ecological state change and megafaunal extinctions in ... · natalia villavicencio1, emily...
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Natalia Villavicencio1, Emily Lindsey1, Anthony D. Barnosky1, Charles Marshall1!Enrique Bostelmann2 (and much credit to Fabiana Martín3 and Luis Borrero4)!
!1UC Berkeley, USA 2Museo Nacional de Historia Natural, Uruguay!
3CEHA, IPA, Universidad de Magallanes, Chile 4CONICET, Argentina!
Ecological state change and megafaunal extinctions in southern Patagonia, South America!
Joaquin Arroyo-‐Cabrales Jessica Blois Luis Borrero Enrique Bostelman Jose Capriles Flores Edward Davis Rodolfo Dirzo Tom Guilderson Elizabeth Hadly Melissa Kemp Claudio Latorre Fabiana MarGn Jean Noel MarInez Greg McDonald Chris Moy Alexis Mychajliw Gustavo PoliIs Jose Prado Ricardo Souberlich Ascanio Rincon Blaine Schubert Tom Stafford Anna Thanukos Lisa White
South America Holds Promising Information!• Most taxa lost in Quaternary megafauna extinctions!• Archaeological and paleoclimate records available !• Temporal overlap between Climate change, human arrival and extinctions!• Extinction chronology shows interesting pattern!
Barnosky et al., 2004
Southern Patagonia
Pollen record site
Lago Guanaco Torres del Paine
Río Rubens
Cerro Benítez, ÚlAma Esperanza sites
Luis Borrero
Fabiana MarGn
Archeological Paleontological sites
Cuevas Lago SoLa 1 y 4
Cueva Escondida
Alero Dos Herraduras
Cueva del Milodón
Cueva del Medio
Cueva Chica Alero Pedro Cárdenas
Cerro Benítez
Holocene
Late Pleistocene
Role of biotic versus abiotic drivers in causing ecological state changes?!
• 3 megafauna species!
!• Many humans!• Warmer!• Forest/shrubland dominant!
• ~12 megafauna species!!
!
!!• Few humans!• Cold!• Grassland dominant!
Today Pleistocene Lake Terrace
Cueva del Milodón
Alero Dos Herraduras
Last Glacial Maximum
GLACIER
LAKE
Cerro Benítez
Alero Dos Herraduras
Cueva del Milodón
Cerro Benítez
State Change-Climate!
Alkenone-‐based SST (°C) Pacific Coast
Glacier retreat (km)
Temperature (°C) AntacAca
Glacier retreat (km)
Warming Onset: ~14.8 kyBP
Warming End: ~10.1 kyBP
From Kilian and Lamy 2012
State Change-Climate!
Alkenone-‐based SST (°C) Pacific Coast
Glacier retreat (km)
Temperature (°C) AntarcAca
Glacier retreat (km)
Warming Onset: ~14.8 kyBP
Warming End: ~10.1 kyBP Cooling:
~12.4-‐ 11 kyBP
AntarcAc Cold Reversal ACR
Lago Guanaco Moreno et al., 2010
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0Nothofagus-‐Poaceae Index
Torres del Paine Heusser 1995
State Change-Vegetation!Río Rubens
Markgraf and Huber 2010
Nothofagus
8
9
5
4
3
1
0Poaceae
Pollen %
14
12
10
11
7
13
Temperature (°C)
Lago Guanaco Torres del Paine
Río Rubens
Cerro Benítez, ÚlAma Esperanza sites
N
11.5 ky BP
~11 ky BP
~10.5 ky BP
State Change-Fire Frequency!
hgp://media.nj.com/star-‐ledger/photo/2012/02/10510812-‐standard.jpg
Río Rubens (52°04’S)
Torres del Paine (50°59’S)
Huber et al., 2004
Torres del Paine after a forest fire!
Torres del Paine
Río Rubens
Cerro Benítez, ÚlAma Esperanza sites
N
~10.6 ky BP ~11 ky BP
Charcoal
Megafauna extinction chronology - AMS on bone, dung, skin and hair!Human occupation chronology-dates on charcoal and modified bones!
Megafauna extinction chronology - AMS on bone, dung, skin and hair!Human occupation chronology-dates on charcoal and modified bones!
Megafauna extinction chronology - AMS on bone, dung, skin and hair!Human occupation chronology-dates on charcoal and modified bones!
Human-‐ExInct Megafauna Coexistence
Megafauna extinction chronology - AMS on bone, dung, skin and hair!Human occupation chronology-dates on charcoal and modified bones!
Megafauna extinction chronology - AMS on bone, dung, skin and hair!Human occupation chronology-dates on charcoal and modified bones!
Megafauna extinction chronology - AMS on bone, dung, skin and hair!Human occupation chronology-dates on charcoal and modified bones!
Open landscape. Grassland dominates over forests/shrubland!
Glacial lake retreating, land available to colonize. Rapid landscape change. .!
~9.5! Megafauna species are gone!
Humans arrive!~13!
Warming onset over Antartica!~14.8!
~14.6! Earliest Megafauna dates!
~10.1!Warming trend over Antartica ends!
~11! ACR ends! Vegetation change begins; Nothofagus increases!
~10.5!
~11.5! More Humans?!~12.4! ACR begins!
~14.6!
~ 9.5!
~14.8!
ABIOTIC!(Climate)!
DRIVERS OF STATE-CHANGE!
BIOTIC!(People)!
Increase vegetational diversity!
Decrease megafauna diversity!
~10.1!
~13!
InteracAon
?
? Synergy
~10.5!
~11.5!
Mosaic vegetation !!Climate change !!
Next Steps!• More radiocarbon dates to tighten megafauna
extinction chronology!
• Ecosystem modeling to understand how many animals per species would have to disappear per generation in order to cause extinction over hundreds or thousands of years!
• Comparisons with other regions of South America!
IB259: Brett Archuleta!"Jeffrey Benca!"Seth Kauppinen !"Deise Cruz-Santos!"Cheryl Hojnowski!"Renske Kirchholtes!"Emily Moskal!"Guin Wogan!
!FIELD WORK: Fabiana Martín!
! ! Luis Borrero!" " Daniel Karmelic!
!R-code for CIs: Corey Bradshaw "
" " Frédérik Saltré!!
For helpful discussion: Allison Stegner!" " " Juan E. Guevara!" " " UCMP community!
!
Many thanks to: !