egypt presidential elections 2012 power structure-7
DESCRIPTION
A methodology for voting in the Egyptian Presidential Election 2012. And Short term roadmap for the transition period after the elections. Please follow me on Twitter @sam6626TRANSCRIPT
Egypt’s Presidential Elections
2012
Power Structure in Egypt– Ver. 1.1
please let me know your thoughts /comments
This documents is NOT to tell who to vote for,
The purpose of this document is to highlight some facts about the political power structure in Egypt,
The outcome is a map of the main power centers in Egypt including the Hire/Fire command chain,
The 2nd outcome will be two expected maps for the political power. One for each of the potential candidates,
The document provides one main objective for the post elections (transition) period in both scenarios.
Purpose And Outcomes
Who says Shafiq can not be another Mubarak
Who says Shafiq will not declare “Emergency Rule”
Who says “Eli Ne3rafo A7san”
Who says “SCAF is the Egyptian Army”
Who say “The question is civilian vr. religious”
These are all LIES
Do not Trust
And Do not Trust Who says “The question is Thawra versus
Old Regime” Who says “We can not guess what will MB
do when they get the power” Who says “Ana we a7.oya 3ala Ebnm 3ami, we ana we ebn 3ami….”
Who says “Going with MoursiGives us a little bit of hope” Who says “We did not try MB”
These are lies too!!
The Truth is..Both Sides are Equally BAD
Both are fighting to dominate Egypt for a long period..
And both are welling to do WHATEVER It takes ….
DO NOT VOTE for who is LESS BAD!!! Cause both are REAL bad
DO NOT VOTE for who we tried before (Ne3rafo) !!! Cause you have see this nightmare before
DO NOT VOTE for who we did not Try!! Cause we have seen their Lies many times already!
If you want the best for your future,If you want hope for your kids, and the best for Egypt.. Please vote to balance the power and establish a creative conflict between the two powers
Balancing The Power
If you want the best for your future,If you want hope for your kids, and the best for Egypt.. Please vote to balance the power and establish a creative conflict between the two powers
Political Power Structure
President
SCAF
InformalPowers
(no hire /fire Authority)
Defense Minister
Parliament
Judicial
Constitutional
CourtAdmin.Court Constitutiona
l Panel
(100 Person)
Prime Minister
National Security
Interior affairs
Official Media
Corrupt Busines
s
Corrupt officials
Corrupt Police
MB Militia
UltrasMelyoneyya
t
Private Media
Intelligence
Presidential Control
SCAF
MB
People/Revolution
International /regional Influence is outside the focus of this analysis
Hire or Fire Authority
Fire only
Sabba7y/
A.Fotoh
Hir
e /
Fire
Hire /Fire
Hire /Fire
Fire only
Hire
Complex
The Time LineThe time line is very important cause it ties the power centers (previous pages) to the timing where we expect each center to miss use their powers !
1- Presidential Election
2- Transition (in case of MB winning)
3- Supreme Constitutional court will decide on the current Parliament legitimacy
4- Re-selecting or Re-approving the “100 Person Constitutional Panel”
President
InformalPowers
(no hire /fire Authority)
Parliament
Judicial
Constitutional
CourtAdmin.Court Constitutiona
l Panel
(100 Person)
Prime Minister
National Security
Interior affairs
Official Media
Corrupt Busines
s
Corrupt officials
Corrupt Police
MB Militia
UltrasMelyoneyya
t
Private Media
Intelligence
Presidential Control
SCAF
MB
People/Revolution
Hire or Fire Authority
Fire only
Sabba7y/
A.Fotoh
Hir
e /
Fire
Hire /Fire
Hire /Fire
Fire only
Hire
Complex
Scenario One - SCAF
SCAF
Defense Minister
In this case, Thawra has to support MB and stop SCAF from changing the Parliament
President
InformalPowers
(no hire /fire Authority)
Parliament
Judicial
Constitutional
CourtAdmin.Court Constitutiona
l Panel
(100 Person)
Prime Minister
Interior affairs
Official Media
Corrupt Busines
s
Corrupt officials
Corrupt Police
MB Militia
UltrasMelyoneyya
t
Private Media
Presidential Control
SCAF
MB
People/Revolution
Hire or Fire Authority
Fire only
Sabba7y/
A.Fotoh
Hir
e /
Fire
Hire /Fire
Hire /Fire
Fire only
Hire
v. Complex
Scenario Two - MB
SCAF
Defense Minister
Intelligence
National Security
SCAF and moving to MB
Thawra has to support SCAF to protect the constitution and people’s freedom
Both sides wants to dominate the Egyptian political scene for decades,
Our objective should be balancing the power between the two sides to avoid any power abuse in the future,
In both scenarios, El-Thawra has to play a major role to defend the Loser and control the Winner’s power grab during the transition period
Takeaways
“They that fight for freedom undertake the noblest cause mankind can have at stake”
Freedom for Egypt
The struggle for our Freedom will start with the voting
Nothing Worth Having Comes Easy
Thanks a lot to all of you who provided ideas/feedback and help