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~ftHfi~rfb ' tilJffi?fi' UWfi. Qtt=: ~~lf~liJ'~at6n~~$OOOscarR. Burt, Michael D.Frank

and Bruce R. Beattie, "Prior Information and Heuristic

Ridge Regresion for Production Function" , Western Jarr­

nal of Agri. Econ., 12(2):135-143,1987.

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4. Bale M. D. and E. Lutz, The Effects of Trade Interven­

tion on International Price Instability. American Journal

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ell)

-12-

Impacts of Cigaratte Imports on Tobacco Farms in Taiwan

Chaur Shyan Lee*

Abstract

The imports of cigaratte whatever quantrties or values

are sharply increased since 1987 due to the changes of import

policy of cigaratte and wine. Tobacco production are oper­

ated through contract farming which is controlled by the

Monopoly Bureau of Tobacco and Wine, Taiwan Provincial

Government. Tobacco farmers should follow the contract to

make their production decision. Based on the opinions of

tabacco farmers which are collected by farm surveys, 86.7%

of Tobacco farmers do not continue to grow Tobacco if the

contracts are ceased. Under the present situation, total areas

of Tobacco production are around 9000 hectares, if the

cigaratte imports increase 10% and total domestic demand of

cigaratte unchanged, the domestic production of tobacco will

decrease 10% accordingly. The losses arisen by cigaratte

imports are values of product of 0.4 billion New Taiwan

Dollar, labor unemployment of 1298 persons and capital

inputs of 0.12 billion New Taiwan Dollar. Consequently, to

evaluate the economic effects and welfare of free exchange in

trade are the major works of study under the policy of

economic liberalization.

* Professor, Research Institute of Agricultural Economics,

National Chung-Hsing University.

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