender of Last Resort

• Tax Rebate $124 bil.• Fed Fund Rate Cuts• Fannie/Freddie $200 bil.• Bear-Stearns $29 bil.• AIG $174 bil.Fed “Facilities”• Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF) $58 bil.• Treasury Security Loan Facility (TSLF) $133 bil.• Term Auction Facility (TAF) $416 bil.• Asset- Backed Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF) $1,777 bil.• Money Market Investor Funding Facility (MMIFF) $540 bil.• More Fed Fund Rate Cuts … Hold At ~0%• Fed Purchases of Long-Term Securities: GSEs & MBSs $600 bil.• Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) $200 bil.• Emergency Economic Stabilization Act/TARP $700 bil.

Government LoansGovernment Equity

• Stimulus Package $787 bil. aka The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act

• TARP II

• Stress Tests

Early Facilities: TAF, TSLF• The Term Auction Facility (TAF) offers term funding to depository

institutions via a bi-weekly competitive auction. • In contrast, the TSLF will offer Treasury GC to the New York Fed’s primary

dealers in exchange for other program-eligible collateral. The New York Fed term repo operations are designed to temporarily add reserves to the banking system via term repos with the primary dealers. These agreements are cash-for-bond agreements and have an impact on the aggregate level of reserves available in the banking system. The security-for-security lending of the TSLF, however, will have no impact on reserve levels.

• The TSLF is a 28-day facility that will offer Treasury general collateral (GC) to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s primary dealers in exchange for other program-eligible collateral. It is intended to promote liquidity in the financing markets for Treasury and other collateral and thus to foster the functioning of financial markets more generally.

Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF)

• March 16, 2008  

• The Federal Reserve has announced that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has been granted the authority to establish a Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF). This facility is intended to improve the ability of primary dealers to provide financing to participants in securitization markets and promote the orderly functioning of financial markets more generally.

• The PDCF will provide overnight funding to primary dealers in exchange for a specified range of collateral, including all collateral eligible for tri-party repurchase agreements arranged by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, as well as all investment-grade corporate securities, municipal securities, mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities for which a price is available.

Commercial Paper Credit Facility (CPFF)• Release Date: October 7, 2008 • For release at 9:00 a.m. EDT • The Federal Reserve Board on Tuesday announced the creation of the

Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF), a facility that will complement the Federal Reserve's existing credit facilities to help provide liquidity to term funding markets. The CPFF will provide a liquidity backstop to U.S. issuers of commercial paper through a special purpose vehicle (SPV) that will purchase three-month unsecured and asset-backed commercial paper directly from eligible issuers. The Federal Reserve will provide financing to the SPV under the CPFF and will be secured by all of the assets of the SPV and, in the case of commercial paper that is not asset-backed commercial paper, by the retention of up-front fees paid by the issuers or by other forms of security acceptable to the Federal Reserve in consultation with market participants. The Treasury believes this facility is necessary to prevent substantial disruptions to the financial markets and the economy and will make a special deposit at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York in support of this facility.

Money Market Investor Funding Facility (MMIFF)• Release Date: October 21, 2008

• For release at 9:00 a.m. EDT • The Federal Reserve Board on Tuesday announced the creation of the

Money Market Investor Funding Facility (MMIFF), which will support a private-sector initiative designed to provide liquidity to U.S. money market investors.

• Under the MMIFF, authorized by the Board under section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) will provide senior secured funding to a series of special purpose vehicles to facilitate an industry-supported private-sector initiative to finance the purchase of eligible assets from eligible investors. Eligible assets will include U.S. dollar-denominated certificates of deposit and commercial paper issued by highly rated financial institutions and having remaining maturities of 90 days or less. Eligible investors will include U.S. money market mutual funds and over time may include other U.S. money market investors.

Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF)

• The Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) is a funding facility that will help market participants meet the credit needs of households and small businesses by supporting the issuance of asset-backed securities (ABS) collateralized by loans of various types to consumers and businesses of all sizes. Under the TALF, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) will lend up to $200 billion on a non-recourse basis to holders of certain AAA-rated ABS backed by newly and recently originated consumer and small business loans. The FRBNY will lend an amount equal to the market value of the ABS less a haircut and will be secured at all times by the ABS. The U.S. Treasury Department--under the Troubled Assets Relief Program (TARP) of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008--will provide $20 billion of credit protection to the FRBNY in connection with the TALF.

Troubled Asset Relief Program – TARPMade law on October 3, 2008

• What Does Troubled Asset Relief Program - TARP Mean?A government program created for the establishment and management of a Treasury fund, in an attempt to curb the ongoing financial crisis of 2007-2008. The TARP gives the U.S. Treasury purchasing power of $700 billion to buy up mortgage backed securities (MBS) from institutions across the country, in an attempt to create liquidity and un-seize the money markets.

• Investopedia explains Troubled Asset Relief Program - TARPGlobal credit markets came to a near stand still in September 2008, as several major financial institutions, such as Lehman Brothers, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and American International Group, went under. In a few surprising moves, heavyweights Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley even changed their charter to become commercial banks, in an attempt to stabilize their capital situation. The bailout will attempt to increase the liquidity of the secondary mortgage markets by purchasing the illiquid MBS, and through that, reducing the potential losses that could be felt by the institutions who currently own them.

In October of 2008, revisions to the program were announced by Treasury Secretary Paulson and President Bush; allowing for the first $250 billion to be used to buy equity stakes in nine major U.S. banks, and many smaller banks. This program demands that companies involved lose some tax benefits, and in many cases incur limits on executive compensation.

• Maiden Lane Transactions • In 2008, as part of extending support to specific institutions, under

section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act, the Federal Reserve Board authorized the New York Fed to facilitate formation of three limited liability companies.

• Maiden Lane LLC (ML LLC) was formed to facilitate the merger of the Bear Stearns Companies, Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. The New York Fed extended credit to ML LLC to acquire certain assets of Bear Stearns.

• Maiden Lane II LLC (ML II LLC) and Maiden Lane III LLC (ML III LLC) were formed to facilitate the restructuring of the New York Fed’s financial support to American International Group (AIG). The New York Fed extended credit to ML II LLC to purchase residential mortgage-backed securities from the securities lending portfolio of several regulated U.S. insurance subsidiaries of AIG. The New York Fed extended credit to ML III LLC to purchase multi-sector collateralized debt obligations from certain counterparties of AIG Financial Products Corp.