effective business practices 101 (1/8): calculating business risks based on research

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Page 1: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Hello!My name is Dmitri Tcherbadji.

Page 2: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

I lived most of my life in Canada.

That’s where I got my post-secondary education in

Psychology and Information Communication.

Page 3: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

I know computers and business.

• I have been designing and developing computer applications for over 15 years.

• I have been a business owner for the past 5 years.

• Most recently, I have spent a year in Silicon Valley promoting my company to owners and/or VPs of Huffington Post, Associated Press, Google & more.

Page 4: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

What you’ll learn.• Learn how to understand the inherit risks

associated with business ownership.

• Get an introduction on how to use research and business diversification to increase your success rates.

• Understand the importance of success/income measurement to see your path to success better.

Outline for today’s and tomorrow’s lessons:

Page 5: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Ask your questions.As often as you like. That’s why I’m here.

Page 6: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Business risks.

Page 7: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Most things can range from:

safe risky

to

Page 8: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Safe bets:

✓ Not likely to fail.

✗ Small rewards.

Page 9: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

✓ Big rewards.

✗ Likely to fail.

Risks:

Page 10: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Risks can be calculated.You can decide whether you want to take a risk or play it

safe based on what you learn about the situation.

Page 11: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Always research.

Page 12: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

❶What is the competition?

❷What is the demand?

❸What are the costs?

❹ROI (price point for baked goods vs Chinese food).

Page 13: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

• What is the ____

• How can I ____

• ___ reviews

• Most popular ____

Using Google.Google search is usually best in English.

Page 14: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

• Experiment with your search phrases to get best results.

• Try searching within a date range.

• Try searching images or maps.

• Spend extra time searching and reading about your subject, including things that you do not agree with. Good research might take hours, days or even weeks to complete (but it’s worth it!)

Using Google.

Page 15: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Using other tools.• TripAdvisor could give you

a good idea about local travel business landscape.

• Check out your competitors’ Facebook pages.

• See what tourists might be posting on Instagram, Twitter or Pinterest - what do they enjoy?

Page 16: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Real-world research.• Try using services of the

similar businesses in the area.

• Talk to your customers and ask their opinions.

• Talk to your fellow business owners, share your experience and knowledge.

• Understand price points & desired experience in your area and outside (other cities and countries).

Page 17: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Example.

Page 18: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Imagine you are deciding between opening a bakery or a Chinese food restaurant:

Page 19: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

❶ What is the competition?Let’s consider bakeries, using Google.

Page 20: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

❶ What is the competition?Let’s consider bakeries, using TripAdvisor.

Page 21: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

❶ What is the competition?Let’s consider Chinese restaurants, using Google.

Page 22: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

❶ What is the competition?Let’s consider Chinese restaurants, using TripAdvisor.

Page 23: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

❶ Summing up competition.

• Google hasn’t shown significant competition for bakeries at the Inle, showing only one as the top result.

• At the same time, a lot of restaurants seem to serve Chinese food.

• Trip advisor ratio of bakeries to Chinese restaurants is 4 to 21.

Writing down and calculating your results is essential to making scientific decisions.

Page 24: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Baking is a less competitive business.

Page 25: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

• There are always customers at “The French Touch” - even during the low season.

• Local hotels serve baked goods that they have to order to be delivered from Yangon.

• You have talked to local coffee shops and they agreed that they would benefit from pastry sales.

❷ What is the demand?Let’s consider bakeries, using real-world research.

Page 26: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research
Page 27: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

• You learn that tourists do like Chinese food and there are usually at least some customers at the restaurants even during the low season.

• There is no demand for Chinese food outside of selling it from your own store as most places can prepare their own.

❷ What is the demand?Let’s consider Chinese restaurants, using real-world research.

Page 28: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research
Page 29: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

❷ Summing up demand.

• There is good demand for baked goods to be sold straight out of the store.

• Baked goods can also be sold to other businesses such as hotels and coffee shops.

• There is good demand for Chinese food, but it can not be sold to any other businesses.

Remember that things change over time so new research is usually best.

Page 30: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Bakeries have more demand.

Page 31: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

❸ What are the costs?Let’s consider baking ovens, using Google.

Page 32: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

• You look around some more and find used baking oven for $700 in Yangon, but it would cost you another $200 in delivery fees.

• You will also need to spend another $600 to provide adequate power, tools and space for the bakery.

❸ What are the costs?Let’s consider baking ovens, using real-world research and Google.

Page 33: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

❸ What are the costs?

• You ask around and learn that getting a good quality Chinese wok and gas burner for around $50.

• You will also need to spend another $300 to prepare the space and get the right tools to cook the food.

Let’s consider Chinese wok & gas burner, using real-world research.

Page 34: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Chinese kitchen is cheaper than bakery.

Page 35: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Don’t forget about the human costs. Can you find a good baker or a Chinese cook? How

much would you have to pay each?

Page 36: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

ROIReturn On Investment

Page 37: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

• After doing online research on TripAdvisor and Google as well as studying local bakeries you learn that you can sell an average $100 worth of baked goods per day.

• After some chat with local businesses, you agree to sell about $50 worth of baked goods per day.

❹ How much can you sell your baked goods for?

Page 38: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

• From your earlier research, you learn that it would cost you at least $1,500 to set up your bakery.

• You also learn that your baker will charge $30 per day and you will need to buy $20 worth of material per day.

❹ How much would it cost you to sell baked goods?

Page 39: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

ROI for bakery:$150 for $50 in costs per day = $100.

It would take 15 days to pay off $1,500 in initial investment.

Page 40: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

• After doing online research on TripAdvisor and Google as well as studying local restaurants you learn that you can sell an average $50 worth of food per day.

❹ How much would it cost you to sell Chinese food?

Page 41: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

• From your earlier research, you learn that it would cost you at least $350 to set up your bakery.

• You also learn that your cook will charge $20 per day and you will need to buy $20 worth of material per day.

❹ How much would it cost you to sell Chinese food?

Page 42: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

ROI for Chinese restaurant:$50 for $40 in costs per day = $10.

It would take 35 days to pay off $350 in initial investment.

Page 43: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Which one do you think is more likely to profit?

A bakery or Chinese restaurant?

Page 44: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Which one is a safer bet?And why?

Page 45: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Is the risky bet worth it?And why?

Page 46: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

What’s missing from this research?

List the details that I might have skipped.

Page 47: Effective Business Practices 101 (1/8): Calculating Business Risks Based on Research

Assignment.

❶ Think of two business ideas for yourself: one risky, one safe.

❷Research them really well.

❸Come up with your conclusions which one would be a better decision.