elections 2.0 2of2 (federal)
DESCRIPTION
Insights on how social media, as evidenced in Nenshi mayoralty campaign (see Part 1), could affect Canada's upcoming federal electionTRANSCRIPT
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SOCIAL MEDIA, RESEARCH & COMMUNICATIONS
Elections 2.0Part 1: Insights from the Nenshi Campaign
Part 2: Implications for 2011 Federal Election
Presented by Brian F. Singh, ZINC Research
Market Research & Intelligence AssociationApril 7, 2011
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Canadian Social Media Segments 2010 Based on Online Population: 84.3% (2008)
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Non-Users10%
Online/Real Time9%
(Heavy Users)Suits & Strategy
7%(Business Users)
Chat, Chill, Connect16%
(Socializers)
Facebook Friends27%
(Friends & Family Circles)
Samplers & Lurkers32%
(Casual Users)
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Segments September 2009 October 2010 Change
Non-Users 22% 10% - 12
Casual Users 29% 32% + 3
Friends & Family Circles 24% 27% +3
Socializers 14% 16% +2
Business Users 5% 7% +2
Heavy Users 6% 9% +3
Canadian Social Media SegmentsBased on Online Population: 2009 versus 2010
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34.3
38.8
42.5
44.9
51.2
56.2
46.0
Mean Age of Social Media Users (Adults)
Total (n=1200)
Non-Users (n=119)
Casual Users (n=379)
Friends & Family (n=323)
Business Users(n=89)
Heavy Users (n=102)
Socializers (n=187)
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Canadian Social Media Segments – 4 of Interest
Characteristics Heavy Users(9% of market)
Business Users(7% of market)
Socializers(16% of market)
Friends & Family Circles
(27% of market)
Gender(Higher incidence)
Male Male Female Female
Marital Status(Highest incidence)
Single Married Split: Married/ Single Married
Education(Highest incidence)
University+ University/ Post Grad HS/College College
Place of Birth Immigrant skew Highest share of Immigrants Standard Standard
Social Media Platforms All / Twitter Most Popular/
100% LinkedInFacebook &
Windows LivePrimarily Facebook
Mean time online 23 hours 10 hours 21 hours 9 hours
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Mean Number of Friends per Social Networking Site
Sites Total(n=1025)
Heavy Users(10% of market)
Business Users(8% of
market)
Socializers(18% of market)
Friends & Family Circles(31% of market)
Casual Users(33% of market)
Facebook (n=1025) 137 280 185 212 112 67
MySpace (n=150) 56 86 14 48 12 12
Windows Live/MSN Spaces (n=480)
37 52 32 59 9 13
Twitter (n=198) 43 74 14 9 13 9
LinkedIn (n=178) 35 23 57 4 8 9
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“How many people do you have in each of the social networking sites you are a member of?
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Voting Intentions (October 2010)
Decided Vote Total(n=740)
Heavy Users(11%
voter/9% incidence)
Business Users
(8% voter/7% incidence)
Socializers(15%
voter/16% incidence)
Friends & Family Circles
(26% voter/27% incidence)
Casual Users(31%
voter/32% incidence)
Non-Users(11%
voter/10% incidence)
Conservative Party of Canada 40 30 45 34 44 41 43
Liberal Party of Canada 26 31 28 29 23 26 24
New Democratic Party 18 21 13 16 19 18 22
Green Party of Canada 9 12 10 15 9 8 6
Bloc Quebecois 4 3 4 5 3 6 5
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Elections 2.0 = Government 2.0
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Government 2.0…
The integration of new-generation digital media technologies into government structure and operations.
The expectation of more transparency & accountability.
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The Challenge of Brand
Traditional versus Upstart (DNA)Local versus National
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The battle online is asimportant as in person and
the traditional media.
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Social Media is THE Media…
But not the only media.
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Elections 2.0 is a more data-driven (and data intensive) process.
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The Data Literacy Pentagon
Engagement/Voter Identification
Social MediaMonitoring/
Analytics CAMPAIGN STRATEGY
Traditional MediaMonitoring
Web Analytics
Polling & RidingIntelligence
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Does Polling Still Matter?
Conversion & Performance Benchmarks.
Gamification & Predictive Markets.
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What is willing to be shared, can be used against you.
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Organized Chaos trumpsCommand & Control.
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Get Involved. Think different.Evolve skill set.
Co-creation. Crowdsource.E.g., OpenData movement.