economic crisis in india and trade cycle in europian countries

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  • 8/14/2019 Economic Crisis in India and Trade Cycle in Europian Countries

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    osperity or Boomecession or Decline

    DepressionRecovery

    /downs or fluctuations in business economic activi

    :-ASES OF TRADE CYCLE,RESENTED BY

    IYA CHATTERJEEUSPENDU NAGANDIP MANNA

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    Trade before the 16thcenturyContinental trade only (Europe-Middle East-

    Asia);Around 1000 AD Europe was relatively

    underdeveloped relative to Asia and the Islamic

    world;Limited manufacturing activity, trade relies on

    primary goods, materials and simple manufactured

    goods.

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    ( ) ( :nterregional trade flows around year 1000 source& ,indlay O Rourke 2007) tofrom

    WestEurope

    EastEurope

    IslamicWorld

    CentralAsia

    Sub-SAfrica

    SouthAsia

    SE Asia East Asia

    West

    Europe

    swords slaves,

    swords

    _____ ______ _____ ______ ______

    EastEurope

    slaves,furs,

    silver

    slaves,furs, silver

    furs,swords

    ______ _____ ______ ______

    IslamicWorld

    spices,

    textilessilk, sil

    textiles

    silver

    textiles salt tex,

    manuf,swords

    War

    horses

    gold spices

    CentralAsia

    ______ silver Paper,

    silver,slaves

    ______ Silver,

    reexport

    ______ horses

    Sub-SAfrica

    ______

    _______ Gold,

    slaves,

    ______ Timber,

    iron

    ______ _______

    SouthAsia

    ______ _______ Spices,

    silk, tex

    Peper,

    textiles

    textiles Textiles,

    pepper

    Textiles

    SE Asia ______ _______ Spices,perfume

    ______ ______ Silk spice,

    rice

    Perfume

    spiceswoodEast Asia______ _______ Silk,

    porcelan

    Silk, tea ______ Silk,

    porcelan

    Silk,

    copper

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    THE ECONOMIC CRISIS

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    Spread of the Economic Crisis and Impact

    Meltdown of stock prices across the globeMarket price of stock in Freddie Mac plummeted from$63 on October 8, 2007 to $0.88 on October 28, 2008.Capital base of banks shrank and severelycurtailed their ability to make more loans : Lead to Credit Freeze.Lead to rise in Demand for Dollar and fall in currency value of othercountries.

    Collapse of Financial Institutions in several parts of the worldLehman Brothers; AIG, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae etc.Central Banks in vulnerable countries such as Iceland becomeBankruptInvestors across the globe lost huge amount of their investmentsSevere Credit squeeze and Liquidity crunch for the industry

    Housing; Automobiles; Retail; Services etc.Leads to drop in international trade in commodities and services.Job cuts and serious unemployment problem followed.

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    lobal Response tohe Crisisq overnment take over of Banks and Financialnstitutions on the verge of Collapse to prevent. -he financial system collapsing Examplesq fforts were made to coordinate interest rate

    ,uts and pursue actions to restart and restore.onfidence in credit marketsq .acilitation of mergers and acquisitionsq arge Scale Government bailout packages for.ffected industriesq .S Bailout package for affected Industries .anks and FIs exceeds 1 trillion US$ : ,ajor economies such as European nations Japan,ussia China come out with huge bailout packagesnd stimulus packages to bail out institutions and

    ick start their economies .

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    qSignificant Currency devaluationqDemand side problemqDrying up of external demand for goods and

    :services due to major problems in US and EuropeIndia s major trading partners

    qLower domestic demand due to buyers hesitation to

    .spendq %Exports down by about 20qIndian Bankers are also in great danger as their

    . :-foreign operations crashed eg

    q : ;Major affected sectors are Real Estate Auto, ; ;Industry Textiles Gem and Jewelry Chemicals and

    ; ; .Allied Products Iron and Steel Capital Goods etc

    MPACT OF THE CRISIS ON INDIA

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    INDIA S RESPONSE

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    INDIA S RESPONSETO THE CRISIS