edp energias do brasil -...
TRANSCRIPT
- This presentation may include forward-looking statements of future events or results according to regulations
of the Brazilian and international securities and exchange commissions. These statements are based on certain
assumptions and analysis by the company that reflect its experience, the economic environment and future
market conditions and expected events, many of which are beyond the control of the company. Important
factors that may lead to significant differences between the actual results and the statements of expectations
about future events or results include the company’s business strategy, Brazilian and international economic
conditions, technology, financial strategy, public service industry developments, hydrological conditions,
financial market conditions, uncertainty of the results of future operations, plans, objectives, expectations and
intentions, among others, Considering these factors, the actual results of the company may be significantly
different from those shown or implicit in the statement of expectations about future events or results.
- The information and opinions contained in this presentation should not be understood as a recommendation
to potential investors and no investment decision is to be based on the veracity, current events or
completeness of this information or these opinions. No advisors to the company or parties related to them or
their representatives shall have any responsibility for whatever losses that may result from the use or contents
of this presentation.
- This material includes forward-looking statements subject to risks and uncertainties, which are based on
current expectations and projections about future events and trends that may affect the company’s business.
These statements include projections of economic growth and energy demand and supply, as well as
information about the competitive position, the regulatory environment, potential opportunities for growth
and other matters. Several factors may adversely affect the estimates and assumptions on which these
statements are based.
Disclaimer
2
Corporate profile: integrated private electric company with operations in distribution, generation and trading
3
Energias do Brasil
Free Float
(1) In 2013; (2) Source: CCEE; (3) Source: Aneel. (4) In 2013. Source: Companies.
largest private trading company (sales volume)
• 9% of market share(1, 2)
largest private distribution group (energy distributed)(4)
• 3.1 million customers supplied by two distribution
companies
largest private generation group (installed capacity)(1,3)
• 2.2 GW of installed capacity and 1.4 Avg.GW of assured energy
• 1.5 GW under construction (proportional stake: 635 MW)
• Long term concessions and PPAs
• Partnership with local and foreign companies
16% of Group's EBITDA1
Ge
ne
rati
on
51% 49%
EDP
Energias de Portugal
3rd3rd
6th6th
4th4th
Corporate profile: operation in 11 Brazilian States
� Present in 10 States
� HPP: 76%, SHPP: 6%, TPP: 16% and WPP: 2%
Hydro power plant
Thermal power plantWind power plant
São Manoel700 MW (33,3%)
CENAEEL14 MW
(45%)
Energest67 MW
Elebrás70 MW
(45%)
In operation
Under construction/committed
� 28 cities in the state of São Paulo
� 1.7 million customers
� Concession until 2028
EDP Bandeirante
EDP Escelsa
� 70 cities in the state of Espírito Santo
� 1.4 million customers
� Concession until 2025
Sto. Antônio do Jari 373 MW (50%)
Cachoeira Caldeirão
219 MW (50%)
Aventura116 MW (45%)Baixa doFeijão
120 MW (45%)
Pecém I 720 MW (50%)
Lajeado903 MW (73%)
Enerpeixe499 MW (60%)
Energest329 MW
(1) In 2013.
Generation(1) Distribution(1)
4
EDP: More than 17 years in Brazil
InvestmentGrade
Energy shortage in Brazil
Emerging markets crisis
Lula’s first mandate election
Russian crisis
New Model of Brazilian Power Sector
Asian crisis
Economic worldwide meltdown
European credit crisis
Subprimecrisis
Internet bubble
Argentina crisis
Real Devaluation
Investment in Lajeado
Acquisition of Bandeirante
Acquisition of Iven(Escelsa and Enersul)
Acquisition of Peixe Angical(partnership with Furnas)
A-5 Auction(TPP Pecém I)
Asset Swap (Enersul for Lajeado)
Investment in wind power generation
EDP Energias do Brasil’s IPO on BM&FBOVESPA Follow on
offering
Acquisition of HPP Jari
Sale of Evrecy
A-5 Auction (CachoeiraCaldeirão)
TPP Pecém I start up (unit I)
ENBR3 onIbovespa
index
TPP Pecém I start up (unit II)
Partnership with CTG
A-5 Auction (HPP São Manoel)
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Company
Macro
Follow on offering
HPP Jari start up (unit I and II)
DilmaRousseff’sreelection
Sale of 50% of HPP Jari and HPP Cachoeira Caldeirão to CTG
EMBI Brazil (JP Morgan) 5
1) Energy Scenario:
• Low hydrology and reservoir levels;
• Average GSF of 84.5%3;
• Average PLD of R$ 677/MWh1;
• ACR Account/CDE contributions to distributors2:
R$ 273.8 million in 3Q14 and R$ 864.6 million on 9M14;
• EDP Escelsa tariff readjustment in August/2014 (26.54%)
and EDP Bandeirante in October/2014 (22,34%).
2) Cost control and cash management
• Excluding the impact of the sale of property in 3Q13 (R$
52.6 million), opex decreased 15.5%. In the 9M14 the
opex fallen 7.4%
• Funding of R$ 1,8 billion to reinforce cashflow and
investments in 9M14;
• Net debt/EBITDA: 1.4x.
3) Growth
• HPP Jari: startup of GU I 3.5 months ahead of schedule
and GU II 1.5 month ahead of schedule. 98.1%
accomplished until September 2014;
• HPP Cachoeira Caldeirão: 50.5% accomplished until
3Q14;
• HPP São Manoel: construction began in August 2014.
6
Evolution of 2014 priorities: Highlights
1) Source: CCEE. 2) Source: Aneel. 3) Source: CCEE.
2014 Priorities
Energy Scenario
Cost control and cash
management
GrowthCustomer
Satisfaction
Thermal Power Plant HPP Pecém I
1
3.4.
5. 2.
4) Customer satisfaction
• Maintenance of quality indicators (DEC and FEC) on both
discos and below regulatory level;
• Client satisfaction above 80% on both discos according to
the ABRADEE Prize (2014)1;
• Incentive to quality improvement (X Factor’s “q”
component):
• EDP Bandeirante tariff readjustment (Xq: -0.64%);
• EDP Escelsa tariff readjustment : (Xq: -0.33%).
5) TPP Pecém I
• Aneel approved pleading suspending the calculation of
downtime costs on an hourly basis and determined the
calculation to be based on a 60-month rolling average
with R$ 250 Million of cash accounted2;
• Sudden outage of GU I due to a stator burnout. Repair in
progress and commercial operation return expected until
year end;
• GU II reached an average availability index of 88.3% in
3Q14. In October reached 98% and September 97% .
7
Evolution of 2014 priorities: Highlights
1) Satisfaction level of perceived quality. 2) 100% of project.
2014 Priorities
Energy Scenario
Cost control and cash
management
GrowthCustomer
Satisfaction
Thermal Power Plant
1
5.
3.4.
2.
8,0
12,0
15,5
2012 (average) 2013 (average) 9M14 (average)
Energy Scenario: low hydrology and reservoir levels
8
Rainfall / Natural energy inflow1 | Southeast (2014 vs. 2013)
Average GW
GSF (Generation Scalling Factor) | 2014 (%)
National Integrated System (SIN)2
PLD (Southeast submarket)2 | (R$/MWh)
378,2
822,8 807,0
412,7
592,5
709,5729,0
776,9
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Thermal Dispatch1 | National Integrated System (SIN)
(Average GW)
1) Source: ONS 2) Source: CCEE 3)Preliminary
96,3%98,3%
93,8%
98,7%
93,6%
89,1%
86,1%
82,1%
85,3% 86,5%3
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
0
20
40
60
80
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
2013 2014
Increase in Non-Manageable Expenditures
Generation
Non-Manageable Expenditures (R$ million) | GSF
EDP Energias do Brasil
57,0 63,9
198,6
319,5
1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 9M14
Distribution | Non-Manageable Expenditures1 (R$ million)
EDP Bandeirante
438,8 365,5
1.501,91.224,8
73,4
277,1
3Q14 9M14
Energy purchased to resell
ACR Account/CDE Contributions
Net Energy purchased after
contributions
375,5175,0
1.462,8
875,4200,5
587,4
3Q14 9M14
Distribuição | Gastos não gerenciáveis (R$ milhões)
EDP Escelsa
1) Considers energy purchased to resell in national currency. Do not consider Itaipu and charges. 9
-25.0%
144
170
128
165
675 681593
710 729777
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1Q14 2Q14 Jul Aug Sep Oct
EDP Bandeirante EDP Escelsa Spot Price
52,2 47,7
36,1 29,0
97,5 103,6
9,2 9,4
103,5 109,4
9M13 9M14
Others Provision Third-party
Services
Material Personnel
+5.6%
+1.5%
+6.2%
-19.8%-8.7%
Average Coverage Tariff| (R$)
OPEX Consolidated (R$ million)
9M14 vs. 9M131
EDP Bandeirante
9M14
(R$ thousand)
EDP
Bandeirante
EDP
Escelsa
Distribution
EBITDA (IFRS) 85,801 146,909 232,710
Change on net
Regulatory Assets
and Liabilities
182,465 86,771 269,236
EBITDA + Net
Regulatory Assets
and Liabilities
268,266 233,680 501,946
EBITDA | Regulatory Assets and Liabilties adjust
EDP Escelsa
1) Others: Consider EDP Escelsa’s COC sale on 3Q13 for R$ 52.6 million
30,7 23,1
56,6 23,8
101,799,3
8,38,4
92,786,7
9M13 9M14
Others Provision Third-party
Services
Material Personnel
-6.5%
+0.8%
-2.3%
-57.9%
Increase in Regulatory Asset due to the distributor’s average tariff coverage lower than the spot price
298,9298,6
+0.1%-16.8%
241,3
290,0
10
Cost control shown in OPEX reduction
11
588,6
82,112,4
540,2
83,011,4
Distribution Generation Commercialization
9M13 9M14
Opex | by business segments (R$ million)
9M14 vs. 9M13
Opex Consolidated (R$ million)
9M14 vs. 9M131
-8.3%
+1.0%% -8.6%
Opex (R$ million)
3T13 vs. 3T14
1) Others: Considers gain/loss on asset sale.
106,8 100,7
95,5 45,3
276,8 271,9
22,421,7
262,6268,0
9M13 9M14Others Provision Third-party
Services
Material Personnel
+2.0%
-2.9%
-1.8%
-52.5%
-5.7%
-7.4%764.1
707.6
207,8
260,4
220,1
52,6 - 9,5 -0,91,0
-17,8
-13,1
Opex 3Q13 Asset sale Adjusted
Opex 3Q13
Personnel Material Third-party
services
Provisions Others Opex 3Q14
+5.9%
-15.9%
Funding of R$ 1.2 billion to reinforce cashflow
12
2.335 2.008
924 1.398
Dec/13 Sep/14
Net Debt Cash
+4.5%
+51.2%
-14.0%
2.453 2.335 2.4512.031 2.008
1,3x1,4x
1,5x
1,2x
1,4x
Sep/13 Dec/13 mar/14 jun/14 Sep/14
Net Debt Net Debt/EBITDA
Gross
Debt 3,259 3,406
Refinancing/working capital | 2014 (YTD)
Indebtness: Dec/2013 vs. Sep/20141 Net Debt/EBITDA
1) Do not consider debt from HPP Santo Antônio do Jari, HPP Cachoeira Caldeirão, HPP São Manoel and TPP Pecém I (consolidation criteria).
Company Source Date Maturity Comparative Cost* R$ million Effective Cost
Holding Debentures Feb-14 Aug-15 CDI +0,72% 300.0 CDI + 0,72%
EDP Bandeirante Rural Credit Feb-14 Jul-15 CDI +0,12% 98.6 101,15% of CDI
EDP Bandeirante Debentures Apr-14 Apr-19 CDI +1,39% 300.0 CDI + 1,39%
EDP Escelsa Rural Credit Feb-14 Jul-15 CDI +0,12% 110.6 101,15% of CDI
EDP Escelsa Cédula Cambiária May-14 May-18 CDI -0,49% 200.0 85% of CDI + 1,0625%
EDP Escelsa Debentures Aug-14 Aug-20 CDI +1,50% 176.8 CDI + 1,50%
1,186
* cost in CDI + as the base date 09/30/2014
Growth delivery: +2.3GW of capacity from 2005 to 2018
Hydro projects under construction and committed
HPP EDP Brasil Stake(1) Capacity (100%)(MW)
Contracted Energy(Avg. MW)
Capex(e)(R$bn)
Debt/Equity Startup of Commercial Operation
Stº Antôniodo Jari
50% 373 217.7 1.1 67%/33% Jan,2015
Cachoeira Caldeirão 50% 219 129.7 1.2 52%/48% Jan,2017
São Manoel 33% 700 409.5 2.7 68%/32% May,2018
(1) Take into account the proportional consolidation
Installed Capacity Evolution1
(MW)
13
530
2,195 622,257
125 54110 233
52
2,830
2005 2013 GU I HPP Santo
Antônio do Jari
(50%)
3Q14 Gu II and GU III
HPP Santo
Antônio do Jari
(50%)
2015
EOL Baixa do
Feijão (45%)
2016
HPP Cachoeira
Caldeirão (50%)
2017
HPP São
Manoel (33,3%)
2018
EOL Aventura
(45%)
2018
2018
HPP Jari | Startup of GU I 3.5 months ahead of schedule and GU II 1.5 month ahead of schedule
HPP Santo Antônio do Jari1
373.4 MW
217.7 MW average
Startup of commercial operation | GU I:
• Startup of supply to the SIN Aug 26, 2014 (test);
• DCO2 in Sep 17,2014;
• Anticipation of 3.5 months;
Startup of commercial operation | GU II:
• Startup of supply to the SIN Oct 31, 2014 (test);
• DCO2 in Nov 14,2014;
• Anticipation of 1.5 month;
Capex(e): R$ 1.2 billion
93.4% accomplished until Sep/2014
1) 100% of the project. 2) Declaration of Commercial Operation
HPP Jari | GU III in the assembly phase
Powerhouse overview
GU I in
commercial
operation
UG III
Kaplan
Turbine in
the pit
GU II in
commercial
operation
16
HPP Cachoeira Caldeirão | Under construction
Nota: considera 100% do empreendimento. 1) Declaração comercial de operação.
HPP Cachoeira Caldeirão1
219 MW
129.7 MW average
Startup of operation:
Jan/2017(e):
Ongoing activities:
i) Concreting of Powerhouse and
spillway and assembly area; ii)
assembly of
electromechanical equipments;
among others.
Funding:
Short term: bridge-loan:
R$ 648 million
Long term: under negotiation
Capex(e): R$ 1.2 billion
38% accomplished until
September/2014
Spillway overview
161) 100% of the project.
17
HPP São Manoel1
700 MW
409.5 MW average
Recent activities:
• Beginning of main construction site;
• Beginning of earthmoving activities for
cofferdam construction.
Prior activities:
• Signing of the Concession Agreement in
May with 134 days anticipation;
• Obtaining REIDI with 56 days
anticipation;
• Obtaining the declaration of public
utility (construction site) 83 days less
than the due approval date (155 days);
• Issuance of debentures (bridge loan) of
R$ 532 million.
Cofferdam overview
HPP São Manoel | Under construction
1) 100% of the project.
67%81%
95%
62%
98%
54%
82%
76%
88% 91%
82%
80%
84%
99%
77%
90% 97% 98%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
GU I GU II
18
TPP Pecém I: UG II availability index reaches 98% in Oct/2014 and the failure rate shows a constant reduction
Availability Index (%)| by generation unit
2014
Failure rate (LTM) | by generation unit
2014
82% 82% 80% 83%
49%
71%
1Q14 2Q14 Jul Aug Sep 3Q14
72
70
5954
44 4339
30 28 27
71
64
64 62 5954
4641
37 34
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
GU I GU II
Availability Index (%)1 | consolidated Failure Rate(LTM) | consolidated
2014
7266
6259
5348
43
3634
31
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
GU I outage since August
Customer Satisfaction: quality indexes below regulatory goal (incentive to quality improvement)
19
DEC Evolution (hours)
8,08 7,54 7,41 7,30
9,67 9,81 9,61 9,94
4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14
EDP Bandeirante EDP Escelsa
5,51 5,55 5,33 5,175,78 6,22 6,10 6,35
4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14
EDP Bandeirante EDP Escelsa
Incentive to quality improvement (X Factor’s “q” component):
• EDP Bandeirante tariff readjustment (Xq: -0.64%)
• EDP Escelsa tariff readjustment : (Xq: -0.33%)
FEC Evolution (times) Low tension non-technical losses | EDP Escelsa
Low tension non-technical losses | EDP Bandeirante
20,3% 20,2%
16,1% 15,3%13,9% 13,1%19,9%
18,0%16,1%
14,6%13,2%
11,8% 11,8%10,4%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 3Q14 2014 2015
Actual Regulatory level
19,6%18,1%
17,1%18,4%
15,9%17,4%
17,2%15,5%
13,8%12,1%
10,5%9,3% 9,3%
7,9%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 3Q14 2014 2015
Maytê Souza Dantas de Albuquerque
Marília Barbosa Nogueira
Thiago Piffer
Anna Luisa Rego Bacellar
Rodrigo Tassone
E-mail: [email protected]
Telephone: +55 (11) 2185-5907
www.edpbr.com.br/ri