education intelligence interconnected competitive futures janet ilieva, phd
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EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures
Janet Ilieva, PhD
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Internationalisation of Higher Education
• Internationalisation of students
• Internationalisation of teaching and research
• Internationalisation of education policies
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
However – there was no growth in the proportion of the internationally mobile students
World HE enrolmentsInternationally mobile students
2000 97,205,098 1.8%
2001 104,103,583 1.8%
2002 113,669,904 1.9%
2003 122,085,254 2.0%
2004 129,690,294 1.9%
2005 135,925,247 1.9%
2006 143,133,002 1.8%
2007 151,253,144 1.8%
Source: British Council Analysis and UIS data
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Changing Patterns of Mobility
• However, the outbound mobility would vary from country to country
• While the world average is 1.8%, this ratio for Sub-Saharan Africa is 5.9%
• Trend data also show increased regional mobility:
– In Latin America and the Caribbean, for instance, the percentage of mobile students remaining within the region has risen from 11% in 1999 to 23% in 2007
– In East Asia and the Pacific, two out of every five mobile students (42%) remained within the region in 2007 compared to 36% in 1999. Western Europe (77%) and North America (39%) showed little change in comparison to 1999
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Small countries big role
• However countries with more prominent role (UIS) are:– Liechtenstein 86%– Macao (China) 50%– Qatar 28%– Cyprus 25%
• Local national sources suggest emerging new players in the international student place
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Changing ratios in the outward/inward mobility – new players
Outward/Inward Student Mobility Ratio for Selected Countries
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Australia
China
Germany
India
Ireland
Japan
Korea
Malaysia
UK
US
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Outward/Inward Student Mobility Ratio for Selected Countries
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0.1
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2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Australia
China
Germany
India
Ireland
Japan
Korea
Malaysia
UK
US
Logarithmic scale – who is where
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Observations
• Traditional sending countries - China, India, Korea, Malaysia and others - are increasingly hosting international students. The rate at which this is happening is greater than the world average growth rate
• Traditional host countries (UK, US, Australia) remain mostly static. There are expectations for greater outward mobility in the future which would contribute to more balanced student flows
• The countries in the middle – mainly in Europe – show a more balanced approach in their inward and outward student flows. These are also countries heavily engaged in Erasmus mobility, hence greater exposure to study abroad
• There is an increased mobility towards Japan, however, outward mobility is set to decline in absolute numbers related to the country demographics. In addition, Japan appears to be the only country where international students pay lower fee (i.e. no fee) than local students.
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Move from reactive to proactive internationalisation
• Shift from aid to trade (Hans de Wit)
• Increased TNE and reaching out to the students
– Widening the access to tertiary education overseas in emerging markets
– In mature markets:
• Quality assurance frameworks
• Increased relevance to the market through providing niche subjects
• Internationalisation at home through:
– Internationalisation of the curriculum
– Internationalisation of research
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Education and Academic Collaboration (continued)
• Significant increase in cross-border collaboration, however, consistent and comparable data are difficult to source
• The International Association of Universities’ (IAU) 3rd Annual Survey covering 745 Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) found the following:
• 87% of HEIs surveyed stated that internationalisation features in their institutional mission and/or overall strategy plan
• 78% stated that internationalisation had increased in importance over the past 3 years
• However, the priority remains on inward and outward student mobility and student exchanges
• Overall, countries are much better at assessing education activities taking place at home, rather than those overseas
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Branch campuses of domestic institutions abroad and overseas institutions at home (% of total)
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Research collaboration
• On average one third of the global research publications is now co-authored with international researchers
• Germany records the highest level of collaboration in publications at 50%; followed by Australia (42.3%) and UK and Malaysia holding a joint 3rd place at (42%)
• The US has the highest number of joint patent applications at 168,605 in 2007, closely followed by Japan’s 167,772
• India has the highest proportion of joint patent applications relative to total patent applications at 83%, closely followed by Australia at 75% and Malaysia at 72%
• OECD (2011) suggest a decline in the quality of patents produced in the US, UK and Japan and increase in those produced in China and India
• Russia at 4% has the lowest proportion of joint patent applications
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Internationalisation of national policies
National Policy Index
• create an index that captures the appeal of national education systems to engage internationally and the degree of international education activities and collaborations
• capture the implications of these policies on student recruitment and international research output
• identify countries with best prospects for engagement in trans-national education
• track changes over time
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Countries covered
East Asia:
Hong Kong
Japan
Indonesia
Malaysia
South Korea
Thailand
Vietnam
The original study covered:
AustraliaBrazilChinaGermanyIndiaJapanMalaysiaNigeriaRussiaUKUSA
The study was later expanded to include:
France
The Netherlands
Qatar
Saudi Arabia
UAE
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Structure of the International Education index
• Openness • Strategy • Visa & immigration • Environment for institutions
• Quality assurance and degree recognition• Cross-border quality assurance and accreditation • Recognition of overseas qualifications• Entry standards and quality of provision
• Access and Equity • Promotion of outbound mobility• Promotion of inbound mobility • Sustainable development policies
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
OVERALL Score/101 Germany 8.42 France 8.23 Australia 8.04 Netherlands 7.55 UK 7.26 China 6.47 Hong Kong 6.38 South Korea 6.29 Malaysia 6.0
10 US 5.7=11 Indonesia 5.5=11 Thailand 5.5
13 Japan 4.714 Russia 4.515 Singapore 4.416 Nigeria 3.8
=17 Brazil 3.5=17 India 3.5=17 Vietnam 3.5
20 UAE 3.421 Saudi Arabia 2.822 Qatar 2.2
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Government Policies and Student Mobility
Australia
Brazil
China
Germany
India
Japan
Malaysia
Nigeria
Russia
UK
US
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Impact of the Internationalisation Strategy section of the International Education Index on inward student mobility
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
Impact of National Policies on Academic Collaboration
• Strong positive relationship between “internationalisation strategy” policy score and proportion of peer-reviewed academic articles written with overseas co-authors
• Correlation coefficient = 0.74
• There is a strong positive relationship between “quality assurance and recognition” policy score and proportion of peer-reviewed academic articles written with overseas co-authors
• Correlation coefficient = 0.67
Australia
BrazilChina
Germany
India Japan
Malaysia
Nigeria
Russia
UK
US
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EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
New study – education opportunities index
• Education opportunities index – new study identifying opportunities for:
– International student recruitment, based on countries’ socio-demographic outlook and economic growth prospects
– Drawing recruitment scenarios based on countries’ trade patterns
– Opportunities for international collaboration in teaching and research based on countries’ expanding tertiary education capacity
EDUCATIONINTELLIGENCE
Interconnected Competitive Futures1/12/2011
About Education Intelligence
The British Council promotes UK education and culture in the areas of Arts, English, Educationand Society in over a hundred countries worldwide. With exploding global interest in education,the British Council’s Education Intelligence team provides cutting-edge research, data andanalysis in the field of higher education.
Our market intelligence service supports clients in forming individual international strategies byoffering information on student mobility flows, student decision-making and current nationalpolicies regarding higher education. Our network of resources allows us to produce robust andcutting-edge trends analysis that can help shape the global debate in the education sector.
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