economics of france - updated
TRANSCRIPT
8/6/2019 Economics of France - Updated
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Economics of Economics of
FranceFrancePresented by: Paula Estevez
Toshi Morino, Richard Barnard, Diego Casteneda,Shreeya Kumar, Ron Schnackenberg
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Agenda Agenda� Current Issues---------------------------------------Slides 1-3
� Fiscal Policy------------------------------------------Slides 4-5
� Labor Market----------------------------------------Slides 6-7
� Immigration------------------------------------------Slides 8-9
� Trade Policy------------------------------------------Slides 10-11
� Exchange Rate Management----------------Slides 12-13� Recommendations--------------------------------Slides 14-15
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Current IssuesCurrent IssuesGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCTGROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
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Current IssuesCurrent IssuesECONOMIC INDIC ATORSECONOMIC INDIC ATORS
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Current IssuesCurrent IssuesECONOMIC POLICYECONOMIC POLICY
FISC AL POLICY
Highest ratio amongst OECDcountries
Proposed increase in retirement
age and elimination of wealth tax
L ABOR POLICY
Rigid labor market and high unemployment.
Current unemployment rate at
9.2%
IMMIGR ATION POLICY
Unsuccessf ul integration of 11mnimmigrants
Conf used immigration policy
TR ADE POLICY
Trade deficit since 2002 due tolow production of high value
added goods and low penetrationinto emer ging markets
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Fiscal PolicyFiscal Policy
� Public Debt� Peak in 2014
� Sharp spike 2008
� Taxation� 44% of GDP
� Heavy wealth tax
� Now What?
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Labor MarketLabor Market� Unemployment� 15-24 years old
� Seniors, Unskilled
� Employment Flexibility� Termination by agreement
� Unions, Collective Bar gaining
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Trade PolicyTrade PolicyEUROPE AN UNION POLICYEUROPE AN UNION POLICY
A SINGLE TR ADE POLICY FOR A UNITED EUROPE
� The EU ± 27 speaks with one voice in international trade.
� Agreements concluded by the EU are binding on the EU-27 member states
� The EU Commission negotiates deals on behalf of the 27 member states.
ORIGIN OF THE EU POLICY
� The EU Trade & Development policy origin can be traced to the French Union
A CUSTOMS UNION
� Uniform import duty char ged on non-EU imports
� A ³Community Integrated Tariff´ (T ARIC) established for the application of
these duties� Weighted Average tariff rate in 2009: 1.2% - Raw materials mostly imported
duty free whereas manufactured goods tariff rates vary between 5 ± 17%
� Agricultural product imports are covered by the ³Common Agricultural
Policy´
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Trade PolicyTrade PolicyEUROPE AN UNION POLICYEUROPE AN UNION POLICY
TR ADE AGREEMENTS
� ³Customs Union Agreements´ and 26 FT A¶s under the G ATT Article XXIV/
G ATT Article V
� FT A¶s with Mexico and South Africa concluded in 1999.
� Cotonou Agreement gives non reciprocal preferential access to African,
Caribbean and Pacific developing countries� The ³Generalized System of Preferences´ allows such access to other
developing countries.
NON-T ARIFF BARRIERS
� Applied for subsidies, quotas, import restrictions and bans, market access
restrictions among others.
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Trade PolicyTrade PolicyTR ADE DEFICITTR ADE DEFICIT
� France has not experienced an annualtrade surplus since 2002.
� Lar gest deficit in intermediate goods (¼
57.8 bn in 2010)
� Moderate deficit in consumer goods (¼ 11.1
bn in 2010)
� Small surplus on capital goods (¼ 6.5 bn in
2010)� Deficit mainly with EU countries
RE ASONS FOR TR ADE
DEFICIT
� Low share of higher value
added and high tech goods ± Germany is better placed
to meet demand from
emerging markets
� High prices of imported
ener gy
RECOMMENDATIONS
1. Gear up presence in emerging markets to tap
the strong demand - W ill require significant expenditure in production facilities and may take
several years
2. Strengthen price competitiveness of their
products in comparison to other European
countries ± One way is to increase immigrants by
opening labor market to foreigners.
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ManagementManagementEUROPE AN UNION POLICYEUROPE AN UNION POLICY
� Exchange Rate Management system centralized for the Euro currency at
the EU level - The EU identifies with the Target Zone system
� France monitors the decision making process as it a leading nation in the
EU fiscally and vulnerable to getting dragged down by other nations
� In recent months, France has been under pressure due to shortfalls of
certain other member nations.
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RecommendationsRecommendations� Lower the national debt
� Find a way to lower taxes (encourage private savings)
� Cut expensive government sponsored programs
� Lar gest threat is the instability of European Union Member
Nations� Establish reserve f und for member aid
� Establish strict fiscal policy for members