eechap4 replacement analysis

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  • 7/28/2019 EEChap4 Replacement Analysis

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    After completing chapter 4, students should be ableto :

    Identify principles and approach used in

    replacement analysis. Determine the economic life of an asset. Conduct a replacement analysis to select between

    existing asset (Defender) and its challenger. Conduct one year retention analysis.

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 1

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    Why need replacement? Performance of machine/equipment has

    deteriorated.

    Requirements has changed.

    Development of new technology.

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 2

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    Approach used in analysis: Latest information Sunk cost

    New facility (Challenger) and existingfacility (Defender)

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 3

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    Annual worth of all costs

    Total capital recovery is the annual worth of the firstinvestment and salvage value.

    Operation annual cost. Total annual worth = - (Total capital recovery) (annual

    worth of capital cost)

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 4

    cost

    Economic life Years

    Total annualworth

    Annualoperation cost

    Total capitalrecovery

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    Example 4.1

    i = 12%

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 5

    Year (j) Market value atyear j (RM)

    Operation cost atyear j (RM)

    0 100,000

    1 80,000 5,000

    2 60,000 6,0003 45,000 7,000

    4 25,000 8,000

    5 0 9,000

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    Solution:

    Cash flow diagram if asset is used for :

    a. 1 year only b. 2 years only c. 3 yearsonly

    d. 4 years only e. 5 years

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    Economic life is 4 years

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 7

    Year(j)

    Capital recovery(RM)

    Annual operation cost(RM)

    Total cost(RM)

    1 -100,000(A/P,0.12,1) +80,000(A/F,0.12,1) = 32,000

    5,000 37,000

    2 -100,000(A/P,0.12,2) +60,000(A/F,0.12,2) = 30868

    5,000 + 1,000(A/G,0.12,2) =5,471.86

    38,339.90

    3 -100,000(A/P,0.12,3) +45,000(A/F,0.12,3) = 28,299.25

    5,000 + 1,000(A/G,0.12,3) =5,924.78

    34,224

    4 -100,000(A/P,0.12,4) +25,000(A/F,0.12,4) = 28,299.25

    5,000 + 1,000(A/G,0.12,4) =6,358.85

    *34,051.10

    5 -100,000(A/P,0.12,5) + 0 = 27,741 5,000 + 1,000(A/G,0.12,5) =6,774.60

    34,515.60

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    Consultant approach Example 4.2

    - Decision between selling existing vehicle and renting.- Existing vehicle was bought 5 years ago at the price of

    RM60,000.- Useful life is 10 more years only.- Salvage value is RM5,000- Operation cost is RM15,000 per year.- If vehicle is sold now, market value is RM40,000- Renting a vehicle will cost RM15,000 a year and the cost

    of petrol is RM9,000 a year

    Determine if the company should keep the existing vehicleor sell it and rent another vehicle if growth rate is 15% andthe vehicle is required for 10 more years.

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 8

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    Solution:

    a. Cash flow diagram if vehicle is retained.

    Aretain = -40,000(A/P,0.15,10) 15,000 +

    5,000(A/F,0.15,10)

    = -40,000(0.19925) 15,000 + 5,000(0.04925)

    = -22,723

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 9

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    b. Cash flow diagram if rent.

    Arent = -24,000Aretain < Arent

    Notes: Consultant approach latest data

    Market value is RM40,000. Machine value (price) RM60,000 is considered as sunk cost.

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    Cash flow approach Example 4.3

    Refer to example 4.2

    Solution:

    a. Cash flow diagram if vehicle is retained

    Aretain = -15,000 + 5,000(A/F,0.15,10)= -15,000 + 5,000(0.04925)

    = -14,753

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 11

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    b. Cash flow diagram if rent

    Arent = 40,000 (A/P,0.15,10) -24,000

    = 40,000(0.19925) 24,000

    = -16,030

    Aretain < Arent

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 12

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    Example 4.4

    * Challenger X trade-in value for defender is RM4,000 andChallenger Y trade-in value for defender is RM3,000

    Determine the decision that should be made.

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 13

    Defender Challenger X Challenger Y

    Machine cost(RM)

    * 10,000 20,000

    Operation cost(RM)

    3,000 1,500 1,000

    Salvage value(RM)

    1,000 2,000 1,000

    Life (Year) 5 5 5

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    Solution : Cash flow diagram for:

    a. Defender S

    b. Challenger X c. Challenger Y

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    Incremental Analysis:

    Cash flow diagram for X-S

    Cash flow diagram for Y-S

    It is more economical to keep existing machine S (defender)

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 15

    Reject X, accept S

    Reject Y, accept S

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    OR Cash flow diagram for Defender

    AS = -3,000 + 1,000(A/F,0.25,5)

    = -3,000 + 1,000(0.12185)

    = -2878.15

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    Cash flow diagram of Challenger X

    AX = -6,000(A/P,0.25,5) 1,500 +

    2,000(A/F,0.25,5)= -6,000(0.37185) 1,500 + 2,000(0.12185)

    = -3,487

    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 17

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    Cash flow diagram of Challenger Y

    AY = -17,000(A/P,0.25,5) 1,000 +1,000(A/F,0.25,5)

    = -17,000(0.37185) 1,000 +1,000(0.12185)= -7,199

    AY > AX > AS,Select Defender

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    When an asset near the end of its useful life.

    Example 4.5a. Machine L

    - Bought 5 years ago and it is expected that it may be used for 3 moreyears.

    - Current market value is RM40,000

    - If it is retained for 1 more year, operation cost is RM45,000- Salvage value after 1 year is RM30,000

    b. Machine P- Capable of replacing machine L- Useful life of machine P is 5 years with a first cost of RM90,000 and

    annual operation cost of RM40,000- Salvage value is RM20,000

    Should machine L be used for 1 more year if MARR is 25%.

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    Solutiona. If retain machine L for 1 more year

    AL = -40,000(A/P,0.25,1) 15,000(A/F,0.25,1)

    = -40,000(1.25) 15,000(1.00)

    = -65,000

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    b. If buy machine P

    AP = -90,000(A/P, 0.25,5) 40,000 + 20,000(A/F,0.25,5)= -90,000(0.37185) 40,000 + 20,000(0.12185)= -71,029

    AP > ALRetain machine L for 1 more year

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    EEBab4MZMS/MMT 22

    Analysis

    Economic life-To determineestimated lifewhere costs are atminimum.

    -Calculate A if use1 year, 2 years and

    so on until (m+1)years whereAm+1>AmAchallenger,

    retain Defender.

    -IfADefender AChallenger, replace

    Defender with Challengernow.