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Page 1: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
Page 2: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
Page 3: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
Page 4: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
Page 5: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
Page 6: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

Driest 4 years - Record

Page 7: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

Driest 4 years - Record

Page 8: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

THE GREAT WET HOPETHE GREAT WET HOPETHE GREAT WET HOPETHE GREAT WET HOPE

Page 9: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

THE GREAT WET HOPETHE GREAT WET HOPETHE GREAT WET HOPETHE GREAT WET HOPE

Page 10: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
Page 11: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
Page 12: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

El Niño 1997l El Niño 2015l

Page 13: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

sealevel.jpl.nasa.gov

Page 14: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

ooooooo

ooooooo

ooooooo

ooooooo

Oct 23, 1997

Oct 22, 2015

Page 15: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

ooooooo

ooooooo

ooooooo

ooooooo

Will El Niño hose us this winter?

Oct 23, 1997

Oct 22, 2015

Page 16: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

ooooooo

ooooooo

ooooooo

ooooooo

Will El Niño hose us this winter?

ABSOLUTELY, “TOO BIG TO FAIL!”

Oct 23, 1997

Oct 22, 2015

Page 17: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
Page 18: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

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Years

Downtown Los Angeles Rainfall 1945 – 2015

3.21"'07

El Niño 31.28” ‘82- ’83

4.85"’61

El Niño 31.01” ‘97- ’98

4.42"’02

Average

38.32"’05

Page 19: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

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Years

Downtown Los Angeles Rainfall 1945 – 2015

3.21"'07

El Niño 31.28” ‘82- ’83

4.85"’61

El Niño 31.01” ‘97- ’98

4.42"’02

Average

7 out of 10 YearsDrier than ‘Average’

38.32"’05

Page 20: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

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Years

Downtown Los Angeles Rainfall 1945 – 2015

3.21"'07

El Niño 31.28” ‘82- ’83

4.85"’61

El Niño 31.01” ‘97- ’98

4.42"’02

Average

7 out of 10 YearsDrier than ‘Average’

XXL Los NiñosCan Double Rain

38.32"’05

Page 21: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

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Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

Pre

cip

ita

tio

n (

inch

es) Avg

1997-8

1982-3

Rain Year

Downtown L.A. Monthly Rainfall

= 14.96”

= 31.01”Mar ’83 (8.37”)

Feb ’98 (13.68”)

Page 22: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

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Downtown LA – Daily RainfallFeb 1998 (4 big storms, 2 small storms)

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February 1998

Page 23: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

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Downtown LA – Daily RainfallFeb 1998 (4 big storms, 2 small storms)

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es

February 1998

Monthly Total = 13.68”

(Wettest Feb since 1878)

Dry days = 14

Wet days = 14

Page 24: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28

Downtown LA – Daily RainfallFeb 1998 (4 big storms, 2 small storms)

Ra

infa

ll i

n I

nch

es

February 1998

Monthly Total = 13.68”

(Wettest Feb since 1878)

Dry days = 14

Wet days = 14

LOS NIÑOS RAINSTEND TO BESTEADY, NOTSPECTACULAR!

Page 25: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

Los Angeles River - flood of March 2nd, 1938,

10” in one day, aerial view above Victory Blvd.

Page 26: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

Los Angeles River - flood of March 2nd, 1938,

10” in one day, aerial view above Victory Blvd.

Page 27: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

Los Angeles River - flood of March 2nd, 1938,

10” in one day, aerial view above Victory Blvd.

SOCAL HAS MUCHOINFRASTRUCTURE TOPREVENT REGIONALFLOOD DAMAGE!

Page 28: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

Los Angeles River - flood of March 2nd, 1938,

10” in one day, aerial view above Victory Blvd.

SOCAL HAS MUCHOINFRASTRUCTURE TOPREVENT REGIONALFLOOD DAMAGE!

THE PROBLEMS ARE LOCAL!

Page 29: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
Page 30: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

If we survive the floods, mud slides & havoc!

Page 31: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

If we survive the floods, mud slides & havoc!

Page 32: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction

Center is warning that this year’s El Niño could be as

costly and devastating as the one that drenched

California in 1997-98.

Back then, devastating storms killed 17 people and

caused $550 million dollars in damages.

Page 33: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction

Center is warning that this year’s El Niño could be as

costly and devastating as the one that drenched

California in 1997-98.

Back then, devastating storms killed 17 people and

caused $550 million dollars in damages.

Page 34: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

Since 1890, it has rained 10 times - 1895, 1899, 1906, 1910, 1916, 1922, 1934,1937, 1955 and 2006.

Page 35: El Nino Summit Final [Read-Only] - California5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1945 1948 1951 1954 1957 1960 1963 1966 1969 1972 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011

Since 1890, it has rained 10 times - 1895, 1899, 1906, 1910, 1916, 1922, 1934,1937, 1955 and 2006.