economic development and workforce - arkansas...basic vs. nonbasic vs. non- ---basic basic industry...
TRANSCRIPT
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Economic Development
and Workforce
Arkansas Rural Development Arkansas Rural Development Arkansas Rural Development Arkansas Rural Development ConferenceConferenceConferenceConferenceRogers, ARRogers, ARRogers, ARRogers, AR
May 23, 2014May 23, 2014May 23, 2014May 23, 2014
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Contents
� What is “Economic Development”, anyway?
� It all starts with Leadership
� The impact of Baby Boomers
� Workforce Issues & Changes
� Business Retention & Expansion
� Retail Development
� Rural Community Economic Dev.
� Roadmap & Final Thoughts
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WHAT IS ECONOMIC WHAT IS ECONOMIC WHAT IS ECONOMIC WHAT IS ECONOMIC
DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT????
Your Definition?
Jobs
Income
Revenues
New Housing
Population Growth
Public Services
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WHAT ISWHAT ISWHAT ISWHAT IS
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT????
“Economic development is the process of creating wealth through the mobilization of human, financial, capital, physical and natural resources to generate marketable goods and services.”
“The developer’s role is to influence the process for the benefit of the community…”
American Economic Development Council
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THREE P’S OF THREE P’S OF THREE P’S OF THREE P’S OF
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
Process
Practice
Profession
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THREE P’S OF THREE P’S OF THREE P’S OF THREE P’S OF
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
Process
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PROCESSPROCESSPROCESSPROCESS
Decline
Stagnation
Stability
Growth
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ELEMENTS OF THE PROCESSELEMENTS OF THE PROCESSELEMENTS OF THE PROCESSELEMENTS OF THE PROCESS
• Basic vs. Non-Basic Businesses
• Leakage
• Multiplier Effect & Economic Impact
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Basic vs. NonBasic vs. NonBasic vs. NonBasic vs. Non----Basic Basic Basic Basic
IndustriesIndustriesIndustriesIndustries
The growth or decline of an economy is determined by how it performs as an exporter (i.e., trade surplus vs. deficit)
Exports: goods or services
Basic Industry = Export Industries
Essential for building wealth
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�Basic Industry:
•Manufacturing
•Selected Services
•Tourism, Entrepreneurs & Downtown Business Development
Basic vs. NonBasic vs. NonBasic vs. NonBasic vs. Non----Basic Basic Basic Basic
IndustriesIndustriesIndustriesIndustries
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Basic vs. NonBasic vs. NonBasic vs. NonBasic vs. Non----Basic Basic Basic Basic
IndustryIndustryIndustryIndustry
Non-Basic Industry = Everything else
“Service”
• Dependent on basic industries
• Re-circulates imported $$
• Many industries are a mix of Basic and Non-Basic activity
• Essential to creation of Quality of Life and preventing leakage
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Business
Purchases
Mortgage
Big Box(Somewhere Else)
Consumer
Purchases
$$$$
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NUMBER OF JOBS CREATED BY NUMBER OF JOBS CREATED BY NUMBER OF JOBS CREATED BY NUMBER OF JOBS CREATED BY
INDUSTRY EXPANSIONINDUSTRY EXPANSIONINDUSTRY EXPANSIONINDUSTRY EXPANSION
2003 2012 2020
Direct 500 2,000 2,000
Indirect 225 940 940
Induced 77 365 448
Total 802 3,305 3,388
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IMPACT OF AN EXISTING INDUSTRY EXPANSION
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IMPACT OF AN EXISTING INDUSTRY EXPANSION
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THREE P’S OF ECONOMIC THREE P’S OF ECONOMIC THREE P’S OF ECONOMIC THREE P’S OF ECONOMIC
DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT
Process
PracticeProfession
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ExtractionExtractionExtractionExtractionGovt.Govt.Govt.Govt.SectorSectorSectorSector
KEY MARKETING STRATEGIES IN KEY MARKETING STRATEGIES IN KEY MARKETING STRATEGIES IN KEY MARKETING STRATEGIES IN
ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PRACTICEECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PRACTICEECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PRACTICEECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT PRACTICE
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RRRRetentionetentionetentionetention
EEEExpansionxpansionxpansionxpansion
Retail &Retail &Retail &Retail &ServicesServicesServicesServices WholesaleWholesaleWholesaleWholesale HospitalityHospitalityHospitalityHospitalityTourismTourismTourismTourismHousingHousingHousingHousingCommunity Community Community Community (Product)(Product)(Product)(Product)F.I.R.E.F.I.R.E.F.I.R.E.F.I.R.E.ManuManuManuManu----facturingfacturingfacturingfacturingCommunity Community Community Community
DevelopmentDevelopmentDevelopmentDevelopment
ACREACREACREACRE
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ExtractionExtractionExtractionExtractionGovt.Govt.Govt.Govt.SectorSectorSectorSector
TRADITIONAL MANUFACTURING TRADITIONAL MANUFACTURING TRADITIONAL MANUFACTURING TRADITIONAL MANUFACTURING
STRATEGY IN E D PRACTICESTRATEGY IN E D PRACTICESTRATEGY IN E D PRACTICESTRATEGY IN E D PRACTICE
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Community Community Community Community
DevelopmentDevelopmentDevelopmentDevelopment
ACREACREACREACRE
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ExtractionExtractionExtractionExtractionGovt.Govt.Govt.Govt.SectorSectorSectorSector
WHAT THE KEY STRATEGIC WHAT THE KEY STRATEGIC WHAT THE KEY STRATEGIC WHAT THE KEY STRATEGIC
APPROACH OUGHT TO BE?APPROACH OUGHT TO BE?APPROACH OUGHT TO BE?APPROACH OUGHT TO BE?
AAAAttractionttractionttractionttraction
CCCCreationreationreationreation
RRRRetentionetentionetentionetention
EEEExpansionxpansionxpansionxpansion
Retail &Retail &Retail &Retail &ServicesServicesServicesServices WholesaleWholesaleWholesaleWholesale HospitalityHospitalityHospitalityHospitalityTourismTourismTourismTourismHousingHousingHousingHousingCommunityCommunityCommunityCommunity(Product)(Product)(Product)(Product)F.I.R.E.F.I.R.E.F.I.R.E.F.I.R.E.ManuManuManuManu----facturingfacturingfacturingfacturingCommunity Community Community Community
DevelopmentDevelopmentDevelopmentDevelopment
ACREACREACREACRE
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Leading the Charge
• As Mayor or Judge, YOU must set things in motion to lead your community forward!
• A genuine leader is not a searcher for consensus, but a molder of consensus
• You will provide the (1) vision & creativity, (2) the leadership through (3) bold action & perseverance
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Leadership Role
• Must take ownership and become involved
• Leaders turn Hope and Opportunity into Action!
• Consider having “Champions” to help lead the effort(s)
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Baby Boomer Numbers
�40.2 million (13%) of US population is 65 or older today
�95 million to leave workforce by 2030�40 million to replace baby boomers�Immigration to help somewhat, but
still not enough to replace boomers�Estimate at least 14 million short by
2030
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More Population Numbers
• Every day 8,000 Americans turn 65
• 12,500 people are turning 50 each day
• By 2017, 50% of America will be 50 years of age or older
• The Workforce of tomorrow is drastically changing today!
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UALRCollege of Business
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Successful Communities have…
�An educated & trained labor force�Attractive economics�Prepared industrial/commercial property –buildings & sites�Existing training programs in place�Existing training programs in specialty skills�Their assets & benefits well documented�“Success stories”�Businesses targeted�A quick response time
BTW - Most projects are in larger cities!
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Current Education Trends
• % of students that complete 4 year college/university programs within 6 years? 53%
• % of students that complete certification and associate programs within 150% of program schedule? 27.5%
• % of first year college students requiring remedial coursework? Over 36%
• % of high school graduates that need remedial coursework? 75%
Source: ACT Survey in Washingtontimes.com/news/2011
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Skills/Education Gap
• 3.7 million job openings in US, but have skills issue & lack of education training
• 22% lack of technical education
• 14% leadership skills lack
• 12% computer/math skills lack
• 67% manufactures report experiencing a moderate to sever shortage of available, qualified workers.
• 74% production worker are skill deficient
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What are you doing in Worker Prep
• Do you know what jobs are available in your community?
• Do you know what jobs your local industry needs?
• Do you have any idea of the salary/wages those jobs provide?
• Do you know how you will help recruit new “talent” to your community?
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Did you realize???
•Workforce is often ranked the #1 site location requirement today!•You must be able to document your workforce skills & training to land a new project!•Smaller communities have much more to do to make up the gap presented by the skills/training deficit.•Do you have a Business Retention & Expansion Program (BRE)?
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Source: http://entergyarkansas12-px.rtrk.com/economic_development/retention_and_expansion.aspx
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Easier & Cheaper to keep what you’ve got
• #1 Strategy is to support existing business
• It is far less expensive to keep existing business than recruit new business AND
• 60% to 80% of new jobs are from local industry expansions
• Success begins with local business & industry already in your community
• 100% of existing business can help or destroy your business attraction efforts!
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Critical BRE Questions at your next industry visit:
1. How many vacant jobs exist at plant today? and
2. How many workers are 58 years old & older at factory?
See the looming workforce gap
at this plant in future??
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Business Retention & Expansion
• Why Business Retention & Expansion is Important:
� Maintains and Creates Jobs
� Maintains and Enhances Local and State Tax Base
� Supports the Community’s Social Fabric Foundation
� Supports Recruitment Efforts
� Encourages Chances for Spin-Offs
� Increases the Standard of Living
� The Workforce is Aging
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Strategy to Improve Competitiveness
� Link industry opportunities to workforce development:
• Assess current supply of top occupations in labor market area
• Educational requirements of top occupations in industry sectors
• Identify education institutions with relevant programs
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Business Retention & Expansion
It’s All About:
• Industry Visitation & Assistance
• Business Visitation & Assistance
• Information
• Partnerships
• Solving Problems
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EXISTING BUSINESS SUPPORT
• Industry Visitation Program
� Build Relationships
•Happy Residents = Happy Ambassadors
� Partner with AEDC, Utilities, and Others
•Identify and Resolve Issues before they really become PROBLEMS!
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Helping Your Businesses
• Taking Care of Your Existing Business and Industry “Today”!!
�Building Relationships
�Preparing for Economic Disasters
�Don’t Forget Your Retail and Services
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Lifetime Value of a Small Employer
15 Employees
@$450,000 payroll
$45,000 property tax$15,000 Charitable Contributions
$510,000 Annual Impact=
$5.1 million over 10 years=
$10.2 million (20 years)Lifetime Value
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Top 10 Steps of BRE Success
1. Face-to-face visits with companies
2. Include top officials in visits
3. Dedicated BRE staff to support effort
4. Build a trusting relationship with corporate contacts
5. Constant & appropriate communications
6. Immediate response to questions, issues or requests
7. Provide social forums for company contacts
8. Connect the dots – be prepared to make appropriate referrals
9. First & most important step in Economic Development Plan
10.Timely follow-up
• Always bring VALUE to any discussions/efforts
• Exceed their EXPECTATIONS!
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Retail as a Community Strategy
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Why Retail Development?
Directly…
�Creates New Business
�Generates Sales Tax
�Creates Jobs
Indirectly…
� Prevents / Slows Leakage
� Supports other strategies
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Quality of Living Factors
� Economic Environment
�Housing
�Medical / Health
�Natural Environment
� Political / Social Environment
� Public Services
� Recreation
� Retail Goods and Service
� Schools
Source: Mercer’s Quality of Living Factors
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Retail LeakageQ: Why do we shop somewhere else?
When we’re
Tourists
Availability
Shopping
Experience
Shopping
Hours
Selection
Price
Convenience
Associated
w/ other
Activities
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Retail LeakageQ: Why do we shop somewhere else?
When we’re
Tourists
Availability
Shopping
Experience
Shopping
Hours
Selection
Price
Convenience
Associated
w/ other
Activities
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Internet Sales Leakage
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0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
Population vs. Population CapturedArkansas Counties
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0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
Top 20 Counties (Population)
109% Capture
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0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000Second Set of 20 Counties
91% Capture
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0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000Third Set
74% Capture
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0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000Smallest Counties (Population)
58% Capture
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Market (Trade) Area
- Gravity
- Drive Time
- Radius
- Survey
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Demographic / Spending Profile
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1. Calculate your market area (using different methods) and capture / leakage
2. Survey your businesses (zip codes)3. Have “ready-to-use” market profiles4. Educate local leaders to your current retail
landscape5. Create a retail/service business inventory6. Compare your inventory with other “like”
communities7. Create and maintain an available buildings and
sites inventory – specific to retail & service8. Market your retail activity on your website9. Market your retail activity to developers and
retailers10. Keep your information CURRENT !!
What can I do right now?
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DEVELOPING YOUR COMMUNITYDEVELOPING YOUR COMMUNITYDEVELOPING YOUR COMMUNITYDEVELOPING YOUR COMMUNITY(Product)(Product)(Product)(Product)
• Downtown, Main Street, Neighborhood, Gateways
• Environmental
• Physical Infrastructure
• Education and Workforce
• Sites & Buildings
• Quality of Living
• Business Conditions
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Quality of Living FactorsQuality of Living FactorsQuality of Living FactorsQuality of Living Factors
• Political / Social Environment
• Economic Environment
• Medical / Health
• Schools
• Natural Environment
• Public Services
• Recreation
• Retail Goods & Services
• Housing
Source: Mercer’s Quality of Living Factors
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“The first thing I look at when I visit a community is the downtown. If it’s vibrant they stay on the list. If it’s run down and empty, I move on to the next site.”
Anonymous Site Consultant
During a recent visit
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Roadmap for Future Community Development
• Strong Local Government & Leadership
• Clear Idea for the Future w/ Vision & Plan
• Pro-Business Climate
• Workforce – Quality Labor with Skills
• Quality Product – Throughout Community
• Business Retention & Expansion Program
• Working with ALL Business Sectors means Retail, Business & Industry
• Meaningful Regional Cooperation
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Final Thoughts
• The Goal is more important than Role!
• It is OK to aim high and miss rather than aim low & hit the mark!
• Forget “impressions” and go for positive “impact!”
• Good enough is not good enough if it can be better!
• It is not about you or me, but the future of your community!
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Thank You!!
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Thank You!!Mark S. Goodman, CEcDCenter for Economic Development EducationInstitute for Economic AdvancementUniversity of Arkansas at Little Rock2801 South University AvenueLittle Rock, AR [email protected] and
Frank Crockett, CEcDManager, Economic DevelopmentAEP SWEPCO428 Travis StreetShreveport, LA [email protected]