ebike ibpi webinar june 2014 final (mac arthur)
TRANSCRIPT
E-BIKES: GENERATING THE NEW WAVE OF CYCLISTS
John MacArthurSustainable Transportation Program ManagerOTREC at Portland State University
IBPI Webinar - June 9, 2014
Presentation Outline
•Why do e-bikes matter?•What is an e-bike?•U.S. regulations review•North American e-bike user survey•Conclusions
WHY DO E-BIKES MATTER?
US Transport Sector
Impacts
Safety 32,788 fatalities in 2010 (-3% from 2009) 1.09 fatalities per 100 MVMT (VMT +0.7% in 2010) 2.2 M injuries in 2009 5.3 M crashes in 2011 $230 B total cost (including medical) Leading cause of death for ages 4 to 34Accessibility, Reliability and Mobility 4.8B hours travel delay (34 hours/auto commuter) $121 billion cost of urban congestionHousehold Expenses Second biggest monthly expense, after housingEnvironmental 28% of GHG emissions (78% CO, 58% NOx, 36% VOCs) 29% of energy consumed (mostly petroleum) 70% of petroleum consumption (60% imported) 3.9 billion gallons of wasted fuel
Source: Prof. Robert Bertini
Commute Mode Share for Portland
2030
BikeWalkTelecommuteCarpoolTransitDrive Alone
Reduce per capita daily vehicle-miles traveled (VMT) by 30 % from 2008 levels.
Portland Climate Action Plan, 2009
2009
BikeWalkCarpoolTransitDrive Alone
Large US Cities Ranked by % Bicycle Commuting
Portlan
d
Was
hingto
n
San Fran
cisco
Tucso
n
Sacram
ento
Philad
elphia
Boston
Chicag
o
Tampa
St. Lou
is
Baltim
oreMiam
i
New Y
ork C
ity
Columbu
s
Atlanta
Anahe
im
Stockto
n
Cincinn
ati
Kansa
s City
Toledo
Charlo
tte
Dallas
El Pas
o0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Source: US Census Bureau, 2012 American Community Survey
Why don’t people bike more?• Safety• Lack of infrastructure• Weather• Inconvenience• Logistic issues• Lack of fitness• Lack of time• Too much effort• Can’t carry what you need• Lack of confidence
Shifting the four types of cyclists
56% Interested but Concerned
31% No Way, No How
9% Enthused &Confident
Geller, 2006 and Dill & McNeil, 2012
4% Strong & Fearless
People that are older
People who live in areas that are hilly
People who commute distances greater than 5 miles
People that have a physical limitation that makes cycling difficult
Woman tend to bike less that men. Women make up approx. 25% of all bike trips in the US.
People don’t always feel safe biking in traffic
People who don’t want to sweat or wear special clothes to commute
People who need to carry or haul items or people
What are the critical pieces to increase cycling?
Cost
Programs&
PoliciesAttitudes
InfrastructureCritical Mass
Technology
WHAT IS AN E-BIKE?
What is an electric bike?
Battery
Motor (Hub or Chain drive)
Power controls&
Gear shifts
Come in all shapes and sizes
Different types of the e-bikes
Throttle Pedelec
Powered bicycle (PB) Powered-assisted bicycle (PAB)
Not considered “e-bikes”
Moped Scooter
How Much Faster Are E-bikes?• AASHTO 2012 design criteria – bike facilities
• 8-15 mph pave level terrain; 20-30 mph downhill; 5-12 uphill; 15 mph avg. operational speed
• Landis et al. 2004, conventional bikes travel 11 mph (avg.), 14 mph (85% percentile), 1% > 20 mph
• Cherry & He 2009, avg. conventional bike 6.9 mph (std. 3.3) / avg. e-bike 9.0 mph (std. 5.5) or 31-35% faster
• Langford & Cherry 2013, UT study of e-bikes (avg. 8.3 mph; 85th percentile 12.4 mph); conventional bikes( avg. 6.5 mph; 85th percentile speed 10.6 mph)
Facility Mean (mph) Max (mph) Min (mph)Bike path 12.6 24.4 2.7
Bicycle lane 15.5 25.4 2.5
Sidewalk 11.5 18.7 2.1
No facility 11.8 22.9 5.0Opiela et al ., 1980
A Naturalistic Cycling Study in Sweden
Dozza, et al. 2013
8.7 mph
14 mph
Market for E-bikesElectric Bicycle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2012-2018
Source: Navigant/Pike Research
Projected US Growth
Source: Navigant/Pike Research
U.S. REGULATIONS REVIEW
International Definitions ComparedRegion Power
LimitTop Speed
PB allowed
PAB allowed
Other
US 750W 20 mph Yes Yes Has operating pedals
Canada 500W 20 mph Yes Yes Has operating pedals, <265 lbs.
EU 250W 15.5 mph No Yes Motor operates during pedaling only
China No limit 12.4 mph Yes Yes Has operating pedals, < 88 lbs.
Rest of Asia
250W 15 mph No Yes Has operating pedals
Australia 200W/250W
Not specified
Yes Yes Has operating pedals
Definition of an E-bike (Federal)• Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC)
• The Consumer Product Safety Act regulates the use of low-speed electric bicycles to “two-or three-wheeled vehicle with fully operable pedals and an electric motor of less than 750 watts (1 horse power), whose maximum speed on a paved level surface, when powered solely by such a motor while ridden by an operator who weighs 170 pounds, is less than 20 mph” Sec. 38 [15 U.S.C. § 2085]
• Regulation only pertains to manufacturing and first sell
• Now for the confusing part:• d) This section shall supersede any State law or requirement with respect to low-
speed electric bicycles to the extent that such State law or requirement is more stringent than the Federal law or requirements referred to in subsection (a).
State & local regulations• States define the device & determine where it can used
• Many state use regulations in place governing "moped", "motorcycle", "motorized bicycle", "motorscooter", "scooter", and/or "motor-driven cycle."
• Oregon - ORS 801.258 “Has a power output of not more than 1,000 watts” but ORS 807.020(15) “A person may operate an electric assisted bicycle without a driver license or driver permit if the person is 16 years of age or older.”
• Many cities defer to the state regulation and classification
• Some cities are addressing e-bikes: Boulder, Eugene, Bloomfield (CO), Toronto, Chicago, Tucson, New York City
Unique case of New York/New York State• Motorized devices that cannot be
registered in New York – including “motor-assisted bicycle”
• A business using a bicycle for commercial purposes shall not possess any motorized scooter and shall not permit any employee of such business to operate such a motorized scooter on behalf of such business. (Local Laws 2013/40 & 41)• Motorized scooter - …capable of propelling the
device without human power and is not capable of being registered with the New York State Department of Motor Vehicles
• Proposed bills in New York State Assembly and Senate (A1618A-2013 and S390A-2013)
Minimum age
12
14
15
16
18
No minimum age
Data unavailable
Classified as bicycle
No
Yes
E-bike-specific definition
No
Yes
No “home rule”
Driver’s license and vehicle registration
No
Yes
Vehicle registration required
Maximum power output specified
500 W / 0.67 HP
750 W / 1 H.P.
1000 W / 1.34 H.P.
> 1000 W / 1.34 H.P.
Piston displacement (cc)
Unspecified limit
Data unavailable
Data unavailable
18 – 20 mph
25 mph
30 – 31 mph
No limit set
Speed limit
Policy Questions & Implications• Technology
• Motor size; Speed; Weight; Dimensions; Pedals (Functional?)
• Rider/Passenger• Age; Helmet; License; Registration
• Use• Separated/protected bike path; Bike lane; Shared use path; Sidewalk & Trails
How do you feel about these e-bikes?
NORTH AMERICAN E-BIKE USER SURVEY
What Is Our Research Question?
Will e-bikes…
•Get more people to bike, and
•Get people to bike more often.
Survey Methodology• Adapted a survey instrument from
the Institute of Transport Studies at Monash University
• The survey was distributed through e-bike blogs & forums, Facebook pages, Twitter accounts, e-mails to manufacturers and retailers, and via postcards to retailers in the Portland region.
• March 7 – July 1, 2013• 553 e-bike owners responded to
the survey
Geography of survey respondents
Demographics
Male Female
85%
15%
n=553Gender
18 to 24
25 to 34
35 to 44
45 to 54
55 to 64
65 and over
1%10%
18%26%
32%13%
n=451
Age
4%
25%
37% 34%Education
n=448
Under $15,000$15,000 to $25,000$25,000 to $35,000
$35,000 to $50,000$50,000 to $75,000
$75,000 to $100,000$100,000 to$150,000
$150,000 or more
5%7%7%
13%18%
16%18%
16%Income
N = 448
Demographic summary 90% White, 5% Asian, 5% other (n=428) 90% have access to a motor vehicle, 7% no vehicle 30% indicated that they have a physical condition that
makes riding a standard bike difficult (n=450)
Excellent Very Good Good Fair Poor0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
How would you rate your general health?
n=449
Purchase Decisions48% purchased an e-bike,
while 52% converted a standard bike to electric-assist.
What type of bike did you convert?
Road
Mounta
in
Hybrid
Folding
Recum
bent
Wom
en's/
Commute
r
Cargo/X
tracy
cleOthe
r
11%
40%
16%
2%
10%7%
13%
1%
In which year did you purchase your electric bike or conversion kit?
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005 or before
13%
34%
20%
11%
11%
5%
2%
3%
3%
n=421
How much did your electric bike or conversion kit cost to purchase?
$500 or less
$501 - $1,000
$1,000 - $1,500
$1,501 - $2,000
$2,001 - $2,500
$2,501 or more
10%
18% 18% 16%14%
25%
18%
28%24%
17%
6%8%
Purchased Converted
n=414
What were the main reasons you bought an electric bike, or converted a standard bicycle?
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Male FemaleRespondents w/ physical limitation Respondents w/out a physical limitationRespondents <55 Respondents >55
What is the main reason that you use your electric bike (purpose of trips)?
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%
MaleFemaleRespondents w/ physical limitationRespondents w/out a physical limitationRespondents < 55Respondents > 55
Bike Use 94% indicated they had rode a
standard bike as an adult 55% rode their standard bike weekly
or daily prior to e-bike purchase --this went up to 93% after purchase
Of the 6% that hadn’t rode a bike as an adult, of those 89% ride their e-bike daily or weekly
Over 90% use their e-bikes weekly or daily
“To replace 95% of car trips and make commuting fun” – Survey Respondent
Getting around 45% indicated that they take a different
route on their e-bike than a standard bike
35% don’t avoid hills on e-bike and 31% will take more direct or higher traffic route on e-bike but 30% say they take lower traffic or less direct route
Three quarters (73%) ride to different destinations on their e-bikes than they did on a standard bike
“I have bad knees( I'm retired, 68 years old). If I pedal a bike my range is limited by pain to about 5 to 6 miles. The e-bikes has a range per charge of 30 to 35 miles.” – Survey Respondent
What are the different destinations you ride to on your electric bike?
• 52% of women responded that they take a different route on their electric bike than they did on their standard bike as compared to 42% of men.
• 82% of women responded that they ride to different destinations on their electric bike than they did on their standard bike compared to 73% of men.
Errands
/Soc
ial Eve
nts
Hillier d
estin
ations
/origi
ns
Places f
arther
away
Commute
Recre
ational
trips
0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%35%40%
What are the main advantages to riding an e-bike?
Increa
sed s
peed
/rang
e
Ride w
ith le
ss ef
fort/H
elp on
hills
Health
Cheap
er tra
nspo
rtatio
nFun
Car rep
lacem
ent/e
nviro
nmen
tal
Allow to
ride w
hen o
therw
ise co
uldn’t
Increa
sed c
argo c
apac
ity0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
What are the main disadvantage to riding an e-bike?
Weig
ht
Inclement
weather
NoneCost
Limite
d range
Increas
ed co
mplexit
y, more
thing
s to f
ail
Cars, h
aving t
o deal w
ith ot
her r
oad use
rs
Security
/Fear
of th
eft/Van
dalis
m
Battery
charg
ing tim
e0%5%
10%15%20%25%30%
Limitations of survey
•No response rate•Method of delivery•Online survey and self reporting use•Not random and potential basis
Survey conclusions• Have a potential to get more people on bikes
• Older adults• People with physical limitations• Women (?)
I live in a hilly town and would never commute to work on a standard bike -- I wouldn't be able to make it up the hills. My electric assist bike makes commuting by bike possible. I am age 78, legally blind, live alone in a semi-rural area. 4 miles to the nearest scheduled bus route and town, 7 miles to my favorite shopping area, 12 miles to my church.
Survey conclusions• Encourages more people to bike more often & to more distant locations• Commuters
• Less sweaty, not strenuous• Not avoiding trips or locations• Enjoy biking!
• Reported increase in bike usage
I use the e-bike primarily as a substitute for the car where I would have otherwise would have driven a car. I can carry my son and a week’s worth of groceries.
CONCLUSIONS
Conclusions• Evidence suggests that e-bikes are becoming more prevalent
in North America
• E-bikes can help get more people biking and biking more often
• Technology should be added to the bike promotion & planning dialogue
• The federal & state regulatory landscape needs to be standardized to decrease confusion and help the market grow
• Transportation agencies need to be aware of emerging technologies and their implications for how the transportation system should be designed, regulated and operated.
• Should e-bikes be given the same distinguish as bicycles?
• What are the safety implications of these new emerging technologies?
Contact InformationJohn MacArthur• [email protected]• 503-725-2866
For more and reports go to: ebike.research.pdx.edu
Thanks to Prof. Jennifer Dill, Nicholas Kobel and Mark Person for their work on the research projects and OTREC/NITC for funding this project.
Special thanks to Geoffrey Rose & Marilyn Johnson, Institute of Transport Studies at Monash University for the use of the survey instrument and Chris Cherry, University of Tennessee, for his assistance and review.
References• Cherry, C. & He M. Alternative Methods of Measuring Operating Speed of Electric and Traditional Bikes in
China-Implications for Travel Demand Models. Proceedings of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies, Vol. 7, 2009.
• Dozza M., J. Werneke, M., Mackenzie. e‐BikeSAFE: A Naturalistic Cycling Study to Understand how Electrical Bicycles Change Cycling Behavior and Influence Safety. Proceedings, International Cycling Safety Conference 2013, Helmond, The Netherlands, 20‐21 November 2013.
• Gojanovic, B.,Wleker, J., Iglesias, K.,Daucourt,C. & Gremion, G. Electric Bicycles as a New Active Transportation Modality to Promote Health. Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise. 2204-2210. 2011.
• Landis, B. W., Petritsch, T. A., & Huang, H. F. (2004). Characteristics of emerging road and trail users and their safety, report no. FHWA-HRT-04-103.
• Louis, J., Brisswalter J., Morio C., Barla C., Temrado J-J., The Electrically assisted bicycle: An alternative way to promote physical activity. American Jounral Physical Medicine & Rehabilitation. pp. 931-940, 2012.
• MacArthur, J., Dill, J., & Person, M. (2014). E-Bikes in the North America: Results from an online survey. In Transportation Research Board 93rd Annual Meeting. Washington, D.C.
• Navigant Research - Hurst, D., & Gartner, J. (2013). Executive summary: Electric bicycles global market opportunities, barriers, technology issues, and demand forecasts for e-bicycles, pedal-assist bicycles, and e-bicycle batteries and motors. Boulder, CO:
• Rose, G. (2011). E-bikes and urban transportation: Emerging issues and unresolved questions. Transportation, 39, 81–96. doi:10.1007/s11116-011-9328-y
• Rose, Geoff & P. Cock, “Encouraging E-bike use: the need for regulatory reform in Australia.” Presentation for Transport Research at Monash University. Working Paper ITS-WP-03-19, 2003.
• Simons, M.,Van Es, E. & Hendriksen, I. Electrically Assisted Cycling: A New Mode for Meeting Physical Activity Guidelines?. Medicine & Science in Sports & Exercise. 2204-2210. 2011.
Questions
?
Health Impacts• Metabolic equivalents (METs)
• Light intensity activities < 3 METs• Moderate physical activity 3-6 METs• Vigorous-intense activity > 6 METs
• CDC recommends 2 hours and 30 minutes of moderate-intensity aerobic activity every week
• Various studies (Simons 2009, Gojanovic 2011, Louis 2012) have shown that e-bikes provide moderate physical activity (5-6 METs) but limited vigorous activity
Heart Rate Field Study for 3 modes
Rose & Cock, Monash University 2003
Heart Rate Zones
Rose & Cock, Monash University 2003